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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 14, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Timberwolves48%9893
16Nuggets52%9983
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.4
39.7
33.9
29
82%
4
3
0
1
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-6
4-10
83%
43%
5-10
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.7
35.9
39.8
15
61%
10
7
1
2
2
3
2
8
3-5
60%
6-10
8-17
60%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
23.9
15.7
10
51%
6
6
0
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
39%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.9
22.1
22.4
3
40%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 29.4
17.9
5.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.9
27.9
34.2
9
56%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.8
24.1
21.8
18
60%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-6
50%
42%
4-9
44%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 22.6
22.0
15.8
4
33%
7
0
0
0
3
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.8
11.1
21.3
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-6
40%
43%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 37.1
8.7
3.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.2
6.7
9.9
1
114%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.2
13.0
0
2-5
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
40.1
35.6
6
27%
1
6
2
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-11
5-11
27%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
36.3
29.0
12
61%
12
5
1
1
1
2
3
9
4-4
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.0
35.3
31.5
23
64%
6
1
2
1
1
0
3
3
1-2
50%
11-17
6-12
65%
49%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.6
33.0
33.4
13
32%
5
4
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-5
60%
5-16
6-13
31%
45%
0-2
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
29.1
20.4
11
94%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
2-2
100%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.0
17.0
12.0
3
40%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-2
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 28.6
15.9
21.5
6
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22.3
13.2
25.6
7
35%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.9
11.2
7.6
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 24.7
5.9
16.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
3.0
7.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 21.8
2.0
0
0-1
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.