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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers35%9186
11Grizzlies65%9685
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.2
39.0
33.5
35
63%
12
2
0
1
1
4
5
7
11-11
100%
12-23
8-18
52%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 39.4
38.6
28.9
10
71%
2
0
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
2-2
100%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
35.4
30.8
19
51%
7
6
1
2
0
3
3
4
4-4
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
43%
1-5
20%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.0
32.2
23.0
8
43%
12
0
2
1
0
0
5
7
2-3
67%
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.3
8.5
7.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.8
31.8
30.4
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.7
21.1
18.2
8
43%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
16.5
20.7
2
53%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
14.0
13.2
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.4
2.9
17.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.4
7.0
0
0-1
41%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
4.1
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
42.5
33.4
31
64%
7
2
2
1
4
2
2
5
6-12
50%
11-18
7-13
61%
52%
1-1
100%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
33.8
30.1
6
38%
9
2
2
1
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.1
30.3
28.0
11
75%
0
5
0
1
0
3
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.3
27.9
34.3
7
60%
2
2
0
1
3
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.9
26.4
25.4
2
53%
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
34.0
20.6
20
70%
6
0
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
2-3
67%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.6
17.7
20.7
2
25%
1
4
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.1
15.8
17.1
3
31%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
11.6
8.7
3
28%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-3
33%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.0
17.2
1
1-2
50%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
6.7
0
1-1
47%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.6
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.