for complete access.
All Games Sunday, January 23, 2005
FinalWin Prob.pScore
34
Hornets
14%90
68
7
Heat
86%104
97
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
79.18694.5
MIA logo MIA
111.58779.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHMISS Lampe 5' Hook Shot68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIADooling Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIADooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:06MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:06MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:06MIADoleac Tip Shot (12 PTS)68
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup68
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:24NOHLampe 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jacobsen 7 AST)68
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:35MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)66
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:52MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54NOHMISS Andersen Tip Shot66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57NOHMISS Nachbar 10' Running Jump Shot66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36NOHJacobsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36NOHJacobsen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41NOHLampe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 8' Jump Shot64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56NOHMISS Andersen 12' Jump Shot64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10NOHVroman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32NOHNachbar Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Jacobsen 6 AST)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37NOHMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAPerson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 1 AST)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01NOHMISS Jacobsen Driving Layup62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31NOHAndersen Dunk (8 PTS) (Jacobsen 5 AST)61
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIADooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Doleac Layup59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Doleac Layup59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23NOHZhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MIAZhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52NOHMISS Andersen Driving Layup59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09MIAPerson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29NOHJacobsen Reverse Layup (7 PTS)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37NOHLampe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Person 20' Jump Shot57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55NOHJacobsen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55NOHJacobsen Reverse Layup (4 PTS)56
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31NOHButler STEAL (2 STL)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48NOHMISS Jacobsen 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18MIAJump Ball Dooling vs. Nachbar: Tip to54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 8:21NOHMISS Andersen 4' Hook Shot54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 8:38MIALaettner Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59NOHButler STEAL (1 STL)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02NOHVroman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Laettner Layup54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26NOHVroman 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)52
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50MIAHEAT Rebound52
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:52NOHMISS Nachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMISS Doleac 6' Hook Shot52
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29NOHAndersen Dunk (6 PTS) (Jacobsen 4 AST)52
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:44MIADooling Driving Layup (10 PTS)50
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55NOHAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 11:17MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)48
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 11:44NOHNachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jacobsen 3 AST)48
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0NOHMISS Nailon Layup45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0NOHNailon Layup (9 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 1:03NOHMISS Nailon 19' Jump Shot43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 1:26NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 1:46NOHDickau 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 2:02NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Anderson Layup41
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 2:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 2:25NOHMISS Nailon Free Throw 2 of 241
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 2:25NOHNailon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 2:36MIADooling 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 2:59NOHDickau 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)38
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 3:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)38
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q3 - 3:42NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q3 - 3:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q3 - 3:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 4:15NOHRogers Driving Layup (10 PTS)38
0.1%
72
99.9%
Q3 - 4:17NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
0.1%
72
99.9%
Q3 - 4:20NOHO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)36
0.1%
72
99.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)36
0.1%
72
99.9%
Q3 - 4:54NOHRogers 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 5:14NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot34
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 5:43NOHRogers Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 5:49NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot32
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 6:17NOHNailon Layup (6 PTS)32
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 6:18NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 6:21NOHMISS Nailon Driving Layup30
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 6:38MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)30
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 6:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 6:48NOHMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)30
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 7:28NOHSmith Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Rogers 2 AST)30
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 7:33MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)28
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 7:46MIAHEAT Rebound28
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 7:47NOHMISS Rogers 3PT Jump Shot28
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 7:58NOHHornets Rebound28
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 7:58NOHJones BLOCK (1 BLK)28
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 8:11MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)28
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)28
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:25NOHMISS Nailon 19' Jump Shot28
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:47NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 228
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)28
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 8:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 8:58NOHO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 8:59NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 9:01NOHMISS Nailon 20' Jump Shot28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 9:06MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 9:09NOHO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWade 8' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)28
0.1%
62
99.9%
Q3 - 9:35NOHDickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)28
0.2%
60
99.8%
Q3 - 9:56MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
0.1%
60
99.9%
Q3 - 10:17NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)25
0.1%
58
99.9%
Q3 - 10:19NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
0.2%
58
99.8%
Q3 - 10:20NOHMISS Dickau Driving Layup25
0.2%
58
99.8%
Q3 - 10:45MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
0.2%
58
99.8%
Q3 - 10:51NOHHaslem STEAL (1 STL)25
0.2%
56
99.8%
Q3 - 11:15NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
0.3%
56
99.7%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup25
0.2%
56
99.8%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)25
0.2%
56
99.8%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
0.2%
56
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA25
0.2%
56
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
0.2%
56
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot25
0.2%
56
99.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0NOHNailon Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)25
0.3%
56
99.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)25
0.3%
56
99.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHNailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
0.4%
53
99.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHNailon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
0.4%
53
99.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot23
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 1:18MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
0.4%
53
99.6%
Q2 - 1:35NOHNachbar Layup (2 PTS) (Nailon 2 AST)23
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 1:40NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 2:02NOHRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 2:02NOHRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 2:15MIALaettner Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)19
0.3%
53
99.7%
Q2 - 2:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
0.3%
51
99.7%
Q2 - 2:22NOHMISS Nailon 9' Jump Shot19
0.3%
51
99.7%
Q2 - 2:42MIAWade Driving Dunk (11 PTS)19
0.3%
51
99.7%
Q2 - 2:46NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)19
0.4%
49
99.6%
Q2 - 3:02MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
0.5%
49
99.5%
Q2 - 3:16NOHDickau 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)19
0.4%
49
99.6%
Q2 - 3:53MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
0.4%
49
99.6%
Q2 - 4:06NOHO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)17
0.4%
49
99.6%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWade Dunk (9 PTS)17
0.4%
49
99.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
0.5%
47
99.5%
Q2 - 4:20NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot17
0.5%
47
99.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
0.5%
47
99.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
0.5%
46
99.5%
Q2 - 4:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
0.6%
45
99.4%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade Layup17
0.6%
45
99.4%
Q2 - 4:42NOHLaettner STEAL (1 STL)17
0.6%
45
99.4%
Q2 - 5:02MIALaettner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
0.7%
45
99.3%
Q2 - 5:10MIAHEAT Rebound17
0.8%
43
99.2%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS O'Neal Layup17
0.8%
43
99.2%
Q2 - 5:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
0.8%
43
99.2%
Q2 - 5:28NOHMISS Nailon 16' Turnaround Jump Shot17
0.8%
43
99.2%
Q2 - 5:52MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIAHEAT Rebound17
0.8%
43
99.2%
Q2 - 6:07NOHMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
0.8%
43
99.2%
Q2 - 6:22NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 6:24NOHMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot17
0.8%
43
99.2%
Q2 - 6:39NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 7:00MIAHEAT Rebound17
0.8%
43
99.2%
Q2 - 7:01NOHMISS Nailon 10' Hook Shot17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 7:10NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
1.0%
43
99.0%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot17
1.0%
43
99.0%
Q2 - 7:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 7:27NOHMISS Lampe 11' Jump Shot17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 7:43NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
1.0%
43
99.0%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot17
1.0%
43
99.0%
Q2 - 7:55MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 7:57NOHMISS Jacobsen Driving Layup17
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 8:16MIADoleac 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)17
1.1%
43
98.9%
Q2 - 8:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
1.2%
41
98.8%
Q2 - 8:34NOHMISS Andersen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot17
1.2%
41
98.8%
Q2 - 8:51NOHLampe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
1.3%
41
98.7%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot17
1.2%
41
98.8%
Q2 - 9:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
1.2%
41
98.8%
Q2 - 9:06NOHMISS Lampe 19' Jump Shot17
1.3%
41
98.7%
Q2 - 9:28MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)17
1.3%
41
98.7%
Q2 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
1.5%
39
98.5%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot17
1.6%
39
98.4%
Q2 - 9:50MIAHEAT Rebound17
1.5%
39
98.5%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Doleac 7' Turnaround Jump Shot17
1.6%
39
98.4%
Q2 - 10:07NOHJacobsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
1.5%
39
98.5%
Q2 - 10:07NOHJacobsen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
1.5%
39
98.5%
Q2 - 10:11MIADooling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)15
1.4%
39
98.6%
Q2 - 10:25NOHAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)15
1.3%
39
98.7%
Q2 - 10:58NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
1.2%
39
98.8%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot13
1.1%
39
98.9%
Q2 - 11:09MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
1.1%
39
98.9%
Q2 - 11:10NOHMISS Dickau 20' Jump Shot13
1.1%
39
98.9%
Q2 - 11:29MIADooling 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)13
1.2%
39
98.8%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
1.3%
37
98.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot13
1.4%
37
98.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA13
1.3%
37
98.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
1.3%
37
98.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Dickau Free Throw 1 of 212
1.3%
37
98.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)12
1.3%
37
98.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
1.5%
35
98.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
1.5%
35
98.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
1.6%
35
98.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
1.6%
34
98.4%
Q1 - 1:03MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
1.8%
33
98.2%
Q1 - 1:05NOHMISS Nachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
1.9%
33
98.1%
Q1 - 1:11MIADoleac Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)12
2.0%
33
98.0%
Q1 - 1:35NOHDickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jacobsen 2 AST)12
2.2%
31
97.8%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)9
1.8%
31
98.2%
Q1 - 2:11NOHAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
2.0%
29
98.0%
Q1 - 2:25NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
2.2%
29
97.8%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot9
2.1%
29
97.9%
Q1 - 2:36MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
2.0%
29
98.0%
Q1 - 2:38NOHDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)9
2.1%
29
97.9%
Q1 - 2:59MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
2.2%
29
97.8%
Q1 - 2:59MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
2.2%
28
97.8%
Q1 - 3:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
2.5%
27
97.5%
Q1 - 3:11NOHMISS Jacobsen 18' Jump Shot9
2.6%
27
97.4%
Q1 - 3:19NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
2.8%
27
97.2%
Q1 - 3:21NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
2.6%
27
97.4%
Q1 - 3:42MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
2.8%
27
97.2%
Q1 - 3:56NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)9
3.0%
25
97.0%
Q1 - 4:30MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
3.3%
25
96.7%
Q1 - 4:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
3.5%
23
96.5%
Q1 - 4:36NOHMISS Jacobsen Driving Layup9
3.7%
23
96.3%
Q1 - 4:48NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
3.9%
23
96.1%
Q1 - 4:50NOHMISS Jacobsen 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
3.7%
23
96.3%
Q1 - 5:04MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)9
4.0%
23
96.0%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
4.3%
21
95.7%
Q1 - 5:31NOHMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
4.4%
21
95.6%
Q1 - 5:50MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (8 PTS)9
4.7%
21
95.3%
Q1 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
5.1%
19
94.9%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
5.4%
19
94.6%
Q1 - 6:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
5.1%
19
94.9%
Q1 - 6:11NOHMISS Jacobsen 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
5.3%
19
94.7%
Q1 - 6:18NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
5.6%
19
94.4%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 6' Running Jump Shot9
5.4%
19
94.6%
Q1 - 6:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
5.1%
19
94.9%
Q1 - 6:39NOHMISS Nailon 20' Jump Shot9
5.3%
19
94.7%
Q1 - 7:02MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
5.7%
19
94.3%
Q1 - 7:21NOHBrown Dunk (2 PTS) (Jacobsen 1 AST)9
6.5%
16
93.5%
Q1 - 7:26NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6.1%
16
93.9%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot7
6.0%
16
94.0%
Q1 - 7:42NOHNailon 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
5.6%
16
94.4%
Q1 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
5.2%
16
94.8%
Q1 - 8:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
5.5%
14
94.5%
Q1 - 8:14NOHMISS Brown 6' Hook Shot5
5.7%
14
94.3%
Q1 - 8:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
6.0%
14
94.0%
Q1 - 8:33MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)5
6.4%
13
93.6%
Q1 - 8:44NOHDickau Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
6.9%
11
93.1%
Q1 - 9:05MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)5
7.4%
11
92.6%
Q1 - 9:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8.3%
8
91.7%
Q1 - 9:20NOHMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot5
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 9:34NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 9:36NOHMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot5
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 9:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8.3%
8
91.7%
Q1 - 9:51NOHMISS Brown 13' Turnaround Jump Shot5
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 10:06MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)5
9.0%
8
91.0%
Q1 - 10:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9.5%
6
90.5%
Q1 - 10:18NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
9.8%
6
90.2%
Q1 - 10:32MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 10:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10.9%
4
89.1%
Q1 - 10:41NOHMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot5
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 10:56MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
11.8%
4
88.2%
Q1 - 11:14NOHRogers Layup (2 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)5
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:31MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
11.6%
2
88.4%
Q1 - 11:43NOHDickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)3
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Brown: Tip to Smith0
10.9%
0
89.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.77 38.6%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
14
27
52%
MIA
17
25
68%
Midrange
NOK
7
30
23%
MIA
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
NOK
14
16
88%
MIA
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Dickau1662%8.0 / 13
R. Rogers1071%5.0 / 7
L. Nailon932%4.5 / 14
C. Jacobsen938%4.5 / 12
C. Andersen941%4.5 / 11
B. Nachbar744%3.5 / 8
P. Brown211%1.0 / 9
J. Smith220%1.0 / 5
M. Lampe225%1.0 / 4
J. Vroman250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1864%9.0 / 14
D. Jones1381%6.5 / 8
M. Doleac1354%6.5 / 12
K. Dooling1381%6.5 / 8
S. O'Neal1267%6.0 / 9
U. Haslem867%4.0 / 6
E. Jones643%3.0 / 7
C. Laettner450%2.0 / 4
W. Person467%2.0 / 3
R. Butler317%1.5 / 9
W. Zhi-zhi350%1.5 / 3
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
76
+11
-10
87
MIA
77
+13
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.77 38.6%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.9
106.6
NOH 79.1 +32.4
MIA 111.5
Pace
90.2
93.9
NOH 94.5 +14.7
MIA 79.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.6
NOH 15.2 +2.8
MIA 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
44.6%
52.4%
NOH 35.5%
MIA 53.8% +18.3%
TO %
15.3%
14.0%
NOH 12.6%
MIA 11.4% +1.2%
ORB %
29.2%
27.0%
NOH 21.7%
MIA 26.3% +4.6%
FTrt
27.9
38.7
NOH 21.1 +6.1
MIA 15.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.4%
57.8%
NOH 68.0% +13.0%
MIA 55.0%
STL %
7.4%
6.8%
NOH 4.7%
MIA 8.0% +3.3%
BLK %
6.3%
8.7%
NOH 7.8%
MIA 8.8% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.8%
52.7%
NOH 38.6%
MIA 53.3% +14.7%
Rim FG%
52.2%
63.0%
NOH 51.9%
MIA 68.0% +16.1%
Mid FG%
38.2%
41.0%
NOH 23.3%
MIA 43.6% +20.3%
3P %
31.5%
37.7%
NOH 21.1%
MIA 37.5% +16.4%
FT %
76.6%
67.2%
NOH 87.5%
MIA 91.7% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
37.6%
NOH 35.5% +4.3%
MIA 31.3%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
42.6%
NOH 39.5% +9.3%
MIA 48.8%
3P Att. %
20.1%
19.8%
NOH 25.0% +5.0%
MIA 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points6897
Rebounds3846
Assists1722
Steals47
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)36 (5)
Field Goals25-7640-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2717-25
Midrange FG7-3017-39
2-Point FG21-5734-64
3-Point FG4-196-16
Free Throws14-1611-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
34 New Orleans Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26
35.0
16
62%
6
2
0
0
4
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
P.J. Brown
C · 6'11" 239 · 35
29.1
2
11%
6
2
0
0
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
1-9
11%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30
28.2
9
32%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 34
27.9
10
71%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G · 6'6" 225 · 19
18.4
2
20%
0
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
31.2
9
38%
7
7
0
0
0
2
1
6
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25
24.4
7
44%
3
1
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27
18.9
9
41%
4
0
0
2
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20
14.9
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24
12.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
68
39%
38
17
4
5
10
0
10
28
14-16
88%
21-57
37%
4-19
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.