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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 12, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
34Hornets19%8276
8Pistons81%9390
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.8
40.2
37.2
16
47%
8
6
1
2
0
6
2
6
1-2
50%
6-13
4-10
46%
43%
1-3
33%
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.6
34.8
34.7
4
18%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
42%
0-2
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.2
27.9
35.5
13
55%
7
0
2
1
2
0
2
5
1-2
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
27.2
30.7
16
53%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
8-15
6-13
53%
44%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.3
25.3
26.0
5
37%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-6
33%
39%
0-2
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.3
30.5
24.5
7
51%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
1-3
33%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.5
24.1
20.3
7
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
38%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
23.0
16.1
6
61%
4
1
0
0
2
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
3.5
7.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Corsley Edwards
F · 6'9" 275 · 25.9
3.5
3.4
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
9.5
0
1-2
37%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 23.3
4.9
0
0-1
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.9
38.0
39.3
20
57%
0
10
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-6
67%
8-12
6-14
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.3
36.0
32.7
11
56%
19
4
3
1
4
2
2
17
1-4
25%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.3
34.5
36.6
25
76%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
8-8
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
3-7
43%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.9
32.9
35.2
12
75%
3
2
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
2-3
67%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.3
30.9
35.2
10
50%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-8
5-11
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
22.6
22.5
8
57%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.1
17.8
19.4
0
0%
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-4
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.0
14.5
7.9
2
53%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 33.4
5.7
4.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.6
3.5
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
3.5
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.5
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.