FinalWin Prob.pScore
1949%103
105
2651%104
103
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
110.595100.2
MIL logo MIL
105.19893.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL105
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound105
95.4%
103
4.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMISS Redd 43' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.0%
103
1.0%
Q4 - 0:00.0WASHughes Layup (23 PTS)105
95.4%
103
4.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Mason 7 AST)103
64.8%
103
35.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0WASDixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)103
89.6%
100
10.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0WASDixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)102
88.3%
100
11.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)101
80.8%
100
19.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILWilliams Layup (14 PTS)101
91.0%
99
9.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
94.7%
97
5.3%
Q4 - 0:27.0WASMISS Arenas Layup101
95.8%
97
4.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
95.1%
97
4.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILMISS Pachulia Layup101
93.9%
97
6.1%
Q4 - 1:12WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)101
87.5%
97
12.5%
Q4 - 1:12WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)100
86.4%
97
13.6%
Q4 - 1:23MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)99
80.2%
97
19.8%
Q4 - 1:23MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)99
82.4%
96
17.6%
Q4 - 1:23MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)99
86.5%
95
13.5%
Q4 - 1:24MILMISS Fizer Layup99
90.8%
95
9.2%
Q4 - 1:39WASDixon 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)99
85.0%
95
15.0%
Q4 - 1:55WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
77.7%
95
22.3%
Q4 - 1:57MILMISS Williams Layup97
74.8%
95
25.2%
Q4 - 2:11WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)97
65.6%
95
34.4%
Q4 - 2:11WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)96
63.5%
95
36.5%
Q4 - 2:11MILFizer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)95
59.2%
95
40.8%
Q4 - 2:43WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)95
42.4%
95
57.6%
Q4 - 2:43WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
40.3%
95
59.7%
Q4 - 2:45MILFizer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)93
37.0%
95
63.0%
Q4 - 3:09WASHughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)93
24.0%
95
76.0%
Q4 - 3:12WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
13.8%
95
86.2%
Q4 - 3:14WASMISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
9.4%
95
90.6%
Q4 - 3:27MILJames Backcourt Turnover (P4.T17)90
13.9%
95
86.1%
Q4 - 3:39WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
11.7%
95
88.3%
Q4 - 3:39WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 289
11.1%
95
88.9%
Q4 - 3:42WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
11.8%
95
88.2%
Q4 - 3:43MILMISS James Layup89
10.6%
95
89.4%
Q4 - 4:02WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)89
8.0%
95
92.0%
Q4 - 4:02WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)88
7.2%
95
92.8%
Q4 - 4:15WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 4:17MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 4:38MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 4:40WASMISS Haywood 16' Jump Shot87
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 4:59MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 5:11WASHaywood Foul Turnover (P2.T14)87
10.2%
93
89.8%
Q4 - 5:29MILFizer 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)87
13.7%
93
86.3%
Q4 - 5:49WASRedd STEAL (2 STL)87
17.9%
91
82.1%
Q4 - 6:00MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)87
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q4 - 6:06MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
20.0%
91
80.0%
Q4 - 6:08WASMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot87
21.7%
91
78.3%
Q4 - 6:27MILPachulia Layup (9 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)87
26.0%
91
74.0%
Q4 - 6:50WASArenas Driving Dunk (17 PTS)87
31.2%
89
68.8%
Q4 - 7:03MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
28.2%
89
71.8%
Q4 - 7:03MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
29.2%
88
70.8%
Q4 - 7:18WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
33.2%
87
66.8%
Q4 - 7:18WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
32.1%
87
67.9%
Q4 - 7:27MILVan Horn 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason 6 AST)83
28.1%
87
71.9%
Q4 - 7:39MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
33.1%
85
66.9%
Q4 - 7:41MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot83
38.1%
85
61.9%
Q4 - 8:03MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
34.6%
85
65.4%
Q4 - 8:05WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
36.4%
85
63.6%
Q4 - 8:13WASWizards Rebound83
40.7%
85
59.3%
Q4 - 8:14WASMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot83
36.4%
85
63.6%
Q4 - 8:30MILFizer 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 5 AST)83
40.7%
85
59.3%
Q4 - 8:50WASDixon Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)83
46.9%
83
53.1%
Q4 - 8:50WASDixon 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)82
40.6%
83
59.4%
Q4 - 9:07MILVan Horn 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)80
35.8%
83
64.2%
Q4 - 9:29WASJamison Layup (20 PTS) (Dixon 5 AST)80
41.1%
81
58.9%
Q4 - 9:51MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)78
35.7%
81
64.3%
Q4 - 9:51MILMISS Van Horn Free Throw 1 of 278
36.4%
80
63.6%
Q4 - 10:09WASDixon 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)78
36.0%
80
64.0%
Q4 - 10:15WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
31.3%
80
68.7%
Q4 - 10:18MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot76
29.7%
80
70.3%
Q4 - 10:41MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
26.2%
80
73.8%
Q4 - 10:43WASMISS Hughes 22' Jump Shot76
27.7%
80
72.3%
Q4 - 10:49MILJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)76
31.3%
80
68.7%
Q4 - 11:09MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
27.1%
80
72.9%
Q4 - 11:10WASMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 276
27.7%
80
72.3%
Q4 - 11:10WASMISS Ruffin Free Throw 1 of 276
29.6%
80
70.4%
Q4 - 11:14WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
31.8%
80
68.2%
Q4 - 11:16MILMISS Van Horn 3PT Jump Shot76
30.3%
80
69.7%
Q4 - 11:34WASDixon 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ruffin 2 AST)76
27.0%
80
73.0%
Q4 - 11:51MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
23.1%
80
76.9%
Q4 - 11:51MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 274
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL74
22.9%
79
77.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound74
22.9%
79
77.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 33' 3PT Jump Shot74
25.9%
79
74.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASProfit 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)74
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
20.7%
79
79.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
21.3%
78
78.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
24.3%
77
75.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
25.5%
77
74.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
28.2%
77
71.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
28.8%
76
71.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
32.6%
75
67.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
31.7%
75
68.3%
Q3 - 1:00WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
28.2%
75
71.8%
Q3 - 1:06MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
25.4%
75
74.6%
Q3 - 1:06MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot70
28.2%
75
71.8%
Q3 - 1:07MILMISS Redd Layup70
28.2%
75
71.8%
Q3 - 1:21MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
25.4%
75
74.6%
Q3 - 1:23WASMISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
26.6%
75
73.4%
Q3 - 1:31MILBUCKS Rebound70
29.4%
75
70.6%
Q3 - 1:31MILJump Ball Smith vs. Thomas: Tip to Arenas70
29.4%
75
70.6%
Q3 - 1:32MILMISS Van Horn 17' Jump Shot70
28.1%
75
71.9%
Q3 - 1:45WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
25.3%
75
74.7%
Q3 - 1:45WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
24.6%
75
75.4%
Q3 - 1:50WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
21.9%
75
78.1%
Q3 - 1:52MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot68
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q3 - 2:37WASJeffries Layup (9 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)68
19.4%
75
80.6%
Q3 - 2:43WASWizards Rebound66
16.8%
75
83.2%
Q3 - 2:43WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 266
14.5%
75
85.5%
Q3 - 2:43WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 266
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q3 - 3:13WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
17.8%
75
82.2%
Q3 - 3:14WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot66
15.9%
75
84.1%
Q3 - 3:38WASMISS Arenas Layup66
21.3%
73
78.7%
Q3 - 3:47MILGadzuric Layup (9 PTS)66
23.6%
73
76.4%
Q3 - 4:03WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
27.3%
71
72.7%
Q3 - 4:03WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
26.6%
71
73.4%
Q3 - 4:23MILWilliams Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)64
24.4%
71
75.6%
Q3 - 4:36WASArenas Foul Turnover (P4.T12)64
27.3%
69
72.7%
Q3 - 4:56MILRedd Layup (15 PTS)64
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 5:03MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
35.4%
67
64.6%
Q3 - 5:05WASMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot64
36.6%
67
63.4%
Q3 - 5:19MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
39.5%
67
60.5%
Q3 - 5:19MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
41.2%
66
58.8%
Q3 - 5:19MILBUCKS Rebound64
43.3%
65
56.7%
Q3 - 5:19MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot64
46.3%
65
53.7%
Q3 - 5:37MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
43.2%
65
56.8%
Q3 - 5:39WASMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot64
44.6%
65
55.4%
Q3 - 5:46MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 164
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 5:46MILGadzuric Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)64
47.7%
65
52.3%
Q3 - 6:05WASHaywood Dunk (9 PTS) (Hughes 8 AST)64
51.4%
63
48.6%
Q3 - 6:10MILWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)62
47.7%
63
52.3%
Q3 - 6:19MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
43.4%
63
56.6%
Q3 - 6:21MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
46.4%
63
53.6%
Q3 - 6:37MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
43.4%
63
56.6%
Q3 - 6:40WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
44.7%
63
55.3%
Q3 - 6:50WASWizards Rebound62
47.7%
63
52.3%
Q3 - 6:51WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 262
44.0%
63
56.0%
Q3 - 6:51WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
46.7%
63
53.3%
Q3 - 7:10MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)61
43.6%
63
56.4%
Q3 - 7:25MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
46.9%
61
53.1%
Q3 - 7:27WASMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot61
48.3%
61
51.7%
Q3 - 7:50MILMason 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)61
51.4%
61
48.6%
Q3 - 8:02WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)61
54.8%
59
45.2%
Q3 - 8:19MILSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)61
59.0%
59
41.0%
Q3 - 8:29WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
62.1%
57
37.9%
Q3 - 8:29WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 260
61.4%
57
38.6%
Q3 - 8:31WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
62.6%
57
37.4%
Q3 - 8:33MILMISS Williams Layup60
61.3%
57
38.7%
Q3 - 8:39MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
58.5%
57
41.5%
Q3 - 8:41WASMISS Hughes Layup60
59.7%
57
40.3%
Q3 - 8:54MILMason 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)60
62.6%
57
37.4%
Q3 - 9:05WASJamison 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)60
65.1%
55
34.9%
Q3 - 9:21MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
61.8%
55
38.2%
Q3 - 9:21MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
62.3%
54
37.7%
Q3 - 9:23MILRedd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
65.1%
53
34.9%
Q3 - 9:25MILMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot58
67.5%
53
32.5%
Q3 - 9:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
65.2%
53
34.8%
Q3 - 9:39WASMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot58
66.2%
53
33.8%
Q3 - 9:57MILWilliams 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
68.6%
53
31.4%
Q3 - 10:06MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
70.8%
51
29.2%
Q3 - 10:08WASMISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
71.8%
51
28.2%
Q3 - 10:34MILWilliams Layup (6 PTS)58
74.0%
51
26.0%
Q3 - 10:38MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
76.4%
49
23.6%
Q3 - 10:39WASGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)58
77.2%
49
22.8%
Q3 - 10:53MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q3 - 10:53MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
79.5%
48
20.5%
Q3 - 11:14MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
80.6%
47
19.4%
Q3 - 11:16WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 258
80.9%
47
19.1%
Q3 - 11:16WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
82.0%
47
18.0%
Q3 - 11:22WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
80.7%
47
19.3%
Q3 - 11:24MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot57
80.0%
47
20.0%
Q3 - 11:42WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
78.4%
47
21.6%
Q3 - 11:42WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 256
77.9%
47
22.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL56
78.5%
47
21.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASHughes Dunk (9 PTS)56
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASMISS Jeffries 3' Hook Shot54
70.9%
47
29.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
72.2%
47
27.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0WASMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
71.0%
47
29.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0WASProfit REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
72.3%
47
27.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot54
71.7%
47
28.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
70.4%
47
29.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
69.4%
47
30.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILSmith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)52
66.7%
47
33.3%
Q2 - 1:15MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 1:17WASMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot52
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q2 - 1:31WASWizards Rebound52
71.5%
45
28.5%
Q2 - 1:32MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot52
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q2 - 1:38MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 1:39MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot52
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q2 - 1:59WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 1:59WASJeffries Tip Shot (7 PTS)52
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 2:02WASMISS Jamison 6' Hook Shot50
64.2%
45
35.8%
Q2 - 2:12MILMason 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
66.0%
45
34.0%
Q2 - 2:35WASJamison 13' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)50
69.0%
43
31.0%
Q2 - 2:46MILMason Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)48
66.0%
43
34.0%
Q2 - 3:03WASArenas Dunk (12 PTS) (Hughes 7 AST)48
62.5%
43
37.5%
Q2 - 3:08MILPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)46
60.0%
43
40.0%
Q2 - 3:11MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
56.8%
43
43.2%
Q2 - 3:13MILMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
59.1%
43
40.9%
Q2 - 3:22MILBUCKS Rebound46
56.8%
43
43.2%
Q2 - 3:22WASMISS Arenas 29' 3PT Jump Shot46
57.8%
43
42.2%
Q2 - 3:46MILJames Layup (11 PTS)46
60.1%
43
39.9%
Q2 - 3:50WASPachulia STEAL (2 STL)46
62.6%
41
37.4%
Q2 - 4:05MILJames 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)46
64.9%
41
35.1%
Q2 - 4:09MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 4:11MILMISS Mason 8' Jump Shot46
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 4:13MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 4:15MILMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot46
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 4:36WASJames STEAL (1 STL)46
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 4:39MILJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)46
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 4:40WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 4:40WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
67.0%
39
33.0%
Q2 - 5:05MILFizer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)44
64.8%
39
35.2%
Q2 - 5:30WASHaywood 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)44
67.1%
37
32.9%
Q2 - 5:51MILPachulia 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)42
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 5:56MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
67.1%
35
32.9%
Q2 - 5:59WASMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot42
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 6:27MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
69.5%
35
30.5%
Q2 - 6:32MILBUCKS Rebound42
71.3%
33
28.7%
Q2 - 6:32MILMISS James Layup42
73.2%
33
26.8%
Q2 - 6:51WASJamison 5' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Dixon 4 AST)42
71.3%
33
28.7%
Q2 - 7:07MILJames 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
68.6%
33
31.4%
Q2 - 7:24WASDixon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ruffin 1 AST)40
70.8%
31
29.2%
Q2 - 7:39MILJames Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
68.7%
31
31.3%
Q2 - 7:48WASPachulia STEAL (1 STL)38
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 8:05MILPachulia Layup (4 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)38
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 8:29WASJamison 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dixon 3 AST)38
74.4%
27
25.6%
Q2 - 8:42MILVan Horn 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)36
72.6%
27
27.4%
Q2 - 9:02WASProfit Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Dixon 2 AST)36
73.8%
25
26.2%
Q2 - 9:21MILJames Reverse Layup (3 PTS)34
72.0%
25
28.0%
Q2 - 9:31MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
73.8%
23
26.2%
Q2 - 9:33WASMISS Profit 18' Jump Shot34
74.5%
23
25.5%
Q2 - 9:43WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
75.9%
23
24.1%
Q2 - 9:45MILMISS Van Horn 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
75.3%
23
24.7%
Q2 - 9:57WASDixon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)34
73.8%
23
26.2%
Q2 - 10:15MILPachulia Layup (2 PTS)34
75.5%
23
24.5%
Q2 - 10:23MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
77.1%
21
22.9%
Q2 - 10:25WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 234
77.3%
21
22.7%
Q2 - 10:25WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 234
78.3%
21
21.7%
Q2 - 10:49WASWizards Rebound34
79.0%
21
21.0%
Q2 - 10:50MILMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
78.4%
21
21.6%
Q2 - 11:02MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
76.5%
21
23.5%
Q2 - 11:03WASMISS Arenas 10' Jump Shot34
77.1%
21
22.9%
Q2 - 11:22MILPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)34
78.3%
21
21.7%
Q2 - 11:44WASProfit 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)34
76.6%
21
23.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS31
73.0%
21
27.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound31
73.0%
21
27.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Arenas 31' 3PT Jump Shot31
71.6%
21
28.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0WASProfit REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
72.1%
21
27.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot31
71.7%
21
28.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0MILBUCKS Rebound31
70.6%
21
29.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0WASMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)31
72.1%
21
27.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
70.6%
21
29.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0WASMISS Thomas 8' Jump Shot31
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q1 - 1:00MILMISS James Free Throw 2 of 231
72.0%
21
28.0%
Q1 - 1:00MILJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
70.6%
21
29.4%
Q1 - 1:02WASArenas Dunk (10 PTS) (Hughes 6 AST)31
72.5%
20
27.5%
Q1 - 1:06MILVan Horn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)29
70.1%
20
29.9%
Q1 - 1:15MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
68.6%
20
31.4%
Q1 - 1:17WASMISS Hughes 18' Jump Shot29
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q1 - 1:22WASWizards Rebound29
70.1%
20
29.9%
Q1 - 1:23MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot29
69.7%
20
30.3%
Q1 - 1:43WASHughes 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
68.6%
20
31.4%
Q1 - 1:56MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)27
66.0%
20
34.0%
Q1 - 1:56MILRedd Layup (8 PTS)27
68.1%
19
31.9%
Q1 - 2:14WASArenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
70.4%
17
29.6%
Q1 - 2:31MILRedd Layup (6 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)24
66.2%
17
33.8%
Q1 - 2:36MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
68.4%
15
31.6%
Q1 - 2:38WASMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot24
69.0%
15
31.0%
Q1 - 2:49WASWizards Rebound24
70.3%
15
29.7%
Q1 - 2:49MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot24
69.7%
15
30.3%
Q1 - 2:59MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
68.4%
15
31.6%
Q1 - 3:01WASMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
68.1%
15
31.9%
Q1 - 3:12WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
69.6%
15
30.4%
Q1 - 3:14MILMISS Gadzuric Dunk24
69.0%
15
31.0%
Q1 - 3:16WASMason STEAL (2 STL)24
67.4%
15
32.6%
Q1 - 3:21MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
69.6%
15
30.4%
Q1 - 3:49WASArenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hughes 5 AST)24
67.5%
15
32.5%
Q1 - 4:04MILWilliams 13' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)21
63.5%
15
36.5%
Q1 - 4:13WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
65.0%
13
35.0%
Q1 - 4:13WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 220
64.7%
13
35.3%
Q1 - 4:14MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
65.5%
13
34.5%
Q1 - 4:29WASHaywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)20
63.0%
13
37.0%
Q1 - 4:37WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
65.5%
13
34.5%
Q1 - 4:39MILMISS Smith Layup20
64.7%
13
35.3%
Q1 - 4:55WASGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)20
63.0%
13
37.0%
Q1 - 5:03WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
64.5%
13
35.5%
Q1 - 5:04MILMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot20
63.9%
13
36.1%
Q1 - 5:25WASJeffries 3' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)20
62.4%
13
37.6%
Q1 - 5:38MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
60.7%
13
39.3%
Q1 - 5:38MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 218
61.5%
12
38.5%
Q1 - 5:53WASJamison 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)18
60.5%
12
39.5%
Q1 - 5:59WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
56.6%
12
43.4%
Q1 - 6:01WASMISS Hughes 16' Jump Shot15
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 6:18MILMason Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
56.1%
12
43.9%
Q1 - 6:23WASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)15
58.0%
10
42.0%
Q1 - 6:25WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
60.0%
10
40.0%
Q1 - 6:27MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot15
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 6:43WASJamison 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)15
58.0%
10
42.0%
Q1 - 7:04MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)13
55.7%
10
44.3%
Q1 - 7:16MILJump Ball Smith vs. Haywood: Tip to Mason13
57.4%
8
42.6%
Q1 - 7:16WASMISS Haywood Layup13
58.0%
8
42.0%
Q1 - 7:40MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)13
59.5%
8
40.5%
Q1 - 8:02WASHaywood Dunk (2 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)13
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 8:06WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 8:08MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot11
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 8:13WASRedd STEAL (1 STL)11
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 8:22MILRedd Layup (4 PTS)11
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 8:25MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
61.3%
4
38.7%
Q1 - 8:28MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot11
62.6%
4
37.4%
Q1 - 8:44WASHughes 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jeffries 2 AST)11
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 9:00MILSmith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)9
59.6%
4
40.4%
Q1 - 9:17WASJamison Layup (4 PTS) (Jeffries 1 AST)9
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 9:19WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 9:21WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 9:39MILGadzuric 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)7
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 9:56WASJeffries 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)7
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 10:09MILRedd 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 10:23WASJamison Layup (2 PTS)4
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 10:28MILSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 10:40WASMason STEAL (1 STL)2
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 10:49WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 10:52MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot2
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 11:10WASArenas Layup (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)2
51.8%
0
48.2%
Q1 - 11:15MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 11:31MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:34WASMISS Jamison 2' Running Hook Shot0
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 11:50MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. Haywood: Tip to Smith0
48.1%
0
51.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.12 55.9%
MIL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
17
24
71%
MIL
21
31
68%
Midrange
WAS
12
30
40%
MIL
19
39
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIL
1
1.5
9
11%
17%
Free Throws
WAS
29
41
71%
MIL
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Hughes2355%11.5 / 21
A. Jamison2255%11.0 / 20
G. Arenas2043%10.0 / 23
J. Dixon1393%6.5 / 7
B. Haywood1169%5.5 / 8
J. Jeffries770%3.5 / 5
L. Profit788%3.5 / 4
E. Thomas0-0.0 / 3
M. Ruffin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2053%10.0 / 19
D. Mason1657%8.0 / 14
M. Williams1554%7.5 / 14
D. Gadzuric1161%5.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia1179%5.5 / 7
M. James1150%5.5 / 11
K. Van Horn956%4.5 / 8
M. Fizer660%3.0 / 5
J. Smith433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
81
+11
-14
92
MIL
79
+15
-19
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.12 55.9%
MIL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
103.5
WAS 110.5 +5.4
MIL 105.1
Pace
96.7
93.5
WAS 100.2 +7.1
MIL 93.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.4
WAS 14.4 +1.1
MIL 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
47.5%
WAS 52.8% +0.3%
MIL 52.5%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
WAS 13.5% +3.9%
MIL 17.4%
ORB %
31.1%
29.0%
WAS 20.6%
MIL 32.3% +11.7%
FTrt
36.4
33.9
WAS 56.9 +25.3
MIL 31.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.7%
58.0%
WAS 60.0%
MIL 63.4% +3.4%
STL %
9.0%
6.9%
WAS 14.7% +5.5%
MIL 9.2%
BLK %
6.5%
5.4%
WAS 5.7% +3.8%
MIL 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.6%
50.1%
WAS 55.9% +2.3%
MIL 53.6%
Rim FG%
58.2%
54.1%
WAS 70.8% +3.1%
MIL 67.7%
Mid FG%
36.5%
40.8%
WAS 40.0%
MIL 48.7% +8.7%
3P %
34.3%
35.1%
WAS 33.3% +22.2%
MIL 11.1%
FT %
72.5%
77.2%
WAS 70.7%
MIL 80.0% +9.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.2%
37.8%
WAS 33.3%
MIL 39.2% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
42.7%
48.1%
WAS 41.7% +7.7%
MIL 49.4%
3P Att. %
22.0%
14.1%
WAS 25.0% +13.6%
MIL 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIL
Possessions9598
Possession Minutes22.825.3
Points105103
Rebounds2837
Assists2126
Steals149
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (4)27 (3)
Field Goals35-7241-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2421-31
Midrange FG12-3019-39
2-Point FG29-5440-70
3-Point FG6-181-9
Free Throws29-4120-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
43.6
22
55%
6
1
4
1
3
4
1
5
3-4
75%
8-16
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
42.0
20
43%
7
2
1
0
4
3
1
6
6-8
75%
4-8
50%
2-11
18%
G · 6'5" 185 · 26
40.3
23
55%
3
8
5
0
2
1
1
2
12-14
86%
4-11
36%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 240 · 23
30.2
7
70%
4
2
1
1
2
4
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 263 · 25
29.4
11
69%
3
1
0
1
2
5
1
2
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 27
16.8
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28
15.9
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 165 · 26
13.5
13
93%
0
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
3-3
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27
8.2
7
88%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 228 · 23
G · 6'4" 208 · 35
F · 6'9" 260 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
56%
28
21
14
4
14
0
7
21
29-41
71%
29-54
54%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.