FinalWin Prob.pScore
263%94
67
1437%90
73
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
77.08789.4
HOU logo HOU
82.08986.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU67
0%
73
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 2 of 267
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)67
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASParker Driving Layup (20 PTS)66
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
0.1%
72
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 264
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0HOUTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)62
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 261
0.2%
69
99.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)61
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q4 - 1:10HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q4 - 1:10HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q4 - 1:10HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q4 - 1:12HOUMISS McGrady Layup59
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q4 - 1:22HOUROCKETS Rebound59
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q4 - 1:24HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot59
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q4 - 1:41SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)59
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q4 - 1:41SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 258
7.8%
64
92.2%
Q4 - 1:59SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q4 - 2:01HOUMISS Barry 10' Finger Roll58
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q4 - 2:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q4 - 2:22SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 257
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q4 - 2:49HOUSura 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)57
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q4 - 2:55SASMcGrady STEAL (4 STL)57
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q4 - 3:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)57
28.1%
61
71.9%
Q4 - 3:12HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot57
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q4 - 3:23HOUMcGrady Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)57
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q4 - 3:23HOUMcGrady Free Throw Clear Path (24 PTS)57
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q4 - 3:24SASMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)57
33.1%
59
66.9%
Q4 - 3:41SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
48.1%
59
51.9%
Q4 - 3:42HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot57
45.2%
59
54.8%
Q4 - 3:58SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)57
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q4 - 4:10HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)57
47.5%
59
52.5%
Q4 - 4:10HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Taylor 2 AST)57
56.9%
58
43.1%
Q4 - 4:19SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS)57
65.3%
56
34.7%
Q4 - 4:39SASSpurs Rebound55
56.8%
56
43.2%
Q4 - 4:40HOUMISS Taylor 12' Jump Shot55
53.7%
56
46.3%
Q4 - 5:05SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)55
49.6%
56
50.4%
Q4 - 5:17HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)52
33.8%
56
66.2%
Q4 - 5:17HOUROCKETS Rebound52
26.5%
56
73.5%
Q4 - 5:18HOUMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot52
31.4%
56
68.6%
Q4 - 5:42HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)52
26.3%
56
73.7%
Q4 - 5:43SASMISS Duncan 8' Hook Shot52
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q4 - 6:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)52
37.6%
56
62.4%
Q4 - 6:02HOUMISS Taylor 7' Turnaround Jump Shot52
35.1%
56
64.9%
Q4 - 6:23HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)52
29.6%
56
70.4%
Q4 - 6:24SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot52
31.8%
56
68.2%
Q4 - 6:50HOUBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
37.2%
56
62.8%
Q4 - 6:58SASMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)52
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q4 - 7:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)52
60.9%
53
39.1%
Q4 - 7:04HOUMISS Mutombo Layup52
58.6%
53
41.4%
Q4 - 7:19HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
53.2%
53
46.8%
Q4 - 7:20SASMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot52
55.6%
53
44.4%
Q4 - 7:43HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)52
60.8%
53
39.2%
Q4 - 7:43HOUMutombo Tip Shot (2 PTS)52
60.8%
53
39.2%
Q4 - 7:45HOUMISS McGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot52
71.1%
51
28.9%
Q4 - 7:58HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
66.4%
51
33.6%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot52
68.5%
51
31.5%
Q4 - 8:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
71.9%
51
28.1%
Q4 - 8:10HOUMISS Barry 12' Running Jump Shot52
70.3%
51
29.7%
Q4 - 8:21HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
66.4%
51
33.6%
Q4 - 8:23SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot52
68.2%
51
31.8%
Q4 - 8:48HOUMutombo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)52
72.0%
51
28.0%
Q4 - 8:55HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)52
66.4%
51
33.6%
Q4 - 8:56HOUMISS Taylor Layup52
70.4%
51
29.6%
Q4 - 9:08HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)52
66.7%
51
33.3%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q4 - 9:35SASSpurs Rebound52
72.0%
51
28.0%
Q4 - 9:36HOUMISS McGrady Driving Dunk52
70.4%
51
29.6%
Q4 - 9:50HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
66.7%
51
33.3%
Q4 - 9:51SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot52
68.3%
51
31.7%
Q4 - 10:05SASSpurs Rebound52
71.5%
51
28.5%
Q4 - 10:06HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
70.0%
51
30.0%
Q4 - 10:12HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
66.3%
51
33.7%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
68.0%
51
32.0%
Q4 - 10:40HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)52
71.6%
51
28.4%
Q4 - 10:52SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T10)52
75.7%
49
24.3%
Q4 - 10:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
79.9%
49
20.1%
Q4 - 11:00HOUMISS Taylor 14' Jump Shot52
78.7%
49
21.3%
Q4 - 11:16SASNesterovic Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)52
74.8%
49
25.2%
Q4 - 11:33SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
78.8%
49
21.2%
Q4 - 11:34HOUMISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 252
78.3%
49
21.7%
Q4 - 11:34HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
76.0%
49
24.0%
Q4 - 11:51SASUdrih Layup (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)52
78.7%
48
21.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS50
75.0%
48
25.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound50
75.0%
48
25.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Rose 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
71.9%
48
28.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T15)50
74.8%
48
25.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
70.8%
48
29.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASYao BLOCK (2 BLK)50
72.1%
48
27.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
74.8%
48
25.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot50
73.6%
48
26.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASBrown 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)50
70.7%
48
29.3%
Q3 - 1:18SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
66.7%
48
33.3%
Q3 - 1:19SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot48
63.6%
48
36.4%
Q3 - 1:41HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
66.7%
48
33.3%
Q3 - 1:41HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
67.7%
47
32.3%
Q3 - 2:02SASNesterovic 11' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)48
70.2%
46
29.8%
Q3 - 2:18HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
66.5%
46
33.5%
Q3 - 2:18HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
67.3%
45
32.7%
Q3 - 2:35SASParker Driving Layup (18 PTS)46
70.2%
44
29.8%
Q3 - 2:42SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
66.6%
44
33.4%
Q3 - 2:43HOUMISS Sura 18' Jump Shot44
65.2%
44
34.8%
Q3 - 3:05SASParker 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)44
62.3%
44
37.7%
Q3 - 3:17HOUMcGrady Foul Turnover (P4.T14)42
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q3 - 3:40SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)42
53.5%
44
46.5%
Q3 - 4:01HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)39
46.1%
44
53.9%
Q3 - 4:05HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
41.2%
44
58.8%
Q3 - 4:06SASMISS Duncan 11' Fadeaway Jumper39
42.6%
44
57.4%
Q3 - 4:23HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)39
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q3 - 4:23HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)39
46.8%
43
53.2%
Q3 - 4:41HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
49.7%
42
50.3%
Q3 - 4:41SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 239
50.3%
42
49.7%
Q3 - 4:41SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 239
52.9%
42
47.1%
Q3 - 4:41SASBarry Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)39
54.6%
42
45.4%
Q3 - 4:58HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)38
50.3%
42
49.7%
Q3 - 5:11HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
46.5%
42
53.5%
Q3 - 5:12SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot38
47.8%
42
52.2%
Q3 - 5:30HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)38
50.9%
42
49.1%
Q3 - 5:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
54.7%
40
45.3%
Q3 - 5:42SASDuncan Tip Shot (12 PTS)38
54.7%
40
45.3%
Q3 - 5:44SASMISS Nesterovic 14' Jump Shot36
47.7%
40
52.3%
Q3 - 6:02HOUYao 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)36
51.7%
40
48.3%
Q3 - 6:18SASParker Driving Layup (14 PTS)36
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q3 - 6:46SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
51.6%
38
48.4%
Q3 - 6:48SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q3 - 7:03HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)34
51.8%
38
48.2%
Q3 - 7:03HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 234
52.5%
37
47.5%
Q3 - 7:11HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
51.3%
37
48.7%
Q3 - 7:13SASMISS Duncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot34
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q3 - 7:39HOUMcGrady 18' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)34
55.7%
37
44.3%
Q3 - 8:10SASParker Layup (12 PTS)34
59.6%
35
40.4%
Q3 - 8:28HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
56.3%
35
43.7%
Q3 - 8:28HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 232
57.0%
34
43.0%
Q3 - 8:39SASParker Layup (10 PTS)32
55.8%
34
44.2%
Q3 - 8:52HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 130
52.0%
34
48.0%
Q3 - 8:52HOUHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)30
52.5%
34
47.5%
Q3 - 9:04HOUROCKETS Rebound30
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q3 - 9:05HOUMISS Sura Reverse Layup30
59.1%
32
40.9%
Q3 - 9:09HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q3 - 9:12SASMISS Duncan 9' Running Hook Shot30
57.7%
32
42.3%
Q3 - 9:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
60.3%
32
39.7%
Q3 - 9:29HOUMISS Wesley 12' Jump Shot30
59.1%
32
40.9%
Q3 - 9:39SASWesley STEAL (1 STL)30
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q3 - 9:52HOUSura Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)30
60.3%
32
39.7%
Q3 - 9:57HOUROCKETS Rebound30
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q3 - 9:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
60.3%
32
39.7%
Q3 - 9:57SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot30
57.7%
32
42.3%
Q3 - 9:59SASMISS Parker Layup30
57.7%
32
42.3%
Q3 - 10:03SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q3 - 10:04HOUMISS McGrady Layup30
60.0%
32
40.0%
Q3 - 10:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q3 - 10:14HOUMISS Sura 7' Running Finger Roll30
60.0%
32
40.0%
Q3 - 10:19HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q3 - 10:20SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot30
58.5%
32
41.5%
Q3 - 10:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
61.1%
32
38.9%
Q3 - 10:35HOUMISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot30
59.9%
32
40.1%
Q3 - 11:05SASParker Layup (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)30
58.4%
32
41.6%
Q3 - 11:09HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)28
55.1%
32
44.9%
Q3 - 11:20HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
51.5%
32
48.5%
Q3 - 11:21SASMISS Ginobili Layup28
52.6%
32
47.4%
Q3 - 11:42HOUYao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)28
55.0%
32
45.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU28
58.2%
30
41.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound28
58.2%
30
41.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
60.7%
30
39.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)28
59.4%
30
40.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
61.6%
30
38.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMISS McGrady 20' Running Jump Shot28
61.0%
30
39.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
59.4%
30
40.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Taylor 19' Jump Shot28
61.0%
30
39.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
59.3%
30
40.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)28
60.1%
30
39.9%
Q2 - 1:15HOUTaylor 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)28
61.5%
30
38.5%
Q2 - 1:34HOUROCKETS Rebound28
65.9%
28
34.1%
Q2 - 1:36HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 228
67.2%
28
32.8%
Q2 - 1:36HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)28
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q2 - 1:42HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 1:44SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup28
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q2 - 1:54SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
70.2%
27
29.8%
Q2 - 1:56HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot28
69.8%
27
30.2%
Q2 - 2:07SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q2 - 2:27HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)28
70.6%
27
29.4%
Q2 - 2:41SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q2 - 2:41SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 227
67.7%
27
32.3%
Q2 - 2:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q2 - 2:48HOUMISS Mutombo Tip Shot27
67.2%
27
32.8%
Q2 - 2:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)27
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q2 - 2:50HOUMISS McGrady 7' Jump Bank Shot27
67.2%
27
32.8%
Q2 - 3:03HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)27
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q2 - 3:04SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q2 - 3:21HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)27
68.5%
27
31.5%
Q2 - 3:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
70.7%
25
29.3%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot27
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q2 - 3:59SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
73.4%
25
26.6%
Q2 - 4:01HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot27
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q2 - 4:09HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)27
71.0%
25
29.0%
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS Parker Layup27
71.7%
25
28.3%
Q2 - 4:28HOUMcGrady 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)27
73.3%
25
26.7%
Q2 - 4:40SASBarrett STEAL (1 STL)27
75.5%
23
24.5%
Q2 - 4:58HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (8 PTS)27
77.6%
23
22.4%
Q2 - 5:14HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
79.4%
21
20.6%
Q2 - 5:16SASMISS Duncan 10' Running Jump Shot27
80.0%
21
20.0%
Q2 - 5:34HOUBarrett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)27
81.3%
21
18.7%
Q2 - 5:51SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
79.4%
21
20.6%
Q2 - 5:51SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
78.9%
21
21.1%
Q2 - 6:07HOUTaylor 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)25
77.7%
21
22.3%
Q2 - 6:21SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
79.2%
19
20.8%
Q2 - 6:37HOUYao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)25
81.3%
19
18.7%
Q2 - 6:59HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
82.6%
17
17.4%
Q2 - 7:01SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot25
82.8%
17
17.2%
Q2 - 7:21SASSpurs Rebound25
83.9%
17
16.1%
Q2 - 7:22HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot25
83.4%
17
16.6%
Q2 - 7:31HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
82.3%
17
17.7%
Q2 - 7:32SASYao BLOCK (1 BLK)25
82.8%
17
17.2%
Q2 - 7:54HOUBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)25
83.9%
17
16.1%
Q2 - 8:07HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
86.1%
14
13.9%
Q2 - 8:08SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot25
86.5%
14
13.5%
Q2 - 8:26HOUYao Foul Turnover (P2.T7)25
87.5%
14
12.5%
Q2 - 8:38HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
86.1%
14
13.9%
Q2 - 8:38SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 225
86.3%
14
13.7%
Q2 - 8:38SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
87.1%
14
12.9%
Q2 - 8:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
86.3%
14
13.7%
Q2 - 8:57HOUMISS Yao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot24
85.9%
14
14.1%
Q2 - 9:20SASGinobili Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
84.6%
14
15.4%
Q2 - 9:26SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
83.4%
14
16.6%
Q2 - 9:28HOUMISS Taylor Layup22
82.9%
14
17.1%
Q2 - 9:55SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
81.8%
14
18.2%
Q2 - 9:55SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 221
81.5%
14
18.5%
Q2 - 10:11HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)21
81.6%
14
18.4%
Q2 - 10:29HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
82.9%
12
17.1%
Q2 - 10:29SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 221
83.1%
12
16.9%
Q2 - 10:29SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
83.7%
12
16.3%
Q2 - 10:33SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
83.1%
12
16.9%
Q2 - 10:34SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
81.9%
12
18.1%
Q2 - 10:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
83.1%
12
16.9%
Q2 - 10:51HOUMISS Barrett Driving Layup20
82.6%
12
17.4%
Q2 - 10:59SASMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)20
81.4%
12
18.6%
Q2 - 11:16HOUYao Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)20
82.7%
12
17.3%
Q2 - 11:33SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)20
84.1%
10
15.9%
Q2 - 11:42SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
82.8%
10
17.2%
Q2 - 11:43HOUMISS Yao 10' Hook Shot18
82.3%
10
17.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
81.3%
10
18.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound18
82.8%
10
17.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
81.8%
10
18.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)18
82.3%
10
17.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
81.2%
10
18.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup18
81.9%
10
18.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
81.2%
10
18.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUMISS McGrady Layup18
81.9%
10
18.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0HOUBarrett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
81.2%
10
18.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Mutombo Layup18
81.9%
10
18.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
81.2%
10
18.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Bank Shot18
81.5%
10
18.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
82.3%
10
17.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Barrett 20' Jump Shot18
82.0%
10
18.0%
Q1 - 1:16HOUROCKETS Rebound18
81.2%
10
18.8%
Q1 - 1:17SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
81.5%
10
18.5%
Q1 - 1:31HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
82.3%
10
17.7%
Q1 - 1:44SASUdrih 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)18
83.9%
8
16.1%
Q1 - 1:59HOUMutombo Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)16
82.2%
8
17.8%
Q1 - 2:00HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
81.2%
8
18.8%
Q1 - 2:01HOUMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot16
82.1%
8
17.9%
Q1 - 2:19SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
81.2%
8
18.8%
Q1 - 2:19SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 215
80.8%
8
19.2%
Q1 - 2:35HOUBarrett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
81.1%
8
18.9%
Q1 - 2:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
79.7%
8
20.3%
Q1 - 2:40SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
80.1%
8
19.9%
Q1 - 2:58HOUWesley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barrett 1 AST)15
81.1%
8
18.9%
Q1 - 3:01HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
82.0%
6
18.0%
Q1 - 3:03SASMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)15
82.4%
6
17.6%
Q1 - 3:19HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)15
83.4%
6
16.6%
Q1 - 3:38HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
82.0%
6
18.0%
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
82.5%
6
17.5%
Q1 - 4:05HOUMcGrady 17' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
83.4%
6
16.6%
Q1 - 4:22SASBarry Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)15
84.4%
4
15.6%
Q1 - 4:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
83.4%
4
16.6%
Q1 - 4:34HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
83.0%
4
17.0%
Q1 - 4:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 4:41HOUMISS Sura 8' Running Jump Shot13
82.9%
4
17.1%
Q1 - 5:06HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
81.6%
4
18.4%
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Sura 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
82.5%
4
17.5%
Q1 - 5:23SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
81.6%
4
18.4%
Q1 - 5:41SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
80.4%
4
19.6%
Q1 - 5:43HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
80.0%
4
20.0%
Q1 - 5:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
78.9%
4
21.1%
Q1 - 5:49HOUMISS Sura 6' Running Jump Shot11
80.0%
4
20.0%
Q1 - 6:05SASParker Palming Turnover (P1.T2)11
78.5%
4
21.5%
Q1 - 6:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
79.9%
4
20.1%
Q1 - 6:21HOUMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot11
79.5%
4
20.5%
Q1 - 6:37SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
78.6%
4
21.4%
Q1 - 6:43SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)9
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 6:59HOUSura Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
75.8%
4
24.2%
Q1 - 7:11HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 7:12SASMISS Ginobili Layup8
77.3%
2
22.7%
Q1 - 7:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
78.3%
2
21.7%
Q1 - 7:23HOUMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot8
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 7:40SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 7:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
76.4%
2
23.6%
Q1 - 7:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 7:54HOUMISS Yao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot6
75.1%
2
24.9%
Q1 - 8:16SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
74.5%
2
25.5%
Q1 - 8:21HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 8:29HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 8:31SASMISS Parker 9' Hook Shot4
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 8:51HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 9:10SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 9:24SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 9:25HOUMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot2
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 9:33SASNesterovic Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)2
68.0%
2
32.0%
Q1 - 9:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 9:47HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 10:03SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
68.2%
2
31.8%
Q1 - 10:27HOUMcGrady 19' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 10:48HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 10:49SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot0
68.7%
0
31.3%
Q1 - 11:08SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 11:09HOUMISS Yao 8' Hook Shot0
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 11:27HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:29SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot0
68.8%
0
31.2%
Q1 - 11:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot0
68.8%
0
31.2%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Parker0
69.8%
0
30.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.80 39.9%
HOU
0.79 39.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
22
59%
HOU
6
18
33%
Midrange
SAS
9
30
30%
HOU
15
47
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
2
3.0
16
13%
19%
HOU
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
SAS
17
27
63%
HOU
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2150%10.5 / 21
T. Duncan1841%9.0 / 22
B. Barry880%4.0 / 5
M. Ginobili638%3.0 / 8
B. Udrih429%2.0 / 7
B. Bowen350%1.5 / 3
R. Nesterovic338%1.5 / 4
R. Horry225%1.0 / 4
D. Brown225%1.0 / 4
M. Rose0-0.0 / 2
T. Massenburg0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2844%14.0 / 32
Yao1359%6.5 / 11
B. Sura941%4.5 / 11
M. Taylor735%3.5 / 10
J. Howard638%3.0 / 8
J. Barry675%3.0 / 4
D. Wesley217%1.0 / 6
D. Mutombo225%1.0 / 4
A. Barrett0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+9
-13
83
HOU
74
+18
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.80 39.9%
HOU
0.79 39.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
103.1
SAS 77.0
HOU 82.0 +5.0
Pace
91.2
91.5
SAS 89.4 +2.8
HOU 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
SAS 16.1 +0.5
HOU 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
48.6%
SAS 36.8% +0.8%
HOU 36.0%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
SAS 14.9% +1.5%
HOU 16.4%
ORB %
29.2%
26.4%
SAS 16.3%
HOU 28.9% +12.6%
FTrt
32.9
30.9
SAS 39.7 +5.0
HOU 34.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
60.9%
SAS 41.7%
HOU 60.0% +18.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.5%
SAS 10.3% +3.6%
HOU 6.7%
BLK %
9.9%
7.4%
SAS 6.2%
HOU 7.7% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.6%
SAS 39.9% +0.2%
HOU 39.7%
Rim FG%
59.3%
57.3%
SAS 59.1% +25.8%
HOU 33.3%
Mid FG%
37.2%
40.5%
SAS 30.0%
HOU 31.9% +1.9%
3P %
36.3%
36.4%
SAS 12.5%
HOU 40.0% +27.5%
FT %
72.4%
78.1%
SAS 63.0%
HOU 73.1% +10.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
28.5%
SAS 32.4% +8.4%
HOU 24.0%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
47.8%
SAS 44.1% +18.5%
HOU 62.7%
3P Att. %
21.6%
23.7%
SAS 23.5% +10.2%
HOU 13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points6773
Rebounds3949
Assists1015
Steals96
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)36 (2)
Field Goals24-6825-75
At-the-Rim FG13-226-18
Midrange FG9-3015-47
2-Point FG22-5221-65
3-Point FG2-164-10
Free Throws17-2719-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
40.7
3
50%
5
1
0
0
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
38.0
18
41%
12
0
2
2
1
1
2
10
4-6
67%
7-18
39%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
34.5
21
50%
3
6
1
0
4
4
1
2
3-5
60%
9-15
60%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
28.1
3
38%
5
1
0
1
3
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
14.4
6
38%
3
1
3
0
0
2
1
2
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
22.7
8
80%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
19.3
4
29%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
15.2
2
25%
5
0
1
1
1
5
0
5
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
12.4
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
7.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 180 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
67
40%
39
10
9
4
13
0
7
32
17-27
63%
22-52
42%
2-16
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.