FinalWin Prob.pScore
859%95
86
2441%92
89
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
111.77774.1
MIL logo MIL
114.17881.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET86
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
21.9%
88
78.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 286
19.4%
88
80.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
10.2%
88
89.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILBUCKS Rebound86
20.3%
87
79.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot86
38.1%
87
61.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
24.4%
87
75.6%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
47.2%
87
52.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot86
30.5%
87
69.5%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETMISS Wallace Layup86
30.4%
87
69.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
48.7%
87
51.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
51.7%
86
48.3%
Q4 - 1:05MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
61.7%
85
38.3%
Q4 - 1:07DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot86
66.2%
85
33.8%
Q4 - 1:29MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
75.5%
85
24.5%
Q4 - 1:29MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
76.8%
84
23.2%
Q4 - 1:47DETWallace 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)86
81.7%
83
18.3%
Q4 - 2:09MILJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)84
75.9%
83
24.1%
Q4 - 2:28DETHamilton 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
86.8%
80
13.2%
Q4 - 2:50DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
83.9%
80
16.1%
Q4 - 2:52DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot82
74.0%
80
26.0%
Q4 - 3:16MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)82
81.4%
80
18.6%
Q4 - 3:38DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)82
83.1%
78
16.9%
Q4 - 3:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
77.7%
78
22.3%
Q4 - 3:53DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot80
72.7%
78
27.3%
Q4 - 4:15MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
77.9%
78
22.1%
Q4 - 4:15MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 280
78.9%
77
21.1%
Q4 - 4:27DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)80
77.6%
77
22.4%
Q4 - 4:31DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
62.3%
77
37.7%
Q4 - 4:33DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot77
55.5%
77
44.5%
Q4 - 4:40DETPistons Rebound77
62.3%
77
37.7%
Q4 - 4:41DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot77
55.5%
77
44.5%
Q4 - 4:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
62.3%
77
37.7%
Q4 - 4:53MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
52.4%
77
47.6%
Q4 - 4:53MILMISS Smith Tip Shot77
59.4%
77
40.6%
Q4 - 4:55MILMISS Smith Layup77
59.4%
77
40.6%
Q4 - 5:15DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)77
53.8%
77
46.2%
Q4 - 5:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
45.8%
77
54.2%
Q4 - 5:32MILMISS James Free Throw 2 of 275
44.6%
77
55.4%
Q4 - 5:32MILJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
39.3%
77
60.7%
Q4 - 5:35DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)75
45.4%
76
54.6%
Q4 - 5:58MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)75
54.1%
76
45.9%
Q4 - 5:58MILBUCKS Rebound75
45.3%
76
54.7%
Q4 - 5:58MILMISS Pachulia 3' Jump Shot75
51.4%
76
48.6%
Q4 - 6:27DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)75
46.7%
76
53.3%
Q4 - 6:46MILJames 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
33.2%
76
66.8%
Q4 - 6:52MILBUCKS Rebound72
39.2%
74
60.8%
Q4 - 6:52MILMISS Van Horn Layup72
45.1%
74
54.9%
Q4 - 6:56DETVan Horn STEAL (1 STL)72
39.2%
74
60.8%
Q4 - 7:25MILMason 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)72
49.5%
74
50.5%
Q4 - 7:43MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
55.5%
72
44.5%
Q4 - 7:44DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot72
57.8%
72
42.2%
Q4 - 8:00DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
63.0%
72
37.0%
Q4 - 8:02MILMISS Van Horn 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
60.4%
72
39.6%
Q4 - 8:11MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
56.0%
72
44.0%
Q4 - 8:14DETMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot72
58.0%
72
42.0%
Q4 - 8:22DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
62.3%
72
37.7%
Q4 - 8:24MILMISS Fizer 14' Jump Shot72
60.4%
72
39.6%
Q4 - 8:49DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
56.0%
72
44.0%
Q4 - 8:49DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
55.4%
72
44.6%
Q4 - 8:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
49.8%
72
50.2%
Q4 - 8:59MILMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot70
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q4 - 9:16MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
44.6%
72
55.4%
Q4 - 9:18DETMISS Billups 10' Jump Shot70
46.5%
72
53.5%
Q4 - 9:32DETPistons Rebound70
50.8%
72
49.2%
Q4 - 9:33MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
48.9%
72
51.1%
Q4 - 9:38MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
44.5%
72
55.5%
Q4 - 9:40DETDupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
50.8%
72
49.2%
Q4 - 9:40DETMISS Dupree Tip Shot70
46.4%
72
53.6%
Q4 - 9:42DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot70
46.4%
72
53.6%
Q4 - 10:06MILFizer 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)70
51.2%
72
48.8%
Q4 - 10:21DETHamilton Layup (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)70
56.5%
70
43.5%
Q4 - 10:37MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)68
51.3%
70
48.7%
Q4 - 10:54DETMcDyess 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dupree 1 AST)68
45.1%
70
54.9%
Q4 - 11:08MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
40.3%
70
59.7%
Q4 - 11:08MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
41.7%
69
58.3%
Q4 - 11:20MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
45.4%
68
54.6%
Q4 - 11:22DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot66
47.1%
68
52.9%
Q4 - 11:37MILJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
51.1%
68
48.9%
Q4 - 11:37MILJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
52.2%
67
47.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL66
56.2%
66
43.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MILBUCKS Rebound66
57.0%
66
43.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 266
57.7%
66
42.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)66
61.0%
66
39.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Fizer 4 AST)65
57.0%
66
43.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETJames STEAL (1 STL)65
66.6%
63
33.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILVan Horn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)65
71.0%
63
29.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETFizer STEAL (2 STL)65
66.6%
63
33.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0MILVan Horn 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)65
71.0%
63
29.0%
Q3 - 1:07MILBUCKS Rebound65
78.1%
60
21.9%
Q3 - 1:09DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
79.2%
60
20.8%
Q3 - 1:27DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
81.4%
60
18.6%
Q3 - 1:29MILMISS Van Horn 19' Jump Shot65
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 1:31MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
78.2%
60
21.8%
Q3 - 1:33MILMISS Redd Dunk65
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 1:37DETPachulia STEAL (1 STL)65
78.2%
60
21.8%
Q3 - 1:49DETPistons Rebound65
81.4%
60
18.6%
Q3 - 1:50DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot65
79.2%
60
20.8%
Q3 - 2:06DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 2:07MILMISS James Layup65
79.5%
60
20.5%
Q3 - 2:12DETRedd STEAL (1 STL)65
77.1%
60
22.9%
Q3 - 2:33MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)65
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 2:48MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
77.2%
60
22.8%
Q3 - 2:51DETJames BLOCK (1 BLK)65
78.2%
60
21.8%
Q3 - 3:13MILSmith Dunk (13 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)65
80.0%
60
20.0%
Q3 - 3:36DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)65
82.6%
58
17.4%
Q3 - 3:47DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
80.0%
58
20.0%
Q3 - 3:49MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot63
79.1%
58
20.9%
Q3 - 4:10DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)63
76.2%
58
23.8%
Q3 - 4:19DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
73.4%
58
26.6%
Q3 - 4:21DETGadzuric BLOCK (3 BLK)61
70.6%
58
29.4%
Q3 - 4:32DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
73.4%
58
26.6%
Q3 - 4:34MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot61
72.2%
58
27.8%
Q3 - 4:59DETBillups 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
69.4%
58
30.6%
Q3 - 5:10MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)59
65.9%
58
34.1%
Q3 - 5:23MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
61.8%
58
38.2%
Q3 - 5:24DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 259
62.4%
58
37.6%
Q3 - 5:24DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)59
64.9%
58
35.1%
Q3 - 5:40MILMason 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)58
62.1%
58
37.9%
Q3 - 6:00MILBUCKS Rebound58
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 6:01DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot58
66.7%
56
33.3%
Q3 - 6:14MILMason Foul Turnover (P4.T8)58
69.3%
56
30.7%
Q3 - 6:26MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
65.5%
56
34.5%
Q3 - 6:28DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
66.7%
56
33.3%
Q3 - 6:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
69.3%
56
30.7%
Q3 - 6:36DETGadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK)58
66.7%
56
33.3%
Q3 - 6:51MILGadzuric Layup (9 PTS)58
69.3%
56
30.7%
Q3 - 7:17DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
71.6%
54
28.4%
Q3 - 7:21DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
68.8%
54
31.2%
Q3 - 7:23MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot56
67.6%
54
32.4%
Q3 - 7:43DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 7:43DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
64.5%
54
35.5%
Q3 - 7:47MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)54
61.8%
54
38.2%
Q3 - 7:53MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
57.5%
54
42.5%
Q3 - 7:55DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot54
58.9%
54
41.1%
Q3 - 8:17MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)54
62.1%
54
37.9%
Q3 - 8:37DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)54
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q3 - 9:00MILGadzuric Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
62.0%
51
38.0%
Q3 - 9:13MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
65.2%
49
34.8%
Q3 - 9:15DETMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot51
66.3%
49
33.7%
Q3 - 9:33DETPistons Rebound51
68.6%
49
31.4%
Q3 - 9:33MILMISS Mason Layup51
67.6%
49
32.4%
Q3 - 10:02DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)51
65.3%
49
34.7%
Q3 - 10:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
59.1%
49
40.9%
Q3 - 10:13MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot48
57.9%
49
42.1%
Q3 - 10:34MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
55.1%
49
44.9%
Q3 - 10:36DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot48
56.3%
49
43.7%
Q3 - 10:53MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
59.0%
49
41.0%
Q3 - 10:57MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
62.0%
47
38.0%
Q3 - 10:59DETGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)48
63.1%
47
36.9%
Q3 - 11:21MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
65.9%
47
34.1%
Q3 - 11:42MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
71.7%
44
28.3%
Q3 - 11:44DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
72.6%
44
27.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET48
74.6%
44
25.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
74.6%
44
25.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams Layup48
73.7%
44
26.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
71.9%
44
28.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot48
73.2%
44
26.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
71.9%
44
28.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
72.5%
44
27.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILJump Ball Williams vs. Hunter: Tip to Wallace48
73.8%
44
26.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETBillups Layup (11 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)48
71.9%
44
28.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)46
68.4%
44
31.6%
Q2 - 1:13MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
66.4%
44
33.6%
Q2 - 1:14DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 246
66.6%
44
33.4%
Q2 - 1:14DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q2 - 1:25MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
65.0%
44
35.0%
Q2 - 1:25MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 245
65.5%
43
34.5%
Q2 - 1:25MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
66.4%
43
33.6%
Q2 - 1:26MILMISS Williams Layup45
67.4%
43
32.6%
Q2 - 1:49MILBUCKS Rebound45
66.4%
43
33.6%
Q2 - 1:50MILMISS Gadzuric Layup45
67.5%
43
32.5%
Q2 - 1:51MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
66.4%
43
33.6%
Q2 - 1:53MILMISS Gadzuric Layup45
67.5%
43
32.5%
Q2 - 2:18DETBillups 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)45
65.7%
43
34.3%
Q2 - 2:38MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
62.6%
43
37.4%
Q2 - 2:38MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q2 - 2:52DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q2 - 2:52DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
65.4%
41
34.6%
Q2 - 3:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
63.0%
41
37.0%
Q2 - 3:03MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot41
62.1%
41
37.9%
Q2 - 3:20DETWallace 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
59.9%
41
40.1%
Q2 - 3:34DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
57.3%
41
42.7%
Q2 - 3:37DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot39
55.0%
41
45.0%
Q2 - 3:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
57.3%
41
42.7%
Q2 - 3:48DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot39
55.0%
41
45.0%
Q2 - 4:08MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 4:24DETPrince 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)39
54.6%
41
45.4%
Q2 - 4:40MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
51.7%
41
48.3%
Q2 - 4:40MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 237
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 4:46MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
51.7%
40
48.3%
Q2 - 4:48MILMISS Mason Tip Shot37
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 4:49MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
51.7%
40
48.3%
Q2 - 4:50MILMISS Mason Layup37
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 5:09MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 5:13MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot37
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 5:34MILBUCKS Rebound37
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 5:35MILMISS Mason 2' Layup37
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 5:47DETPrince 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 6:03MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)35
50.2%
40
49.8%
Q2 - 6:07MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
46.9%
40
53.1%
Q2 - 6:10DETMason BLOCK (1 BLK)35
47.9%
40
52.1%
Q2 - 6:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
50.2%
40
49.8%
Q2 - 6:18MILMISS Mason 4' Hook Shot35
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q2 - 6:37DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
46.8%
40
53.2%
Q2 - 7:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
50.7%
40
49.3%
Q2 - 7:03MILMISS Fizer 21' Jump Shot35
49.8%
40
50.2%
Q2 - 7:26DETBillups Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)35
47.8%
40
52.2%
Q2 - 7:51MILPachulia Layup (4 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)33
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 8:15MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
47.8%
38
52.2%
Q2 - 8:17DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot33
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 8:30MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)33
50.8%
38
49.2%
Q2 - 8:45DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T3)33
47.8%
38
52.2%
Q2 - 9:04MILJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fizer 3 AST)33
51.1%
38
48.9%
Q2 - 9:24DETHunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)33
55.8%
35
44.2%
Q2 - 9:44MILPachulia 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)30
51.1%
35
48.9%
Q2 - 10:04DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)30
53.2%
33
46.8%
Q2 - 10:30MILVan Horn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)28
51.1%
33
48.9%
Q2 - 10:54DETPrince Layup (9 PTS)28
53.3%
31
46.7%
Q2 - 11:16MILJames Layup (5 PTS)26
51.2%
31
48.8%
Q2 - 11:27MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q2 - 11:32DETMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot26
54.4%
29
45.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL26
56.0%
29
44.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound26
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS James 38' 3PT Jump Shot26
55.3%
29
44.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
53.9%
29
46.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILFizer Dunk (2 PTS)24
51.0%
29
49.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETFizer STEAL (1 STL)24
53.9%
27
46.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
55.8%
27
44.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot24
54.5%
27
45.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MILJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
55.8%
27
44.2%
Q1 - 1:17DETMcDyess Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)24
61.0%
24
39.0%
Q1 - 1:21DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
58.2%
24
41.8%
Q1 - 1:24MILMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot22
57.6%
24
42.4%
Q1 - 1:46DETMcDyess Layup (2 PTS)22
56.4%
24
43.6%
Q1 - 2:02DETPistons Rebound20
54.1%
24
45.9%
Q1 - 2:04MILMISS James 16' Jump Shot20
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q1 - 2:21DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
51.9%
24
48.1%
Q1 - 2:35MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)20
54.1%
24
45.9%
Q1 - 2:45MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
56.5%
22
43.5%
Q1 - 2:47DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot20
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q1 - 2:57MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
58.7%
22
41.3%
Q1 - 2:57MILGadzuric Tip Shot (5 PTS)20
58.7%
22
41.3%
Q1 - 2:58MILMISS Mason Layup20
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q1 - 3:24DETWallace Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)20
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q1 - 3:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q1 - 3:29MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot18
58.3%
20
41.7%
Q1 - 3:52DETBillups Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)18
56.5%
20
43.5%
Q1 - 3:57MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
54.6%
20
45.4%
Q1 - 4:15MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q1 - 4:16DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot16
53.2%
20
46.8%
Q1 - 4:34MILSmith Layup (10 PTS)16
55.0%
20
45.0%
Q1 - 4:36MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 4:37MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot16
58.5%
18
41.5%
Q1 - 4:56MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 4:58MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot16
58.5%
18
41.5%
Q1 - 5:16MILBUCKS Rebound16
57.2%
18
42.8%
Q1 - 5:18DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
57.9%
18
42.1%
Q1 - 5:41MILGadzuric Dunk (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)16
59.5%
18
40.5%
Q1 - 5:56DETPrince Layup (7 PTS)16
61.3%
16
38.7%
Q1 - 6:12MILSmith 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)14
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 6:25DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
61.3%
14
38.7%
Q1 - 6:25DETPrince Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)13
59.4%
14
40.6%
Q1 - 6:46MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
57.5%
14
42.5%
Q1 - 6:46MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 211
58.4%
13
41.6%
Q1 - 7:02DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
57.8%
13
42.2%
Q1 - 7:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
56.2%
13
43.8%
Q1 - 7:09MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot9
55.5%
13
44.5%
Q1 - 7:16MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 7:18DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot9
54.7%
13
45.3%
Q1 - 7:39MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)9
56.1%
13
43.9%
Q1 - 8:03DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)9
60.2%
10
39.8%
Q1 - 8:23MILSmith 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)6
56.7%
10
43.3%
Q1 - 8:27MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 8:29MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot6
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 8:43MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 8:45DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot6
58.9%
8
41.1%
Q1 - 9:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 9:03DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot6
58.7%
8
41.3%
Q1 - 9:32MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 9:40DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)6
61.7%
6
38.3%
Q1 - 10:01MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 10:26DETWallace 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
61.8%
4
38.2%
Q1 - 10:43MILSmith 13' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
60.2%
4
39.8%
Q1 - 11:07DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 11:38MILMason 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. Wallace: Tip to Mason0
62.0%
0
38.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.2%
MIL
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
19
63%
MIL
12
29
41%
Midrange
DET
17
40
43%
MIL
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIL
8
12.0
11
73%
109%
Free Throws
DET
10
13
77%
MIL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2662%13.0 / 21
C. Billups1853%9.0 / 17
R. Hamilton1450%7.0 / 14
R. Wallace1444%7.0 / 16
A. McDyess867%4.0 / 6
L. Hunter467%2.0 / 3
B. Wallace225%1.0 / 4
R. Dupree0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. James2083%10.0 / 12
J. Smith1454%7.0 / 13
M. Redd1354%6.5 / 12
D. Mason1033%5.0 / 15
D. Gadzuric964%4.5 / 7
K. Van Horn750%3.5 / 7
Z. Pachulia770%3.5 / 5
M. Williams542%2.5 / 6
M. Fizer440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
67
+14
-10
81
MIL
66
+18
-12
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.2%
MIL
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
103.5
DET 111.7
MIL 114.1 +2.4
Pace
89.5
93.5
DET 74.1
MIL 81.2 +7.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.4
DET 19.4
MIL 17.7 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
47.5%
DET 50.7%
MIL 51.4% +0.7%
TO %
14.4%
14.2%
DET 11.0% +2.9%
MIL 13.9%
ORB %
31.3%
29.0%
DET 30.6%
MIL 38.7% +8.1%
FTrt
33.5
33.9
DET 17.3
MIL 34.3 +17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
58.0%
DET 62.9% +9.8%
MIL 53.1%
STL %
7.8%
6.9%
DET 7.8%
MIL 9.0% +1.2%
BLK %
9.4%
5.4%
DET 6.8%
MIL 8.5% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.3%
50.1%
DET 51.2%
MIL 52.4% +1.2%
Rim FG%
55.5%
54.1%
DET 63.2% +21.8%
MIL 41.4%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.8%
DET 42.5% +2.5%
MIL 40.0%
3P %
34.5%
35.1%
DET 37.5%
MIL 72.7% +35.2%
FT %
73.9%
77.2%
DET 76.9% +6.1%
MIL 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
37.8%
DET 25.3%
MIL 41.4% +16.1%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
48.1%
DET 53.3%
MIL 42.9% +10.5%
3P Att. %
16.4%
14.1%
DET 21.3% +5.6%
MIL 15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions7778
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points8689
Rebounds3037
Assists2217
Steals67
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)25 (4)
Field Goals35-7532-70
At-the-Rim FG12-1912-29
Midrange FG17-4012-30
2-Point FG29-5924-59
3-Point FG6-168-11
Free Throws10-1317-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 27
41.9
14
50%
7
7
1
0
2
3
3
4
4-4
100%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
41.9
18
53%
1
7
1
1
0
6
0
1
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 212 · 25
41.1
26
62%
5
3
2
0
4
1
1
4
2-3
67%
9-13
69%
2-6
33%
C · 6'9" 240 · 30
37.8
2
25%
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 30
35.5
14
44%
8
2
0
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
4-13
31%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30
22.6
8
67%
2
1
1
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 34
15.0
4
67%
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 209 · 24
4.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 33
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
C · 7'0" 275 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
51%
30
22
6
4
10
0
11
19
10-13
77%
29-59
49%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.