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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 19, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies32%9888
5Suns68%10479
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.4
37.4
33.3
9
39%
14
0
2
1
2
0
4
10
6-6
100%
0-5
3-5
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
32.5
33.8
5
32%
4
2
1
1
1
3
2
2
1-4
25%
2-6
7-14
33%
49%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.0
25.9
29.7
5
25%
9
0
1
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.2
23.9
27.8
11
61%
1
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
3-7
43%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
7.0
21.8
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
30.7
23.0
16
54%
9
2
1
1
1
0
1
8
2-2
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
44%
0-2
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.2
25.5
21.2
14
60%
4
1
1
1
3
2
1
3
4-6
67%
5-9
3-8
56%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
25.1
10.0
13
42%
5
0
3
0
1
0
3
2
6-6
100%
2-10
1-2
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.6
24.1
19.3
9
51%
4
5
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
7.9
13.6
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.6
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Andre Emmett
G · 6'5" 230 · 22.4
2.1
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 23.6
42.1
37.1
15
38%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-16
4-9
19%
45%
3-4
75%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 24.8
42.1
35.0
19
40%
13
0
1
1
0
3
3
10
5-6
83%
4-11
2-5
36%
43%
2-10
20%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 26.7
38.7
35.1
18
45%
12
5
2
2
0
2
5
7
8-9
89%
5-14
4-9
36%
49%
0-2
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.2
35.7
35.9
8
34%
4
0
3
1
2
2
1
3
0-2
0%
4-11
9-17
36%
52%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.2
30.4
7.7
6
61%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
22.0
24.1
7
48%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.6
16.3
2.3
6
50%
2
4
2
0
0
6
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
9.0
6.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
3.6
14.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.9
14.6
0
2-4
51%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.6
4.6
0
1-1
47%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.0
4.2
0
1-2
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.