FinalWin Prob.pScore
637%104
107
563%108
122
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.910592.6
PHO
116.2105121.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHO
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX107
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAPerson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)107
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)105
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0PHXMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot105
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIADoleac Dunk (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)105
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0PHXMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01PHXMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20PHXMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54PHXJacobsen 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09PHXJacobsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12PHXMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS)103
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41PHXMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)101
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)99
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)99
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)99
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53PHXNash Driving Layup (16 PTS)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)97
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (34 PTS)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34PHXMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57MIAO'Neal Dunk (32 PTS)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMarion STEAL (5 STL)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38PHXMarion Layup (26 PTS) (Nash 16 AST)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 292
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)92
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 6:22MIAO'Neal Layup (29 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)89
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade Layup89
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09PHXJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)89
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:10MIAJohnson STEAL (3 STL)89
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27PHXJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nash 15 AST)89
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:31PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Layup89
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 7:59PHXMarion 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nash 14 AST)89
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 8:20PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 8:33PHXHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T7)89
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Layup (27 PTS)89
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 9:09PHXJacobsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)87
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 9:09PHXMISS Jacobsen Free Throw 1 of 287
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 9:27MIAHaslem Dunk (16 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)87
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 9:46PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)85
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 9:46PHXStoudemire 7' Jump Shot (31 PTS)85
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 9:58PHXHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Dooling Layup85
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 10:06PHXStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)85
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 10:24MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)85
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 10:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 10:40PHXMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 10:58MIAStoudemire STEAL (2 STL)83
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 11:17PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)83
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 11:17PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)83
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 11:19MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)83
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 11:24PHXMISS Stoudemire 13' Jump Shot83
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)83
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX80
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound80
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade Layup80
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0PHXStoudemire 9' Jump Shot (27 PTS)80
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 180
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAAnderson Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)80
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q3 - 1:01PHXMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot78
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)78
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)77
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q3 - 1:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q3 - 1:22PHXMISS Stoudemire 15' Jump Shot76
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q3 - 1:34PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot76
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q3 - 1:50PHXJohnson 10' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)76
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q3 - 2:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q3 - 2:07MIAWade Layup (20 PTS)76
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade Layup74
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q3 - 2:25MIAHeat Rebound74
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 2:25PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q3 - 2:25PHXMISS Richardson Layup74
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 2:25PHXMISS Richardson Layup74
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 2:34PHXHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot74
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q3 - 2:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 2:50PHXMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 3:07PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot74
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 3:35PHXMarion Dunk (22 PTS) (Nash 13 AST)74
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q3 - 3:39PHXHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q3 - 3:40PHXMISS Marion Layup74
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q3 - 3:41PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q3 - 3:44PHXMISS Richardson Layup74
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q3 - 3:50PHXHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot74
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q3 - 4:07PHXMarion 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)74
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q3 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 273
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q3 - 4:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q3 - 4:36PHXMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot73
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q3 - 4:58PHXMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)71
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q3 - 5:06PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot71
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound71
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q3 - 5:14MIAHunter BLOCK (1 BLK)71
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHeat Rebound71
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q3 - 5:29PHXMISS Richardson 29' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q3 - 5:37PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS O'Neal Layup71
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 5:48MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q3 - 5:50PHXMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot71
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q3 - 5:59MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q3 - 6:11PHXMISS Richardson 8' Jump Shot68
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q3 - 6:21MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)68
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q3 - 6:42PHXStoudemire Dunk (25 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)65
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMarion STEAL (4 STL)65
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 6:58PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)65
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q3 - 6:58PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)65
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P3.T13)65
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q3 - 7:31PHXJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)65
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 7:38MIAStoudemire STEAL (1 STL)65
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 7:53PHXJohnson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 8:08MIAO'Neal Dunk (23 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)65
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q3 - 8:26PHXStoudemire Driving Dunk (21 PTS)63
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q3 - 8:36PHXSUNS Rebound63
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 8:37PHXMISS Stoudemire 9' Jump Shot63
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 8:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 8:43MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS)63
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot61
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 8:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 8:56PHXMISS Stoudemire 10' Jump Shot61
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMarion STEAL (3 STL)61
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 9:24PHXJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)61
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q3 - 9:30PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q3 - 9:55PHXNash 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q3 - 10:05PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot61
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 10:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q3 - 10:16PHXMISS Stoudemire 12' Jump Shot61
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 10:20PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 10:22PHXMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMarion STEAL (2 STL)61
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 10:45PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 10:45PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)61
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 10:53MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 11:09PHXMarion 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)59
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 11:20MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)59
11.2%
69
88.8%
Q3 - 11:36PHXStoudemire 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)57
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)57
11.1%
67
88.9%
Q3 - 11:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 11:47PHXMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot55
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX55
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound55
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot55
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)55
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound53
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)53
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0PHXMISS Richardson 29' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)53
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q2 - 1:21PHXRichardson Dunk (14 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)53
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)53
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q2 - 1:29PHXMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)53
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q2 - 1:29PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Jones 18' Turnaround Jump Shot53
10.1%
65
89.9%
Q2 - 1:55PHXStoudemire 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q2 - 2:07MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q2 - 2:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q2 - 2:22PHXMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 150
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q2 - 2:36MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)50
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q2 - 2:52MIAHeat Rebound48
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q2 - 2:53PHXMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q2 - 2:58PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q2 - 3:23PHXRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)48
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q2 - 3:29PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 3:31PHXMISS Marion 14' Jump Shot48
11.5%
60
88.5%
Q2 - 3:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)48
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q2 - 3:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
10.3%
60
89.7%
Q2 - 4:05PHXJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
9.9%
60
90.1%
Q2 - 4:05PHXJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWade Driving Dunk (11 PTS)46
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q2 - 4:39PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)44
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q2 - 4:39PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 244
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q2 - 4:51MIAO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q2 - 5:09PHXStoudemire Layup (14 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)42
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q2 - 5:16PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
10.1%
55
89.9%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot42
10.5%
55
89.5%
Q2 - 5:38PHXJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)42
11.3%
55
88.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)42
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q2 - 6:07MIAHeat Rebound40
12.9%
52
87.1%
Q2 - 6:08PHXMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot40
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q2 - 6:09PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 6:11PHXMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot40
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q2 - 6:17MIAO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)40
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 6:36PHXRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q2 - 6:36PHXMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 238
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q2 - 6:44MIAWade 10' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)38
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 7:01PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 136
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 7:01PHXStoudemire Layup (12 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)36
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q2 - 7:09MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)36
11.1%
49
88.9%
Q2 - 7:18MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 7:19PHXMISS Stoudemire 9' Jump Shot34
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q2 - 7:25MIANash STEAL (1 STL)34
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 7:31MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 7:33PHXMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot34
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS)34
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot32
7.8%
49
92.2%
Q2 - 8:05PHXNash 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)32
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 8:20MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)32
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q2 - 8:36PHXMarion 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)30
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 8:45PHXSUNS Rebound30
9.3%
45
90.7%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot30
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 9:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
10.7%
45
89.3%
Q2 - 9:04PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 9:17MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 9:39PHXStoudemire 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
10.6%
45
89.4%
Q2 - 9:51PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
11.5%
43
88.5%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot30
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q2 - 10:10PHXRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 10:21PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 10:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 10:33PHXMISS Hunter 10' Jump Shot30
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 10:48MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)30
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 11:12PHXRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)27
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 11:24MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)27
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q2 - 11:42PHXStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)25
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX25
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound25
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Johnson 56' 3PT Jump Shot25
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0PHXJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0PHXJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0PHXHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0PHXHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)23
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0PHXMarion Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)21
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot21
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q1 - 1:17PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q1 - 1:17PHXMarion 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q1 - 1:24PHXHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot21
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q1 - 1:39PHXStoudemire Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)21
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q1 - 1:52PHXJump Ball Johnson vs. Wade: Tip to Stoudemire21
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q1 - 2:06PHXStoudemire 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)21
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q1 - 2:11PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 2:14PHXMISS Hunter 9' Jump Shot21
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q1 - 2:28PHXSUNS Rebound21
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 2:30PHXMISS Jacobsen 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q1 - 2:41MIAWade Driving Layup (5 PTS)21
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 2:56PHXRichardson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jacobsen 1 AST)19
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q1 - 3:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 3:06PHXSUNS Rebound17
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Jones Layup17
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q1 - 3:06PHXMISS Richardson Layup17
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q1 - 3:36PHXHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q1 - 3:36PHXHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 216
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 4:12PHXMarion 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 4:17PHXJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 4:27PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 4:33PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 4:34PHXMISS Marion 19' Jump Shot16
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 4:43MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)16
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 215
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 4:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)15
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot15
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 5:02PHXNash 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 5:09MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 5:24PHXRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)15
23.5%
21
76.5%
Q1 - 5:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 5:36MIAJones 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)14
24.8%
18
75.2%
Q1 - 5:42PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 5:48MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)12
21.8%
18
78.2%
Q1 - 5:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot10
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 6:11PHXNash 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST)10
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 6:17PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot10
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 6:44PHXStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 6:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 6:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 7:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 7:07PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 7:31PHXNash 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 7:39MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 7:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.9%
12
76.1%
Q1 - 7:48PHXMISS Richardson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot6
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 8:03PHXSUNS Rebound6
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Bank Shot6
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 8:19PHXMarion Dunk (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)6
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 8:28MIARichardson STEAL (1 STL)6
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 8:43PHXNash 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 8:58PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot6
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 9:21PHXStoudemire 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)6
29.9%
8
70.1%
Q1 - 9:30PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.0%
6
69.0%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
31.7%
6
68.3%
Q1 - 9:53PHXJohnson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 10:05MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 10:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:15PHXMISS Marion 17' Jump Shot4
32.3%
4
67.7%
Q1 - 10:20PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup4
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 10:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:30PHXMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot4
32.3%
4
67.7%
Q1 - 10:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 10:36MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)4
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade Layup2
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 10:56PHXStoudemire 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 11:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:28PHXJohnson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)0
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 11:41PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot0
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Stoudemire vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.2%
PHO
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
34
74%
PHO
7
12
58%
Midrange
MIA
15
38
39%
PHO
29
54
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
PHO
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
12
20
60%
PHO
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3471%17.0 / 24
D. Wade2350%11.5 / 23
U. Haslem1667%8.0 / 12
E. Jones1139%5.5 / 14
R. Butler11110%5.5 / 5
S. Anderson440%2.0 / 5
M. Doleac440%2.0 / 5
K. Dooling220%1.0 / 5
W. Person2100%1.0 / 1
D. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Stoudemire3468%17.0 / 25
S. Marion2654%13.0 / 24
J. Johnson2460%12.0 / 20
S. Nash1662%8.0 / 13
Q. Richardson1433%7.0 / 21
C. Jacobsen467%2.0 / 3
S. Hunter450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+10
-18
97
PHO
96
+16
-9
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.2%
PHO
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
111.8
MIA 101.9
PHX 116.2 +14.3
Pace
93.9
98.3
MIA 92.6
PHX 121.2 +28.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
13.7
MIA 15.5
PHX 11.9 +3.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
53.4%
MIA 55.9% +3.8%
PHX 52.1%
TO %
14.0%
13.6%
MIA 16.1%
PHX 7.8% +8.3%
ORB %
27.0%
27.5%
MIA 22.5%
PHX 27.5% +5.0%
FTrt
38.7
29.6
MIA 23.5
PHX 28.4 +4.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
57.5%
MIA 57.8%
PHX 60.0% +2.2%
STL %
6.8%
7.1%
MIA 3.8%
PHX 11.4% +7.6%
BLK %
8.7%
7.5%
MIA 9.1% +7.7%
PHX 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.92 and 2.92.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
54.4%
MIA 55.2% +1.7%
PHX 53.5%
Rim FG%
63.0%
60.8%
MIA 73.5% +15.2%
PHX 58.3%
Mid FG%
41.0%
43.8%
MIA 39.5%
PHX 53.7% +14.2%
3P %
37.7%
39.3%
MIA 38.5% +7.5%
PHX 31.0%
FT %
67.2%
74.8%
MIA 60.0%
PHX 85.2% +25.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
30.9%
MIA 40.0% +27.4%
PHX 12.6%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
40.3%
MIA 44.7% +12.1%
PHX 56.8%
3P Att. %
19.8%
28.9%
MIA 15.3%
PHX 30.5% +15.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAPHX
Possessions105105
Possession Minutes27.220.8
Points107122
Rebounds3842
Assists2627
Steals412
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (5)31 (3)
Field Goals45-8545-95
At-the-Rim FG25-347-12
Midrange FG15-3829-54
2-Point FG40-7236-66
3-Point FG5-139-29
Free Throws12-2023-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
37.5
23
50%
5
8
0
1
8
4
1
4
5-8
63%
9-19
47%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
37.0
34
71%
11
2
1
2
2
4
6
5
2-6
33%
16-20
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
35.8
11
39%
4
3
2
0
2
4
0
4
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
31.3
16
67%
6
2
1
1
4
3
1
5
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
29.1
0
0%
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
19.0
11
110%
6
1
0
2
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
17.2
4
40%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
16.5
2
20%
0
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
8.6
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
3.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
38
26
4
6
18
0
9
29
12-20
60%
40-72
56%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.