Final Win Prob. pScore
2560%101
80
3640%98
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
86.093101.9
ATL logo Hawks
106.29789.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL80
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Smith Layup80
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLSmith Dunk (11 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)80
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)80
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MILStrickland Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Santiago78
100
Q4 - 1:07MILSantiago S.FOUL (P6.T4)78
100
Q4 - 1:07ATLSmith Running Layup (8 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MILFizer 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLMISS Childress 7' Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MILJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MILSantiago S.FOUL (P5.T3)73
96
Q4 - 2:07ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MILMISS Strickland 10' Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MILBucks Rebound73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Santiago: Tip to Fizer73
96
Q4 - 2:29MILMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MILJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MILBucks Rebound72
96
Q4 - 2:49MILMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49ATLSUB: Smith FOR Walker72
96
Q4 - 2:49ATLSUB: Smith FOR Harrington72
96
Q4 - 2:49MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)72
96
Q4 - 2:49ATLEkezie S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
96
Q4 - 2:55ATLIvey Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MILJames Layup (10 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27ATLEkezie Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41MILMISS Fizer 6' Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01ATLSUB: Ivey FOR Lue70
94
Q4 - 4:01ATLSUB: Ekezie FOR Drobnjak70
94
Q4 - 4:01MILSantiago P.FOUL (P4.T2)70
94
Q4 - 4:18MILFizer 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37ATLDrobnjak 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lue 9 AST)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MILJames 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10ATLDrobnjak Foul Turnover (P3.T17)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10ATLDrobnjak OFF.Foul (P5)66
92
Q4 - 5:13ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MILWalker BLOCK (3 BLK)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35ATLChildress 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MILSantiago Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MILBucks Rebound65
90
Q4 - 5:53MILMISS Santiago Free Throw 1 of 265
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)65
90
Q4 - 5:53ATLDrobnjak S.FOUL (P4.T4)65
90
Q4 - 6:12ATLDrobnjak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 8 AST)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29MILSantiago 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)65
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:37ATLWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:58ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MILMISS James 23' Jump Shot63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07MILSUB: Strickland FOR Mason63
87
Q4 - 7:07ATLHarrington P.FOUL (P4.T3)63
87
Q4 - 7:20MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 263
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22ATLHAWKS Rebound63
87
Q4 - 7:22ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 263
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22MILKukoc S.FOUL (P1.T1)63
87
Q4 - 7:27ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)63
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:29MILMISS James Layup63
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38MILBucks Rebound63
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38ATLMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot63
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:58ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 8:00MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot63
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 8:19ATLLue 5' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 8:41MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Van Horn63
85
Q4 - 8:41ATLSUB: Walker FOR Smith63
85
Q4 - 8:4163
85
Q4 - 8:41ATLHAWKS Rebound63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 8:42ATLMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 9:00ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 9:02MILMISS Fizer 14' Jump Shot63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:08ATLDrobnjak L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)63
85
Q4 - 9:08MILBucks Rebound63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 9:09MILMISS Van Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:16ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 9:23ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)63
85
Q4 - 9:26MILVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 9:44ATLLue Driving Layup (16 PTS)60
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 10:08MILVan Horn 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)60
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 10:23ATLDrobnjak 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)57
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 10:39MILFizer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)57
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 10:44ATLSUB: Lue FOR Ivey57
81
Q4 - 10:44ATLIvey P.FOUL (P3.T1)57
81
Q4 - 10:50ATLSUB: Harrington FOR Smith57
81
Q4 - 10:50ATLDrobnjak Foul Turnover (P2.T14)57
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:50ATLDrobnjak OFF.Foul (P2)57
81
Q4 - 11:06MILJames 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 11:19MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 11:21ATLMISS Drobnjak 18' Jump Shot55
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 11:39MILMason Dunk (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)55
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 12:0053
81
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL53
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound53
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILIvey BLOCK (1 BLK)53
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLIvey P.FOUL (P2.T4)53
81
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLIvey Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)53
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLSUB: Smith FOR Harrington53
80
Q3 - 0:08.0MILFizer S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
80
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLIvey Driving Layup (6 PTS)53
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0MILVan Horn Tip Shot (4 PTS)53
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot51
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0MILBucks Rebound51
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Drobnjak 17' Jump Shot51
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 1:06MILVan Horn 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)51
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 1:23ATLIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 1:23ATLIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 1:23MILFizer S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
76
Q3 - 1:28ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:30MILMISS Fizer 14' Jump Shot49
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:47ATLHarrington Reverse Layup (14 PTS)49
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 2:07MILSantiago Foul Turnover (P1.T14)49
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 2:07MILSantiago OFF.Foul (P3)49
74
Q3 - 2:11ATLChildress P.FOUL (P2.T3)49
74
Q3 - 2:27ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 2:27ATLSUB: Smith FOR Walker49
73
Q3 - 2:27ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 2:27MILSUB: Fizer FOR Smith49
72
Q3 - 2:27MILSantiago S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
72
Q3 - 2:43ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)49
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 2:45MILWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)49
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 2:51MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 2:54ATLMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot49
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 3:14MILSUB: James FOR Williams49
72
Q3 - 3:14MILSantiago L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)49
72
Q3 - 3:14ATLHAWKS Rebound49
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 3:14MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot49
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 3:27ATLWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)49
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 3:31ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 3:33MILRedd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 3:33MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot49
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 3:36MILChildress BLOCK (1 BLK)49
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 3:46MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 3:47ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 3:47ATLMISS Walker Layup49
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 3:48ATLMISS Walker Layup49
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 4:12MILRedd Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)49
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 4:24MILSUB: Santiago FOR Pachulia47
72
Q3 - 4:24ATLSUB: Ivey FOR Lue47
72
Q3 - 4:24MILSUB: Van Horn FOR Mason47
72
Q3 - 4:24ATLSUB: Drobnjak FOR Collier47
72
Q3 - 4:24ATLSUB: Childress FOR Smith47
72
Q3 - 4:24ATLLue L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)47
72
Q3 - 4:24ATLLue Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)47
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 4:33MILSmith 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)47
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 4:58ATLWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)45
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 5:04ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 5:06MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot45
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 5:22ATLLue 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q3 - 5:37MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)45
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 5:41ATLSmith P.FOUL (P2.T1)43
67
Q3 - 5:54ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 5:54ATLCollier Layup (12 PTS)43
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 5:56ATLMISS Walker Layup43
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 6:18MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 6:29MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 6:31ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 6:54ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)41
65
Q3 - 6:54MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)41
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 6:57MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 6:59ATLMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot41
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 7:17ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 7:19MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot41
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 7:31ATLWalker Foul Turnover (P4.T11)41
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 7:31ATLWalker OFF.Foul (P2)41
65
Q3 - 7:46ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 7:47MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot41
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 7:50MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 7:52MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot41
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 8:14ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T10)41
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 8:14ATLHarrington OFF.Foul (P3)41
65
Q3 - 8:19MILSmith P.FOUL (P3.T3)41
65
Q3 - 8:19ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 8:19ATLMISS Collier 6' Jump Shot41
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 8:38ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)41
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 8:39MILMISS Pachulia Layup41
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 8:55ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 8:55ATLCollier Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 8:55MILSmith S.FOUL (P2.T2)41
63
Q3 - 9:01MILWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)41
63
Q3 - 9:26MILMason 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)41
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 9:38MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)39
63
Q3 - 9:46ATLWalker Running Layup (7 PTS)39
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 9:50ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 9:52MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot39
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 10:15ATLWalker 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
7.1%
61
92.9%
Q3 - 10:20MILSmith STEAL (4 STL)39
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 10:23MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 10:25MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot39
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 10:43ATLCollier 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)39
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q3 - 11:08MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 11:18ATLWalker Foul Turnover (P3.T9)37
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 11:18ATLWalker OFF.Foul (P1)37
57
Q3 - 11:25ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q3 - 11:27MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot37
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q3 - 11:42ATLCollier Layup (6 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)37
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q3 - 12:0037
55
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL37
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound37
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 44' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLLue 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0MILSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)37
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0MILMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot35
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLLue 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILMason 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)35
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q2 - 1:11ATLChildress 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)33
14.3%
51
85.7%
Q2 - 1:32MILMason Layup (7 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)33
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q2 - 1:34MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)31
49
Q2 - 1:34MILBucks Rebound31
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q2 - 1:34MILWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)31
13.5%
49
86.5%
Q2 - 1:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q2 - 1:56ATLSmith Tip Shot (6 PTS)31
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q2 - 1:57ATLMISS Ekezie Layup31
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 2:04MILSmith STEAL (3 STL)31
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 2:07MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)31
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 2:10ATLMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
18.5%
47
81.5%
Q2 - 2:24MILPachulia 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)31
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 2:42ATLSmith Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ekezie 1 AST)29
15.4%
47
84.6%
Q2 - 2:57MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 2:57MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q2 - 2:57ATLEkezie S.FOUL (P2.T3)27
45
Q2 - 3:11ATLLue Driving Layup (8 PTS)27
16.3%
45
83.7%
Q2 - 3:18ATLSUB: Walker FOR Harrington27
43
Q2 - 3:18MILSmith Backcourt Turnover (P3.T10)27
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 3:39ATLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)27
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 3:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
23.9%
40
76.1%
Q2 - 3:55MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot27
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 4:12ATLHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)27
27.5%
40
72.5%
Q2 - 4:29MILEkezie STEAL (1 STL)27
24.9%
40
75.1%
Q2 - 4:45MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)27
40
Q2 - 4:46ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 127
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 4:46MILSUB: Williams FOR Fizer27
40
Q2 - 4:46MILSUB: Smith FOR James27
40
Q2 - 4:46MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
40
Q2 - 4:46MILPachulia S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
40
Q2 - 4:46ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)27
27.4%
40
72.6%
Q2 - 4:49ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
29.7%
38
70.3%
Q2 - 4:51MILMISS Fizer 13' Jump Shot27
30.6%
38
69.4%
Q2 - 4:54MILBucks Rebound27
32.6%
38
67.4%
Q2 - 4:55MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot27
30.6%
38
69.4%
Q2 - 5:05ATLEkezie P.FOUL (P1.T2)27
38
Q2 - 5:19ATLLue 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)27
33.6%
38
66.4%
Q2 - 5:35ATLSUB: Ekezie FOR Drobnjak27
36
Q2 - 5:35ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)27
36
Q2 - 5:45MILPachulia Dunk (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)27
36.3%
36
63.7%
Q2 - 5:48ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)25
33.5%
36
66.5%
Q2 - 5:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
31.0%
36
69.0%
Q2 - 5:51MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot25
31.7%
36
68.3%
Q2 - 6:07ATLChildress Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)25
34.4%
36
65.6%
Q2 - 6:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
36.6%
34
63.4%
Q2 - 6:15MILMISS Fizer 9' Jump Shot25
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 6:24MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
39.8%
34
60.2%
Q2 - 6:25MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 6:40MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
39.8%
34
60.2%
Q2 - 6:41ATLMISS Drobnjak 11' Jump Shot25
38.8%
34
61.2%
Q2 - 6:57ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
36.6%
34
63.4%
Q2 - 6:59MILSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)25
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 7:13MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
40.3%
34
59.7%
Q2 - 7:14ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 2 of 225
40.0%
34
60.0%
Q2 - 7:14ATLSUB: Harrington FOR Walker25
34
Q2 - 7:14ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
38.1%
34
61.9%
Q2 - 7:14MILJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
33
Q2 - 7:28MILFizer 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
40.2%
33
59.8%
Q2 - 7:39MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
37.6%
33
62.4%
Q2 - 7:41ATLMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 7:59ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 8:01MILSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)23
36.7%
33
63.3%
Q2 - 8:07MILSUB: Redd FOR Van Horn23
33
Q2 - 8:07MILBucks Rebound23
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 8:07MILSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)23
36.7%
33
63.3%
Q2 - 8:08MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 8:10MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)23
36.7%
33
63.3%
Q2 - 8:24ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 8:24ATLDrobnjak Tip Shot (6 PTS)23
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 8:26ATLMISS Lue Layup23
42.9%
31
57.1%
Q2 - 8:38MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 8:38MILBucks Rebound22
31
Q2 - 8:38MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 222
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 8:38ATLChildress S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
31
Q2 - 8:5722
31
Q2 - 8:57ATLSUB: Smith FOR Smith22
31
Q2 - 8:57ATLWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)22
41.0%
31
59.0%
Q2 - 9:23MILMason Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)22
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 9:28MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 9:29ATLMISS Drobnjak Layup20
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 9:32ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
33.8%
31
66.2%
Q2 - 9:34ATLMISS Childress 18' Jump Shot20
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 9:48ATLSUB: Lue FOR Ivey20
31
Q2 - 9:48ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)20
31
Q2 - 10:00MILJames 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)20
33.8%
31
66.2%
Q2 - 10:11MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
32.3%
31
67.7%
Q2 - 10:12ATLMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot18
31.5%
31
68.5%
Q2 - 10:17ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 10:19MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot18
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 10:29MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
32.2%
31
67.8%
Q2 - 10:31ATLMISS Childress 17' Jump Shot18
31.5%
31
68.5%
Q2 - 10:56MILJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 11:11ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T5)16
28.5%
31
71.5%
Q2 - 11:11ATLSmith OFF.Foul (P1)16
31
Q2 - 11:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 11:17MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)16
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q2 - 11:39ATLChildress 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)16
28.5%
31
71.5%
Q2 - 12:0016
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL16
30.6%
29
69.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)16
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILIvey STEAL (1 STL)16
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q1 - 0:16.0ATLDrobnjak Layup (4 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)16
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLSUB: Walker FOR Harrington14
25
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLHarrington P.FOUL (P2.T3)14
25
Q1 - 1:00ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
38.0%
25
62.0%
Q1 - 1:00ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q1 - 1:00ATLSUB: Smith FOR Walker14
23
Q1 - 1:00MILVan Horn S.FOUL (P1.PN)14
23
Q1 - 1:04MILHarrington STEAL (2 STL)14
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q1 - 1:20ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
43.6%
23
56.4%
Q1 - 1:20ATLSUB: Harrington FOR Smith14
22
Q1 - 1:20ATLHAWKS Rebound14
22
Q1 - 1:20ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 214
44.5%
22
55.5%
Q1 - 1:20MILSUB: James FOR Williams14
22
Q1 - 1:20MILSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
22
Q1 - 1:26ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
44.4%
22
55.6%
Q1 - 1:28MILMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot14
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q1 - 1:52ATLIvey 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
45.9%
22
54.1%
Q1 - 2:08MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)14
49.4%
20
50.6%
Q1 - 2:25MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q1 - 2:27ATLMISS Walker 4' Running Jump Shot14
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 2:33ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
49.4%
20
50.6%
Q1 - 2:34MILMISS Williams Layup14
50.0%
20
50.0%
Q1 - 2:42MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
20
Q1 - 2:42ATLSUB: Childress FOR Harrington14
20
Q1 - 2:54ATLDrobnjak Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)14
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q1 - 2:57MILSmith STEAL (2 STL)14
54.0%
18
46.0%
Q1 - 3:13ATLHarrington Layup (12 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)14
56.5%
18
43.5%
Q1 - 3:16ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
58.7%
16
41.3%
Q1 - 3:17MILMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot14
59.4%
16
40.6%
Q1 - 3:32ATLWalker Layup (2 PTS)14
60.9%
16
39.1%
Q1 - 3:37ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
63.0%
14
37.0%
Q1 - 3:39MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
63.7%
14
36.3%
Q1 - 3:46ATLIvey P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
14
Q1 - 3:58MILSUB: Van Horn FOR Mason14
14
Q1 - 3:58ATLSUB: Ivey FOR Lue14
14
Q1 - 3:58MILBucks Rebound14
65.1%
14
34.9%
Q1 - 3:58ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
64.5%
14
35.5%
Q1 - 4:17MILPachulia Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)14
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 4:31MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 4:33ATLMISS Drobnjak Layup12
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 4:46MILSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)12
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 5:04ATLHarrington Dunk (10 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)12
60.8%
14
39.2%
Q1 - 5:27MILMason 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)12
62.3%
12
37.7%
Q1 - 5:42ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
12
Q1 - 5:42ATLDrobnjak Foul Turnover (P1.T4)10
60.8%
12
39.2%
Q1 - 5:42ATLDrobnjak OFF.Foul (P1)10
12
Q1 - 5:55MILWilliams 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
58.7%
12
41.3%
Q1 - 6:00MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Gadzuric8
12
Q1 - 6:00ATLSUB: Drobnjak FOR Collier8
12
Q1 - 6:00ATLHarrington P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
12
Q1 - 6:11MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
57.4%
12
42.6%
Q1 - 6:12ATLMISS Collier 6' Jump Shot8
56.8%
12
43.2%
Q1 - 6:26ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
55.5%
12
44.5%
Q1 - 6:27MILMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot8
56.1%
12
43.9%
Q1 - 6:51ATLHarrington Driving Layup (8 PTS)8
57.5%
12
42.5%
Q1 - 6:56ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
59.1%
10
40.9%
Q1 - 6:58MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
59.6%
10
40.4%
Q1 - 7:05MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
61.0%
10
39.0%
Q1 - 7:07ATLMISS Harrington Layup8
60.5%
10
39.5%
Q1 - 7:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
59.2%
10
40.8%
Q1 - 7:13MILMISS Williams Layup8
59.7%
10
40.3%
Q1 - 7:22MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
61.0%
10
39.0%
Q1 - 7:24ATLMISS Lue 14' Jump Shot8
60.4%
10
39.6%
Q1 - 7:35MILWilliams 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
59.2%
10
40.8%
Q1 - 7:46ATLHarrington Layup (6 PTS) (Collier 1 AST)6
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 7:52MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)6
59.3%
8
40.7%
Q1 - 8:06ATLCollier 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)6
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 8:24MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
62.3%
6
37.7%
Q1 - 8:35MILBucks Rebound4
60.9%
6
39.1%
Q1 - 8:35ATLMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot4
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 8:47MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 8:47MILGadzuric Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 8:48MILMISS Smith Layup2
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 9:13ATLCollier Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 9:17ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
60.1%
4
39.9%
Q1 - 9:19MILMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot2
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 9:34ATLHarrington Layup (4 PTS)2
61.1%
4
38.9%
Q1 - 9:41ATLHAWKS Rebound2
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 9:42ATLMISS Collier Layup2
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 9:48ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 9:50MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot2
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 10:02ATLWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:24MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
61.7%
2
38.3%
Q1 - 10:34ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 10:34ATLSmith OFF.Foul (P1)0
2
Q1 - 10:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 10:34ATLMISS Harrington Layup0
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 10:45MILHarrington STEAL (1 STL)0
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 10:56ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 10:56ATLHarrington Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 10:58ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 10:58ATLMISS Collier Tip Shot0
61.6%
0
38.4%
Q1 - 10:59ATLMISS Lue 12' Jump Shot0
61.6%
0
38.4%
Q1 - 11:17ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 11:18MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot0
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 11:34ATLHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 11:47MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:47MILGadzuric OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Williams0
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILATL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.87 43.5%
ATL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
13
28
46%
ATL
29
43
67%
Midrange
MIL
20
49
41%
ATL
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
ATL
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIL
5
8
63%
ATL
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. James1464%7.0 / 11
D. Mason1343%6.5 / 15
M. Redd1029%5.0 / 17
K. Van Horn1063%5.0 / 8
M. Williams836%4.0 / 11
Z. Pachulia840%4.0 / 10
M. Fizer633%3.0 / 9
J. Smith450%2.0 / 4
D. Santiago375%1.5 / 2
D. Gadzuric2100%1.0 / 1
E. Strickland233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lue1860%9.0 / 15
A. Harrington1454%7.0 / 13
P. Drobnjak1359%6.5 / 11
J. Collier1260%6.0 / 10
J. Childress1267%6.0 / 9
J. Smith1179%5.5 / 7
A. Walker1036%5.0 / 14
R. Ivey990%4.5 / 5
D. Smith450%2.0 / 4
O. Ekezie0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
77
+14
-16
91
ATL
76
+14
-21
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.87 43.5%
ATL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
98.6
MIL 86.0
ATL 106.2 +20.2
Pace
93.5
93.3
MIL 101.9 +12.7
ATL 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.6
MIL 14.1 −2.0
ATL 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
46.4%
MIL 43.1%
ATL 57.1% +14.0%
TO %
14.2%
16.3%
MIL 15.0% −4.6%
ATL 19.6%
ORB %
29.0%
30.8%
MIL 18.6%
ATL 37.5% +18.9%
FTrt
33.9
29.9
MIL 9.2
ATL 24.4 +15.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
54.9%
MIL 61.1% +5.3%
ATL 55.8%
STL %
6.9%
8.1%
MIL 10.8% +1.5%
ATL 9.3%
BLK %
5.4%
6.7%
MIL 5.7%
ATL 13.0% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
47.8%
MIL 43.5%
ATL 56.0% +12.5%
Rim FG%
54.1%
55.4%
MIL 46.4%
ATL 67.4% +21.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
37.3%
MIL 40.8% +0.1%
ATL 40.7%
3P %
35.1%
31.2%
MIL 30.0%
ATL 37.5% +7.5%
FT %
77.2%
71.1%
MIL 62.5%
ATL 73.7% +11.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
42.4%
MIL 32.2%
ATL 55.1% +22.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
43.0%
MIL 56.3%
ATL 34.6% −21.7%
3P Att. %
14.1%
14.6%
MIL 11.5% +1.2%
ATL 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsMILATL
Possessions9397
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points80103
Rebounds2847
Assists2224
Steals109
Blocks410
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (4)35 (2)
Field Goals36-8743-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2829-43
Midrange FG20-4911-27
2-Point FG33-7740-70
3-Point FG3-103-8
Free Throws5-814-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 222 · 27
32.5
13
43%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
32.1
10
29%
5
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 29
26.3
4
50%
2
1
1
3
4
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
24.2
8
36%
0
7
1
0
4
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
6.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
26.7
8
40%
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 30
23.8
14
64%
0
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 262 · 26
21.7
6
33%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 29
15.6
10
63%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 256 · 29
15.3
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
6
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 36
8.7
0
0%
0
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
7.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
44%
28
22
10
4
16
0
8
20
5-8
63%
33-77
43%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.