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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 22, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies44%94110
16Jazz56%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.4
38.9
35.3
16
93%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
4-6
67%
0-0
3-6
-
48%
4-6
67%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.0
34.2
30.8
8
67%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
28.1
30.0
23
70%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
9-10
90%
7-12
6-12
58%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.2
25.8
29.5
9
41%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
1-4
25%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
23.7
23.1
9
65%
7
0
0
1
2
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
23.0
16.2
14
82%
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
7-8
88%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
22.2
24.3
10
64%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
4-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.6
22.2
18.0
12
120%
1
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
2-2
100%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.2
17.4
20.8
9
53%
5
0
0
1
2
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
3.9
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Andre Emmett
G · 6'5" 230 · 22.4
0.6
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.6
1.8
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.2
35.1
34.5
17
61%
10
2
0
1
0
5
5
5
9-11
82%
4-9
7-13
44%
53%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.2
34.2
23.8
15
63%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
6-8
3-6
75%
41%
1-3
33%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
31.8
23.9
15
41%
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-3
0%
6-13
4-8
46%
47%
1-4
25%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.6
30.6
34.2
4
20%
8
2
2
1
0
2
4
4
2-4
50%
1-8
5-11
13%
50%
0-0
-
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.4
15.8
19.7
3
52%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
25.7
27.8
22
76%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
9-10
90%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
1-1
100%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
25.4
21.2
10
47%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-6
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
13.0
18.2
3
38%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.1
12.4
17.7
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
11.7
26.8
2
41%
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
4.4
3.8
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.5
0.8
0
0-0
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.