Final Win Prob. pScore
2022%97
93
578%106
95
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
104.58987.1
DAL logo Mavericks
105.69092.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN93
95
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound93
95
Q4 - 0:00.0DENMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot93
95
Q4 - 0:03.0DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)93
95
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
95
Q4 - 0:04.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 293
95
Q4 - 0:04.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
95
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMartin P.FOUL (P4.PN)93
94
Q4 - 0:04.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
94
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMISS White 20' Jump Shot93
94
Q4 - 0:17.0DENSUB: White FOR Elson93
94
Q4 - 0:17.0DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)93
94
Q4 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)93
94
Q4 - 0:17.0DENElson S.FOUL (P4.PN)93
93
Q4 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Driving Layup (34 PTS)93
93
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMartin Layup (19 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)93
91
Q4 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P5.T18)91
91
Q4 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki OFF.Foul (P3)91
91
Q4 - 0:59.0DENSUB: Anthony FOR Johnson91
91
Q4 - 0:59.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)91
91
Q4 - 1:03DENBoykins 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)91
91
Q4 - 1:07DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
91
Q4 - 1:09DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot88
91
Q4 - 1:32DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
91
Q4 - 1:32DENNuggets Rebound87
91
Q4 - 1:32DENMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 287
91
Q4 - 1:32DALFinley S.FOUL (P2.T4)87
91
Q4 - 1:33DENElson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)87
91
Q4 - 1:35DENMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
91
Q4 - 1:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)87
91
Q4 - 1:56DALSUB: Henderson FOR Dampier87
90
Q4 - 1:56DENJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN)87
90
Q4 - 1:56DALNowitzki 6' Jump Shot (31 PTS)87
90
Q4 - 2:18DENBoykins Running Layup (8 PTS)87
88
Q4 - 2:41DALDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)85
88
Q4 - 3:08DENJohnson 7' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)85
88
Q4 - 3:24DENSUB: Johnson FOR Anthony83
88
Q4 - 3:24DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)83
88
Q4 - 3:33DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 3:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
86
Q4 - 3:54DENMISS Elson 20' Jump Shot83
86
Q4 - 4:19DALStackhouse Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)83
86
Q4 - 4:24DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)83
84
Q4 - 4:26DENNowitzki BLOCK (3 BLK)83
84
Q4 - 4:35DALDampier L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)83
84
Q4 - 4:35DENElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
84
Q4 - 4:36DENMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot83
84
Q4 - 4:59DALNowitzki 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)83
84
Q4 - 5:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)83
82
Q4 - 5:18DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 283
82
Q4 - 5:18DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)83
82
Q4 - 5:18DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T2)82
82
Q4 - 5:29DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)82
82
Q4 - 5:31DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 282
82
Q4 - 5:31DALMAVERICKS Rebound82
82
Q4 - 5:31DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 282
82
Q4 - 5:31DENMartin S.FOUL (P3.PN)82
82
Q4 - 5:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)82
82
Q4 - 5:34DENMISS Miller Layup82
82
Q4 - 5:42DALFinley 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
82
Q4 - 6:00DENMartin 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Boykins 6 AST)82
80
Q4 - 6:16DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)80
80
Q4 - 6:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
80
Q4 - 6:22DALSUB: Dampier FOR Henderson80
79
Q4 - 6:22DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
79
Q4 - 6:22DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 280
79
Q4 - 6:22DENSUB: Miller FOR Russell80
79
Q4 - 6:22DENElson S.FOUL (P3.T4)80
79
Q4 - 6:29DENNowitzki STEAL (3 STL)80
79
Q4 - 6:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
79
Q4 - 6:40DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot80
79
Q4 - 6:56DENSUB: Elson FOR White80
79
Q4 - 6:56DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
79
Q4 - 6:56DENMISS Russell 17' Jump Shot80
79
Q4 - 7:20DENMartin Violation:Defensive Goaltending80
79
Q4 - 7:20DALHenderson 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)80
79
Q4 - 7:20DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)80
77
Q4 - 7:22DALMISS Stackhouse Layup80
77
Q4 - 7:33DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
77
Q4 - 7:35DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
77
Q4 - 7:45DALStackhouse P.FOUL (P3.T1)80
77
Q4 - 8:00DALStackhouse 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)80
77
Q4 - 8:13DENRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
75
Q4 - 8:13DENRussell Layup (2 PTS)80
75
Q4 - 8:15DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot78
75
Q4 - 8:23DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)78
75
Q4 - 8:36DENRussell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)78
75
Q4 - 8:45DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
75
Q4 - 8:47DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 178
75
Q4 - 8:47DENAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T3)78
75
Q4 - 8:47DALNowitzki Layup (24 PTS)78
75
Q4 - 9:02DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)78
73
Q4 - 9:03DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot78
73
Q4 - 9:15DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
73
Q4 - 9:16DALMISS Henderson Layup78
73
Q4 - 9:18DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
73
Q4 - 9:21DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
73
Q4 - 9:35DENRussell P.FOUL (P3.T2)78
73
Q4 - 9:36DENTerry STEAL (1 STL)78
73
Q4 - 9:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
73
Q4 - 9:53DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot78
73
Q4 - 10:13DENSUB: Anthony FOR Miller78
73
Q4 - 10:13DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)78
73
Q4 - 10:20DENMiller Driving Layup (16 PTS)78
73
Q4 - 10:29DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)76
73
Q4 - 10:31DALMISS Finley 11' Jump Shot76
73
Q4 - 10:52DENBoykins 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
73
Q4 - 11:09DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
73
Q4 - 11:09DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
72
Q4 - 11:09DENWhite S.FOUL (P2.T1)74
71
Q4 - 11:31DENWhite Layup (6 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)74
71
Q4 - 11:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
71
Q4 - 11:41DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
71
Q4 - 11:41DALMISS Stackhouse Layup72
71
Q4 - 11:42DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
71
Q4 - 11:42DALMISS Stackhouse Layup72
71
Q4 - 11:45DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot72
71
Q4 - 12:0072
71
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN72
71
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
71
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
71
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
71
Q3 - 0:10.0DALSUB: Terry FOR Henderson71
71
Q3 - 0:10.0DALSUB: Armstrong FOR Harris71
71
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
71
Q3 - 0:10.0DALHarris P.FOUL (P4.PN)70
71
Q3 - 0:10.0DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)70
71
Q3 - 0:13.0DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
71
Q3 - 0:13.0DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
71
Q3 - 0:13.0DALHarris S.FOUL (P3.PN)68
71
Q3 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)68
71
Q3 - 0:40.0DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Terry68
71
Q3 - 0:40.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
71
Q3 - 0:40.0DENMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
71
Q3 - 0:49.0DALFinley Layup (15 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)68
71
Q3 - 0:52.0DENMiller Layup (12 PTS)68
69
Q3 - 1:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)66
69
Q3 - 1:05DENMISS Russell 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
69
Q3 - 1:20DALHenderson Layup (4 PTS)66
69
Q3 - 1:22DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
67
Q3 - 1:24DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot66
67
Q3 - 1:42DENWhite 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)66
67
Q3 - 1:47DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
67
Q3 - 2:00DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Layup64
67
Q3 - 2:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound64
67
Q3 - 2:00DALMISS Finley Free Throw Technical64
67
Q3 - 2:00DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec White )64
67
Q3 - 2:11DALSUB: Finley FOR Stackhouse64
67
Q3 - 2:11DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)64
67
Q3 - 2:11DENSUB: Russell FOR Anthony63
67
Q3 - 2:11DALTerry S.FOUL (P3.T4)63
67
Q3 - 2:11DENMiller Layup (9 PTS) (White 1 AST)63
67
Q3 - 2:13DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)61
67
Q3 - 2:28DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
67
Q3 - 2:28DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
67
Q3 - 2:28DALHenderson S.FOUL (P1.T3)59
67
Q3 - 2:38DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)59
67
Q3 - 2:43DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)59
67
Q3 - 2:53DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
65
Q3 - 2:55DENMISS Boykins 6' Running Jump Shot59
65
Q3 - 3:10DALHenderson Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)59
65
Q3 - 3:16DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
63
Q3 - 3:18DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
63
Q3 - 3:18DENMISS Miller Layup59
63
Q3 - 3:20DENMISS Martin Layup59
63
Q3 - 3:36DALSUB: Henderson FOR Dampier59
63
Q3 - 3:36DALDampier Foul Turnover (P3.T12)59
63
Q3 - 3:36DALDampier OFF.Foul (P1)59
63
Q3 - 3:50DENWhite 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
63
Q3 - 4:16DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
63
Q3 - 4:16DALSUB: Harris FOR Finley57
62
Q3 - 4:16DENSUB: Boykins FOR Buckner57
62
Q3 - 4:16DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
62
Q3 - 4:16DENWhite P.FOUL (P1.PN)57
61
Q3 - 4:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)57
61
Q3 - 4:16DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 4:32DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
61
Q3 - 4:34DENMISS Anthony 9' Fadeaway Jumper57
61
Q3 - 4:44DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
61
Q3 - 4:47DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 4:52DENBuckner P.FOUL (P4.T4)57
61
Q3 - 4:56DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
61
Q3 - 4:58DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 5:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)57
61
Q3 - 5:07DENMISS Martin 6' Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 5:19DENNuggets Rebound57
61
Q3 - 5:19DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 5:23DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
61
Q3 - 5:25DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 5:51DENSUB: White FOR Elson57
61
Q3 - 5:51DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)57
61
Q3 - 5:51DENBuckner L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)57
61
Q3 - 5:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)57
61
Q3 - 5:51DENMISS Anthony Layup57
61
Q3 - 5:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
61
Q3 - 5:54DENMISS Martin 13' Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 6:08DALStackhouse 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
61
Q3 - 6:26DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
59
Q3 - 6:28DENMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot57
59
Q3 - 6:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)57
59
Q3 - 6:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)57
58
Q3 - 6:44DENMartin S.FOUL (P2.T2)57
57
Q3 - 6:54DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)57
57
Q3 - 6:54DALStackhouse S.FOUL (P2.T2)56
57
Q3 - 6:54DENMartin Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
57
Q3 - 6:56DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)54
57
Q3 - 7:14DENElson 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)54
57
Q3 - 7:42DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)52
57
Q3 - 7:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound52
55
Q3 - 7:46DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot52
55
Q3 - 7:52DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
55
Q3 - 7:54DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot52
55
Q3 - 8:15DALFinley 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)52
55
Q3 - 8:26DENFinley STEAL (1 STL)52
53
Q3 - 8:32DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
53
Q3 - 8:34DALMISS Dampier 7' Jump Shot52
53
Q3 - 8:51DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
53
Q3 - 8:51DENElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
53
Q3 - 8:51DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T1)50
53
Q3 - 8:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
53
Q3 - 8:59DENMISS Buckner 3PT Jump Shot50
53
Q3 - 9:28DALDampier Dunk (7 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)50
53
Q3 - 9:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
51
Q3 - 9:44DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
51
Q3 - 9:51DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)50
51
Q3 - 9:51DALMAVERICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Dampier )49
51
Q3 - 10:03DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)49
51
Q3 - 10:24DENBuckner 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
49
Q3 - 10:40DALMAVERICKS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#10)47
49
Q3 - 11:11DENBuckner Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)47
49
Q3 - 11:22DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
49
Q3 - 11:24DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 145
49
Q3 - 11:24DENElson S.FOUL (P2.T1)45
49
Q3 - 11:24DALNowitzki Driving Layup (16 PTS)45
49
Q3 - 11:43DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
47
Q3 - 12:0043
47
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL43
47
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
47
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
47
Q2 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)43
47
Q2 - 0:07.0DALSUB: Harris FOR Finley43
46
Q2 - 0:07.0DENSUB: Boykins FOR Elson43
46
Q2 - 0:07.0DALSUB: Henderson FOR Dampier43
46
Q2 - 0:07.0DENBuckner S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
46
Q2 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)43
46
Q2 - 0:30.0DENElson Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)43
44
Q2 - 0:46.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
44
Q2 - 0:48.0DALMISS Nowitzki Layup41
44
Q2 - 0:51.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)41
44
Q2 - 0:52.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
44
Q2 - 0:52.0DALMISS Nowitzki Layup41
44
Q2 - 0:53.0DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Running Jump Shot41
44
Q2 - 0:55.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
44
Q2 - 0:57.0DALMISS Nowitzki Layup41
44
Q2 - 1:09DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Harris41
44
Q2 - 1:09DALFinley Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)41
44
Q2 - 1:09DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Elson )41
43
Q2 - 1:29DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
43
Q2 - 1:29DENNuggets Rebound40
43
Q2 - 1:29DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 240
43
Q2 - 1:29DALHarris S.FOUL (P2.T3)40
43
Q2 - 1:49DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
43
Q2 - 1:55DENSUB: Buckner FOR Boykins40
43
Q2 - 1:55DALSUB: Harris FOR Stackhouse40
43
Q2 - 1:55DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)40
43
Q2 - 1:55DENAnthony P.FOUL (P2.T4)40
43
Q2 - 2:07DENMartin Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)40
43
Q2 - 2:10DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
43
Q2 - 2:12DENMISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot38
43
Q2 - 2:32DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)38
43
Q2 - 2:55DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)38
40
Q2 - 3:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
40
Q2 - 3:20DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot36
40
Q2 - 3:42DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)36
40
Q2 - 3:58DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
37
Q2 - 3:58DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
37
Q2 - 3:58DENSUB: Elson FOR Tskitishvili34
37
Q2 - 3:58DENSUB: Miller FOR Johnson34
37
Q2 - 3:58DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.T2)34
37
Q2 - 4:16DALDampier Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)34
37
Q2 - 4:28DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)34
35
Q2 - 4:30DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot34
35
Q2 - 4:53DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
35
Q2 - 4:53DALFinley Tip Shot (10 PTS)34
35
Q2 - 4:55DALMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot34
33
Q2 - 5:21DENAnthony Driving Layup (11 PTS)34
33
Q2 - 5:34DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
33
Q2 - 5:34DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
32
Q2 - 5:34DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Henderson32
31
Q2 - 5:34DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)32
31
Q2 - 5:34DENAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T3)32
31
Q2 - 5:36DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
31
Q2 - 5:38DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot32
31
Q2 - 5:51DALTerry Driving Layup (12 PTS)32
31
Q2 - 6:06DENAnthony Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)32
29
Q2 - 6:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
29
Q2 - 6:14DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)32
29
Q2 - 6:14DALMISS Dampier Layup32
29
Q2 - 6:16DALMISS Finley Layup32
29
Q2 - 6:19DALSUB: Dampier FOR Bradley32
29
Q2 - 6:30DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
29
Q2 - 6:32DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot32
29
Q2 - 6:48DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
29
Q2 - 6:50DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
29
Q2 - 7:14DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)32
29
Q2 - 7:22DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
26
Q2 - 7:25DENMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
26
Q2 - 7:41DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
26
Q2 - 7:41DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
25
Q2 - 7:41DENSUB: Tskitishvili FOR Elson32
24
Q2 - 7:41DENJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
24
Q2 - 8:01DENMartin 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)32
24
Q2 - 8:23DALFinley Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)30
24
Q2 - 8:40DENMartin Layup (5 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)30
22
Q2 - 8:56DENSUB: Anthony FOR Miller28
22
Q2 - 8:5628
22
Q2 - 8:56DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P1.T8)28
22
Q2 - 8:56DALStackhouse OFF.Foul (P1)28
22
Q2 - 9:09DENJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)28
22
Q2 - 9:24DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
22
Q2 - 9:26DALMISS Henderson 9' Running Hook Shot25
22
Q2 - 9:41DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
22
Q2 - 9:42DENMISS Elson Free Throw 2 of 225
22
Q2 - 9:42DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris25
22
Q2 - 9:42DALSUB: Bradley FOR Nowitzki25
22
Q2 - 9:42DENElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
22
Q2 - 9:42DENSUB: Johnson FOR Russell24
22
Q2 - 9:42DALFinley S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
22
Q2 - 9:42DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
22
Q2 - 9:43DENNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)24
22
Q2 - 9:46DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
22
Q2 - 9:49DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot24
22
Q2 - 10:11DENRussell L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)24
22
Q2 - 10:11DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
22
Q2 - 10:12DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot24
22
Q2 - 10:27DENNuggets Rebound24
22
Q2 - 10:30DENMISS Boykins 7' Running Jump Shot24
22
Q2 - 10:38DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
22
Q2 - 10:41DALMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot24
22
Q2 - 10:56DENMartin Slam Dunk (3 PTS)24
22
Q2 - 10:58DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
22
Q2 - 11:00DENHenderson BLOCK (2 BLK)22
22
Q2 - 11:01DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22
Q2 - 11:03DENHenderson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
22
Q2 - 11:21DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
22
Q2 - 11:38DENElson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)22
22
Q2 - 12:0020
22
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL20
22
Q1 - 0:00.0DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
22
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Elson Layup20
22
Q1 - 0:02.0DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
22
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
22
Q1 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
21
Q1 - 0:19.0DENElson P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
20
Q1 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
20
Q1 - 0:21.0DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot20
20
Q1 - 0:34.0DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
20
Q1 - 0:37.0DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot20
20
Q1 - 0:46.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
20
Q1 - 0:47.0DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)20
20
Q1 - 0:52.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
20
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Miller 7' Jump Shot20
20
Q1 - 1:10DALHarris P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
20
Q1 - 1:17DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)20
20
Q1 - 1:28DALSUB: Harris FOR Finley20
18
Q1 - 1:28DENRussell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
18
Q1 - 1:45DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)20
18
Q1 - 1:57DENSUB: Boykins FOR Anthony20
15
Q1 - 1:57DENRussell L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)20
15
Q1 - 1:57DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
15
Q1 - 1:57DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
15
Q1 - 2:14DENMiller 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
15
Q1 - 2:38DENSUB: Martin FOR Camby18
15
Q1 - 2:38DALSUB: Henderson FOR Dampier18
15
Q1 - 2:38DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)18
15
Q1 - 2:38DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)18
15
Q1 - 2:43DALNowitzki Layup (4 PTS)18
15
Q1 - 2:59DENCamby 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)18
13
Q1 - 3:19DALDampier No Turnover (P2.T6)16
13
Q1 - 3:19DENSUB: Elson FOR Martin16
13
Q1 - 3:19DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Camby: Tip to Anthony16
13
Q1 - 3:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)16
13
Q1 - 3:20DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot16
13
Q1 - 3:35DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)16
13
Q1 - 3:52DENSUB: Russell FOR Buckner13
13
Q1 - 3:52DALDampier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)13
13
Q1 - 4:06DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)13
13
Q1 - 4:20DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13
Q1 - 4:24DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Turnaround Jump Shot11
13
Q1 - 4:38DENAnthony Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)11
13
Q1 - 4:49DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
13
Q1 - 4:51DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 29
13
Q1 - 4:51DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
13
Q1 - 4:51DENMartin S.FOUL (P1.T3)9
12
Q1 - 5:01DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Howard9
12
Q1 - 5:01DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)9
12
Q1 - 5:04DENAnthony Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)9
12
Q1 - 5:15DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)7
12
Q1 - 5:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
12
Q1 - 5:18DENMISS Martin 4' Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 5:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
12
Q1 - 5:29DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 5:50DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)7
12
Q1 - 5:56DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)5
12
Q1 - 6:04DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
12
Q1 - 6:10DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)5
10
Q1 - 6:12DENMISS Anthony Layup5
10
Q1 - 6:36DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
10
Q1 - 6:53DENNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)5
8
Q1 - 6:58DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
8
Q1 - 7:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
8
Q1 - 7:06DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 7:31DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
8
Q1 - 7:33DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)5
6
Q1 - 7:36DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
6
Q1 - 7:46DENBuckner P.FOUL (P1.T2)5
6
Q1 - 7:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Camby 4' Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 8:09DALNowitzki Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
6
Q1 - 8:18DENMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
6
Q1 - 8:30DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 8:41DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)5
4
Q1 - 8:43DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot5
4
Q1 - 8:53DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
4
Q1 - 8:54DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot5
4
Q1 - 9:18DENBuckner Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)5
4
Q1 - 9:21DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
4
Q1 - 9:22DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 9:34DENMiller P.FOUL (P1.T1)3
4
Q1 - 9:42DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
4
Q1 - 9:44DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 10:03DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
4
Q1 - 10:05DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 10:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)3
4
Q1 - 10:12DENDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)3
4
Q1 - 10:28DALDampier 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 10:31DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)3
2
Q1 - 10:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)3
2
Q1 - 10:32DALMISS Dampier Layup3
2
Q1 - 10:34DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 10:45DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 10:45DENNuggets Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:45DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 22
2
Q1 - 10:45DALTerry S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:49DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:51DALMISS Howard Reverse Layup2
2
Q1 - 11:00DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 11:02DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:16DENMiller 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:39DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Camby: Tip to Nowitzki0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 47.0%
DAL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
30
57%
DAL
16
27
59%
Midrange
DEN
16
41
39%
DAL
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
DAL
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
DEN
18
23
78%
DAL
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin1941%9.5 / 23
A. Miller1644%8.0 / 18
C. Anthony1454%7.0 / 13
E. Boykins1150%5.5 / 11
F. Elson1056%5.0 / 9
G. Buckner660%3.0 / 5
R. White660%3.0 / 5
D. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
M. Camby450%2.0 / 4
B. Russell225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3551%17.5 / 34
M. Finley1750%8.5 / 17
J. Terry1583%7.5 / 9
J. Stackhouse1134%5.5 / 16
E. Dampier956%4.5 / 8
A. Henderson660%3.0 / 5
D. Harris250%1.0 / 2
J. Howard0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+17
-9
97
DAL
73
+19
-17
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 47.0%
DAL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
107.3
DEN 104.5
DAL 105.6 +1.1
Pace
95.8
95.3
DEN 87.1
DAL 92.0 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
DEN 16.5
DAL 15.6 −0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
49.2%
DEN 44.1%
DAL 48.7% +4.6%
TO %
15.0%
13.4%
DEN 8.6% −8.1%
DAL 16.7%
ORB %
28.4%
28.7%
DEN 31.9%
DAL 40.0% +8.1%
FTrt
35.0
34.6
DEN 27.1
DAL 34.6 +7.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
52.6%
DEN 61.1% +22.2%
DAL 38.9%
STL %
9.5%
9.0%
DEN 10.1% +4.5%
DAL 5.6%
BLK %
9.3%
8.6%
DEN 1.5%
DAL 8.5% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
51.7%
DEN 47.0%
DAL 49.5% +2.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
57.5%
DEN 56.7%
DAL 59.3% +2.6%
Mid FG%
37.4%
41.4%
DEN 39.0%
DAL 40.0% +1.0%
3P %
34.0%
36.4%
DEN 21.4%
DAL 36.4% +15.0%
FT %
76.3%
78.9%
DEN 78.3% +7.9%
DAL 70.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
32.6%
DEN 35.3% +0.7%
DAL 34.6%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
48.4%
DEN 48.2% −3.0%
DAL 51.3%
3P Att. %
14.2%
19.0%
DEN 16.5% +2.4%
DAL 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points9395
Rebounds4250
Assists2214
Steals95
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)18 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals36-8536-78
At-the-Rim FG17-3016-27
Midrange FG16-4116-40
2-Point FG33-7132-67
3-Point FG3-144-11
Free Throws18-2319-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
47.3
19
41%
11
2
1
0
1
4
4
7
3-5
60%
8-20
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
39.2
16
44%
8
10
2
0
1
1
3
5
6-7
86%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
36.6
14
54%
5
1
0
0
3
3
2
3
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
17.8
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
9.4
4
50%
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
28.4
11
50%
0
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
24.3
10
56%
7
0
0
0
0
4
4
3
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
14.0
2
25%
3
1
0
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 25
11.2
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25
8.2
5
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
F · 7'0" 225 · 22
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
42
22
9
1
9
0
15
27
18-23
78%
33-71
46%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.