FinalWin Prob.pScore
1354%93
87
3446%92
90
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
95.69195.0
NOK
98.99187.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0IND87
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot87
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHRogers Tip Shot (12 PTS)87
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0NOHMISS Dickau Free Throw 2 of 287
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
6.3%
88
93.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDTinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)87
39.7%
87
60.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
13.6%
87
86.4%
Q4 - 0:30.0NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
15.0%
86
85.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 184
25.2%
85
74.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDO'Neal Layup (24 PTS)84
22.8%
85
77.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
13.6%
85
86.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDMISS O'Neal Layup82
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
13.1%
85
86.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
14.5%
84
85.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)82
29.4%
83
70.6%
Q4 - 1:01INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)79
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 1:02NOHMISS Nailon 18' Jump Shot79
9.8%
83
90.2%
Q4 - 1:22NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q4 - 1:24INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 1:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)79
17.6%
83
82.4%
Q4 - 1:46NOHMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
15.5%
83
84.5%
Q4 - 2:10NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q4 - 2:12INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot79
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q4 - 2:22INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)79
21.2%
83
78.8%
Q4 - 2:23NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot79
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q4 - 2:37INDTinsley Layup (22 PTS)79
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 2:45INDCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
9.8%
83
90.2%
Q4 - 2:46NOHMISS Dickau 16' Jump Shot77
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 3:04NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 3:06INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 277
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 3:06INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 277
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q4 - 3:20NOHNailon 15' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Dickau 5 AST)77
10.9%
83
89.1%
Q4 - 3:41INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
18.2%
81
81.8%
Q4 - 3:41INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
17.1%
81
82.9%
Q4 - 3:52NOHRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
13.3%
81
86.7%
Q4 - 3:52NOHRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q4 - 4:12INDTinsley Driving Layup (18 PTS)75
17.5%
79
82.5%
Q4 - 4:19INDPacers Rebound73
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q4 - 4:21INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 273
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q4 - 4:21INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q4 - 4:31NOHRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
9.2%
79
90.8%
Q4 - 4:31NOHRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 4:49INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
12.5%
77
87.5%
Q4 - 4:49INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 5:05NOHDickau 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q4 - 5:22INDO'Neal Layup (22 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)70
15.7%
75
84.3%
Q4 - 5:41NOHRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)68
11.8%
75
88.2%
Q4 - 5:57INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T13)68
8.6%
75
91.4%
Q4 - 6:10NOHRogers Layup (6 PTS)68
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q4 - 6:32INDTinsley 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)68
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q4 - 6:54NOHRogers Layup (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)65
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q4 - 7:09INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Tinsley 9 AST)65
16.7%
71
83.3%
Q4 - 7:26INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
13.5%
71
86.5%
Q4 - 7:27NOHMISS Nachbar 13' Jump Shot63
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q4 - 7:50INDO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS)63
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q4 - 8:04NOHHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
9.8%
71
90.3%
Q4 - 8:04NOHHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q4 - 8:09NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
12.2%
69
87.8%
Q4 - 8:10INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q4 - 8:23INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
15.2%
69
84.8%
Q4 - 8:24INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot61
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q4 - 8:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
15.1%
69
84.9%
Q4 - 8:35NOHMISS Nailon Layup61
14.1%
69
85.9%
Q4 - 8:48NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q4 - 8:50INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot61
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q4 - 9:07NOHNailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)61
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q4 - 9:07NOHNailon Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)61
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q4 - 9:09NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
20.4%
67
79.6%
Q4 - 9:12INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot61
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q4 - 9:26NOHNachbar Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)61
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q4 - 9:35NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q4 - 9:36INDMISS Foster Tip Shot61
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q4 - 9:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)61
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q4 - 9:39INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot61
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q4 - 10:01NOHAndersen 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nailon 2 AST)61
26.1%
67
73.9%
Q4 - 10:12NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
30.3%
65
69.7%
Q4 - 10:13INDMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 261
31.0%
65
69.0%
Q4 - 10:13INDMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 261
34.4%
65
65.6%
Q4 - 10:31NOHNailon 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nachbar 2 AST)61
35.6%
65
64.4%
Q4 - 10:46INDCroshere Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)61
40.6%
63
59.4%
Q4 - 11:03NOHRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)61
46.5%
63
53.5%
Q4 - 11:17INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T11)61
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q4 - 11:33NOHHarrington 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
46.5%
63
53.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH61
51.7%
61
48.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound61
51.7%
61
48.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Dickau Layup61
55.6%
61
44.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDJones 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
52.4%
61
47.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
47.1%
61
52.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Nachbar Layup59
45.6%
61
54.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDNachbar STEAL (1 STL)59
42.1%
61
57.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)59
47.1%
61
52.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0NOHMISS Nachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
45.6%
61
54.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
42.0%
61
58.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0INDMISS Foster 17' Jump Shot59
43.6%
61
56.4%
Q3 - 1:21NOHDickau 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
47.9%
61
52.1%
Q3 - 1:37NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)59
52.6%
59
47.4%
Q3 - 1:38INDMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot59
54.1%
59
45.9%
Q3 - 1:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)59
57.6%
59
42.4%
Q3 - 1:52INDMISS Curry 16' Jump Shot59
54.1%
59
45.9%
Q3 - 2:09NOHBrown Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)59
57.2%
59
42.8%
Q3 - 2:17INDCroshere Foul Turnover (P1.T9)59
52.2%
59
47.8%
Q3 - 2:35NOHNailon 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Dickau 4 AST)59
57.2%
59
42.8%
Q3 - 2:40NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
61.3%
57
38.7%
Q3 - 2:44INDMISS Jones Layup59
62.8%
57
37.2%
Q3 - 2:49INDPacers Rebound59
66.0%
57
34.0%
Q3 - 2:49INDAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)59
62.8%
57
37.2%
Q3 - 3:08NOHNailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
65.8%
57
34.2%
Q3 - 3:08NOHMISS Nailon Free Throw 1 of 259
66.3%
56
33.7%
Q3 - 3:08NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
65.5%
56
34.5%
Q3 - 3:08NOHMISS Nachbar 20' Jump Shot59
68.4%
56
31.6%
Q3 - 3:26NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
65.5%
56
34.5%
Q3 - 3:26INDMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot59
66.8%
56
33.2%
Q3 - 3:43NOHNailon Layup (21 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)59
69.7%
56
30.3%
Q3 - 4:11INDTinsley 10' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)59
72.3%
54
27.7%
Q3 - 4:27NOHRogers Foul Turnover (P3.T10)57
69.3%
54
30.7%
Q3 - 4:33NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q3 - 4:35INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot57
66.3%
54
33.7%
Q3 - 4:54INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
69.3%
54
30.7%
Q3 - 4:56NOHMISS Smith Layup57
68.0%
54
31.9%
Q3 - 5:00NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q3 - 5:02INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
66.1%
54
33.9%
Q3 - 5:16INDPacers Rebound57
68.8%
54
31.2%
Q3 - 5:17INDMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot57
66.1%
54
33.9%
Q3 - 5:32INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
68.8%
54
31.2%
Q3 - 5:35NOHMISS Brown Tip Shot57
67.6%
54
32.4%
Q3 - 5:36NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
64.8%
54
35.2%
Q3 - 5:38NOHMISS Nailon Layup57
67.6%
54
32.4%
Q3 - 5:58NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
64.8%
54
35.2%
Q3 - 5:59INDRogers BLOCK (2 BLK)57
66.1%
54
33.9%
Q3 - 6:17NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
68.3%
54
31.7%
Q3 - 6:17NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
68.7%
53
31.3%
Q3 - 6:21INDSmith STEAL (1 STL)57
71.4%
52
28.6%
Q3 - 6:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
74.8%
52
25.2%
Q3 - 6:36NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 257
74.4%
52
25.6%
Q3 - 6:36NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
72.5%
52
27.5%
Q3 - 6:38INDDickau STEAL (2 STL)57
74.6%
51
25.4%
Q3 - 6:54INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
77.7%
51
22.3%
Q3 - 6:56NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 7:09NOHHORNETS Rebound57
73.6%
51
26.4%
Q3 - 7:09NOHMISS Smith Layup57
75.9%
51
24.1%
Q3 - 7:15NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
73.6%
51
26.4%
Q3 - 7:16INDMISS Miller Layup57
74.7%
51
25.3%
Q3 - 7:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
76.9%
51
23.1%
Q3 - 7:21NOHMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
76.0%
51
24.0%
Q3 - 7:27NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
73.6%
51
26.4%
Q3 - 7:30INDMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot57
74.7%
51
25.3%
Q3 - 7:51NOHDickau Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)57
77.0%
51
23.0%
Q3 - 8:14INDFoster Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)57
79.0%
49
21.0%
Q3 - 8:25INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
76.7%
49
23.3%
Q3 - 8:27INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
74.5%
49
25.5%
Q3 - 8:51NOHSmith 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rogers 2 AST)55
76.7%
49
23.3%
Q3 - 9:11INDMiller Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)55
78.5%
47
21.5%
Q3 - 9:11INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)54
78.2%
47
21.8%
Q3 - 9:11INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)53
78.0%
47
22.0%
Q3 - 9:18NOHBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)52
73.2%
47
26.8%
Q3 - 9:34NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
70.1%
47
29.9%
Q3 - 9:36NOHMISS Nailon 19' Jump Shot52
72.3%
47
27.7%
Q3 - 9:59INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
70.2%
47
29.8%
Q3 - 9:59INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
69.9%
47
30.1%
Q3 - 10:08INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
67.1%
47
32.9%
Q3 - 10:09NOHMISS Brown Layup50
66.0%
47
34.0%
Q3 - 10:13NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
63.5%
47
36.5%
Q3 - 10:15NOHMISS Dickau 21' Jump Shot50
66.0%
47
34.0%
Q3 - 10:28INDFoster Layup (6 PTS)50
63.5%
47
36.5%
Q3 - 10:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
60.5%
47
39.5%
Q3 - 10:33INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot48
57.9%
47
42.1%
Q3 - 10:54INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
60.5%
47
39.5%
Q3 - 10:56NOHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot48
59.4%
47
40.6%
Q3 - 11:04INDNailon STEAL (1 STL)48
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q3 - 11:11INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
60.6%
47
39.4%
Q3 - 11:13NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot48
59.6%
47
40.4%
Q3 - 11:32NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q3 - 11:36INDMISS Jones 7' Running Jump Shot48
58.2%
47
41.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH48
60.6%
47
39.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDFoster 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)48
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOHDickau Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)46
53.5%
47
46.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0INDO'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)46
51.2%
47
48.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0NOHSmith Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)44
46.9%
47
53.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
51.1%
45
48.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 1:19NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 1:19NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
47.7%
44
52.3%
Q2 - 1:19NOHMISS Dickau Free Throw Technical42
51.6%
43
48.4%
Q2 - 1:21NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
51.6%
43
48.4%
Q2 - 1:23INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot42
52.1%
43
47.9%
Q2 - 1:41NOHNailon Layup (19 PTS) (Dickau 3 AST)42
53.3%
43
46.7%
Q2 - 1:56INDTinsley Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
58.0%
41
42.0%
Q2 - 2:03INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
54.0%
41
46.0%
Q2 - 2:06NOHMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
53.1%
41
46.9%
Q2 - 2:21INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P3.T5)40
51.1%
41
48.9%
Q2 - 2:34NOHDickau Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
54.0%
41
46.0%
Q2 - 2:41NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
51.1%
41
48.9%
Q2 - 2:43INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 2:58NOHNailon 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)40
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 3:12NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 3:13NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot40
59.3%
39
40.7%
Q2 - 3:25NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 3:29INDRogers BLOCK (1 BLK)40
58.1%
39
41.9%
Q2 - 3:44INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 3:46NOHMISS Nailon Layup40
59.3%
39
40.7%
Q2 - 4:06INDMiller Layup (5 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)40
57.3%
39
42.7%
Q2 - 4:21NOHNailon 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)38
54.4%
39
45.6%
Q2 - 4:33NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
57.3%
37
42.7%
Q2 - 4:36INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
58.1%
37
41.9%
Q2 - 4:52NOHNailon Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)38
60.1%
37
39.9%
Q2 - 5:00NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
62.8%
35
37.2%
Q2 - 5:02INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot38
63.5%
35
36.5%
Q2 - 5:12INDMiller Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)38
65.5%
35
34.5%
Q2 - 5:27NOHRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)37
62.9%
35
37.1%
Q2 - 5:40INDO'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)37
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 5:44INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
57.4%
35
42.6%
Q2 - 5:45NOHMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot35
56.5%
35
43.5%
Q2 - 6:02INDO'Neal 11' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)35
54.5%
35
45.5%
Q2 - 6:25NOHHarrington 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)33
52.3%
35
47.7%
Q2 - 6:48INDJones 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)33
54.5%
33
45.5%
Q2 - 7:17NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)31
52.4%
33
47.6%
Q2 - 7:33NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
54.9%
31
45.1%
Q2 - 7:35NOHMISS Freije 11' Jump Shot31
56.8%
31
43.2%
Q2 - 7:42NOHHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
54.8%
31
45.2%
Q2 - 7:44INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
55.7%
31
44.3%
Q2 - 8:01NOHBrown 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)31
57.5%
31
42.5%
Q2 - 8:28INDJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
59.7%
29
40.3%
Q2 - 8:37NOHAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)28
55.0%
29
45.0%
Q2 - 8:59INDJones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
52.1%
29
47.9%
Q2 - 9:14INDCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
49.9%
29
50.1%
Q2 - 9:15NOHMISS Freije 3PT Jump Shot26
49.1%
29
50.9%
Q2 - 9:31NOHHORNETS Rebound26
47.1%
29
52.9%
Q2 - 9:32INDAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)26
48.0%
29
52.0%
Q2 - 9:52NOHFreije Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
49.9%
29
50.1%
Q2 - 10:10INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
47.1%
29
52.9%
Q2 - 10:10INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 10:21INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 10:22NOHMISS Nailon Free Throw 2 of 224
44.6%
29
55.4%
Q2 - 10:22NOHNailon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)24
42.8%
29
57.2%
Q2 - 10:34NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
44.6%
28
55.4%
Q2 - 10:36INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot24
45.5%
28
54.5%
Q2 - 10:50NOHNachbar Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
47.4%
28
52.6%
Q2 - 10:50NOHMISS Nachbar Free Throw 1 of 224
47.9%
27
52.1%
Q2 - 11:05NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 11:08NOHMISS Harrington Layup24
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q2 - 11:14NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 11:15INDMISS Johnson Layup24
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 11:34NOHNailon Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)24
49.8%
27
50.2%
Q2 - 11:43NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
52.2%
25
47.8%
Q2 - 11:45INDMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot24
53.0%
25
47.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH24
54.7%
25
45.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDCurry Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)24
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHNailon 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
49.5%
25
50.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
52.4%
23
47.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)22
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0NOHAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
52.4%
23
47.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDMISS Croshere 23' Jump Shot22
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q1 - 1:21INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q1 - 1:22NOHMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 222
54.1%
23
45.9%
Q1 - 1:22NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
52.6%
23
47.4%
Q1 - 1:30NOHFreije REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
54.9%
22
45.1%
Q1 - 1:32INDMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot22
55.4%
22
44.6%
Q1 - 1:52NOHDickau Driving Layup (8 PTS)22
56.7%
22
43.3%
Q1 - 2:20INDCroshere 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)22
59.5%
20
40.5%
Q1 - 2:37NOHAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
57.1%
20
42.9%
Q1 - 2:37NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
57.7%
19
42.3%
Q1 - 2:37NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
59.5%
18
40.5%
Q1 - 2:40NOHMISS Dickau 7' Running Jump Shot20
61.0%
18
39.0%
Q1 - 2:57INDCroshere 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)20
59.5%
18
40.5%
Q1 - 3:16NOHAndersen Layup (4 PTS)18
57.2%
18
42.8%
Q1 - 3:17NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
59.1%
16
40.9%
Q1 - 3:19NOHMISS Nailon 15' Jump Shot18
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 3:33NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
59.1%
16
40.9%
Q1 - 3:34INDMISS Tinsley 6' Jump Shot18
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 3:40INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 3:42NOHMISS Rogers Layup18
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 3:59INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
59.1%
16
40.9%
Q1 - 4:18NOHMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 116
57.0%
16
43.0%
Q1 - 4:18NOHAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)16
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 4:34INDTinsley 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)16
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 4:41INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
57.3%
14
42.7%
Q1 - 4:42NOHMISS Nachbar 17' Jump Shot14
56.5%
14
43.5%
Q1 - 4:54NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
54.7%
14
45.3%
Q1 - 4:55INDMISS O'Neal 10' Fadeaway Jumper14
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 5:20NOHNailon 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
57.2%
14
42.8%
Q1 - 5:42INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 5:42INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
58.6%
12
41.4%
Q1 - 5:56NOHNailon 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 5:58NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 6:01NOHMISS Nailon 9' Jump Shot12
60.3%
10
39.7%
Q1 - 6:24INDFoster Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)12
58.9%
10
41.1%
Q1 - 6:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
57.0%
10
43.0%
Q1 - 6:34NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
56.4%
10
43.6%
Q1 - 6:42INDTinsley Layup (4 PTS)10
54.9%
10
45.1%
Q1 - 6:52NOHBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
53.0%
10
47.0%
Q1 - 7:03INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)8
51.2%
10
48.8%
Q1 - 7:27NOHNailon 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 7:39NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
51.2%
8
48.8%
Q1 - 7:41INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
51.8%
8
48.2%
Q1 - 8:01NOHDickau 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)6
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 8:19INDO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)6
55.4%
6
44.6%
Q1 - 8:39NOHRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
53.7%
6
46.3%
Q1 - 8:51INDTinsley 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
51.6%
6
48.4%
Q1 - 9:01INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 9:02NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot2
49.2%
6
50.8%
Q1 - 9:16INDMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)2
47.5%
6
52.5%
Q1 - 9:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 9:33NOHMISS Nailon 12' Jump Shot2
49.2%
6
50.8%
Q1 - 9:46INDMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T3)2
47.5%
6
52.5%
Q1 - 9:55NOHDickau Layup (4 PTS)2
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 9:58INDDickau STEAL (1 STL)2
51.3%
4
48.7%
Q1 - 10:04NOHRogers Layup (2 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)2
53.5%
4
46.5%
Q1 - 10:23INDMiller 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 10:39NOHDickau Layup (2 PTS)0
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 10:44NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 10:46INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot0
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 11:05NOHMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot0
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 11:14INDTinsley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:14INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 11:16NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot0
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 11:32NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:33INDMISS Miller 11' Running Jump Shot0
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 11:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:46NOHMISS Smith Layup0
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Brown vs. O'Neal: Tip to Nailon0
55.4%
0
44.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.4%
NOK
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
24
58%
NOK
15
27
56%
Midrange
IND
15
37
41%
NOK
18
38
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
NOK
7
0%
Free Throws
IND
17
23
74%
NOK
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tinsley2867%14.0 / 21
J. O'Neal2444%12.0 / 27
R. Miller1063%5.0 / 8
J. Foster867%4.0 / 6
F. Jones650%3.0 / 6
A. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
A. Croshere433%2.0 / 6
M. Curry225%1.0 / 4
J. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Nailon3060%15.0 / 25
D. Dickau1757%8.5 / 15
R. Rogers1260%6.0 / 10
C. Andersen975%4.5 / 6
P. Brown844%4.0 / 9
J. Smith735%3.5 / 10
J. Harrington660%3.0 / 5
B. Nachbar18%0.5 / 6
M. Freije0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+10
-13
88
NOK
77
+13
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.4%
NOK
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
96.9
IND 95.6
NOH 98.9 +3.3
Pace
89.9
90.2
IND 95.0 +7.7
NOH 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.1
IND 15.2 +1.3
NOH 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
44.6%
IND 46.1% +0.3%
NOH 45.8%
TO %
14.7%
15.3%
IND 13.1% +0.9%
NOH 14.0%
ORB %
26.5%
29.2%
IND 16.7%
NOH 26.2% +9.5%
FTrt
35.8
27.9
IND 30.3
NOH 44.4 +14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
63.4%
IND 48.5%
NOH 60.6% +12.1%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
IND 4.4%
NOH 5.5% +1.1%
BLK %
6.8%
6.3%
IND 4.6%
NOH 8.2% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
46.8%
IND 49.4%
NOH 49.5% +0.1%
Rim FG%
55.1%
52.2%
IND 58.3% +2.7%
NOH 55.6%
Mid FG%
39.5%
38.2%
IND 40.5%
NOH 47.4% +6.9%
3P %
34.4%
31.5%
IND 26.7% +26.7%
NOH 0.0%
FT %
79.2%
76.6%
IND 73.9%
NOH 75.0% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
32.7%
IND 31.6%
NOH 37.5% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
42.1%
47.2%
IND 48.7% +4.1%
NOH 52.8%
3P Att. %
25.5%
20.1%
IND 19.7% +10.0%
NOH 9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsINDNOH
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points8790
Rebounds3846
Assists1620
Steals45
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)35 (2)
Field Goals33-7633-72
At-the-Rim FG14-2415-27
Midrange FG15-3718-38
2-Point FG29-6133-65
3-Point FG4-150-7
Free Throws17-2324-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 255 · 26
38.0
24
44%
11
0
0
1
3
4
3
8
4-7
57%
10-23
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
37.2
8
67%
15
0
2
0
0
2
4
11
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
36.0
28
67%
8
9
1
0
4
4
0
8
5-6
83%
7-9
78%
3-9
33%
G · 6'7" 195 · 39
31.7
10
63%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
6-6
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 218 · 24
23.3
0
0%
1
1
0
2
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 225 · 26
27.9
6
50%
0
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
20.8
4
33%
1
0
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 36
13.1
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 30
12.0
5
42%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30
F · 7'0" 230 · 24
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
49%
38
16
4
3
13
0
7
31
17-23
74%
29-61
48%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.