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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 10, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Lakers29%97105
7Timberwolves71%10496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.4
40.5
41.4
31
70%
1
4
0
2
1
5
1
0
7-7
100%
3-8
7-16
38%
45%
6-11
55%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.4
40.1
35.7
23
55%
7
7
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-4
25%
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
4-10
40%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
40.0
23.2
14
55%
17
5
0
0
2
2
4
13
4-6
67%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.8
39.8
36.5
12
37%
11
2
1
1
0
3
3
8
1-1
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
23.3
34.7
5
42%
3
2
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
18.3
11.2
8
67%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
17.1
15.1
10
105%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-3
67%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.9
13.1
16.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.6
7.9
11.8
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.8
4.7
0
1-2
43%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.8
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
2.4
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
39.9
38.5
23
60%
13
7
2
1
0
3
1
12
13-16
81%
5-11
8-17
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.3
39.0
29.9
18
47%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
9-18
4-8
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.9
37.4
36.6
12
55%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.8
34.6
15.4
8
47%
7
1
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-1
0%
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.8
33.5
17.8
20
63%
0
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
44%
2-4
50%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.9
20.3
24.6
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
14.5
9.2
2
26%
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 22.6
10.1
21.2
5
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 37.1
5.8
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.2
3.9
8.5
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 29.3
1.0
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.1
22.6
1
4-9
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.