FinalWin Prob.pScore
527%93
95
273%101
98
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
104.49196.7
SAS logo SAS
108.99085.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL95
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (36 PTS)95
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALMavericks Rebound93
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)93
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)93
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot93
10.2%
95
89.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)93
8.8%
95
91.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASParker 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)90
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 1:07DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (34 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)90
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 1:20SASBowen 1' Layup (9 PTS)88
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 1:38DALArmstrong 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)88
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q4 - 1:45SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)86
5.5%
91
94.5%
Q4 - 1:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 1:46SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot86
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q4 - 2:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)86
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 2:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)85
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 2:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 2:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 2:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 2:41DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot84
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 2:53DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
7.2%
89
92.8%
Q4 - 2:55SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)84
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q4 - 2:55SASMISS Nesterovic 1' Tip Shot84
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q4 - 2:57SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup84
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q4 - 3:19DALFinley 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)84
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 3:24DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 3:26SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot82
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 3:43DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)82
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 3:59SASSPURS Turnover: Backcourt (T#16)79
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 4:00SASSPURS Rebound79
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 4:00SASMISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot79
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 4:17DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)79
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 4:17DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)78
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 4:19SASNesterovic Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)77
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 4:28DALDuncan STEAL (1 STL)77
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 4:43SASNesterovic 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)77
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 4:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 4:54DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot77
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 4:57DALMavericks Rebound77
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 4:58DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 5:06SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)77
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 5:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 5:32DALGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)77
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 5:38SASGinobili 3' Hook Shot (19 PTS)77
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 5:54DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 5:54DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 5:57SASUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)75
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 6:05SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 6:07DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot75
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 6:13DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Udrih 1' Layup75
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 6:25DALStackhouse 1' Layup (15 PTS)75
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 6:33DALMavericks Rebound73
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 6:34DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot73
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 6:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)73
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 6:47SASMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot73
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 7:06SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 7:09DALNesterovic BLOCK (4 BLK)73
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 7:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:23SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot73
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 7:37DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot73
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 7:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:43DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Tip Shot73
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 7:45DALMISS Terry 7' Jump Shot73
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 7:56SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:56SASNesterovic 2' Layup (6 PTS)73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Udrih 1' Finger Roll73
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 8:16DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)73
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 8:30SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)71
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 8:50DALTerry 3' Layup (10 PTS)71
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 9:01SASBrown 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)69
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 9:14DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)69
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 9:39SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)69
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q4 - 9:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 9:54DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 269
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 9:54DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q4 - 9:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 10:02SASMISS Brown 2' Layup68
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q4 - 10:23DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS)68
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 10:29DALMavericks Rebound66
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 10:29DALNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)66
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 10:47SASNesterovic 6' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS)66
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 11:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q4 - 11:07DALMISS Henderson 3' Layup66
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q4 - 11:29SASBrown 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)66
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q4 - 11:42SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot66
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL66
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound66
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 35' 3PT Jump Shot66
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALMISS Finley 5' Jump Shot66
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASParker Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T11)66
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALHenderson 1' Layup (3 PTS)66
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)64
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 1:09SASRose 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)64
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 1:27DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)64
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q3 - 1:46SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)61
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 1:58SASSPURS Rebound61
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 1:59SASMISS Barry 10' Jump Shot61
11.2%
67
88.8%
Q3 - 2:22DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)61
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q3 - 2:47SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 2:47SASNesterovic Tip Shot (2 PTS)59
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 2:48SASMISS Parker 2' Layup59
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 3:02DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)59
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 3:02DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)58
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 3:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)57
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 3:03DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot57
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 3:25SASParker 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)57
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 3:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)57
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 3:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)56
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 3:51DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 3:53SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Bank Shot55
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 4:02SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q3 - 4:04DALMISS Henderson 7' Jump Shot55
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 4:14DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 4:16SASMISS Horry 13' Jump Shot55
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q3 - 4:40DALStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)55
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q3 - 4:44DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 4:46SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q3 - 5:15DALFinley 4' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)55
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 5:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 5:35DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 5:47SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)53
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 6:02DALTerry Layup (8 PTS)53
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 6:14SASDuncan 4' Layup (19 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)51
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q3 - 6:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
8.4%
59
91.6%
Q3 - 6:40DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Reverse Layup51
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q3 - 6:57SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)51
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q3 - 6:57SASParker 2' Layup (7 PTS)51
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 7:01SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 7:04DALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)51
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 7:18DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 7:20DALMISS Booth 17' Jump Shot51
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 7:30DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 7:33SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot51
14.4%
56
85.6%
Q3 - 7:55DALTerry 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 8:12DALMavericks Rebound49
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 8:12SASMISS Parker 1' Layup49
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 8:16SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 8:18DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot49
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q3 - 8:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 8:22DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot49
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q3 - 8:28SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)49
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 8:45DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 8:45DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 9:05SASParker 2' Layup (5 PTS)47
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 9:19DALGinobili STEAL (2 STL)47
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q3 - 9:21DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q3 - 9:23SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q3 - 9:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q3 - 9:34DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot47
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q3 - 9:54DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q3 - 9:55SASMISS Duncan 2' Alley Oop Layup47
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q3 - 10:02SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
10.2%
54
89.8%
Q3 - 10:03DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot47
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q3 - 10:26SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)47
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 10:39SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q3 - 10:41SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot47
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q3 - 11:07DALTerry 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q3 - 11:20SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)45
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q3 - 11:44DALFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)45
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki 42' 3PT Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)45
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALNowitzki 2' Layup (12 PTS)42
15.3%
46
84.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)40
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALMISS Booth 15' Jump Shot40
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)40
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 1:08DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)40
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 1:28DALBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q2 - 1:30SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup40
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 1:44DALBradley 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)40
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 2:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 2:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 2:25SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 2:27DALMISS Booth 13' Jump Shot38
16.0%
42
84.0%
Q2 - 2:40SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)38
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 3:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 3:03DALNowitzki 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)38
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 3:05DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Jump Bank Shot36
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 3:30SASBrown 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)36
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 3:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 3:59DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
13.9%
40
86.1%
Q2 - 4:09SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)33
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 4:25DALNowitzki 6' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)33
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 4:38SASNesterovic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 4:54SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 4:56DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot31
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 5:09SASUdrih 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 5:22SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 5:23DALMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 231
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 5:23DALHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 5:42SASRose 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)30
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 6:01DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
12.7%
36
87.3%
Q2 - 6:21SASDuncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)30
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
15.4%
34
84.6%
Q2 - 6:44DALMISS Terry 14' Jump Shot30
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q2 - 7:06SASUdrih 1' Layup (2 PTS)30
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 7:12SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 7:14DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot30
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q2 - 7:28SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q2 - 7:28SASBowen 1' Layup (7 PTS)30
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q2 - 7:30SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot30
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 7:44DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)30
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 8:00SASDuncan 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)28
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q2 - 8:27DALStackhouse 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)28
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q2 - 8:49SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q2 - 8:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 8:56DALMISS Stackhouse 1' Layup26
19.2%
28
80.8%
Q2 - 9:00SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q2 - 9:14SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 9:17DALUdrih BLOCK (1 BLK)26
19.0%
28
81.0%
Q2 - 9:27SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
20.3%
28
79.7%
Q2 - 9:48DALBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 9:48DALBooth 1' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)26
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 9:50DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot24
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q2 - 10:16SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)24
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q2 - 10:37DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)24
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 10:46SASGinobili 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)21
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q2 - 11:06SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q2 - 11:08DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q2 - 11:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q2 - 11:18SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q2 - 11:36DALStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q2 - 11:49SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
15.7%
24
84.3%
Q2 - 11:49SASParker Layup (2 PTS)19
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q2 - 11:51DALParker STEAL (1 STL)19
18.5%
21
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
18.5%
21
81.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup19
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0DALStackhouse 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)19
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot17
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
15.8%
21
84.2%
Q1 - 1:17SASHorry 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)17
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 1:32DALBooth 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q1 - 1:48DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 1:50SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot15
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 2:07SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 2:09DALMISS Bradley 5' Jump Shot15
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 2:24SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
17.0%
19
83.0%
Q1 - 2:24SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 2:42SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 2:44DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot15
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 3:08SASBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)15
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 3:20SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 3:23DALMISS Stackhouse 14' Turnaround Jump Shot15
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q1 - 3:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 3:37SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 3:59SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 4:01DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot15
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 4:12SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)15
19.6%
17
80.4%
Q1 - 4:21SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 4:23DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 4:37SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)15
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 4:57DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 5:02DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 5:05SASMISS Horry 1' Reverse Layup13
21.5%
13
78.5%
Q1 - 5:20DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
20.5%
13
79.5%
Q1 - 5:33SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)13
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 5:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 5:39SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot13
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 5:58DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 6:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 6:18SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot11
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:33SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 6:35DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot11
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 7:02SASGinobili 1' Layup (4 PTS)11
22.8%
10
77.2%
Q1 - 7:07DALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)11
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 7:23DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
25.6%
8
74.4%
Q1 - 7:24SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 211
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 7:24SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 7:35DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot11
26.0%
7
74.0%
Q1 - 7:47DALMavericks Rebound11
27.1%
7
72.9%
Q1 - 7:48SASMISS Parker Layup11
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 8:04DALFinley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
25.2%
7
74.8%
Q1 - 8:08DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 8:10SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot9
23.5%
7
76.5%
Q1 - 8:32DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)9
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:42DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
21.3%
7
78.7%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 27
21.1%
7
78.9%
Q1 - 8:43SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
20.4%
7
79.6%
Q1 - 8:55SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 8:57DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 9:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 9:13SASGinobili 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 9:25SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 9:27DALNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)7
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 9:30DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 9:32DALMISS Terry 9' Jump Shot7
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 9:45SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 9:58DALFinley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)7
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:16SASBowen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)5
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 10:34DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)5
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 10:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 10:42SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot2
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 10:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 10:59SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot2
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 11:19DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 11:23DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 11:25SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Shot0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 11:32SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:33DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot0
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 11:46SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Nowitzki: Tip to Nesterovic0
19.8%
0
80.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.97 48.5%
SAS
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
11
24
46%
SAS
18
32
56%
Midrange
DAL
20
45
44%
SAS
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
SAS
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
DAL
15
17
88%
SAS
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3655%18.0 / 33
J. Stackhouse1750%8.5 / 17
M. Finley1550%7.5 / 15
J. Terry1350%6.5 / 13
C. Booth440%2.0 / 5
A. Henderson330%1.5 / 5
D. Harris350%1.5 / 3
S. Bradley250%1.0 / 2
D. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2563%12.5 / 20
M. Ginobili2273%11.0 / 15
T. Parker1243%6.0 / 14
B. Bowen956%4.5 / 8
D. Brown964%4.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic850%4.0 / 8
R. Horry542%2.5 / 6
B. Udrih450%2.0 / 4
M. Rose4100%2.0 / 2
B. Barry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
81
+17
-10
98
SAS
76
+14
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.97 48.5%
SAS
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
104.9
DAL 104.4
SAS 108.9 +4.5
Pace
95.3
91.2
DAL 96.7 +11.7
SAS 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.2
DAL 14.9 +2.1
SAS 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
49.2%
DAL 46.5%
SAS 53.3% +6.8%
TO %
13.4%
14.2%
DAL 10.5% +6.2%
SAS 16.7%
ORB %
28.7%
29.2%
DAL 24.4%
SAS 32.4% +8.0%
FTrt
34.6
32.9
DAL 19.8
SAS 26.3 +6.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.6%
60.6%
DAL 32.4%
SAS 52.6% +20.2%
STL %
9.0%
8.2%
DAL 7.7% +3.3%
SAS 4.4%
BLK %
8.6%
9.9%
DAL 4.8%
SAS 10.1% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
50.6%
DAL 48.5%
SAS 53.3% +4.8%
Rim FG%
57.5%
59.3%
DAL 45.8%
SAS 56.3% +10.5%
Mid FG%
41.4%
37.2%
DAL 44.4%
SAS 48.4% +4.0%
3P %
36.4%
36.3%
DAL 35.3%
SAS 38.5% +3.2%
FT %
78.9%
72.4%
DAL 88.2% +3.2%
SAS 85.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
37.6%
DAL 27.9%
SAS 42.1% +14.2%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
40.8%
DAL 52.3%
SAS 40.8% +11.5%
3P Att. %
19.0%
21.6%
DAL 19.8% +2.7%
SAS 17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points9598
Rebounds3646
Assists1220
Steals74
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)14 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (6)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)34 (0)
Field Goals37-8638-76
At-the-Rim FG11-2418-32
Midrange FG20-4515-31
2-Point FG31-6933-63
3-Point FG6-175-13
Free Throws15-1717-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 27
47.1
36
55%
14
2
2
1
4
4
6
8
9-9
100%
9-23
39%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 218 · 30
45.8
17
50%
3
2
0
0
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 225 · 32
44.9
15
50%
5
3
0
0
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 27
37.5
13
50%
2
2
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 240 · 32
28.7
3
30%
6
1
2
1
1
0
3
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 29
14.9
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 275 · 33
8.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 22
7.8
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
5.1
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
36
12
7
3
10
0
11
25
15-17
88%
31-69
45%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.