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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 21, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Celtics47%9498
26Nets53%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.3
42.1
37.8
22
58%
7
5
0
2
0
4
3
4
7-7
100%
6-11
6-13
55%
45%
1-5
20%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.5
36.8
32.8
16
78%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.1
25.4
24.6
9
57%
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
23.3
23.3
4
33%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.0
22.5
22.5
10
48%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
8-8
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.3
28.1
26.5
13
49%
0
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
4-5
80%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
1-4
25%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.0
19.0
22.6
8
40%
6
2
0
1
1
2
3
3
0-2
0%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.0
11.4
9.9
2
35%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.2
9.2
11.5
3
39%
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.2
8.9
13.5
2
35%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
7.9
6.4
4
35%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 21.5
5.3
5.6
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
1-1
100%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.8
41.5
41.8
14
61%
9
9
3
2
0
1
2
7
7-8
88%
2-4
4-9
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.5
34.5
32.2
13
42%
12
1
0
1
0
3
3
9
1-3
33%
6-14
5-10
43%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
33.1
38.6
10
59%
7
1
2
1
2
2
3
4
6-8
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.0
32.4
40.4
25
56%
0
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
7-14
8-17
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
29.1
35.4
4
22%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-10
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 32.5
31.9
14.5
24
91%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
5-5
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
43%
3-5
60%
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
14.0
4.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
9.8
9.9
8
69%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
6.8
15.5
1
17%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.9
5.8
3.7
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 26.6
1.1
1.3
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 24.6
11.7
0
2-4
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.