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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 10, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs80%9996
30Jazz20%8897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.6
38.6
35.4
12
89%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.7
37.1
35.2
24
56%
13
1
0
1
1
3
3
10
8-10
80%
8-17
8-16
47%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.7
37.1
33.8
20
65%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
5-10
50%
6-8
6-11
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
30.9
23.9
6
60%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.5
30.3
28.0
18
63%
2
2
0
2
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.4
20.6
21.3
2
114%
2
1
0
1
4
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.0
19.8
15.8
6
75%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.5
10.9
15.2
4
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
7.3
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.1
7.3
10.9
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.4
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.7
1.5
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.6
29.3
12.3
7
50%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
39%
1-1
100%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.2
29.1
26.5
18
67%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
4-9
3-7
44%
38%
1-1
100%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.3
29.0
14.5
2
20%
8
1
0
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
40%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
24.1
26.5
13
62%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.1
23.4
37.6
13
55%
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
3
3-4
75%
5-10
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
36.8
27.2
23
75%
11
2
0
0
1
1
7
4
9-10
90%
7-10
3-7
70%
45%
0-1
0%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.1
32.9
21.7
10
63%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
2-3
67%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
21.4
4.5
9
48%
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
4-6
0-1
67%
40%
0-2
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
12.4
10.5
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.5
1.6
17.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.6
34.4
1
5-11
48%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
9.7
0
1-3
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.