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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat37%104107
5Suns63%108122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.0
37.5
40.1
23
51%
5
8
0
2
1
8
1
4
5-8
63%
9-19
8-18
47%
48%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.9
37.0
34.4
34
75%
11
2
1
0
2
2
6
5
2-6
33%
16-20
9-15
80%
56%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.2
35.8
39.3
11
41%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
43%
2-6
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
31.3
33.5
16
68%
6
2
1
1
1
4
1
5
4-4
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.4
29.1
35.2
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
19.0
4.0
11
110%
6
1
0
0
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
3-4
75%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
17.2
9.3
4
45%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
16.5
12.9
2
20%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.6
8.6
11.2
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35.4
4.7
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.8
3.3
4.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.5
1.0
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 24.7
43.1
34.4
14
34%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
2-8
2-5
25%
43%
3-12
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
41.8
35.1
24
61%
9
5
3
1
0
1
0
9
4-4
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
45%
4-8
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 26.7
41.3
33.0
26
56%
11
2
5
2
0
1
5
6
3-3
100%
10-19
4-9
53%
49%
1-3
33%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.2
39.5
32.6
34
73%
7
2
2
1
0
3
2
5
8-10
80%
13-19
8-15
68%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.9
33.1
30.7
16
62%
1
16
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
7-8
4-7
88%
50%
0-4
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
21.1
23.4
4
69%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
20.1
18.5
4
53%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.1
9.3
0
1-2
48%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 19.9
8.6
0
1-3
48%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.2
6.4
0
1-1
51%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.6
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
2.9
0
0-1
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.