Final Win Prob. pScore
278%86
79
292%104
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
85.99293.4
SAS logo Spurs
106.88886.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL79
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASSUB: Massenburg FOR Duncan79
94
Q4 - 0:31.0MILBucks Rebound79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASWilks 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILNesterovic STEAL (2 STL)79
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)79
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MILSmith S.FOUL (P4.T1)79
90
Q4 - 1:15MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15SASSUB: Wilks FOR Parker78
90
Q4 - 1:15MILBucks Rebound78
90
Q4 - 1:15MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15SASBrown S.FOUL (P1.T3)78
90
Q4 - 1:26MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASMISS Brown 22' Jump Shot78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SASSPURS Rebound78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38SASMISS Parker 4' Running Layup78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54SASBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)78
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:00SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02SASMISS Ginobili 1' Running Layup78
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:08MILNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:16SASMISS Parker 2' Running Layup78
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:36MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MILGadzuric 2' Layup (8 PTS)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38MILMISS Williams 13' Fadeaway Jumper76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T12)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P2)76
90
Q4 - 3:02MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MILBucks Rebound75
90
Q4 - 3:02MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 275
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P4.T2)75
90
Q4 - 3:22SASSUB: Brown FOR Bowen75
90
Q4 - 3:22MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)75
90
Q4 - 3:26SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 3:44MILNesterovic BLOCK (4 BLK)75
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:03SASDuncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:24SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 4:25MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot75
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 4:44SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)75
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 4:59MILSUB: Smith FOR Fizer75
83
Q4 - 4:59MILSUB: Williams FOR James75
83
Q4 - 4:59SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry75
83
Q4 - 5:01SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)75
83
Q4 - 5:09MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS)75
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 5:26MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 5:28SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot73
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 5:49MILGinobili STEAL (2 STL)73
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 6:13SASParker 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 6:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 6:34MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q4 - 6:46MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)73
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 6:49SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot73
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 7:12MILRedd 2' Layup (21 PTS)73
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q4 - 7:31SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)71
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 7:44MILJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 7:44MILBucks Rebound70
79
Q4 - 7:44MILMISS James Free Throw 1 of 270
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 7:44SASSUB: Parker FOR Udrih70
79
Q4 - 7:44SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan70
79
Q4 - 7:44SASSUB: Bowen FOR Brown70
79
Q4 - 7:44MILSUB: Redd FOR Smith70
79
Q4 - 7:44MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Van Horn70
79
Q4 - 7:4470
79
Q4 - 7:44SASUdrih S.FOUL (P2.T1)70
79
Q4 - 8:03SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)70
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 8:23SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q4 - 8:25MILMISS Fizer 18' Jump Shot70
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 8:44MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q4 - 8:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Horry 3' Tip Shot70
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 8:48SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Jump Shot70
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 9:04MILJames 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 9:21SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry68
76
Q4 - 9:21SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T11)68
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 9:21SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P4)68
76
Q4 - 9:26MILUdrih STEAL (1 STL)68
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q4 - 9:34MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 9:36SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot68
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q4 - 9:52MILFizer 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)68
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q4 - 10:02MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 10:04SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot66
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 10:12SASSPURS Rebound66
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 10:13SASMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 10:28MILJames 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)66
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 10:50SASUdrih 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)64
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 10:55MILBrown STEAL (1 STL)64
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q4 - 11:09MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 11:11SASMISS Brown 3' Layup64
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 11:15SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q4 - 11:16MILBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)64
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 11:19MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)64
74
Q4 - 11:19SASSUB: Brown FOR Bowen64
74
Q4 - 11:19MILBucks Rebound64
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 11:20MILMISS Fizer 20' Jump Shot64
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 11:59MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 12:00SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot64
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 12:0064
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL64
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.PN)62
74
Q3 - 0:12.0SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)62
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T3)61
74
Q3 - 0:31.0MILRedd 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)61
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILMISS Redd 2' Layup59
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)59
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILJames 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)59
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 1:11SASUdrih 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 1:19SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 1:21MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot56
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 1:44SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)56
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 1:50MILVan Horn Violation:Kicked Ball56
69
Q3 - 2:00MILRedd 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 2 AST)56
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 2:10MILSUB: James FOR Williams54
69
Q3 - 2:10SASSUB: Duncan FOR Ginobili54
69
Q3 - 2:10SASSUB: Barry FOR Parker54
69
Q3 - 2:10SASSUB: Udrih FOR Nesterovic54
69
Q3 - 2:10SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)54
69
Q3 - 2:10SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)54
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 2:16SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 2:18MILNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)54
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 2:32MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 2:34SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot54
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 2:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 2:54MILMISS Fizer 14' Jump Shot54
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 3:12SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 3:12SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 3:12MILSmith S.FOUL (P3.T4)54
67
Q3 - 3:22MILSmith 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)54
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 3:32MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 3:34SASMISS Nesterovic 3' Layup52
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 3:39SASSPURS Rebound52
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 3:40SASMISS Parker 4' Running Jump Shot52
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 3:44MILParker STEAL (1 STL)52
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 3:52SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T2)52
67
Q3 - 4:06SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 4:06SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 4:06MILSUB: Van Horn FOR Mason52
65
Q3 - 4:06MILMason S.FOUL (P1.T3)52
65
Q3 - 4:22MILFizer Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)52
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 4:35MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
2.5%
65
97.5%
Q3 - 4:37SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot52
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 4:53MILSmith 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)52
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 5:09SASHorry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)50
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 5:23MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 5:41MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 5:43SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot48
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 5:59MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 5:59MILSUB: Fizer FOR Gadzuric47
63
Q3 - 5:59MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 5:59SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T1)46
63
Q3 - 6:15SASGinobili 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)46
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q3 - 6:34SASSUB: Horry FOR Duncan46
61
Q3 - 6:34MILGadzuric P.FOUL (P2.T2)46
61
Q3 - 6:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)46
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 6:36MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot46
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 6:51MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)46
61
Q3 - 6:53SASDuncan 3' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)46
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 6:58SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q3 - 7:00MILNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)46
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 7:16SASParker 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 7:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 7:41MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot46
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q3 - 7:59SASParker 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)46
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q3 - 8:18MILWilliams 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q3 - 8:30MILBucks Rebound44
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 8:31SASMISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot44
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 8:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 8:41MILMISS Redd 3' Layup44
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q3 - 8:45MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 8:47SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot44
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 9:00MILGadzuric L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)44
55
Q3 - 9:00SASSPURS Rebound44
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 9:00MILMISS Redd 5' Running Jump Shot44
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q3 - 9:04MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 9:06SASMISS Parker 3' Layup44
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 9:11SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 9:14MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot44
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q3 - 9:34SASBowen 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)44
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 9:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)44
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q3 - 9:39MILMISS Gadzuric 4' Reverse Layup44
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 9:59SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)44
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q3 - 10:11SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q3 - 10:13SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot44
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q3 - 10:31SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q3 - 10:34MILGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)44
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q3 - 10:51SASDuncan 7' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)44
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q3 - 11:09MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)44
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q3 - 11:32SASNesterovic Foul Turnover (P3.T7)42
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q3 - 11:32SASNesterovic OFF.Foul (P2)42
49
Q3 - 11:45MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)42
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q3 - 12:0040
49
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS40
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
4.5%
49
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 31' 3PT Jump Shot40
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)40
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot40
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 1:02MILRedd 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)40
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 1:16SASNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)38
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 1:40MILPachulia 5' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)38
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 2:04SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)36
4.6%
46
95.4%
Q2 - 2:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
4.0%
46
96.0%
Q2 - 2:12MILMISS Fizer 22' Jump Shot36
4.2%
46
95.8%
Q2 - 2:37SASParker 3' Layup (7 PTS)36
4.6%
46
95.4%
Q2 - 2:44SASSPURS Rebound36
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 2:44SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Layup36
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 2:59MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 2:59MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 2:59SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Massenburg34
44
Q2 - 2:59SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
44
Q2 - 2:59SASMassenburg S.FOUL (P2.T3)34
44
Q2 - 3:11SASParker 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)34
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 3:20MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)34
5.1%
42
94.9%
Q2 - 3:46SASDuncan 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)31
4.1%
42
95.9%
Q2 - 3:56MILSUB: Williams FOR James31
40
Q2 - 3:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)31
4.5%
40
95.5%
Q2 - 3:59SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot31
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 4:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
4.5%
40
95.5%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot31
4.7%
40
95.3%
Q2 - 4:33SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T4)31
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 4:33SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P1)31
40
Q2 - 4:46MILFizer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
4.5%
40
95.5%
Q2 - 5:07MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 5:09SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 5:23MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 5:23MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
4.5%
40
95.5%
Q2 - 5:23SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry29
40
Q2 - 5:23SASSUB: Parker FOR Udrih29
40
Q2 - 5:2329
40
Q2 - 5:23SASUdrih S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
40
Q2 - 5:48SASBarry 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)29
4.1%
40
95.9%
Q2 - 5:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)29
4.6%
38
95.4%
Q2 - 5:54MILMISS James 18' Jump Shot29
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 6:11SASMassenburg 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)29
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 6:31MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
6.6%
36
93.4%
Q2 - 6:31MILMISS Pachulia 3' Layup29
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 6:34MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
6.6%
36
93.4%
Q2 - 6:34MILMISS Mason 2' Layup29
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 6:37MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)29
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 7:01SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)29
6.3%
36
93.7%
Q2 - 7:12MILFizer 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
7.8%
33
92.2%
Q2 - 7:28SASMassenburg Foul Turnover (P1.T3)27
7.1%
33
92.9%
Q2 - 7:28SASMassenburg OFF.Foul (P1)27
33
Q2 - 7:40MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
6.4%
33
93.6%
Q2 - 7:40MILMason 2' Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)27
6.4%
33
93.6%
Q2 - 7:42MILMISS James 6' Running Jump Shot25
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q2 - 7:46MILBucks Rebound25
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q2 - 7:46MILMassenburg BLOCK (1 BLK)25
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q2 - 8:01SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)25
5.8%
33
94.2%
Q2 - 8:01MILSUB: Redd FOR Van Horn25
32
Q2 - 8:01MILJames S.FOUL (P2.T1)25
32
Q2 - 8:01SASDuncan 3' Layup (6 PTS)25
6.4%
32
93.6%
Q2 - 8:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q2 - 8:02SASMISS Massenburg 3' Jump Shot25
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q2 - 8:04SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q2 - 8:06SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q2 - 8:21MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q2 - 8:21MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q2 - 8:21SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
30
Q2 - 8:27MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q2 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
5.8%
30
94.2%
Q2 - 8:29SASMISS Duncan 2' Tip Shot23
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 8:32SASMISS Udrih 15' Jump Shot23
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 8:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
5.8%
30
94.2%
Q2 - 8:49MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot23
6.0%
30
94.0%
Q2 - 9:04SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili23
30
Q2 - 9:04MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)23
30
Q2 - 9:11SASMassenburg 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)23
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q2 - 9:27SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry23
28
Q2 - 9:27SASSPURS Rebound23
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q2 - 9:29MILHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)23
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 9:48MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 9:50SASMISS Massenburg 16' Jump Shot23
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q2 - 10:05MILVan Horn Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)23
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q2 - 10:17MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 10:18SASMISS Udrih 11' Jump Shot23
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q2 - 10:23SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q2 - 10:25MILMISS Van Horn 3PT Jump Shot23
7.3%
28
92.7%
Q2 - 10:44SASGinobili 2' Running Dunk (8 PTS)23
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 10:48MILGinobili STEAL (1 STL)23
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q2 - 11:04SASGinobili 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Massenburg 1 AST)23
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q2 - 11:25MILVan Horn Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q2 - 11:25MILVan Horn OFF.Foul (P1)23
24
Q2 - 11:40SASMassenburg 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)23
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q2 - 11:52MILJames Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q2 - 11:52MILJames OFF.Foul (P1)23
22
Q2 - 12:0023
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL23
13.8%
22
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound23
13.8%
22
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS James 36' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.9%
22
87.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASUdrih 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
13.2%
22
86.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0MILPachulia 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)23
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASHorry 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)21
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0MILFizer 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 1:06SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
12.9%
18
87.1%
Q1 - 1:06SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 1:06MILFizer P.FOUL (P2.PN)19
16
Q1 - 1:21MILSUB: James FOR Redd19
16
Q1 - 1:21MILSUB: Mason FOR Williams19
16
Q1 - 1:21SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker19
16
Q1 - 1:21SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen19
16
Q1 - 1:21MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 1:21MILRedd OFF.Foul (P2)19
16
Q1 - 1:32MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15.2%
16
84.8%
Q1 - 1:34SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot19
15.0%
16
85.0%
Q1 - 1:46MILFizer 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)19
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 2:04SASNesterovic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 2:19SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12.1%
16
87.9%
Q1 - 2:20MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 217
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 2:20MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 2:20MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
16
Q1 - 2:20SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T2)16
16
Q1 - 2:20MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 2:22MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot16
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 2:41SASParker 2' Running Layup (3 PTS)16
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 2:56MILFizer 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 3:12SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 3:12SASSPURS Rebound14
13
Q1 - 3:12SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 214
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 3:12MILSUB: Van Horn FOR Mason14
13
Q1 - 3:12MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Gadzuric14
13
Q1 - 3:12MILWilliams P.FOUL (P1.PN)14
13
Q1 - 3:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
13
Q1 - 3:24MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 114
11.8%
13
88.2%
Q1 - 3:24SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan14
13
Q1 - 3:24SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
13
Q1 - 3:24MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 3:24MILGadzuric 2' Layup (6 PTS)14
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 3:24MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Shot12
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 3:45SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)12
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 3:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 3:59SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Barry12
10
Q1 - 4:02SASMISS Duncan 5' Driving Layup12
12.6%
10
87.4%
Q1 - 4:20MILFizer 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)12
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 4:42MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 4:43SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot10
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 4:58MILFizer P.FOUL (P1.T4)10
10
Q1 - 5:05SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 5:07MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot10
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 5:24MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 5:26SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot10
10.9%
10
89.1%
Q1 - 5:32SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic10
10
Q1 - 5:32SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili10
10
Q1 - 5:32SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
10
Q1 - 5:39MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
10.2%
10
89.8%
Q1 - 5:57SASDuncan 2' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
9.6%
10
90.4%
Q1 - 6:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 6:03MILMISS Mason 14' Jump Shot8
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 6:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 6:27SASMISS Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot8
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 6:38SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 6:41MILNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)8
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 6:47MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 6:49SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup8
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 6:56SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 6:57MILMISS Mason 12' Fadeaway Jumper8
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 7:17SASGinobili 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
10.2%
8
89.8%
Q1 - 7:22MILSUB: Fizer FOR Smith8
6
Q1 - 7:22MILSmith P.FOUL (P2.T3)8
6
Q1 - 7:35MILGadzuric 2' Dunk (4 PTS)8
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 7:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 7:39MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot6
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 7:50SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 7:53SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.4%
6
90.6%
Q1 - 7:54MILBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)6
9.6%
6
90.4%
Q1 - 8:07SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
9.8%
6
90.2%
Q1 - 8:07SASNesterovic 3' Layup (2 PTS)6
9.8%
6
90.2%
Q1 - 8:09SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
10.4%
4
89.6%
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Nesterovic 3' Tip Shot6
10.8%
4
89.2%
Q1 - 8:11SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot6
10.8%
4
89.2%
Q1 - 8:29MILRedd 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
10.3%
4
89.7%
Q1 - 8:45SASGinobili 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
9.6%
4
90.4%
Q1 - 8:56MILRedd P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 9:17MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
9.8%
2
90.2%
Q1 - 9:24MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.2%
2
90.8%
Q1 - 9:26SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
9.1%
2
90.9%
Q1 - 9:45SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8.7%
2
91.3%
Q1 - 9:47MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot2
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 10:08SASDuncan Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 10:13MILBowen STEAL (1 STL)2
9.1%
0
90.9%
Q1 - 10:16MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.4%
0
90.6%
Q1 - 10:18SASMISS Parker 7' Running Jump Shot2
9.3%
0
90.7%
Q1 - 10:22MILSmith P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:37MILGadzuric 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)2
8.8%
0
91.2%
Q1 - 10:57MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.4%
0
91.6%
Q1 - 10:59SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot0
8.3%
0
91.7%
Q1 - 11:20SASSPURS Rebound0
7.9%
0
92.1%
Q1 - 11:20MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
8.0%
0
92.0%
Q1 - 11:38MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.9%
0
92.1%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot0
7.8%
0
92.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Gadzuric: Tip to0
7.6%
0
92.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.89 44.4%
SAS
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
24
50%
SAS
20
36
56%
Midrange
MIL
17
44
39%
SAS
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
SAS
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIL
15
20
75%
SAS
10
11
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2444%12.0 / 27
M. Fizer1250%6.0 / 12
M. Williams950%4.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia975%4.5 / 6
D. Gadzuric857%4.0 / 7
M. James844%4.0 / 9
J. Smith758%3.5 / 6
D. Mason213%1.0 / 8
K. Van Horn0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2150%10.5 / 21
T. Parker2050%10.0 / 20
M. Ginobili1554%7.5 / 14
B. Barry11110%5.5 / 5
B. Udrih867%4.0 / 6
T. Massenburg660%3.0 / 5
B. Bowen536%2.5 / 7
R. Horry450%2.0 / 4
R. Nesterovic225%1.0 / 4
M. Wilks2100%1.0 / 1
D. Brown0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
76
+12
-16
88
SAS
75
+14
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.89 44.4%
SAS
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
104.9
MIL 85.9
SAS 106.8 +20.9
Pace
93.5
91.2
MIL 93.4 +6.8
SAS 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.2
MIL 15.4 −1.2
SAS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
49.2%
MIL 42.7%
SAS 49.4% +6.7%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
MIL 16.0%
SAS 12.6% −3.4%
ORB %
29.0%
29.2%
MIL 20.5%
SAS 24.4% +3.9%
FTrt
33.9
32.9
MIL 26.7 +13.8
SAS 12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
60.6%
MIL 35.5%
SAS 69.2% +33.7%
STL %
6.9%
8.2%
MIL 4.3%
SAS 9.1% +4.8%
BLK %
5.4%
9.9%
MIL 10.3%
SAS 14.7% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
50.6%
MIL 44.4%
SAS 51.1% +6.7%
Rim FG%
54.1%
59.3%
MIL 50.0%
SAS 55.6% +5.6%
Mid FG%
40.8%
37.2%
MIL 38.6%
SAS 40.6% +2.0%
3P %
35.1%
36.3%
MIL 28.6%
SAS 35.3% +6.7%
FT %
77.2%
72.4%
MIL 75.0%
SAS 90.9% +15.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
37.6%
MIL 32.0%
SAS 42.4% +10.4%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
40.8%
MIL 58.7%
SAS 37.6% −21.0%
3P Att. %
14.1%
21.6%
MIL 9.3%
SAS 20.0% +10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9288
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points7994
Rebounds3941
Assists1127
Steals48
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals31-7539-85
At-the-Rim FG12-2420-36
Midrange FG17-4413-32
2-Point FG29-6833-68
3-Point FG2-76-17
Free Throws15-2010-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 222 · 27
42.0
2
13%
6
2
0
0
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
38.4
24
44%
4
3
0
0
2
2
0
4
6-7
86%
9-22
41%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
29.4
9
50%
3
3
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 225 · 29
25.9
7
58%
4
0
0
2
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
22.6
8
57%
8
0
0
3
1
2
3
5
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 262 · 26
32.4
12
50%
11
0
2
2
5
2
1
10
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 30
18.6
8
44%
0
3
0
0
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 245 · 29
15.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
15.2
9
75%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
5-6
83%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
C · 7'0" 256 · 29
#7 · F · 6'11" 235 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
44%
39
11
4
7
16
0
8
31
15-20
75%
29-68
43%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.