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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 23, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
34Hornets14%9068
7Heat86%10497
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.4
35.0
35.6
16
62%
6
2
0
1
0
4
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-8
60%
42%
3-7
43%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.3
29.1
34.4
2
11%
6
2
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-9
4-9
11%
44%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
28.2
40.0
9
33%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-12
8-17
25%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.6
27.9
31.2
10
73%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-4
3-7
100%
42%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.4
18.4
27.5
2
20%
0
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
31.2
15.3
9
40%
7
7
0
0
0
0
1
6
5-5
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
40%
0-3
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.6
24.4
20.0
7
44%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
39%
1-5
20%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
18.9
23.1
9
44%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
3-3
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.0
14.9
2.2
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
42%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.6
12.0
2.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.8
14.2
1
2-4
42%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
5.9
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
27.9
35.1
8
67%
7
2
1
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
4-6
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.0
27.7
34.5
18
68%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
7-11
8-15
64%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.4
25.1
29.4
13
81%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
3-6
50%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.3
24.4
36.7
6
43%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.9
23.0
34.7
12
68%
8
1
2
1
2
2
1
7
2-2
100%
5-8
9-15
63%
59%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.6
25.0
10.2
13
57%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-1
100%
6-11
1-3
55%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
22.9
17.1
13
74%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
22.4
19.7
3
17%
6
1
2
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
14.4
6.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35.4
13.0
11.7
4
50%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.8
7.1
3.7
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.5
7.1
0.8
3
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.