FinalWin Prob.pScore
2022%97
93
578%106
95
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
104.58987.1
DAL logo DAL
105.69092.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN93
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound93
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot93
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
7.4%
95
92.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 293
6.3%
95
93.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMISS White 20' Jump Shot93
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)93
27.2%
94
72.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Driving Layup (34 PTS)93
49.4%
93
50.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMartin Layup (19 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)93
62.0%
91
38.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P5.T18)91
43.6%
91
56.4%
Q4 - 1:03DENBoykins 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)91
26.2%
91
73.8%
Q4 - 1:07DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
10.3%
91
89.7%
Q4 - 1:09DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot88
8.6%
91
91.4%
Q4 - 1:32DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 1:32DENMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 287
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 1:33DENElson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)87
7.0%
91
93.0%
Q4 - 1:35DENMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 1:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)87
7.5%
91
92.5%
Q4 - 1:56DALNowitzki 6' Jump Shot (31 PTS)87
11.7%
90
88.3%
Q4 - 2:18DENBoykins Running Layup (8 PTS)87
15.9%
88
84.1%
Q4 - 2:41DALDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)85
12.8%
88
87.2%
Q4 - 3:08DENJohnson 7' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)85
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 3:33DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS)83
7.4%
88
92.6%
Q4 - 3:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
10.0%
86
90.0%
Q4 - 3:54DENMISS Elson 20' Jump Shot83
11.1%
86
88.9%
Q4 - 4:19DALStackhouse Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)83
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 4:24DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)83
18.9%
84
81.1%
Q4 - 4:26DENNowitzki BLOCK (3 BLK)83
20.8%
84
79.2%
Q4 - 4:35DENElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
25.8%
84
74.2%
Q4 - 4:36DENMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot83
20.8%
84
79.2%
Q4 - 4:59DALNowitzki 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)83
25.9%
84
74.1%
Q4 - 5:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)83
31.2%
82
68.8%
Q4 - 5:18DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 283
32.2%
82
67.8%
Q4 - 5:18DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)83
36.5%
82
63.5%
Q4 - 5:29DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)82
31.5%
82
68.5%
Q4 - 5:31DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 282
30.6%
82
69.4%
Q4 - 5:31DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 282
25.5%
82
74.5%
Q4 - 5:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)82
24.5%
82
75.5%
Q4 - 5:34DENMISS Miller Layup82
26.6%
82
73.4%
Q4 - 5:42DALFinley 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
31.6%
82
68.4%
Q4 - 6:00DENMartin 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Boykins 6 AST)82
39.0%
80
61.0%
Q4 - 6:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
30.1%
80
69.9%
Q4 - 6:22DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 280
30.8%
79
69.2%
Q4 - 6:29DENNowitzki STEAL (3 STL)80
29.2%
79
70.8%
Q4 - 6:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
36.9%
79
63.1%
Q4 - 6:40DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot80
34.5%
79
65.5%
Q4 - 6:56DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
29.3%
79
70.7%
Q4 - 6:56DENMISS Russell 17' Jump Shot80
31.5%
79
68.5%
Q4 - 7:20DALHenderson 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)80
35.0%
79
65.0%
Q4 - 7:20DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)80
40.7%
77
59.3%
Q4 - 7:22DALMISS Stackhouse Layup80
46.0%
77
54.0%
Q4 - 7:33DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
40.7%
77
59.3%
Q4 - 7:35DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
43.1%
77
56.9%
Q4 - 8:00DALStackhouse 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)80
48.6%
77
51.4%
Q4 - 8:13DENRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
52.3%
75
47.7%
Q4 - 8:13DENRussell Layup (2 PTS)80
52.3%
75
47.7%
Q4 - 8:15DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot78
41.6%
75
58.4%
Q4 - 8:23DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)78
46.1%
75
53.9%
Q4 - 8:36DENRussell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)78
39.7%
75
60.3%
Q4 - 8:47DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 178
45.3%
75
54.7%
Q4 - 8:47DALNowitzki Layup (24 PTS)78
46.1%
75
53.9%
Q4 - 9:02DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)78
49.5%
73
50.5%
Q4 - 9:03DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot78
51.5%
73
48.5%
Q4 - 9:15DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
55.9%
73
44.1%
Q4 - 9:16DALMISS Henderson Layup78
54.0%
73
46.0%
Q4 - 9:18DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
49.7%
73
50.3%
Q4 - 9:21DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
54.1%
73
45.9%
Q4 - 9:36DENTerry STEAL (1 STL)78
49.8%
73
50.2%
Q4 - 9:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
56.1%
73
43.9%
Q4 - 9:53DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot78
54.2%
73
45.8%
Q4 - 10:20DENMiller Driving Layup (16 PTS)78
47.9%
73
52.1%
Q4 - 10:29DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)76
42.7%
73
57.3%
Q4 - 10:31DALMISS Finley 11' Jump Shot76
40.9%
73
59.1%
Q4 - 10:52DENBoykins 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
36.8%
73
63.2%
Q4 - 11:09DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
31.9%
73
68.1%
Q4 - 11:09DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
32.5%
72
67.5%
Q4 - 11:31DENWhite Layup (6 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)74
36.6%
71
63.4%
Q4 - 11:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
31.9%
71
68.1%
Q4 - 11:41DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q4 - 11:41DALMISS Stackhouse Layup72
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q4 - 11:42DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q4 - 11:42DALMISS Stackhouse Layup72
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q4 - 11:45DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot72
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN72
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
31.9%
71
68.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
26.1%
71
73.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)70
22.8%
71
77.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
19.1%
71
80.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)68
16.4%
71
83.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0DALFinley Layup (15 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)68
16.4%
71
83.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0DENMiller Layup (12 PTS)68
19.5%
69
80.5%
Q3 - 1:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)66
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q3 - 1:05DENMISS Russell 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
14.6%
69
85.4%
Q3 - 1:20DALHenderson Layup (4 PTS)66
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q3 - 1:22DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q3 - 1:24DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot66
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 1:42DENWhite 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)66
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q3 - 1:47DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q3 - 2:00DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Layup64
15.6%
67
84.4%
Q3 - 2:00DALMISS Finley Free Throw Technical64
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 2:11DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)64
13.7%
67
86.3%
Q3 - 2:11DENMiller Layup (9 PTS) (White 1 AST)63
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 2:13DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)61
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 2:28DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 2:28DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 2:43DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)59
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 2:53DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 2:55DENMISS Boykins 6' Running Jump Shot59
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 3:10DALHenderson Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)59
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 3:16DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q3 - 3:18DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 3:18DENMISS Miller Layup59
12.6%
63
87.4%
Q3 - 3:20DENMISS Martin Layup59
12.6%
63
87.4%
Q3 - 3:36DALDampier Foul Turnover (P3.T12)59
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 3:50DENWhite 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q3 - 4:16DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q3 - 4:16DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
10.9%
62
89.1%
Q3 - 4:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)57
11.8%
61
88.2%
Q3 - 4:16DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot57
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 4:32DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q3 - 4:34DENMISS Anthony 9' Fadeaway Jumper57
12.5%
61
87.5%
Q3 - 4:44DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 4:47DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot57
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 4:56DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q3 - 4:58DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 5:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)57
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 5:07DENMISS Martin 6' Jump Shot57
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 5:19DENNuggets Rebound57
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 5:19DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 5:23DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 5:25DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot57
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 5:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)57
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 5:51DENMISS Anthony Layup57
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 5:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 5:54DENMISS Martin 13' Jump Shot57
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 6:08DALStackhouse 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 6:26DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 6:28DENMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot57
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q3 - 6:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)57
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 6:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)57
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 6:54DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)57
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 6:54DENMartin Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
18.4%
57
81.6%
Q3 - 6:56DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)54
16.2%
57
83.8%
Q3 - 7:14DENElson 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)54
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 7:42DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)52
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 7:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound52
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 7:46DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot52
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q3 - 7:52DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 7:54DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot52
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 8:15DALFinley 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)52
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 8:26DENFinley STEAL (1 STL)52
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q3 - 8:32DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 8:34DALMISS Dampier 7' Jump Shot52
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q3 - 8:51DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q3 - 8:51DENElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q3 - 8:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q3 - 8:59DENMISS Buckner 3PT Jump Shot50
14.7%
53
85.3%
Q3 - 9:28DALDampier Dunk (7 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)50
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 9:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q3 - 9:44DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q3 - 9:51DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)50
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q3 - 10:03DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)49
17.5%
51
82.5%
Q3 - 10:24DENBuckner 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
19.4%
49
80.6%
Q3 - 10:40DALMAVERICKS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#10)47
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q3 - 11:11DENBuckner Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)47
15.1%
49
84.9%
Q3 - 11:24DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 145
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q3 - 11:24DALNowitzki Driving Layup (16 PTS)45
13.5%
49
86.5%
Q3 - 11:43DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
15.1%
47
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL43
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
11.9%
47
88.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
12.4%
47
87.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)43
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)43
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENElson Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)43
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0DALMISS Nowitzki Layup41
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)41
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALMISS Nowitzki Layup41
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Running Jump Shot41
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALMISS Nowitzki Layup41
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 1:09DALFinley Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)41
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 1:29DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 1:29DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 240
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 1:49DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 2:07DENMartin Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)40
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q2 - 2:10DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
12.4%
43
87.6%
Q2 - 2:12DENMISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot38
11.5%
43
88.5%
Q2 - 2:32DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)38
12.4%
43
87.6%
Q2 - 2:55DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)38
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 3:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
13.9%
40
86.1%
Q2 - 3:20DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot36
12.8%
40
87.2%
Q2 - 3:42DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)36
13.9%
40
86.1%
Q2 - 3:58DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 3:58DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 4:16DALDampier Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)34
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 4:28DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)34
16.6%
35
83.4%
Q2 - 4:30DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot34
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 4:53DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 4:53DALFinley Tip Shot (10 PTS)34
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 4:55DALMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot34
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 5:21DENAnthony Driving Layup (11 PTS)34
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 5:34DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 5:34DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 5:36DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q2 - 5:38DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot32
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 5:51DALTerry Driving Layup (12 PTS)32
21.8%
31
78.2%
Q2 - 6:06DENAnthony Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)32
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 6:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 6:14DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)32
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 6:14DALMISS Dampier Layup32
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 6:16DALMISS Finley Layup32
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 6:30DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 6:32DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot32
23.9%
29
76.1%
Q2 - 6:48DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 6:50DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
23.9%
29
76.1%
Q2 - 7:14DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)32
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q2 - 7:22DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
29.0%
26
71.0%
Q2 - 7:25DENMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
29.7%
26
70.3%
Q2 - 7:41DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q2 - 7:41DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
31.7%
25
68.3%
Q2 - 8:01DENMartin 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)32
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q2 - 8:23DALFinley Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)30
31.1%
24
68.9%
Q2 - 8:40DENMartin Layup (5 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)30
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q2 - 8:56DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P1.T8)28
31.1%
22
68.9%
Q2 - 9:09DENJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)28
28.0%
22
72.0%
Q2 - 9:24DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q2 - 9:26DALMISS Henderson 9' Running Hook Shot25
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q2 - 9:41DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q2 - 9:42DENMISS Elson Free Throw 2 of 225
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 9:42DENElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q2 - 9:42DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 9:43DENNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)24
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q2 - 9:46DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 9:49DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot24
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q2 - 10:11DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q2 - 10:12DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot24
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q2 - 10:27DENNuggets Rebound24
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 10:30DENMISS Boykins 7' Running Jump Shot24
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q2 - 10:38DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 10:41DALMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot24
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q2 - 10:56DENMartin Slam Dunk (3 PTS)24
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q2 - 10:58DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q2 - 11:00DENHenderson BLOCK (2 BLK)22
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q2 - 11:01DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q2 - 11:03DENHenderson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
17.7%
22
82.3%
Q2 - 11:21DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q2 - 11:38DENElson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)22
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL20
16.0%
22
84.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Elson Layup20
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
17.4%
20
82.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot20
17.7%
20
82.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot20
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)20
17.7%
20
82.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Miller 7' Jump Shot20
17.7%
20
82.3%
Q1 - 1:17DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)20
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 1:28DENRussell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 1:45DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)20
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 1:57DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
25.2%
15
74.8%
Q1 - 1:57DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
26.2%
15
73.8%
Q1 - 2:14DENMiller 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
24.9%
15
75.1%
Q1 - 2:43DALNowitzki Layup (4 PTS)18
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 2:59DENCamby 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)18
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 3:19DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Camby: Tip to Anthony16
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 3:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)16
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 3:20DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot16
22.2%
13
77.8%
Q1 - 3:35DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)16
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 3:52DALDampier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)13
18.4%
13
81.6%
Q1 - 4:06DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)13
16.5%
13
83.5%
Q1 - 4:20DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 4:24DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Turnaround Jump Shot11
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 4:38DENAnthony Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)11
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 4:49DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 4:51DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 29
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 4:51DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 5:04DENAnthony Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)9
13.1%
12
86.9%
Q1 - 5:15DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)7
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 5:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 5:18DENMISS Martin 4' Jump Shot7
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 5:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 5:29DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot7
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 5:50DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)7
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 6:04DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
10.6%
12
89.4%
Q1 - 6:10DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)5
11.4%
10
88.6%
Q1 - 6:12DENMISS Anthony Layup5
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 6:36DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 6:53DENNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)5
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 6:58DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 7:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
13.0%
8
87.0%
Q1 - 7:06DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot5
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 7:31DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 7:33DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)5
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 7:36DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
16.0%
6
84.0%
Q1 - 7:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Camby 4' Jump Shot5
15.2%
6
84.8%
Q1 - 8:09DALNowitzki Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 8:18DENMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
14.7%
6
85.3%
Q1 - 8:30DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 8:41DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)5
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 8:43DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot5
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 8:53DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 8:54DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot5
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 9:18DENBuckner Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)5
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 9:21DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 9:22DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot3
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 9:42DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 9:44DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot3
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:03DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 10:05DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot3
15.2%
4
84.8%
Q1 - 10:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)3
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 10:12DENDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)3
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:28DALDampier 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 10:31DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)3
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)3
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:32DALMISS Dampier Layup3
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 10:34DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot3
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 10:45DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:45DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 22
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 10:49DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:51DALMISS Howard Reverse Layup2
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:00DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 11:02DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot2
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 11:16DENMiller 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 11:39DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Camby: Tip to Nowitzki0
15.5%
0
84.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 47.0%
DAL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
30
57%
DAL
16
27
59%
Midrange
DEN
16
41
39%
DAL
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
DAL
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
DEN
18
23
78%
DAL
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin1941%9.5 / 23
A. Miller1644%8.0 / 18
C. Anthony1454%7.0 / 13
E. Boykins1150%5.5 / 11
F. Elson1056%5.0 / 9
G. Buckner660%3.0 / 5
R. White660%3.0 / 5
D. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
M. Camby450%2.0 / 4
B. Russell225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3551%17.5 / 34
M. Finley1750%8.5 / 17
J. Terry1583%7.5 / 9
J. Stackhouse1134%5.5 / 16
E. Dampier956%4.5 / 8
A. Henderson660%3.0 / 5
D. Harris250%1.0 / 2
J. Howard0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+17
-9
97
DAL
73
+19
-17
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 47.0%
DAL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
107.3
DEN 104.5
DAL 105.6 +1.1
Pace
95.8
95.3
DEN 87.1
DAL 92.0 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
DEN 16.5
DAL 15.6 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
49.2%
DEN 44.1%
DAL 48.7% +4.6%
TO %
15.0%
13.4%
DEN 8.6% +8.1%
DAL 16.7%
ORB %
28.4%
28.7%
DEN 31.9%
DAL 40.0% +8.1%
FTrt
35.0
34.6
DEN 27.1
DAL 34.6 +7.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
52.6%
DEN 61.1% +22.2%
DAL 38.9%
STL %
9.5%
9.0%
DEN 10.1% +4.5%
DAL 5.6%
BLK %
9.3%
8.6%
DEN 1.5%
DAL 8.5% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
51.7%
DEN 47.0%
DAL 49.5% +2.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
57.5%
DEN 56.7%
DAL 59.3% +2.6%
Mid FG%
37.4%
41.4%
DEN 39.0%
DAL 40.0% +1.0%
3P %
34.0%
36.4%
DEN 21.4%
DAL 36.4% +15.0%
FT %
76.3%
78.9%
DEN 78.3% +7.9%
DAL 70.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
32.6%
DEN 35.3% +0.7%
DAL 34.6%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
48.4%
DEN 48.2% +3.0%
DAL 51.3%
3P Att. %
14.2%
19.0%
DEN 16.5% +2.4%
DAL 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points9395
Rebounds4250
Assists2214
Steals95
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)18 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals36-8536-78
At-the-Rim FG17-3016-27
Midrange FG16-4116-40
2-Point FG33-7132-67
3-Point FG3-144-11
Free Throws18-2319-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
47.3
19
41%
11
2
1
0
1
4
4
7
3-5
60%
8-20
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
39.2
16
44%
8
10
2
0
1
1
3
5
6-7
86%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
36.6
14
54%
5
1
0
0
3
3
2
3
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
17.8
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
9.4
4
50%
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
28.4
11
50%
0
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
24.3
10
56%
7
0
0
0
0
4
4
3
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
14.0
2
25%
3
1
0
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 25
11.2
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25
8.2
5
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
F · 7'0" 225 · 22
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
42
22
9
1
9
0
15
27
18-23
78%
33-71
46%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.