FinalWin Prob.pScore
1051%101
111
2049%100
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.010095.6
TOR logo TOR
94.1102107.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA111
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORMISS Peterson 23' Jump Shot111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0TORPeterson 6' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03TORRose Foul Turnover (P4.T12)109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAO'Neal Dunk (33 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)109
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Butler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31TORMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33TORMurray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)107
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:34TORMISS Bosh Layup107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)107
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:37TORMISS Alston Driving Layup107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)107
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:43MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)106
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:57TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)105
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 2:02TORMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)105
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)105
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2104
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 2:48TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)104
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T14)104
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 3:10TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)104
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 3:10TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)104
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)104
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 3:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)102
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 3:31TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2102
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 3:31TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)102
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 3:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)102
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 3:34TORMISS Alston Layup102
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 3:39TORMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot102
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 4:01TORAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)102
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 4:07TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 4:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24TORMISS Murray 14' Turnaround Jump Shot102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 4:27TORMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 4:27TORMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 2102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (30 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 4:59TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)100
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 4:59TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)100
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMurray STEAL (1 STL)100
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 5:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)100
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot100
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 5:25TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)100
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 5:25TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)100
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 5:25TORRAPTORS Rebound100
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 5:25TORMISS Bosh 8' Running Jump Shot100
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 5:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 6:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)100
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 6:05TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot100
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 6:12MIAHaslem Tip Shot (11 PTS)100
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 6:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)98
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Haslem 7' Running Jump Shot98
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 6:31TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 6:31TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 298
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 6:38TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 298
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 298
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 6:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 6:52TORMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot98
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 7:00TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 7:02MIAPeterson BLOCK (1 BLK)98
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 7:22TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)98
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 7:22TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 298
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 7:30MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)98
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 297
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 7:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)97
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 7:42TORMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper97
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 7:51TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot97
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 8:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)97
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 8:08TORMISS Bonner Free Throw 2 of 297
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 8:08TORMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 297
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 8:25MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)97
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 8:41TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)95
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 8:41TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
98.7%
78
1.3%
Q4 - 8:56TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.0%
77
1.0%
Q4 - 9:14MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 9:16TORMISS Bonner 6' Driving Hook Shot95
98.8%
77
1.2%
Q4 - 9:31TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
98.6%
77
1.4%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 295
98.7%
77
1.3%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 9:42TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)94
98.6%
77
1.4%
Q4 - 9:42TORPeterson 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)94
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS)94
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 10:00TORRose Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)92
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 10:04MIARose STEAL (1 STL)92
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 10:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 10:16TORMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot92
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 10:34TORRose Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)92
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 10:51MIADooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)92
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 11:03MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot90
97.5%
73
2.5%
Q4 - 11:23TORBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)90
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 11:23TORMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 290
98.0%
72
2.0%
Q4 - 11:41MIAAnderson Running Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)90
97.9%
72
2.1%
Q4 - 11:46MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
97.4%
72
2.6%
Q4 - 11:47TORMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot88
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR88
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound88
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
96.2%
72
3.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot88
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)88
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q3 - 1:04TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
94.8%
72
5.2%
Q3 - 1:04TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
94.9%
71
5.1%
Q3 - 1:16TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
95.6%
70
4.4%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 286
95.7%
70
4.3%
Q3 - 1:17MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q3 - 1:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
95.7%
70
4.3%
Q3 - 1:34TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot85
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q3 - 1:52MIAO'Neal Dunk (28 PTS)85
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q3 - 1:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q3 - 1:55MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)83
92.9%
70
7.1%
Q3 - 1:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 283
92.7%
70
7.3%
Q3 - 1:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)83
93.2%
70
6.8%
Q3 - 2:11TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
91.5%
70
8.5%
Q3 - 2:11TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
91.9%
69
8.1%
Q3 - 2:27MIAButler Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)82
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q3 - 2:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
94.0%
68
6.0%
Q3 - 2:30TORMISS Alston Layup82
93.7%
68
6.3%
Q3 - 2:48MIAJones 9' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q3 - 2:56TORRose Inbound Turnover (P2.T9)80
91.6%
68
8.4%
Q3 - 2:57MIAJones 5' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q3 - 3:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
87.5%
68
12.5%
Q3 - 3:10TORMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot78
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q3 - 3:29TORRAPTORS Rebound78
85.2%
68
14.8%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot78
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
87.5%
68
12.5%
Q3 - 3:48TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q3 - 3:58TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
85.2%
68
14.8%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot78
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q3 - 4:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
86.7%
68
13.3%
Q3 - 4:23TORMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot78
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q3 - 4:39TORRAPTORS Rebound78
84.3%
68
15.7%
Q3 - 4:41TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup78
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q3 - 4:47MIABosh STEAL (2 STL)78
84.3%
68
15.7%
Q3 - 5:04TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)78
85.9%
68
14.1%
Q3 - 5:04TORAlston 11' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)78
87.8%
67
12.2%
Q3 - 5:09TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
89.3%
65
10.7%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot78
89.8%
65
10.2%
Q3 - 5:34TORRose 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)78
91.0%
65
9.0%
Q3 - 5:46TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
93.3%
62
6.7%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 278
93.4%
62
6.6%
Q3 - 5:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q3 - 6:02TORAlston Driving Layup (15 PTS)77
92.6%
62
7.4%
Q3 - 6:07MIAAlston STEAL (1 STL)77
93.6%
60
6.4%
Q3 - 6:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
94.6%
60
5.4%
Q3 - 6:20TORMISS Bosh Finger Roll77
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)77
93.6%
60
6.4%
Q3 - 6:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
94.6%
60
5.4%
Q3 - 6:40TORMISS Williams Running Finger Roll77
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 6:48MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)77
93.6%
60
6.4%
Q3 - 7:08TORWilliams 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)77
94.0%
60
6.0%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
94.7%
58
5.3%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 276
94.6%
58
5.4%
Q3 - 7:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
94.9%
58
5.1%
Q3 - 7:47TORMISS Peterson 6' Jump Shot76
94.6%
58
5.4%
Q3 - 7:49TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
93.9%
58
6.1%
Q3 - 7:51TORMISS Peterson 9' Running Jump Shot76
94.6%
58
5.4%
Q3 - 8:08MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)76
93.6%
58
6.4%
Q3 - 8:25TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)76
94.5%
58
5.5%
Q3 - 8:46MIAO'Neal Layup (24 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)76
95.2%
56
4.8%
Q3 - 9:06TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)74
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 9:06TORAlston Driving Layup (12 PTS)74
94.7%
55
5.3%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 174
95.5%
53
4.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS)74
95.4%
53
4.6%
Q3 - 9:40TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
94.8%
53
5.2%
Q3 - 9:57MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)72
96.1%
50
3.9%
Q3 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
95.1%
50
4.9%
Q3 - 10:09TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
94.9%
50
5.1%
Q3 - 10:22MIAJones Driving Layup (14 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)70
94.3%
50
5.7%
Q3 - 10:35TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T8)68
93.6%
50
6.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
92.6%
50
7.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
92.4%
50
7.6%
Q3 - 11:04TORAlston Driving Layup (7 PTS)66
91.1%
50
8.9%
Q3 - 11:14MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)66
92.2%
48
7.8%
Q3 - 11:28TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
90.0%
48
10.0%
Q3 - 11:28TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
90.3%
47
9.7%
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
91.1%
46
8.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR61
90.0%
46
10.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)61
88.6%
46
11.4%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
84.5%
46
15.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
83.6%
46
16.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
84.5%
46
15.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0TORMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 258
84.4%
46
15.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0TORMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
85.0%
45
15.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot58
85.8%
45
14.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
85.0%
45
15.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
85.4%
45
14.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
86.2%
45
13.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot58
85.9%
45
14.1%
Q2 - 1:12MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)58
84.6%
45
15.4%
Q2 - 1:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
81.9%
45
18.1%
Q2 - 1:27TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 256
81.8%
45
18.2%
Q2 - 1:27TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 256
80.3%
45
19.7%
Q2 - 1:27TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
81.2%
45
18.8%
Q2 - 1:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
81.9%
45
18.1%
Q2 - 1:36TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot56
81.6%
45
18.4%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 156
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q2 - 1:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)56
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q2 - 2:01TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
77.5%
45
22.5%
Q2 - 2:01TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
77.8%
44
22.2%
Q2 - 2:16MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
79.8%
43
20.2%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 253
78.9%
43
21.1%
Q2 - 2:41TORRose 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)53
79.6%
43
20.4%
Q2 - 2:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
81.8%
41
18.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 252
81.0%
41
19.0%
Q2 - 2:52MIAHeat Rebound52
81.6%
41
18.4%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Jones 11' Running Jump Shot52
80.4%
41
19.6%
Q2 - 3:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
80.8%
41
19.2%
Q2 - 3:03TORMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot52
80.1%
41
19.9%
Q2 - 3:20TORWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
78.7%
41
21.3%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 252
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 3:20MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
79.8%
41
20.2%
Q2 - 3:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
78.9%
41
21.1%
Q2 - 3:34TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot51
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 3:55MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)51
76.7%
41
23.3%
Q2 - 4:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
73.8%
41
26.2%
Q2 - 4:08TORMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 249
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q2 - 4:08TORWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
72.2%
41
27.8%
Q2 - 4:08TORRAPTORS Rebound49
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 4:09TORMISS Woods Tip Shot49
75.3%
40
24.7%
Q2 - 4:09TORWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 4:09TORMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot49
75.3%
40
24.7%
Q2 - 4:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 248
72.9%
40
27.1%
Q2 - 4:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
73.9%
40
26.1%
Q2 - 4:36TORMISS Palacio Layup48
73.2%
40
26.8%
Q2 - 4:48TORMISS Rose Free Throw Technical48
71.6%
40
28.4%
Q2 - 4:59TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
71.6%
40
28.4%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot48
71.9%
40
28.1%
Q2 - 5:07TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)48
73.6%
40
26.4%
Q2 - 5:20MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)48
71.2%
40
28.8%
Q2 - 5:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
69.0%
40
31.0%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot46
67.1%
40
32.9%
Q2 - 5:44TORBonner 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
69.0%
40
31.0%
Q2 - 6:07MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)46
70.6%
38
29.4%
Q2 - 6:17MIAHeat Rebound44
68.8%
38
31.2%
Q2 - 6:19TORMISS Rose 12' Turnaround Jump Shot44
67.9%
38
32.1%
Q2 - 6:38MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
65.9%
38
34.1%
Q2 - 6:47TORMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
68.8%
38
31.2%
Q2 - 6:47TORMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
69.3%
37
30.7%
Q2 - 7:02MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)44
70.2%
36
29.8%
Q2 - 7:12MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
65.7%
36
34.3%
Q2 - 7:14TORMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot41
65.0%
36
35.0%
Q2 - 7:20TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
63.2%
36
36.8%
Q2 - 7:21TORMISS Bonner 11' Jump Shot41
65.0%
36
35.0%
Q2 - 7:44MIAWade Tip Shot (8 PTS)41
63.2%
36
36.8%
Q2 - 7:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
60.9%
36
39.1%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot39
59.0%
36
41.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
60.6%
36
39.4%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot39
58.6%
36
41.4%
Q2 - 8:23TORMurray 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)39
60.6%
36
39.4%
Q2 - 8:46TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
62.8%
34
37.2%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 239
63.1%
34
36.9%
Q2 - 8:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
64.7%
34
35.3%
Q2 - 8:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
63.1%
34
36.9%
Q2 - 8:56TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
62.2%
34
37.8%
Q2 - 9:08TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
60.0%
34
40.0%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot38
60.9%
34
39.1%
Q2 - 9:24MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 9:26TORMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)38
60.0%
34
40.0%
Q2 - 9:50TORPalacio Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)36
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 9:50TORPalacio Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
60.3%
33
39.7%
Q2 - 10:04TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
62.1%
31
37.9%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot36
62.9%
31
37.1%
Q2 - 10:22TORRose 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
64.7%
31
35.3%
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
66.3%
29
33.7%
Q2 - 10:49TORBonner Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)34
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q2 - 10:59TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
62.2%
29
37.8%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot34
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q2 - 11:16TORRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)34
64.2%
29
35.8%
Q2 - 11:48MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
68.5%
26
31.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
66.4%
26
33.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
66.4%
26
33.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
65.8%
26
34.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
64.0%
26
36.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJones Reverse Layup (6 PTS)31
61.8%
26
38.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
59.0%
26
41.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot29
58.5%
26
41.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 228
56.8%
26
43.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)28
56.7%
26
43.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot28
55.5%
26
44.5%
Q1 - 1:05TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)28
56.8%
26
43.2%
Q1 - 1:15MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)28
54.9%
26
45.1%
Q1 - 1:30TORBosh 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)26
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q1 - 1:39TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q1 - 1:40TORMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
56.2%
24
43.8%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
54.5%
24
45.5%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot24
50.8%
24
49.2%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup24
50.8%
24
49.2%
Q1 - 2:19TORAlston 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
52.4%
24
47.6%
Q1 - 2:32MIAButler 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
54.9%
22
45.1%
Q1 - 2:57TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)22
52.4%
22
47.6%
Q1 - 2:57TORBosh Layup (12 PTS)22
54.7%
21
45.3%
Q1 - 2:58TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
57.2%
19
42.8%
Q1 - 2:59TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot22
58.7%
19
41.3%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
56.7%
19
43.3%
Q1 - 3:31TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)20
54.8%
19
45.2%
Q1 - 3:44MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
52.3%
19
47.7%
Q1 - 3:59TORBosh Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)18
50.3%
19
49.7%
Q1 - 4:04TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
52.1%
17
47.9%
Q1 - 4:05MIABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)18
52.9%
17
47.1%
Q1 - 4:16TORBosh 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Araujo 1 AST)18
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q1 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
56.5%
15
43.5%
Q1 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)17
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 4:44TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 4:54MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)16
52.1%
15
47.9%
Q1 - 5:10MIAHeat Rebound14
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 5:11TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot14
49.6%
15
50.4%
Q1 - 5:32MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)14
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 5:41TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
46.1%
15
53.9%
Q1 - 5:41TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 212
46.5%
14
53.5%
Q1 - 5:46MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)12
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 6:02TORPeterson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)12
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 6:14MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
50.0%
12
50.0%
Q1 - 6:25TORAlston 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
52.1%
12
47.9%
Q1 - 6:33MIAHaslem Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
54.1%
10
45.9%
Q1 - 6:53TORAraujo Layup (2 PTS)10
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 7:11TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 210
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 210
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 7:28MIAHeat Rebound10
55.9%
8
44.1%
Q1 - 7:28TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
55.3%
8
44.7%
Q1 - 7:41TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 210
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
55.3%
8
44.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 7:47TORMISS Williams Running Layup9
53.4%
8
46.6%
Q1 - 8:09MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)9
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 8:28TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
48.7%
8
51.3%
Q1 - 8:45MIAJones Running Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 9:01TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)4
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 9:09TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.0%
4
50.0%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
50.7%
4
49.3%
Q1 - 9:33TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
52.4%
4
47.6%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
50.1%
4
49.9%
Q1 - 10:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 10:04TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot2
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 10:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.4%
4
53.6%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup2
47.0%
4
53.0%
Q1 - 10:15TORPeterson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAO'Neal 5' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
46.4%
4
53.6%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 10:40TORMISS Bosh 7' Fadeaway Jumper0
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)0
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 11:14TORBosh Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)0
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 11:29MIABosh STEAL (1 STL)0
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 11:46TORPeterson 16' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to Alston0
50.3%
0
49.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
TOR
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
27
78%
TOR
9
20
45%
Midrange
MIA
14
35
40%
TOR
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
TOR
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
29
49
59%
TOR
31
45
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3355%16.5 / 30
E. Jones2382%11.5 / 14
D. Wade1657%8.0 / 14
R. Butler1454%7.0 / 13
U. Haslem1161%5.5 / 9
D. Jones857%4.0 / 7
K. Dooling220%1.0 / 5
S. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
M. Doleac233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Alston2960%14.5 / 24
C. Bosh2752%13.5 / 26
J. Rose1354%6.5 / 12
M. Peterson928%4.5 / 16
L. Murray542%2.5 / 6
M. Bonner325%1.5 / 6
M. Palacio350%1.5 / 3
R. Araujo2100%1.0 / 1
E. Williams250%1.0 / 2
A. Williams233%1.0 / 3
L. Woods125%0.5 / 2
D. Marshall0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+14
-14
100
TOR
90
+14
-12
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
TOR
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.6
MIA 111.0
TOR 94.1 +16.9
Pace
93.9
95.7
MIA 95.6
TOR 107.0 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.8
MIA 15.1
TOR 13.5 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.2%
MIA 56.2% +15.1%
TOR 41.1%
TO %
14.0%
13.1%
MIA 12.9%
TOR 10.8% +2.1%
ORB %
27.0%
23.7%
MIA 30.2% +9.4%
TOR 20.8%
FTrt
38.7
31.6
MIA 67.1 +10.1
TOR 57.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
56.6%
MIA 61.5% +14.8%
TOR 46.7%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
MIA 6.0%
TOR 7.8% +1.8%
BLK %
8.7%
5.8%
MIA 6.9% +2.1%
TOR 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
51.1%
MIA 55.0% +9.3%
TOR 45.7%
Rim FG%
63.0%
54.1%
MIA 77.8% +32.8%
TOR 45.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.7%
MIA 40.0%
TOR 42.1% +2.1%
3P %
37.7%
38.5%
MIA 36.4% +12.6%
TOR 23.8%
FT %
67.2%
77.4%
MIA 59.2%
TOR 68.9% +9.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
31.4%
MIA 37.0% +11.7%
TOR 25.3%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
43.3%
MIA 47.9% +0.2%
TOR 48.1%
3P Att. %
19.8%
25.3%
MIA 15.1%
TOR 26.6% +11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions100102
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points11196
Rebounds5140
Assists2414
Steals68
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (3)30 (1)
Field Goals39-7330-79
At-the-Rim FG21-279-20
Midrange FG14-3516-38
2-Point FG35-6225-58
3-Point FG4-115-21
Free Throws29-4931-45
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
38.9
23
82%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
6-7
86%
7-9
78%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
38.9
33
55%
18
3
0
1
5
4
3
15
7-20
35%
13-19
68%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
31.8
11
61%
9
0
0
1
1
6
5
4
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
31.4
16
57%
2
10
2
0
5
6
1
1
10-14
71%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
27.3
8
57%
2
5
2
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
25.7
14
54%
7
1
0
1
1
3
0
7
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
20.8
2
20%
3
3
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
14.0
2
33%
5
1
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
11.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
55%
51
24
6
4
14
0
13
38
29-49
59%
35-62
56%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.