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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Cavaliers29%9896
8Kings71%105123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.1
36.6
41.4
18
46%
8
6
1
2
0
3
1
7
0-1
0%
9-18
8-17
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.3
30.1
24.0
17
46%
9
0
0
1
0
0
4
5
7-8
88%
5-15
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.6
29.1
32.7
16
52%
11
1
0
1
0
5
5
6
8-10
80%
4-11
5-11
36%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
28.1
37.8
9
37%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
45%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
18.8
26.9
4
50%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
25.1
20.0
2
20%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.1
18.1
13.0
7
58%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
17.9
17.6
6
75%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.2
17.4
7.7
7
39%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-7
1-2
43%
42%
0-1
0%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.0
12.6
12.2
6
50%
5
0
0
0
1
2
4
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.0
6.3
3.4
4
45%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
35%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.8
1.8
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
38.4
34.6
17
59%
10
11
0
1
1
2
1
9
1-3
33%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
4-7
57%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.4
35.8
32.7
18
53%
5
3
2
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
3-8
38%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
34.7
37.9
27
54%
13
7
0
1
2
2
3
10
2-2
100%
11-23
9-19
48%
47%
1-1
100%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.6
31.7
37.4
19
66%
5
3
3
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
51%
2-5
40%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.8
26.3
35.7
16
102%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
7-7
5-9
100%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
18.0
19.7
4
41%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.9
16.1
16.4
6
60%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.9
14.9
4.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.0
10.6
8.1
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.7
5.6
8.9
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.9
3.9
3.9
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
3.9
1.6
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.