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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 15, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Knicks44%9684
27Bulls56%9886
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.9
45.3
40.6
25
47%
7
10
2
1
1
2
2
5
6-6
100%
8-18
5-11
44%
46%
1-6
17%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
42.6
38.2
15
43%
8
6
4
1
1
2
0
8
3-3
100%
6-16
5-11
38%
47%
0-0
-
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
29.7
34.1
9
35%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
43%
1-4
25%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
20.2
29.9
2
25%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.7
14.8
30.6
1
13%
4
0
0
2
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.5
37.6
25.2
18
67%
9
2
1
1
1
1
4
5
6-8
75%
6-10
3-7
60%
42%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.5
21.0
12.2
3
26%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
40%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.2
19.1
4.1
9
65%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
9.7
6.0
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.9
14.4
0
2-4
45%
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.9
2.6
0
0-1
41%
Jamison Brewer
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.2
2.3
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.0
40.0
34.7
15
47%
7
11
2
1
1
5
3
4
2-2
100%
5-11
3-8
45%
44%
1-4
25%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.1
33.1
27.9
17
55%
4
0
1
0
2
3
1
3
1-1
100%
8-15
6-11
53%
53%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
21.0
26.1
8
67%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.2
19.5
15.2
10
85%
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.4
18.9
25.2
6
75%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
38%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.3
29.6
27.2
3
39%
10
0
0
1
4
0
0
10
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.1
23.1
18.2
6
60%
2
2
0
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.8
22.3
20.9
16
49%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
3-11
3-7
27%
46%
2-3
67%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
13.8
20.8
5
64%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.3
9.5
12.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.5
6.1
6.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.2
3.3
3.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.