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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 13, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Cavaliers46%9894
16Lakers54%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.0
44.3
38.9
28
50%
13
9
1
2
1
4
3
10
3-4
75%
11-22
7-15
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
38.0
30.1
20
78%
0
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
35.8
21.3
8
50%
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.6
33.8
32.3
13
42%
15
3
0
1
1
2
3
12
3-6
50%
5-13
5-12
38%
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.3
18.1
28.4
8
50%
5
0
1
1
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
18.3
23.3
3
150%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
44%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
16.7
18.1
0
0%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.1
16.0
13.9
8
52%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.9
14.1
13.1
6
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.2
4.8
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
3.0
0
0-1
40%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.8
2.2
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
38.6
30.4
24
56%
8
7
0
1
0
0
3
5
8-10
80%
8-14
4-8
57%
48%
0-3
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.8
38.3
34.2
21
49%
11
1
5
1
1
5
4
7
7-8
88%
7-16
4-8
44%
43%
0-2
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.4
37.5
34.0
11
47%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-4
25%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
25.8
29.1
13
55%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
49%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.4
6.3
39.9
2
50%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
6-13
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
26.3
16.5
5
36%
7
1
1
0
1
0
5
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.9
26.3
4.1
6
36%
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
1-5
20%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.9
15.9
14.6
5
51%
4
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
14.3
12.6
6
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.6
10.8
13.0
5
43%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.8
4.8
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.