FinalWin Prob.pScore
1531%89
94
669%95
101
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
95.998100.3
DET logo DET
102.09996.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET94
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLHunter STEAL (2 STL)94
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)94
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)94
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)94
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 293
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)93
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 293
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)93
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)93
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)92
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot91
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 1:04ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)91
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 1:04ORLFrancis Layup (27 PTS)90
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 1:07ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 1:09DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot88
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 1:31ORLCato Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Francis 8 AST)88
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 1:41DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)86
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 1:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 2:19DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)86
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 2:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)86
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 2:33ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot86
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 2:55DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 2:55DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)86
6.2%
91
93.8%
Q4 - 3:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q4 - 3:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
8.3%
90
91.7%
Q4 - 3:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
12.2%
90
87.8%
Q4 - 3:25DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot86
10.3%
90
89.7%
Q4 - 3:38ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
9.6%
90
90.4%
Q4 - 3:38ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
9.0%
90
91.0%
Q4 - 3:50ORLMagic Rebound84
6.8%
90
93.2%
Q4 - 3:51DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot84
6.1%
90
93.9%
Q4 - 4:14ORLFrancis Driving Layup (25 PTS)84
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 4:26DETWallace Foul Turnover (P3.T15)82
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 4:45ORLTurkoglu Dunk (5 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)82
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 4:52DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)80
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 5:09ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 5:28DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 5:49ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 6:04DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)76
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 6:36ORLTurkoglu Dunk (3 PTS)76
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 6:39DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)74
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 7:00ORLCato Dunk (4 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)74
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 7:03ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 7:05ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot72
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:17DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 7:17DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 272
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 7:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)72
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 7:41ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot72
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 8:01DETMcDyess 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)72
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 8:22ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)72
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 8:39ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 8:40DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 8:52ORLHam STEAL (1 STL)70
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 8:57DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)70
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 9:22ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)70
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q4 - 9:35DETHamilton Layup (22 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)68
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 9:37DETPISTONS Rebound68
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 9:38DETMISS McDyess 10' Jump Shot68
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 10:03ORLFrancis 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 10:15DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)66
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 10:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 10:22ORLMISS Nelson 10' Running Jump Shot66
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 10:43DETHunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)66
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 11:12ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)66
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q4 - 11:19ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q4 - 11:21DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot64
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 11:38DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q4 - 11:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot64
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL64
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound64
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 41' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0ORLBillups STEAL (2 STL)64
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)64
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0DETMISS Hunter Layup64
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLHunter STEAL (1 STL)64
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)64
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)64
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot64
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 1:05ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 1:05ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 1:27DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)62
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 1:27DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)62
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q3 - 1:29DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q3 - 1:30DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot62
11.1%
69
88.9%
Q3 - 1:45DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q3 - 1:47ORLMISS Francis 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
10.4%
69
89.6%
Q3 - 2:12DETHunter Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)62
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q3 - 2:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
10.1%
69
89.9%
Q3 - 2:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 2:32ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)60
8.7%
69
91.3%
Q3 - 2:32ORLMagic Rebound59
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 2:33DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot59
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 2:57ORLFrancis Dunk (19 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)59
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 2:59ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 3:02DETMISS Hunter 16' Jump Shot57
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 3:04DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 3:06DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot57
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 3:11DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 3:14ORLWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)57
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 3:15ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 3:17ORLWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)57
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 3:35DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 157
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 3:35DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)57
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 4:00ORLHill 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 4:14DETHunter Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)55
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 4:37ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 4:59DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)53
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 4:59DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)53
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 5:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)53
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 5:04ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 5:25DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)53
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 5:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)53
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 5:46ORLMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot53
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 5:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
13.2%
60
86.8%
Q3 - 6:00DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot53
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q3 - 6:24ORLFrancis Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)53
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q3 - 6:29DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 6:45ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
8.7%
60
91.3%
Q3 - 6:52ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)49
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q3 - 6:54DETMISS Wallace 13' Hook Shot49
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 7:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 7:08ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot49
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 7:28DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 7:28DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q3 - 7:44ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 7:44ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 7:45DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)47
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q3 - 7:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 7:46DETMISS Billups Layup47
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q3 - 8:13ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q3 - 8:33ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)45
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 8:35DETMISS Billups Layup45
5.9%
58
94.1%
Q3 - 8:57ORLFrancis 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q3 - 9:03ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 9:04DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 9:15ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 9:15ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q3 - 9:20DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 9:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
3.1%
58
96.9%
Q3 - 9:27ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot41
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 9:28ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 9:31ORLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)41
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 9:48DETBillups Layup (11 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)41
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 9:52ORLHamilton STEAL (2 STL)41
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 10:14DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q3 - 10:14DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 10:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q3 - 10:25ORLMISS Francis 9' Running Jump Shot41
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q3 - 10:44DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)41
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q3 - 10:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q3 - 10:51ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot41
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q3 - 11:12ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q3 - 11:14DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot41
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q3 - 11:30DETPISTONS Rebound41
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q3 - 11:32ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot41
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q3 - 11:47DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)41
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q3 - 11:47DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)41
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET41
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
10.8%
49
89.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)39
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hunter 4 AST)39
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Running Jump Shot39
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETPrince Dunk (11 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)39
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)39
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)39
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot39
16.9%
44
83.1%
Q2 - 1:06DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
18.0%
44
82.0%
Q2 - 1:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot39
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 1:28ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 1:31DETMISS Prince 12' Hook Shot39
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 1:41ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 1:41ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 1:59DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
18.0%
42
82.0%
Q2 - 2:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
20.6%
40
79.4%
Q2 - 2:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot37
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 2:15ORLMagic Rebound37
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot37
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 2:36DETWallace 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)37
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 2:55ORLHill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)37
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 2:55ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 2:56ORLPrince BLOCK (3 BLK)37
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 3:15DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)37
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 3:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 3:30ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot37
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q2 - 3:53DETWallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)37
32.3%
36
67.7%
Q2 - 4:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
34.1%
34
65.9%
Q2 - 4:05ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot37
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q2 - 4:22DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)37
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 4:39ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q2 - 4:39ORLHill 18' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)36
36.8%
32
63.2%
Q2 - 4:50ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
34.1%
32
65.9%
Q2 - 4:51DETMISS McDyess Layup34
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q2 - 4:55ORLMcDyess STEAL (2 STL)34
31.6%
32
68.4%
Q2 - 5:15DETHamilton 14' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 5:48ORLMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)34
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 5:54DETPrince Layup (7 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)34
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 6:16ORLGarrity 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)34
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 6:27DETMcDyess 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)31
36.2%
28
63.8%
Q2 - 6:48ORLBattie 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q2 - 7:09ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
35.6%
26
64.4%
Q2 - 7:11DETMISS Goldwire 18' Jump Shot29
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 7:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 7:26ORLMISS Garrity 3PT Jump Shot29
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q2 - 7:28ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q2 - 7:29ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)29
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q2 - 7:38ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q2 - 7:40DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 7:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 7:55ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot29
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q2 - 8:02ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35.4%
26
64.6%
Q2 - 8:04DETMISS Hunter 21' Jump Shot29
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q2 - 8:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 8:20ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q2 - 8:36DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
35.4%
26
64.6%
Q2 - 8:59DETGoldwire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 9:01ORLMISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot29
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 9:18DETMcDyess 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)29
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 9:24DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 9:27ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot29
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 9:49DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)29
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q2 - 9:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 9:55DETMISS Wallace Layup29
38.9%
24
61.1%
Q2 - 10:16ORLNelson Layup (13 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)29
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q2 - 10:21DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
34.9%
24
65.1%
Q2 - 10:41ORLHoward Dunk (7 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)27
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q2 - 10:47ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q2 - 10:49DETMISS Hunter Layup25
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q2 - 10:52DETGoldwire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q2 - 10:55ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)25
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q2 - 11:14DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)25
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q2 - 11:32ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q2 - 11:32ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 224
31.6%
22
68.4%
Q2 - 11:43ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q2 - 11:45DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot24
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET24
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot24
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETHamilton Dunk (7 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)24
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLWallace STEAL (2 STL)24
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
35.6%
20
64.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (11 PTS)24
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 1:11DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)22
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 1:33ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
33.9%
18
66.1%
Q1 - 1:49DETWallace 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)19
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 2:07ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)19
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 2:24DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 2:24DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 2:44ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)17
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 3:02DETWallace 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 3:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 3:06DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot15
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 3:27ORLFrancis Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 3:45DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 3:45DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
29.8%
11
70.2%
Q1 - 3:45DETPISTONS Rebound13
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 3:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot13
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 4:03DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)13
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 4:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 4:16ORLHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)13
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 4:52DETWallace 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)13
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 5:12ORLFrancis Reverse Layup (2 PTS)13
39.5%
5
60.5%
Q1 - 5:19ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)11
37.7%
5
62.3%
Q1 - 5:22DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot11
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 5:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 5:24DETMISS Wallace Layup11
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 5:43DETPISTONS Rebound11
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 5:44ORLPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)11
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 5:53ORLMagic Rebound11
37.8%
5
62.2%
Q1 - 5:54DETMISS Wallace 11' Hook Shot11
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 6:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 6:12ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot11
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 6:15ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)11
36.9%
5
63.1%
Q1 - 6:18ORLPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)11
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 6:36ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
36.9%
5
63.1%
Q1 - 6:37DETMISS Hamilton Layup11
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 6:42ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)11
35.0%
5
65.0%
Q1 - 6:55ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
36.9%
5
63.1%
Q1 - 6:57DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot11
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 7:10ORLHoward Layup (5 PTS)11
34.0%
5
66.0%
Q1 - 7:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
32.5%
5
67.5%
Q1 - 7:14ORLMISS Turkoglu Tip Shot9
31.2%
5
68.8%
Q1 - 7:15ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
32.5%
5
67.5%
Q1 - 7:18ORLMISS Howard Dunk9
31.2%
5
68.8%
Q1 - 7:24DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)9
32.5%
5
67.5%
Q1 - 7:32DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
30.7%
5
69.3%
Q1 - 7:34ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot9
31.3%
5
68.7%
Q1 - 7:46DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
32.5%
5
67.5%
Q1 - 7:57ORLWallace STEAL (1 STL)9
30.7%
5
69.3%
Q1 - 7:58ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
32.6%
5
67.4%
Q1 - 8:01DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
31.8%
5
68.2%
Q1 - 8:18ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)9
30.5%
5
69.5%
Q1 - 8:21ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 8:23DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot7
28.6%
5
71.4%
Q1 - 8:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 8:28DETMISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot7
28.6%
5
71.4%
Q1 - 8:44ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 8:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 26
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 8:50ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
27.6%
5
72.4%
Q1 - 8:51ORLMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot6
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 9:02ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
27.5%
5
72.5%
Q1 - 9:03DETMISS Billups Layup6
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 9:21ORLCato Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)6
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 9:22ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
24.6%
5
75.4%
Q1 - 9:25ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot4
23.4%
5
76.6%
Q1 - 9:39DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
24.6%
5
75.4%
Q1 - 9:39DETHamilton Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 9:55ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:07DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:19ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:21ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot2
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:46DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:52ORLMISS Francis Layup2
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:59DETBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 11:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 11:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:29ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:31DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot0
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:45DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 11:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Cato: Tip to Francis0
25.6%
0
74.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.95 47.5%
DET
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
24
67%
DET
12
22
55%
Midrange
ORL
16
50
32%
DET
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
DET
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
ORL
24
27
89%
DET
24
27
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis3157%15.5 / 27
G. Hill1747%8.5 / 18
J. Nelson1753%8.5 / 16
D. Howard950%4.5 / 9
H. Turkoglu722%3.5 / 16
K. Cato6100%3.0 / 3
P. Garrity550%2.5 / 5
T. Battie233%1.0 / 3
D. Stevenson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2657%13.0 / 23
C. Billups1959%9.5 / 16
T. Prince1680%8.0 / 10
R. Wallace1650%8.0 / 16
A. McDyess1365%6.5 / 10
B. Wallace638%3.0 / 8
L. Hunter542%2.5 / 6
A. Goldwire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
84
+15
-14
99
DET
85
+8
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.95 47.5%
DET
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
103.0
ORL 95.9 +6.1
DET 102.0
Pace
97.7
89.5
ORL 100.3 +3.5
DET 96.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.5
ORL 14.4 +0.5
DET 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
47.2%
ORL 41.7%
DET 51.3% +9.6%
TO %
16.0%
14.4%
ORL 12.7% +2.0%
DET 14.7%
ORB %
30.0%
31.3%
ORL 28.9% +10.0%
DET 18.9%
FTrt
35.0
33.5
ORL 32.1
DET 36.0 +3.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
62.7%
ORL 44.1%
DET 75.0% +30.9%
STL %
7.9%
7.8%
ORL 8.2%
DET 11.1% +2.9%
BLK %
8.0%
9.4%
ORL 9.4%
DET 12.2% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
49.3%
ORL 47.5%
DET 53.7% +6.2%
Rim FG%
57.1%
55.5%
ORL 66.7% +12.2%
DET 54.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.7%
ORL 32.0%
DET 45.2% +13.2%
3P %
34.9%
34.5%
ORL 20.0%
DET 45.5% +25.5%
FT %
75.9%
73.9%
ORL 88.9%
DET 88.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
35.1%
ORL 28.6%
DET 29.3% +0.8%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
48.5%
ORL 59.5%
DET 56.0% +3.5%
3P Att. %
13.7%
16.4%
ORL 11.9%
DET 14.7% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points94101
Rebounds4339
Assists1527
Steals811
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)32 (3)
Field Goals34-8436-75
At-the-Rim FG16-2412-22
Midrange FG16-5019-42
2-Point FG32-7431-64
3-Point FG2-105-11
Free Throws24-2724-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
43.2
31
57%
9
8
0
1
6
2
4
5
11-13
85%
10-19
53%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
36.4
9
50%
5
1
1
3
0
4
1
4
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'10" 220 · 26
33.4
7
22%
6
1
1
0
1
2
3
3
3-3
100%
2-11
18%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 32
33.1
17
47%
2
2
3
0
2
3
2
0
3-3
100%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 30
32.5
6
100%
14
0
2
2
3
2
3
11
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
28.4
17
53%
3
2
0
0
2
5
0
3
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
15.1
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 28
11.8
5
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 35
C · 7'1" 260 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
48%
43
15
8
6
14
0
13
30
24-27
89%
32-74
43%
2-10
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.