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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Pistons55%8789
22Nets45%8680
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.9
44.1
35.3
18
56%
3
7
1
1
0
4
1
2
12-14
86%
3-8
6-13
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.3
38.9
32.6
19
56%
13
0
0
1
1
2
1
12
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
47%
1-3
33%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.3
38.6
35.3
11
57%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
6-6
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.9
35.4
35.6
7
35%
4
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.3
32.6
33.3
11
51%
11
0
2
1
1
0
2
9
1-2
50%
5-10
3-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
24.6
20.9
11
56%
5
0
0
1
3
2
2
3
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.1
20.5
18.5
10
63%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
38%
0-1
0%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.0
5.4
10.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-0
-
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 33.3
7.1
0
0-1
40%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.6
4.6
0
1-1
43%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
2.5
0
0-0
47%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.5
1.4
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.0
42.0
38.3
19
41%
7
4
2
1
2
3
3
4
5-7
71%
7-17
6-14
41%
44%
0-3
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.8
41.0
34.8
13
48%
6
7
0
2
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
42%
2-6
33%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
39.3
36.3
6
38%
10
1
2
1
2
2
2
8
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
43%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.5
38.5
26.1
10
56%
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
36.6
24.5
10
42%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
40%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 32.5
22.5
15.9
16
45%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-12
2-4
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
17.7
12.8
6
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-9
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.9
2.0
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 26.6
0.5
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 24.6
35.9
1
6-13
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
6.9
0
1-1
41%
Kaniel Dickens
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
1.6
0
0-0
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.