FinalWin Prob.pScore
1336%94
85
1064%99
84
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
96.68889.7
IND logo IND
93.39088.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND85
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
94.4%
84
5.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 285
87.5%
84
12.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 285
89.6%
84
10.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMiller Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)85
94.4%
84
5.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)85
88.9%
83
11.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 385
90.3%
82
9.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
92.5%
82
7.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)84
90.1%
82
9.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDO'Neal 1' Layup (38 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)83
72.9%
82
27.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)83
83.2%
80
16.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Cato Free Throw 2 of 283
85.0%
80
15.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
90.0%
80
10.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)82
85.6%
80
14.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot82
75.2%
80
24.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)82
78.1%
80
21.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 282
80.2%
79
19.8%
Q4 - 1:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
73.1%
79
26.9%
Q4 - 1:14ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
69.8%
79
30.2%
Q4 - 1:14ORLMagic Rebound80
62.6%
79
37.4%
Q4 - 1:14INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot80
57.8%
79
42.2%
Q4 - 1:28INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)80
45.4%
79
54.6%
Q4 - 1:30ORLMISS Christie 3' Jump Shot80
50.0%
79
50.0%
Q4 - 1:50INDO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (35 PTS)80
58.3%
79
41.7%
Q4 - 2:11ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
66.0%
77
34.0%
Q4 - 2:11ORLHill 1' Tip Shot (19 PTS)80
66.0%
77
34.0%
Q4 - 2:12ORLMISS Hill 4' Jump Shot78
48.3%
77
51.7%
Q4 - 2:31INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)78
60.0%
77
40.0%
Q4 - 2:31INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 278
62.2%
76
37.8%
Q4 - 2:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)78
54.4%
76
45.6%
Q4 - 2:34ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot78
59.6%
76
40.4%
Q4 - 2:47INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
70.7%
76
29.3%
Q4 - 2:47INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
73.2%
75
26.8%
Q4 - 2:48INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)78
86.0%
74
14.0%
Q4 - 2:49INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 178
84.8%
74
15.2%
Q4 - 2:49INDTinsley 5' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
86.0%
74
14.0%
Q4 - 2:59ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q4 - 2:59ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 277
85.8%
72
14.2%
Q4 - 3:20INDO'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)77
88.4%
72
11.6%
Q4 - 3:39INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q4 - 3:40ORLMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot77
88.6%
70
11.4%
Q4 - 3:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
91.4%
70
8.6%
Q4 - 3:58INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 277
91.0%
70
9.0%
Q4 - 3:58INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
89.1%
70
10.9%
Q4 - 4:19ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
91.5%
69
8.5%
Q4 - 4:19ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
91.0%
69
9.0%
Q4 - 4:22INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)75
88.3%
69
11.7%
Q4 - 4:34INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
83.7%
69
16.3%
Q4 - 4:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Layup75
85.3%
69
14.7%
Q4 - 4:59INDJones 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
88.6%
69
11.4%
Q4 - 5:31ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
88.4%
67
11.6%
Q4 - 5:47INDO'Neal 2' Layup (30 PTS)73
84.8%
67
15.2%
Q4 - 6:07ORLHill 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)73
84.9%
65
15.1%
Q4 - 6:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
81.5%
65
18.5%
Q4 - 6:21INDMISS Tinsley 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
79.9%
65
20.1%
Q4 - 6:35ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T14)71
75.8%
65
24.2%
Q4 - 6:43ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
81.6%
65
18.4%
Q4 - 6:43INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 271
80.9%
65
19.1%
Q4 - 6:43INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)71
77.7%
65
22.3%
Q4 - 6:45ORLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)71
81.0%
64
19.0%
Q4 - 6:54ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
85.8%
64
14.2%
Q4 - 6:55ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot71
82.6%
64
17.4%
Q4 - 7:04INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)71
82.7%
64
17.3%
Q4 - 7:04INDPACERS Rebound71
77.8%
64
22.2%
Q4 - 7:04INDMISS O'Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
81.3%
64
18.7%
Q4 - 7:28INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)71
78.0%
64
22.0%
Q4 - 7:29ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot71
79.6%
64
20.4%
Q4 - 7:49INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)71
83.0%
64
17.0%
Q4 - 7:49INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
83.7%
63
16.3%
Q4 - 7:49INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)71
82.4%
63
17.6%
Q4 - 7:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
82.4%
63
17.6%
Q4 - 7:50INDMISS Foster 1' Tip Shot71
85.4%
63
14.6%
Q4 - 7:52INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot71
85.4%
63
14.6%
Q4 - 7:59INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
82.5%
63
17.5%
Q4 - 8:01ORLMISS Cato 17' Jump Shot71
81.2%
63
18.8%
Q4 - 8:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
83.9%
63
16.1%
Q4 - 8:18INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
82.8%
63
17.2%
Q4 - 8:21INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
80.1%
63
19.9%
Q4 - 8:22INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot71
82.8%
63
17.2%
Q4 - 8:40ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)71
80.2%
63
19.8%
Q4 - 8:58INDTinsley 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q4 - 9:02INDPACERS Rebound71
85.0%
61
15.0%
Q4 - 9:02INDMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot71
87.1%
61
12.9%
Q4 - 9:19ORLTinsley STEAL (2 STL)71
85.1%
61
14.9%
Q4 - 9:28ORLCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)71
88.0%
61
12.0%
Q4 - 9:29ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot71
86.1%
61
13.9%
Q4 - 9:55INDBender 2' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)71
88.1%
61
11.9%
Q4 - 10:06INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
88.6%
59
11.4%
Q4 - 10:07ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot71
89.4%
59
10.6%
Q4 - 10:19INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
90.9%
59
9.1%
Q4 - 10:33ORLFrancis 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
88.7%
59
11.3%
Q4 - 10:47INDPollard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)69
86.5%
59
13.5%
Q4 - 10:59ORLChristie 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)69
83.4%
59
16.6%
Q4 - 11:08ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
78.6%
59
21.4%
Q4 - 11:09INDMISS Croshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
77.4%
59
22.6%
Q4 - 11:26ORLTurkoglu 13' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)67
74.6%
59
25.4%
Q4 - 11:29ORLMagic Rebound65
70.5%
59
29.5%
Q4 - 11:30ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)65
67.1%
59
32.9%
Q4 - 11:46INDMiller 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)65
70.5%
59
29.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL65
74.6%
57
25.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound65
78.7%
57
21.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot65
75.9%
57
24.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
76.7%
57
23.3%
Q3 - 0:17.0INDMISS Croshere 22' Jump Shot65
75.6%
57
24.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)65
73.0%
57
27.0%
Q3 - 1:00INDBender 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)63
68.7%
57
31.3%
Q3 - 1:28ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)63
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 1:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
67.0%
55
33.0%
Q3 - 1:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
67.0%
55
33.0%
Q3 - 1:40ORLMISS Howard 2' Tip Shot61
63.8%
55
36.2%
Q3 - 1:42ORLMISS Francis 8' Jump Shot61
63.8%
55
36.2%
Q3 - 2:07INDJones Foul Turnover (P1.T8)61
65.0%
55
35.0%
Q3 - 2:23INDJump Ball Bender vs. Howard: Tip to Johnson61
60.4%
55
39.6%
Q3 - 2:23ORLMagic Rebound61
65.1%
55
34.9%
Q3 - 2:23ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot61
61.9%
55
38.1%
Q3 - 2:41INDPollard 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)61
65.2%
55
34.8%
Q3 - 2:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)61
69.0%
53
31.0%
Q3 - 2:59ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 261
69.6%
53
30.4%
Q3 - 2:59ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
72.2%
53
27.8%
Q3 - 3:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)60
68.1%
53
31.9%
Q3 - 3:19INDO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (26 PTS)60
68.1%
53
31.9%
Q3 - 3:21INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup60
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q3 - 3:34INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
71.7%
51
28.3%
Q3 - 3:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
71.7%
51
28.3%
Q3 - 3:36INDMISS O'Neal 2' Tip Shot60
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q3 - 3:37INDMISS Tinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q3 - 3:50ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P1.T9)60
71.7%
51
28.3%
Q3 - 4:03INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)60
73.8%
51
26.2%
Q3 - 4:19INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
76.6%
49
23.4%
Q3 - 4:20ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot60
77.7%
49
22.3%
Q3 - 4:40ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
80.1%
49
19.9%
Q3 - 4:41INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot60
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q3 - 4:56INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
76.8%
49
23.2%
Q3 - 4:58ORLMISS Howard 3' Jump Shot60
77.8%
49
22.2%
Q3 - 5:17ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
78.7%
49
21.3%
Q3 - 5:19INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot60
77.8%
49
22.2%
Q3 - 5:32ORLCato Foul Turnover (P1.T8)60
75.6%
49
24.4%
Q3 - 5:44INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)60
78.8%
49
21.2%
Q3 - 5:55INDPACERS Rebound60
81.2%
47
18.8%
Q3 - 5:55ORLPollard BLOCK (1 BLK)60
82.0%
47
18.0%
Q3 - 6:08ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
82.3%
47
17.7%
Q3 - 6:09INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot60
81.5%
47
18.5%
Q3 - 6:20ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)60
79.7%
47
20.3%
Q3 - 6:20ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)59
79.2%
47
20.8%
Q3 - 6:37INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T7)58
77.2%
47
22.8%
Q3 - 6:49INDMiller Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)58
74.1%
47
25.9%
Q3 - 6:49INDPACERS Rebound58
77.1%
46
22.9%
Q3 - 6:49ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
79.9%
46
20.1%
Q3 - 6:49ORLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)58
78.0%
46
22.0%
Q3 - 6:51ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
80.0%
46
20.0%
Q3 - 6:51ORLMISS Cato 2' Layup58
78.0%
46
22.0%
Q3 - 6:53ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot58
78.0%
46
22.0%
Q3 - 7:17ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
78.6%
46
21.4%
Q3 - 7:19INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
77.7%
46
22.3%
Q3 - 7:32ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
75.5%
46
24.5%
Q3 - 7:32ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 257
75.1%
46
24.9%
Q3 - 7:42INDTinsley Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)57
76.0%
46
24.0%
Q3 - 7:42INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)57
76.6%
45
23.4%
Q3 - 7:42INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 357
77.2%
44
22.8%
Q3 - 8:02ORLFrancis 2' Running Layup (13 PTS)57
77.4%
44
22.6%
Q3 - 8:08ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
75.1%
44
24.9%
Q3 - 8:10INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot55
74.1%
44
25.9%
Q3 - 8:33ORLTinsley STEAL (1 STL)55
71.8%
44
28.2%
Q3 - 8:56INDTinsley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)55
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q3 - 9:10INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
70.4%
44
29.6%
Q3 - 9:13ORLJones BLOCK (2 BLK)55
71.3%
44
28.7%
Q3 - 9:36INDTinsley 1' Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)55
73.5%
44
26.5%
Q3 - 9:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
76.2%
42
23.8%
Q3 - 9:45INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
78.1%
42
21.9%
Q3 - 10:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
74.7%
42
25.3%
Q3 - 10:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
75.6%
42
24.4%
Q3 - 10:21ORLMagic Rebound55
77.6%
42
22.4%
Q3 - 10:21INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot55
76.8%
42
23.2%
Q3 - 10:38INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q3 - 10:39ORLMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot55
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q3 - 11:01ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
76.3%
42
23.7%
Q3 - 11:03INDMISS Tinsley 10' Jump Shot55
75.5%
42
24.5%
Q3 - 11:11INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
73.6%
42
26.4%
Q3 - 11:13ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot55
74.5%
42
25.5%
Q3 - 11:22ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
76.4%
42
23.6%
Q3 - 11:23INDMISS Miller 4' Jump Shot55
75.6%
42
24.4%
Q3 - 11:45ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
73.7%
42
26.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND53
71.1%
42
28.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound53
68.0%
42
32.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
70.2%
42
29.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)53
67.2%
42
32.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)53
69.1%
42
30.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
75.3%
39
24.7%
Q2 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 5' Jump Shot53
75.8%
39
24.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)53
77.1%
39
22.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)53
77.6%
38
22.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
80.0%
37
20.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Francis 14' Jump Shot53
80.4%
37
19.6%
Q2 - 1:03INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (18 PTS)53
80.2%
37
19.8%
Q2 - 1:25ORLFrancis 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
83.1%
35
16.9%
Q2 - 1:39INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
80.3%
35
19.7%
Q2 - 1:39INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)51
80.7%
34
19.3%
Q2 - 1:52ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)51
83.1%
33
16.9%
Q2 - 1:52ORLTurkoglu 2' Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)50
81.3%
33
18.7%
Q2 - 1:56INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)48
78.2%
33
21.8%
Q2 - 2:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
75.2%
33
24.8%
Q2 - 2:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot48
75.9%
33
24.1%
Q2 - 2:13ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)48
77.4%
33
22.6%
Q2 - 2:18INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)47
75.2%
33
24.8%
Q2 - 2:34ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
73.0%
33
27.0%
Q2 - 2:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 246
72.3%
33
27.7%
Q2 - 2:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
72.8%
33
27.2%
Q2 - 2:42INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot46
72.1%
33
27.9%
Q2 - 3:06ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)46
68.4%
33
31.6%
Q2 - 3:21INDTinsley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
63.4%
33
36.6%
Q2 - 3:28INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
65.9%
31
34.1%
Q2 - 3:29ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot43
66.8%
31
33.2%
Q2 - 3:39INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T3)43
68.8%
31
31.2%
Q2 - 4:03ORLFrancis 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)43
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 4:15ORLMagic Rebound41
61.9%
31
38.1%
Q2 - 4:16ORLMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot41
60.0%
31
40.0%
Q2 - 4:26ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
61.9%
31
38.1%
Q2 - 4:28INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot41
61.1%
31
38.9%
Q2 - 4:49ORLCato Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)41
59.2%
31
40.8%
Q2 - 4:58INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
56.4%
31
43.6%
Q2 - 4:58INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 239
56.8%
30
43.2%
Q2 - 5:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q2 - 5:14ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup39
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q2 - 5:29INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)39
58.6%
30
41.4%
Q2 - 5:40INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q2 - 5:42INDMISS Pollard 2' Layup39
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q2 - 6:08ORLFrancis 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
54.7%
30
45.3%
Q2 - 6:23INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)37
52.5%
30
47.5%
Q2 - 6:23INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 237
53.1%
29
46.9%
Q2 - 6:35ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
52.0%
29
48.0%
Q2 - 6:35ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 6:39ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
49.8%
29
50.2%
Q2 - 6:41INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup35
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 6:54ORLMiller STEAL (1 STL)35
46.5%
29
53.5%
Q2 - 7:04INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 7:04INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
49.3%
28
50.7%
Q2 - 7:22ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q2 - 7:22ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q2 - 7:22ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
48.8%
27
51.2%
Q2 - 7:23ORLMISS Christie 12' Jump Shot33
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q2 - 7:39INDO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
48.9%
27
51.1%
Q2 - 7:52INDPACERS Rebound33
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q2 - 7:53INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q2 - 7:53INDMISS Croshere 2' Layup33
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q2 - 7:55INDMISS Bender 5' Jump Shot33
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q2 - 8:15INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
50.7%
25
49.3%
Q2 - 8:17ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot33
51.6%
25
48.4%
Q2 - 8:34INDJones 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pollard 1 AST)33
53.6%
25
46.4%
Q2 - 8:55INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
55.9%
23
44.1%
Q2 - 8:56ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot33
56.7%
23
43.3%
Q2 - 9:17ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q2 - 9:19INDMISS Bender 13' Jump Shot33
56.9%
23
43.1%
Q2 - 9:43INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
55.0%
23
45.0%
Q2 - 9:44INDMISS Pollard 16' Jump Shot33
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 9:52INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
55.0%
23
45.0%
Q2 - 9:54INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 10:11ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)33
54.6%
23
45.4%
Q2 - 10:22INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q2 - 10:22INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 231
52.8%
22
47.2%
Q2 - 10:40ORLFrancis 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)31
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q2 - 10:46ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
50.0%
22
50.0%
Q2 - 10:48INDMISS Bender 16' Jump Shot29
49.1%
22
50.9%
Q2 - 11:13ORLBender STEAL (1 STL)29
46.5%
22
53.5%
Q2 - 11:16ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
48.9%
22
51.1%
Q2 - 11:17INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
48.2%
22
51.8%
Q2 - 11:25ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)29
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q2 - 11:31ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q2 - 11:32INDMISS Pollard 16' Jump Shot29
48.3%
22
51.7%
Q2 - 11:46ORLHill 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL27
44.2%
22
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
44.2%
22
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Johnson 3' Layup27
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot27
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDBender 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)27
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
46.3%
20
53.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Christie 16' Jump Shot27
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 1:17INDBender 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 1:24ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)27
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 1:39INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)27
52.8%
18
47.2%
Q1 - 1:54INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
51.0%
18
49.0%
Q1 - 1:55ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot27
51.5%
18
48.5%
Q1 - 1:59ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
52.8%
18
47.2%
Q1 - 2:02INDMISS Bender 10' Jump Shot27
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 2:18ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 2:18ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 226
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 2:21ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 2:22INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot26
49.8%
18
50.2%
Q1 - 2:47ORLFrancis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)26
48.3%
18
51.7%
Q1 - 2:59ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q1 - 3:00INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup23
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 3:10ORLTurkoglu 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)23
40.5%
18
59.5%
Q1 - 3:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
38.6%
18
61.4%
Q1 - 3:21INDMISS Tinsley 7' Jump Shot21
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 3:48ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)21
36.3%
18
63.7%
Q1 - 4:00ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 4:01INDMISS Croshere 3' Layup19
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q1 - 4:23ORLHoward 3' Layup (6 PTS)19
31.8%
18
68.2%
Q1 - 4:34ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 4:35INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot17
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 5:00ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 5:13INDO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 5:16INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 5:17INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 215
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 5:17INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 215
28.6%
16
71.4%
Q1 - 5:26INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 5:28ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
28.6%
16
71.4%
Q1 - 5:48ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 5:50INDMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot15
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 6:07ORLTurkoglu 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)15
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 6:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 6:13INDMISS O'Neal 2' Hook Shot13
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 6:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 6:30ORLMISS Francis 8' Jump Shot13
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 6:49ORLMagic Rebound13
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 6:50INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 7:09ORLCato 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)13
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 7:29INDFoster 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)11
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 7:43ORLTurkoglu 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)11
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 8:06INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)9
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 8:20INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.4%
11
73.6%
Q1 - 8:21ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 29
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 8:21ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
27.6%
11
72.4%
Q1 - 8:27ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 8:29INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
26.1%
11
73.9%
Q1 - 8:46ORLHoward 2' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 9:00INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
23.7%
11
76.3%
Q1 - 9:00INDFoster 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
23.7%
11
76.3%
Q1 - 9:01INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot6
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 9:11INDPACERS Rebound6
24.6%
9
75.4%
Q1 - 9:11ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)6
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 9:12ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 9:13ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot6
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 9:25INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)6
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 9:25INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)6
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 9:42ORLHill 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)6
27.6%
7
72.4%
Q1 - 10:05INDO'Neal 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
26.3%
7
73.7%
Q1 - 10:09ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
27.6%
5
72.4%
Q1 - 10:15INDTinsley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
29.4%
5
70.6%
Q1 - 10:28ORLHill 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
30.7%
3
69.3%
Q1 - 10:42ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.4%
3
70.6%
Q1 - 10:43ORLMISS Francis 3' Layup2
28.1%
3
71.9%
Q1 - 10:59INDO'Neal 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
29.4%
3
70.6%
Q1 - 11:17ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
30.8%
1
69.2%
Q1 - 11:17ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
30.3%
1
69.7%
Q1 - 11:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
29.2%
1
70.8%
Q1 - 11:20ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
28.2%
1
71.8%
Q1 - 11:41INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
29.2%
1
70.8%
Q1 - 11:41INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
29.5%
0
70.5%
Q1 - 11:44INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 11:45INDMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Cato: Tip to Foster0
29.3%
0
70.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.2%
IND
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
28
46%
IND
15
30
50%
Midrange
ORL
15
41
37%
IND
12
33
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
5
40%
60%
IND
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
Free Throws
ORL
23
32
72%
IND
24
38
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2361%11.5 / 19
G. Hill1959%9.5 / 16
S. Francis1733%8.5 / 26
D. Howard1146%5.5 / 12
K. Cato956%4.5 / 8
T. Battie4100%2.0 / 2
D. Christie225%1.0 / 4
J. Nelson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal3849%19.0 / 39
J. Tinsley1233%6.0 / 18
R. Miller857%4.0 / 7
J. Bender850%4.0 / 8
J. Foster770%3.5 / 5
F. Jones650%3.0 / 6
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
S. Pollard225%1.0 / 4
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 5
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
74
+16
-14
90
IND
79
+19
-11
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.2%
IND
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
102.4
ORL 96.6 +3.3
IND 93.3
Pace
97.7
89.9
ORL 89.7 +1.0
IND 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.3
ORL 16.1 +0.2
IND 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
47.6%
ORL 41.9% +2.9%
IND 39.0%
TO %
16.0%
14.7%
ORL 13.7%
IND 11.4% +2.3%
ORB %
30.0%
26.5%
ORL 29.3%
IND 33.3% +4.0%
FTrt
35.0
35.8
ORL 43.2
IND 49.4 +6.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
55.8%
ORL 56.7% +8.4%
IND 48.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
ORL 5.7%
IND 7.8% +2.1%
BLK %
8.0%
6.8%
ORL 4.8%
IND 8.7% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
50.5%
ORL 46.2% +3.3%
IND 42.9%
Rim FG%
57.1%
55.1%
ORL 46.4%
IND 50.0% +3.6%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.5%
ORL 36.6% +0.2%
IND 36.4%
3P %
34.9%
34.4%
ORL 40.0% +25.7%
IND 14.3%
FT %
75.9%
79.2%
ORL 71.9% +8.7%
IND 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
32.4%
ORL 37.8%
IND 39.0% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
42.1%
ORL 55.4%
IND 42.9% +12.5%
3P Att. %
13.7%
25.5%
ORL 6.8%
IND 18.2% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLIND
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8584
Rebounds4244
Assists1714
Steals57
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)29 (3)
Field Goals30-7429-77
At-the-Rim FG13-2815-30
Midrange FG15-4112-33
2-Point FG28-6927-63
3-Point FG2-52-14
Free Throws23-3224-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'10" 220 · 26
42.3
23
61%
6
2
0
0
2
2
0
6
8-10
80%
6-12
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
39.4
17
33%
3
4
0
0
3
6
1
2
2-4
50%
6-22
27%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
34.4
11
46%
7
1
1
1
2
6
3
4
5-6
83%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 32
32.1
19
59%
8
5
1
0
3
4
2
6
3-4
75%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 275 · 30
27.5
9
56%
9
0
0
1
1
3
5
4
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 35
27.2
2
25%
1
3
3
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
24.6
4
100%
6
1
0
1
1
6
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 28
9.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
3.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24
C · 7'1" 260 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
46%
42
17
5
3
14
0
12
30
23-32
72%
28-69
41%
2-5
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.