FinalWin Prob.pScore
3615%93
92
785%106
111
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
98.99396.1
MIA logo MIA
113.39895.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLDooling STEAL (2 STL)92
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem Layup (7 PTS)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08ATLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 292
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ATLHarrington Driving Layup (13 PTS)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20ATLWalker Layup (18 PTS)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23ATLMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29ATLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:35ATLMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (25 PTS)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:22ATLHarrington Tip Shot (11 PTS)87
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:23ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24ATLMISS Harrington Driving Layup85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAHEAT Rebound85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52ATLMISS Lue Driving Layup85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25ATLCollier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lue 10 AST)85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58ATLCollier 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 9 AST)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T13)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13ATLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37MIAO'Neal Dunk (23 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44ATLMISS Walker Layup80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:07ATLCollier 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lue 8 AST)80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:27MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)78
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:57MIADooling 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:17ATLHarrington Driving Dunk (9 PTS)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:34MIAButler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:49ATLMISS Walker Driving Finger Roll74
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:54MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)74
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:09ATLWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T9)74
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:09MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)74
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 9:30ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)74
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:30ATLWalker Tip Shot (16 PTS)74
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:30ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:57MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:15ATLChildress Dunk (6 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)72
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 10:44MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)70
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 11:02MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Dooling 9' Jump Shot70
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 11:18ATLLaettner STEAL (2 STL)70
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 11:30MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)70
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 11:30MIADooling Driving Layup (7 PTS)70
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 11:33ATLDooling STEAL (1 STL)70
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)70
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 40' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Lue 22' Jump Shot70
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 270
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLDoleac BLOCK (2 BLK)70
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLDelk 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)70
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)68
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 1:00MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)68
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 1:17ATLDelk Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)68
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 1:37MIADoleac Layup (8 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)68
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q3 - 1:54MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 1:55ATLMISS Drobnjak 13' Jump Shot68
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 1:58ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)68
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 2:00ATLDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)68
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 2:16MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)68
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 2:30ATLHawks Rebound68
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 2:30ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 2:30ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 267
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 2:30ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)67
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 2:31ATLLaettner BLOCK (1 BLK)67
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 2:32ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 2:33ATLDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)67
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 2:47MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 2:47MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 3:07ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 3:07ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 3:07ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)65
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 3:08ATLMISS Childress 20' Jump Shot65
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 3:20ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)65
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 265
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 3:21MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 3:33ATLWalker Layup (11 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)65
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 3:43ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)63
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 3:45MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot63
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw Clear Path63
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 4:00MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 4:01ATLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)63
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 163
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 4:21MIAWade Dunk (19 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)63
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 4:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)63
7.7%
68
92.3%
Q3 - 4:25ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot63
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWade Layup (17 PTS)63
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 4:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 4:58ATLMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 5:08ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 5:10ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)63
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 5:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup63
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 5:38ATLHarrington Driving Layup (7 PTS)63
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 5:54ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot61
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q3 - 6:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot61
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q3 - 6:11ATLMISS Drobnjak 17' Jump Shot61
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 6:46ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)61
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 6:56MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 6:56MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 7:12ATLCollier 5' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)59
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 7:26ATLHawks Rebound57
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
7.8%
63
92.2%
Q3 - 7:47ATLWalker Driving Layup (9 PTS)57
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 7:55ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 7:57ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 8:18MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)55
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 8:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 8:34ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot55
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q3 - 8:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)55
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 8:51MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)55
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 8:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q3 - 8:57ATLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot55
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 9:04ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot55
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q3 - 9:20ATLCollier 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)55
10.4%
58
89.6%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q3 - 10:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)53
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q3 - 10:04ATLMISS Collier 20' Jump Shot53
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q3 - 10:16MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (21 PTS)53
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 10:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 10:34ATLMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot53
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 10:53ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot53
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q3 - 11:18ATLHarrington 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)53
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 11:23ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Haslem Layup51
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q3 - 11:47ATLLue 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL49
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound49
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Walker 44' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.3%
54
91.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.6%
54
91.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)49
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)49
8.3%
54
91.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 249
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)49
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot49
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q2 - 1:14ATLEkezie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q2 - 1:14ATLEkezie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 1:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 247
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 247
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 1:36ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 1:36ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 1:53MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)45
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q2 - 2:03ATLWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)45
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q2 - 2:08ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot45
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q2 - 2:14MIAHEAT Rebound45
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q2 - 2:34ATLHarrington Dunk (3 PTS)45
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q2 - 2:35ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 2:36ATLMISS Smith Layup43
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 2:43MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)43
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 2:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)43
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q2 - 2:52ATLMISS Drobnjak Driving Layup43
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 3:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS)43
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)43
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS O'Neal Layup43
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 3:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 3:16ATLMISS Drobnjak 19' Jump Shot43
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 3:36MIAO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)43
6.6%
51
93.4%
Q2 - 3:53ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 3:53ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 242
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q2 - 4:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 242
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q2 - 4:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 4:31ATLDrobnjak 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)42
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 240
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 4:47ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 4:47ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 239
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 4:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot39
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 4:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 5:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 5:06ATLMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot39
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)39
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 5:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 5:37ATLMISS Walker 9' Turnaround Hook Shot39
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 5:52ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
8.1%
45
91.9%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 239
8.0%
45
92.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 239
7.6%
45
92.4%
Q2 - 5:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot39
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 6:16ATLCollier 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)39
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 6:32MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)37
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 6:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
8.0%
42
92.0%
Q2 - 6:45ATLMISS Harrington 9' Jump Shot37
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 7:14ATLWalker Layup (4 PTS)37
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 7:16ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 7:18ATLMISS Drobnjak 7' Hook Shot35
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 7:23ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup35
8.8%
40
91.2%
Q2 - 7:43ATLDrobnjak 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)35
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 8:07ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot32
6.6%
40
93.4%
Q2 - 8:24ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)32
6.1%
40
93.9%
Q2 - 8:29ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot30
5.4%
40
94.6%
Q2 - 8:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
5.0%
40
95.0%
Q2 - 8:47ATLButler BLOCK (1 BLK)30
5.2%
40
94.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)30
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 9:22ATLDelk Foul Turnover (P1.T3)30
6.2%
38
93.8%
Q2 - 9:39MIALaettner 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)30
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q2 - 9:51MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
7.4%
36
92.6%
Q2 - 9:53ATLMISS Harrington 4' Hook Shot30
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)30
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 10:25ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)30
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q2 - 10:26ATLHawks Rebound30
10.0%
34
90.0%
Q2 - 10:27ATLMISS Harrington 49' 3PT Jump Shot30
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 10:50ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
10.0%
34
90.0%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Laettner Free Throw 2 of 230
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 10:53MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 11:13ATLDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 11:13ATLMISS Delk Free Throw 1 of 229
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 11:28MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)29
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 11:38ATLLaettner STEAL (1 STL)29
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL29
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLChildress 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)27
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLDrobnjak 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)27
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot25
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q1 - 1:12ATLDrobnjak 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)25
10.7%
27
89.3%
Q1 - 1:24MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 1:40ATLAnderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)23
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q1 - 1:58MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q1 - 1:58MIADoleac Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup21
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q1 - 2:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q1 - 2:13ATLMISS Walker 22' Jump Shot21
9.2%
25
90.8%
Q1 - 2:34ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q1 - 2:47MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q1 - 2:49ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 221
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 2:49ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)21
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q1 - 2:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
8.2%
25
91.8%
Q1 - 2:57ATLMISS Lue 16' Jump Shot20
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 3:13MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q1 - 3:32ATLDrobnjak 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)20
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 3:46MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 3:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
10.4%
20
89.6%
Q1 - 3:54ATLMISS Lue Layup18
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 4:13MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 4:27ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)18
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 4:48MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot16
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 5:08ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 5:08ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)14
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 5:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12.5%
13
87.5%
Q1 - 5:34ATLMISS Walker Finger Roll14
12.8%
13
87.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 6:10ATLSmith Driving Dunk (8 PTS)14
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 6:14MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 6:23ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
10.7%
13
89.3%
Q1 - 6:23ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
10.5%
13
89.5%
Q1 - 6:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)10
10.0%
13
90.0%
Q1 - 6:39MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
10.7%
12
89.3%
Q1 - 6:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS O'Neal Layup10
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 7:10ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)10
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)8
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 8:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
11.0%
8
89.0%
Q1 - 8:13ATLSmith Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)8
11.0%
8
89.0%
Q1 - 8:16ATLMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 8:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.2%
8
89.8%
Q1 - 8:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 8:39ATLMISS Collier Layup6
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 9:07MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS)6
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot6
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 9:21MIAHEAT Rebound6
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot6
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 9:25ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 16
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 9:25ATLWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)6
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 9:28MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:46ATLCollier 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)4
9.5%
6
90.5%
Q1 - 10:07MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
8.9%
6
91.1%
Q1 - 10:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.5%
4
90.5%
Q1 - 10:13ATLMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot2
9.7%
4
90.3%
Q1 - 10:32MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
10.2%
4
89.8%
Q1 - 11:00ATLCollier 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)2
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 11:12ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot0
9.9%
2
90.1%
Q1 - 11:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.5%
2
90.5%
Q1 - 11:27ATLMISS Collier 18' Jump Shot0
9.7%
2
90.3%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Collier: Tip to Jones0
10.9%
0
89.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.89 44.7%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
33
52%
MIA
22
32
69%
Midrange
ATL
17
37
46%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
ATL
18
27
67%
MIA
27
41
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker1839%9.0 / 23
J. Collier1777%8.5 / 11
A. Harrington1346%6.5 / 14
J. Smith1359%6.5 / 11
P. Drobnjak1142%5.5 / 13
T. Lue723%3.5 / 15
J. Childress650%3.0 / 6
T. Delk350%1.5 / 3
K. Anderson2100%1.0 / 1
O. Ekezie2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
S. O'Neal2550%12.5 / 25
E. Jones1662%8.0 / 13
K. Dooling1250%6.0 / 12
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
R. Butler857%4.0 / 7
M. Doleac8100%4.0 / 4
C. Laettner583%2.5 / 3
D. Jones429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+19
-9
103
MIA
84
+17
-14
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.89 44.7%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.6
106.6
ATL 98.9 +14.3
MIA 113.3
Pace
93.3
93.9
ATL 96.1 +1.0
MIA 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.6
ATL 15.0 +0.2
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
52.4%
ATL 44.0%
MIA 54.5% +10.5%
TO %
16.3%
14.0%
ATL 10.3% +2.5%
MIA 12.8%
ORB %
30.8%
27.0%
ATL 33.3%
MIA 35.0% +1.7%
FTrt
29.9
38.7
ATL 32.1
MIA 53.2 +21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
57.8%
ATL 58.3% +0.8%
MIA 57.5%
STL %
8.1%
6.8%
ATL 9.7% +5.6%
MIA 4.1%
BLK %
6.7%
8.7%
ATL 6.5%
MIA 12.9% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.8%
52.7%
ATL 44.7%
MIA 55.0% +10.3%
Rim FG%
55.4%
63.0%
ATL 51.5%
MIA 68.8% +17.3%
Mid FG%
37.3%
41.0%
ATL 45.9%
MIA 46.7% +0.8%
3P %
31.2%
37.7%
ATL 14.3%
MIA 26.7% +12.4%
FT %
71.1%
67.2%
ATL 66.7% +0.8%
MIA 65.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.4%
37.6%
ATL 39.3%
MIA 41.6% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
42.6%
ATL 44.0%
MIA 39.0% +5.1%
3P Att. %
14.6%
19.8%
ATL 16.7%
MIA 19.5% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9398
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points92111
Rebounds4246
Assists2123
Steals94
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals36-8440-77
At-the-Rim FG17-3322-32
Midrange FG17-3714-30
2-Point FG34-7036-62
3-Point FG2-144-15
Free Throws18-2727-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 28
42.9
18
39%
16
5
3
1
2
4
7
9
6-11
55%
6-11
55%
0-6
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
40.1
13
46%
5
3
3
0
0
3
3
2
1-2
50%
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
38.9
7
23%
3
10
0
0
1
4
1
2
5-6
83%
1-8
13%
0-4
0%
G · 6'9" 225 · 19
36.7
13
59%
9
1
2
3
2
3
2
7
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 27
20.4
17
77%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
7-10
70%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 270 · 29
20.4
11
42%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-12
33%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22
20.3
6
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 168 · 34
9.1
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 31
8.5
3
50%
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 270 · 29
2.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 21
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
45%
42
21
9
4
9
0
16
26
18-27
67%
34-70
49%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.