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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 15, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Magic35%9485
10Pacers65%9984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.8
42.3
30.4
23
63%
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
8-10
80%
6-12
4-9
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.9
39.4
37.0
17
33%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-4
50%
6-22
7-15
27%
45%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.1
34.4
30.2
11
47%
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
5-6
83%
3-9
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.3
32.1
33.2
19
60%
8
5
1
1
0
3
2
6
3-4
75%
8-13
6-13
62%
49%
0-1
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.4
27.5
25.0
9
59%
9
0
0
1
1
1
5
4
5-6
83%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
27.2
11.2
2
25%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
24.6
21.4
4
100%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.4
9.3
12.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 22.9
3.0
20.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
3-7
0%
43%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.5
13.0
0
1-3
41%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 23.8
5.0
0
1-2
43%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 24.8
3.9
0
0-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.3
41.4
35.5
38
50%
15
1
1
1
2
3
5
10
14-20
70%
12-28
10-21
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 39.4
36.9
28.5
8
52%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
36.3
32.2
12
34%
2
4
2
2
0
3
1
1
2-6
33%
5-11
4-10
45%
45%
0-4
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.0
27.4
24.9
7
74%
9
0
0
1
0
1
4
5
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.3
19.1
15.8
3
75%
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.9
23.0
30.3
6
52%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 24.0
17.1
5.3
8
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29.9
15.2
10.0
2
25%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.7
11.9
18.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
11.7
19.3
0
0%
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.4
0.0
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
12.8
0
1-2
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.