FinalWin Prob.pScore
659%102
98
2941%99
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.39493.4
GSW logo GSW
102.28989.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:14.0GSWPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)98
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0GSWPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJones 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 10 AST)98
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0GSWFoyle 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Murphy 5 AST)96
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)95
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 1:18GSWPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q4 - 1:18GSWPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)94
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 1:21MIAClaxton STEAL (3 STL)94
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 1:28GSWFoyle 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murphy 4 AST)94
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 1:39MIAFisher STEAL (3 STL)94
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 1:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)94
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Jones 9' Fadeaway Jumper94
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 2:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)94
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 2:03GSWMISS Claxton 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 2:13GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 294
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 2:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)94
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAHeat Rebound93
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 2:18GSWMISS Pietrus 2' Layup93
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 2:28GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)93
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 293
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 2:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)93
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 2:38GSWMurphy 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Claxton 8 AST)92
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 2:49GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 292
99.2%
81
0.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)92
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 2:56MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
99.2%
81
0.8%
Q4 - 2:57GSWMISS Pietrus Free Throw 2 of 291
99.2%
81
0.8%
Q4 - 2:57GSWPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q4 - 3:13MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)91
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 3:30GSWFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
98.3%
80
1.7%
Q4 - 3:30GSWFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 3:34GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 3:36MIAFoyle BLOCK (1 BLK)88
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 3:49GSWPietrus 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Claxton 7 AST)88
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 4:14MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)88
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 4:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 4:30GSWMISS Claxton 9' Jump Shot86
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 4:39GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 5:02GSWMurphy 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Claxton 6 AST)86
97.9%
76
2.1%
Q4 - 5:08GSWWARRIORS Rebound86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 5:09GSWMISS Murphy 4' Jump Shot86
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAPietrus STEAL (3 STL)86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 5:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 5:34GSWMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot86
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 5:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical85
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 5:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)85
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 5:50MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)84
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 6:10GSWMurphy 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)82
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q4 - 6:14GSWWARRIORS Rebound82
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 6:16GSWMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 9 AST)82
96.2%
72
3.8%
Q4 - 6:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 6:49GSWMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
94.6%
72
5.4%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 180
92.3%
72
7.7%
Q4 - 7:05MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)80
92.0%
72
8.0%
Q4 - 7:21GSWPietrus 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)78
90.1%
72
9.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIARobinson STEAL (2 STL)78
92.1%
70
7.9%
Q4 - 7:50GSWMurphy 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
94.1%
70
5.9%
Q4 - 8:01GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot78
94.7%
68
5.3%
Q4 - 8:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot78
94.7%
68
5.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q4 - 8:47GSWMISS Pietrus 19' Jump Shot78
95.3%
68
4.7%
Q4 - 9:03GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)78
93.6%
68
6.4%
Q4 - 9:06GSWMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot78
94.6%
68
5.4%
Q4 - 9:21GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)78
93.6%
68
6.4%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot78
94.1%
68
5.9%
Q4 - 9:44GSWCheaney 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)78
95.0%
68
5.0%
Q4 - 9:58MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)78
96.0%
66
4.0%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 277
95.8%
66
4.2%
Q4 - 10:10MIAHeat Rebound77
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot77
94.5%
66
5.5%
Q4 - 10:27GSWWARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)77
95.4%
66
4.6%
Q4 - 10:27GSWWARRIORS Rebound77
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q4 - 10:27GSWMISS Fisher 16' Jump Shot77
95.0%
66
5.0%
Q4 - 10:28GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q4 - 10:30GSWMISS Fisher 12' Jump Shot77
95.0%
66
5.0%
Q4 - 10:55MIAHaslem 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Person 1 AST)77
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q4 - 11:15GSWCheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
92.0%
66
8.0%
Q4 - 11:15GSWMISS Cheaney Free Throw 1 of 275
92.5%
65
7.5%
Q4 - 11:16GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
91.9%
65
8.1%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot75
92.4%
65
7.6%
Q4 - 11:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
93.5%
65
6.5%
Q4 - 11:35GSWMISS Cabarkapa 3' Reverse Layup75
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q4 - 11:40MIAFisher STEAL (2 STL)75
92.0%
65
8.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
93.5%
65
6.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0GSWFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Cabarkapa 1 AST)75
92.8%
65
7.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0GSWCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
95.1%
62
4.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot75
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
96.0%
62
4.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0GSWMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot75
95.8%
62
4.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)75
95.2%
62
4.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0GSWCheaney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)72
92.9%
62
7.1%
Q3 - 1:15GSWWARRIORS Rebound72
90.6%
62
9.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Person 17' Jump Shot72
91.1%
62
8.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 1:27GSWMISS Pietrus 22' Jump Shot72
91.8%
62
8.2%
Q3 - 1:43MIAPerson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)72
90.7%
62
9.3%
Q3 - 1:54GSWCabarkapa Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
88.9%
62
11.1%
Q3 - 1:54GSWCabarkapa Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
89.4%
61
10.6%
Q3 - 2:12MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)70
89.7%
60
10.3%
Q3 - 2:27GSWRobinson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)68
88.0%
60
12.0%
Q3 - 2:41GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
89.7%
58
10.3%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Doleac 3' Layup68
90.3%
58
9.7%
Q3 - 2:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
91.5%
58
8.5%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot68
90.3%
58
9.7%
Q3 - 2:53GSWRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)68
91.5%
58
8.5%
Q3 - 3:00MIAClaxton STEAL (2 STL)68
89.7%
58
10.3%
Q3 - 3:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
90.9%
58
9.1%
Q3 - 3:20GSWMISS Cheaney Free Throw 2 of 268
90.7%
58
9.3%
Q3 - 3:20GSWCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 3:37MIAHaslem 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)68
90.8%
57
9.2%
Q3 - 4:02GSWPietrus 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)66
88.8%
57
11.2%
Q3 - 4:14MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)66
90.2%
55
9.8%
Q3 - 4:14MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
89.9%
55
10.1%
Q3 - 4:40GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)64
88.8%
55
11.2%
Q3 - 4:40GSWMurphy Layup (14 PTS)64
88.8%
55
11.2%
Q3 - 4:41GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)64
90.2%
53
9.8%
Q3 - 4:41GSWMISS Murphy Tip Shot64
91.4%
53
8.6%
Q3 - 4:42GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)64
90.2%
53
9.8%
Q3 - 4:42GSWMISS Murphy Tip Shot64
91.4%
53
8.6%
Q3 - 4:44GSWMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot64
91.4%
53
8.6%
Q3 - 5:02MIAHaslem 2' Layup (14 PTS)64
89.7%
53
10.3%
Q3 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
88.2%
53
11.8%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Anderson 4' Running Jump Shot62
86.8%
53
13.2%
Q3 - 5:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
88.2%
53
11.8%
Q3 - 5:18GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
87.6%
53
12.4%
Q3 - 5:33GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
86.2%
53
13.8%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 262
86.5%
53
13.5%
Q3 - 5:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)62
87.3%
53
12.7%
Q3 - 6:01GSWMurphy 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)61
85.7%
53
14.3%
Q3 - 6:14MIAHaslem 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)61
87.4%
51
12.6%
Q3 - 6:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
85.7%
51
14.3%
Q3 - 6:23GSWMISS Claxton 17' Jump Shot59
85.1%
51
14.9%
Q3 - 6:31GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
83.5%
51
16.5%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Running Hook Shot59
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 6:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
85.8%
51
14.2%
Q3 - 6:57GSWMISS Fisher 18' Jump Shot59
85.1%
51
14.9%
Q3 - 7:26MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)59
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q3 - 7:32MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
80.7%
51
19.3%
Q3 - 7:38GSWMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot57
79.8%
51
20.2%
Q3 - 7:48GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
77.8%
51
22.2%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot57
78.7%
51
21.3%
Q3 - 7:56GSWPietrus Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)57
80.7%
51
19.3%
Q3 - 8:13MIAClaxton STEAL (1 STL)57
77.7%
51
22.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
80.5%
51
19.5%
Q3 - 8:17GSWMISS Claxton 5' Jump Shot57
79.7%
51
20.3%
Q3 - 8:33GSWJump Ball Foyle vs. Haslem: Tip to Fisher57
77.7%
51
22.3%
Q3 - 8:45GSWFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
80.5%
51
19.5%
Q3 - 8:45GSWFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
80.9%
50
19.1%
Q3 - 9:00GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
82.5%
49
17.5%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
82.8%
49
17.2%
Q3 - 9:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
84.3%
49
15.7%
Q3 - 9:14GSWMISS Fisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
83.6%
49
16.4%
Q3 - 9:16GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)57
82.2%
49
17.8%
Q3 - 9:18GSWMISS Murphy 7' Jump Shot57
83.6%
49
16.4%
Q3 - 9:38MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)57
82.2%
49
17.8%
Q3 - 9:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
80.0%
49
20.0%
Q3 - 9:51GSWMISS Fisher 17' Jump Shot55
79.3%
49
20.7%
Q3 - 10:15MIAO'Neal 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)55
77.2%
49
22.8%
Q3 - 10:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
74.9%
49
25.1%
Q3 - 10:31GSWMISS Dunleavy 6' Turnaround Hook Shot53
74.0%
49
26.0%
Q3 - 10:37GSWWARRIORS Rebound53
71.8%
49
28.2%
Q3 - 10:40GSWMISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot53
74.0%
49
26.0%
Q3 - 10:57MIAHaslem 1' Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)53
71.8%
49
28.2%
Q3 - 11:17GSWFoyle 4' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)51
69.4%
49
30.6%
Q3 - 11:34MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)51
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q3 - 11:47MIAHeat Rebound48
66.3%
47
33.7%
Q3 - 11:49GSWMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot48
65.4%
47
34.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
63.0%
47
37.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
66.3%
47
33.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
65.2%
47
34.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAFoyle STEAL (1 STL)48
63.7%
47
36.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0GSWDunleavy 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)48
65.8%
47
34.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)48
69.6%
45
30.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Jones 2' Driving Layup48
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0GSWFoyle 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)48
71.6%
45
28.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
74.9%
43
25.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0GSWMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
76.1%
43
23.9%
Q2 - 1:08GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
74.8%
43
25.2%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot48
75.2%
43
24.8%
Q2 - 1:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
76.1%
43
23.9%
Q2 - 1:20GSWMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot48
75.7%
43
24.3%
Q2 - 1:32MIAAnderson 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)48
74.8%
43
25.2%
Q2 - 1:38MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
71.1%
43
28.9%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 246
69.8%
43
30.2%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 246
71.1%
43
28.9%
Q2 - 1:51GSWClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
71.1%
43
28.9%
Q2 - 1:51GSWMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 246
71.6%
42
28.4%
Q2 - 1:59MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q2 - 1:59MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
71.7%
42
28.3%
Q2 - 2:15GSWMurphy 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Foyle 1 AST)44
68.7%
42
31.3%
Q2 - 2:29MIAJones 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
71.5%
40
28.5%
Q2 - 2:38MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
68.7%
40
31.3%
Q2 - 2:40GSWMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot42
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 3:10MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)42
65.9%
40
34.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
63.5%
40
36.5%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 240
60.8%
40
39.2%
Q2 - 3:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)40
62.0%
40
38.0%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
60.7%
40
39.3%
Q2 - 3:24GSWMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
59.7%
40
40.3%
Q2 - 3:42MIAJones 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)39
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 4:00MIAHeat Rebound37
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 4:03GSWMISS Fisher 18' Fadeaway Jumper37
54.3%
40
45.7%
Q2 - 4:25MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
52.3%
40
47.7%
Q2 - 4:25MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
51.0%
40
49.0%
Q2 - 4:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
49.4%
40
50.6%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot35
47.4%
40
52.6%
Q2 - 4:44GSWCheaney 3' Running Layup (2 PTS)35
49.4%
40
50.6%
Q2 - 5:00GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)35
52.2%
38
47.8%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot35
53.5%
38
46.5%
Q2 - 5:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
55.6%
38
44.4%
Q2 - 5:23GSWMISS Robinson 33' 3PT Jump Shot35
54.6%
38
45.4%
Q2 - 5:27GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
52.5%
38
47.5%
Q2 - 5:29GSWMISS Pietrus 9' Running Jump Shot35
54.6%
38
45.4%
Q2 - 5:47GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)35
52.5%
38
47.5%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 235
52.9%
38
47.1%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 235
54.2%
38
45.8%
Q2 - 6:01GSWClaxton 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)35
56.2%
38
43.8%
Q2 - 6:08GSWCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
58.3%
36
41.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot35
59.3%
36
40.7%
Q2 - 6:30GSWPietrus 3' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)35
61.5%
36
38.5%
Q2 - 6:53MIAButler 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)35
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 7:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 7:07GSWMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 7:12MIAPietrus STEAL (2 STL)33
58.8%
34
41.2%
Q2 - 7:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 7:21GSWMISS Cabarkapa 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 7:39MIALaettner 18' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)33
58.8%
34
41.2%
Q2 - 7:47MIAHeat Rebound31
56.4%
34
43.6%
Q2 - 7:49GSWMISS Claxton 6' Running Jump Shot31
55.6%
34
44.4%
Q2 - 8:00GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
53.6%
34
46.4%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Laettner Free Throw 2 of 231
53.9%
34
46.1%
Q2 - 8:01MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 8:19GSWRobinson 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)30
53.9%
34
46.1%
Q2 - 8:41MIALaettner 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
56.1%
32
43.9%
Q2 - 8:55GSWPietrus Slam Dunk (2 PTS)28
53.9%
32
46.1%
Q2 - 8:58MIAPietrus STEAL (1 STL)28
56.1%
30
43.9%
Q2 - 9:15GSWClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
59.1%
30
40.9%
Q2 - 9:15GSWClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q2 - 9:31MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)28
61.2%
28
38.8%
Q2 - 9:31MIAHeat Rebound28
63.9%
28
36.1%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
62.0%
28
38.0%
Q2 - 10:03GSWRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
63.7%
28
36.3%
Q2 - 10:03GSWRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q2 - 10:24MIAJones 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)28
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q2 - 10:45GSWMurphy 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q2 - 10:53GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot26
66.4%
24
33.6%
Q2 - 11:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
67.9%
24
32.1%
Q2 - 11:04GSWMISS Dunleavy 6' Jump Shot26
67.3%
24
32.7%
Q2 - 11:08GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q2 - 11:11GSWMISS Murphy 3' Layup26
67.3%
24
32.7%
Q2 - 11:30MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 225
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q2 - 11:49GSWMurphy 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)25
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW25
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAFisher STEAL (1 STL)25
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0GSWDunleavy Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)25
69.4%
22
30.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIADoleac 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)25
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
65.3%
22
34.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0GSWMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot23
64.8%
22
35.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
63.6%
22
36.4%
Q1 - 1:11GSWClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
65.4%
22
34.6%
Q1 - 1:11GSWClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
65.8%
21
34.2%
Q1 - 1:11GSWWARRIORS Rebound23
67.9%
20
32.1%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup23
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 1:34GSWClaxton 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
69.5%
20
30.5%
Q1 - 1:42GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)23
71.9%
18
28.1%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot23
72.4%
18
27.6%
Q1 - 2:02GSWFoyle 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)23
73.7%
18
26.3%
Q1 - 2:24MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)23
75.5%
16
24.5%
Q1 - 2:41GSWFoyle Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
73.6%
16
26.4%
Q1 - 3:05MIAAnderson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)21
71.4%
16
28.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
69.8%
16
30.2%
Q1 - 3:22GSWMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot19
69.1%
16
30.9%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJones 15' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)19
67.6%
16
32.4%
Q1 - 4:00GSWFoyle 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)17
65.8%
16
34.2%
Q1 - 4:20MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)17
67.6%
14
32.4%
Q1 - 4:33MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
66.0%
14
34.0%
Q1 - 4:34GSWMISS Claxton 10' Running Jump Shot15
65.3%
14
34.7%
Q1 - 4:46GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
63.6%
14
36.4%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 215
63.9%
14
36.1%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 215
64.8%
14
35.2%
Q1 - 5:07GSWMurphy Layup (4 PTS)15
65.9%
14
34.1%
Q1 - 5:08GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
67.6%
12
32.4%
Q1 - 5:09GSWMISS Fisher Free Throw 3 of 315
69.3%
12
30.7%
Q1 - 5:09GSWFisher Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)15
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 5:09GSWFisher Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)15
68.4%
11
31.6%
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)15
71.2%
10
28.8%
Q1 - 5:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
69.6%
10
30.4%
Q1 - 5:44GSWMISS Murphy 9' Turnaround Hook Shot13
69.0%
10
31.0%
Q1 - 5:58GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
67.6%
10
32.4%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Haslem 7' Fadeaway Jumper13
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 6:20GSWMurphy 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)13
69.2%
10
30.8%
Q1 - 6:43MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)13
70.8%
8
29.2%
Q1 - 6:56MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)11
69.2%
8
30.8%
Q1 - 7:14GSWFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)10
67.4%
8
32.6%
Q1 - 7:30MIAAnderson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
70.5%
5
29.5%
Q1 - 7:38GSWClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)8
69.1%
5
30.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)8
67.2%
5
32.8%
Q1 - 8:02GSWFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
69.5%
5
30.5%
Q1 - 8:02GSWFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
69.8%
4
30.2%
Q1 - 8:06GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
70.9%
3
29.1%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
71.4%
3
28.6%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
72.6%
3
27.4%
Q1 - 8:15GSWMISS Robinson 6' Driving Hook Shot8
72.1%
3
27.9%
Q1 - 8:18GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
70.9%
3
29.1%
Q1 - 8:21GSWMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot8
72.1%
3
27.9%
Q1 - 8:32GSWFisher Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)8
70.9%
3
29.1%
Q1 - 8:32GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
72.4%
2
27.6%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot8
72.9%
2
27.1%
Q1 - 8:54GSWFisher 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)8
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 9:08MIAHaslem 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)8
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 9:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 9:16GSWMISS Claxton 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
73.5%
0
26.5%
Q1 - 9:25GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
72.2%
0
27.8%
Q1 - 9:28GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
73.5%
0
26.5%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJones 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
72.2%
0
27.8%
Q1 - 9:54MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.1%
0
28.9%
Q1 - 9:55GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 9:55GSWMISS Murphy Tip Shot4
70.5%
0
29.5%
Q1 - 9:57GSWMISS Dunleavy 2' Layup4
70.5%
0
29.5%
Q1 - 10:01GSWClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot4
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 10:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
70.8%
0
29.2%
Q1 - 10:13GSWMISS Dunleavy 9' Running Jump Shot4
70.3%
0
29.7%
Q1 - 10:33MIAO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)4
69.0%
0
31.0%
Q1 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.7%
0
32.3%
Q1 - 10:56GSWMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:09MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 11:27GSWClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
67.4%
0
32.6%
Q1 - 11:41MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Finger Roll (2 PTS)2
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 11:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
64.1%
0
35.9%
Q1 - 11:48MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot0
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Robinson vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
64.1%
0
35.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.1%
GSW
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
23
70%
GSW
12
21
57%
Midrange
MIA
19
37
51%
GSW
18
47
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
GSW
2
3.0
17
12%
18%
Free Throws
MIA
19
35
54%
GSW
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2650%13.0 / 26
U. Haslem2269%11.0 / 16
E. Jones1354%6.5 / 12
D. Jones9113%4.5 / 4
S. Anderson867%4.0 / 6
W. Person583%2.5 / 3
M. Doleac542%2.5 / 6
C. Laettner583%2.5 / 3
R. Butler330%1.5 / 5
K. Dooling225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Murphy2250%11.0 / 22
D. Fisher1757%8.5 / 15
M. Pietrus1554%7.5 / 14
A. Foyle12100%6.0 / 6
S. Claxton935%4.5 / 13
C. Robinson630%3.0 / 10
C. Cheaney660%3.0 / 5
M. Dunleavy210%1.0 / 10
Z. Cabarkapa233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+10
-15
89
GSW
82
+17
-7
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.1%
GSW
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
102.5
MIA 104.3 +2.0
GSW 102.2
Pace
93.9
95.3
MIA 93.4 +3.7
GSW 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.1
MIA 15.4 +0.6
GSW 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.5%
MIA 58.1% +19.3%
GSW 38.8%
TO %
14.0%
13.6%
MIA 16.1%
GSW 7.5% +8.6%
ORB %
27.0%
27.9%
MIA 22.2%
GSW 27.1% +4.9%
FTrt
38.7
27.8
MIA 51.5 +16.2
GSW 35.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
59.8%
MIA 78.9% +10.1%
GSW 68.8%
STL %
6.8%
8.1%
MIA 3.2%
GSW 14.6% +11.4%
BLK %
8.7%
7.5%
MIA 8.8% +7.1%
GSW 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
49.1%
MIA 55.1% +10.1%
GSW 45.0%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.4%
MIA 69.6% +12.5%
GSW 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.0%
37.5%
MIA 51.4% +13.1%
GSW 38.3%
3P %
37.7%
35.2%
MIA 37.5% +25.7%
GSW 11.8%
FT %
67.2%
72.2%
MIA 54.3%
GSW 83.3% +29.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
34.1%
MIA 33.8% +9.1%
GSW 24.7%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
40.7%
MIA 54.4% +0.9%
GSW 55.3%
3P Att. %
19.8%
25.2%
MIA 11.8%
GSW 20.0% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions9489
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points9891
Rebounds4341
Assists3022
Steals313
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)28 (2)
Field Goals38-6832-85
At-the-Rim FG16-2312-21
Midrange FG19-3718-47
2-Point FG35-6030-68
3-Point FG3-82-17
Free Throws19-3525-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 33
39.4
13
54%
2
8
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
36.6
22
69%
10
1
1
0
2
5
2
8
0-0
-
11-16
69%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
35.7
26
50%
12
2
0
2
5
3
3
9
8-20
40%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 215 · 31
34.1
8
67%
7
3
2
1
1
4
0
7
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
31.9
9
113%
4
10
0
0
2
2
0
4
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
16.1
2
25%
1
5
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
12.3
5
83%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
12.3
5
42%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
11.4
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
10.3
3
30%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
55%
43
30
3
6
15
0
8
35
19-35
54%
35-60
58%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.