Final Win Prob. pScore
1051%101
111
2049%100
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
111.010095.6
TOR logo Raptors
94.1102107.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA111
96
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)111
96
Q4 - 0:21.0TORMISS Peterson 23' Jump Shot111
96
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)111
96
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)110
96
Q4 - 0:36.0TORBosh P.FOUL (P5.PN)109
96
Q4 - 0:36.0TORPeterson 6' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)109
96
Q4 - 0:41.0TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)109
94
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot109
94
Q4 - 1:03TORRose Foul Turnover (P4.T12)109
94
Q4 - 1:03TORRose OFF.Foul (P3)109
94
Q4 - 1:12MIAO'Neal Dunk (33 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)109
94
Q4 - 1:12MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)107
94
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Butler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot107
94
Q4 - 1:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)107
94
Q4 - 1:31TORMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
94
Q4 - 1:33TORMurray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)107
94
Q4 - 1:34TORMISS Bosh Layup107
94
Q4 - 1:35TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)107
94
Q4 - 1:37TORMISS Alston Driving Layup107
94
Q4 - 1:43MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)107
94
Q4 - 1:43MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)106
94
Q4 - 1:43TORAlston S.FOUL (P3.PN)105
94
Q4 - 1:57TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)105
94
Q4 - 2:02TORMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)105
91
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
91
Q4 - 2:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)105
91
Q4 - 2:21TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot105
91
Q4 - 2:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)105
91
Q4 - 2:28MIAHeat Rebound104
91
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2104
91
Q4 - 2:28TORMurray S.FOUL (P1.PN)104
91
Q4 - 2:48TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)104
91
Q4 - 2:57MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade104
91
Q4 - 2:57MIAHeat Timeout: Official (Reg.1 Short 0)104
91
Q4 - 2:57MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T14)104
91
Q4 - 2:57MIAWade OFF.Foul (P6)104
91
Q4 - 3:10TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)104
91
Q4 - 3:10TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)104
90
Q4 - 3:10MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)104
89
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)104
89
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
89
Q4 - 3:14TORBosh S.FOUL (P4.T4)102
89
Q4 - 3:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)102
89
Q4 - 3:31TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2102
89
Q4 - 3:31MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling102
89
Q4 - 3:31TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)102
89
Q4 - 3:31MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.PN)102
88
Q4 - 3:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)102
88
Q4 - 3:34TORMISS Alston Layup102
88
Q4 - 3:39TORMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
88
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot102
88
Q4 - 4:01TORAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)102
88
Q4 - 4:07TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
85
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot102
85
Q4 - 4:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)102
85
Q4 - 4:24TORMISS Murray 14' Turnaround Jump Shot102
85
Q4 - 4:27TORMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
85
Q4 - 4:27TORMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 2102
85
Q4 - 4:27TORRAPTORS Rebound102
85
Q4 - 4:27TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 2102
85
Q4 - 4:27MIASUB: Anderson FOR Haslem102
85
Q4 - 4:27MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P6.PN)102
85
Q4 - 4:40MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (30 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)102
85
Q4 - 4:59TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)100
85
Q4 - 4:59TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)100
84
Q4 - 4:59MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P5.PN)100
83
Q4 - 5:06MIAMurray STEAL (1 STL)100
83
Q4 - 5:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)100
83
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot100
83
Q4 - 5:25TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)100
83
Q4 - 5:25TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)100
82
Q4 - 5:25MIASUB: Wade FOR Butler100
81
Q4 - 5:25TORSUB: Murray FOR Williams100
81
Q4 - 5:25TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)100
81
Q4 - 5:25MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P3.PN)100
81
Q4 - 5:25TORRAPTORS Rebound100
81
Q4 - 5:25TORMISS Bosh 8' Running Jump Shot100
81
Q4 - 5:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
81
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
81
Q4 - 6:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)100
81
Q4 - 6:05TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot100
81
Q4 - 6:12MIAHaslem Tip Shot (11 PTS)100
81
Q4 - 6:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)98
81
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Haslem 7' Running Jump Shot98
81
Q4 - 6:31TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
81
Q4 - 6:31TORRAPTORS Rebound98
80
Q4 - 6:31TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 298
80
Q4 - 6:31MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)98
80
Q4 - 6:38TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
80
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 298
80
Q4 - 6:39MIAHeat Rebound98
80
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 298
80
Q4 - 6:39TORWilliams S.FOUL (P4.T3)98
80
Q4 - 6:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
80
Q4 - 6:52TORMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot98
80
Q4 - 7:00TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
80
Q4 - 7:02MIAPeterson BLOCK (1 BLK)98
80
Q4 - 7:22TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)98
80
Q4 - 7:22TORRAPTORS Rebound98
79
Q4 - 7:22TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 298
79
Q4 - 7:22MIADooling P.FOUL (P3.PN)98
79
Q4 - 7:30MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)98
79
Q4 - 7:30TORSUB: Rose FOR Bonner97
79
Q4 - 7:30MIAHeat Rebound97
79
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 297
79
Q4 - 7:30TORWilliams S.FOUL (P3.T2)97
79
Q4 - 7:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)97
79
Q4 - 7:42TORMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper97
79
Q4 - 7:51TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
79
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot97
79
Q4 - 8:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)97
79
Q4 - 8:08TORMISS Bonner Free Throw 2 of 297
79
Q4 - 8:08TORSUB: Williams FOR Palacio97
79
Q4 - 8:08MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anderson97
79
Q4 - 8:08MIASUB: Jones FOR Doleac97
79
Q4 - 8:08MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Wade97
79
Q4 - 8:08TORRAPTORS Rebound97
79
Q4 - 8:08TORMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 297
79
Q4 - 8:08MIAWade S.FOUL (P5.PN)97
79
Q4 - 8:25MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)97
79
Q4 - 8:41TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)95
79
Q4 - 8:41TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
78
Q4 - 8:41TORSUB: Alston FOR Rose95
77
Q4 - 8:4195
77
Q4 - 8:41MIADooling S.FOUL (P2.T4)95
77
Q4 - 8:56TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
77
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
77
Q4 - 9:14MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
77
Q4 - 9:16TORMISS Bonner 6' Driving Hook Shot95
77
Q4 - 9:31TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
77
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 295
77
Q4 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
77
Q4 - 9:32TORPeterson S.FOUL (P4.T1)94
77
Q4 - 9:42TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)94
77
Q4 - 9:42MIADoleac S.FOUL (P3.T3)94
76
Q4 - 9:42TORPeterson 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)94
76
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS)94
74
Q4 - 10:00TORRose Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)92
74
Q4 - 10:04MIARose STEAL (1 STL)92
74
Q4 - 10:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
74
Q4 - 10:16TORMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot92
74
Q4 - 10:24MIADoleac P.FOUL (P2.T2)92
74
Q4 - 10:34TORRose Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)92
74
Q4 - 10:34TORSUB: Peterson FOR Murray92
73
Q4 - 10:34MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Anderson )92
73
Q4 - 10:51MIADooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)92
73
Q4 - 11:03MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
73
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot90
73
Q4 - 11:23TORBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)90
73
Q4 - 11:23TORSUB: Bosh FOR Williams90
72
Q4 - 11:23TORRAPTORS Rebound90
72
Q4 - 11:23TORMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 290
72
Q4 - 11:23MIAAnderson S.FOUL (P2.T1)90
72
Q4 - 11:41MIAAnderson Running Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)90
72
Q4 - 11:46MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
72
Q4 - 11:47TORMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot88
72
Q4 - 12:0088
72
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR88
72
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound88
72
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
72
Q3 - 0:10.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
72
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot88
72
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
72
Q3 - 0:33.0TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
72
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)88
72
Q3 - 1:04TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
72
Q3 - 1:04TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
71
Q3 - 1:04MIAButler S.FOUL (P3.PN)86
70
Q3 - 1:16TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
70
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 286
70
Q3 - 1:17TORSUB: Bonner FOR Bosh86
70
Q3 - 1:17MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
70
Q3 - 1:17TORRose S.FOUL (P2.PN)85
70
Q3 - 1:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
70
Q3 - 1:34TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot85
70
Q3 - 1:52MIAO'Neal Dunk (28 PTS)85
70
Q3 - 1:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
70
Q3 - 1:55MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)83
70
Q3 - 1:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
70
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 283
70
Q3 - 1:58TORWilliams Violation:Lane83
70
Q3 - 1:58TORSUB: Murray FOR Peterson83
70
Q3 - 1:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)83
70
Q3 - 1:58TORWilliams S.FOUL (P2.PN)82
70
Q3 - 2:11TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
70
Q3 - 2:11MIASUB: Doleac FOR Haslem82
69
Q3 - 2:11TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
69
Q3 - 2:11MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.T4)82
68
Q3 - 2:27MIAButler Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)82
68
Q3 - 2:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
68
Q3 - 2:30TORMISS Alston Layup82
68
Q3 - 2:48MIAJones 9' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
68
Q3 - 2:56TORRose Inbound Turnover (P2.T9)80
68
Q3 - 2:57MIAJones 5' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
68
Q3 - 3:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
68
Q3 - 3:10TORMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot78
68
Q3 - 3:29TORRAPTORS Rebound78
68
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot78
68
Q3 - 3:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
68
Q3 - 3:48TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
68
Q3 - 3:58TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
68
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot78
68
Q3 - 4:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
68
Q3 - 4:23TORMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot78
68
Q3 - 4:39TORRAPTORS Rebound78
68
Q3 - 4:41TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup78
68
Q3 - 4:47MIABosh STEAL (2 STL)78
68
Q3 - 5:04TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)78
68
Q3 - 5:04MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones78
67
Q3 - 5:04MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T3)78
67
Q3 - 5:04TORAlston 11' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)78
67
Q3 - 5:09TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
65
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot78
65
Q3 - 5:34TORRose 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)78
65
Q3 - 5:46TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
62
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 278
62
Q3 - 5:47TORWilliams Violation:Lane78
62
Q3 - 5:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
62
Q3 - 5:47TORWilliams P.FOUL (P1.PN)77
62
Q3 - 6:00MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)77
62
Q3 - 6:02TORAlston Driving Layup (15 PTS)77
62
Q3 - 6:07MIAAlston STEAL (1 STL)77
60
Q3 - 6:15TORAlston P.FOUL (P2.T4)77
60
Q3 - 6:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
60
Q3 - 6:20TORMISS Bosh Finger Roll77
60
Q3 - 6:32MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade77
60
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)77
60
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade OFF.Foul (P4)77
60
Q3 - 6:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
60
Q3 - 6:40TORMISS Williams Running Finger Roll77
60
Q3 - 6:48MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)77
60
Q3 - 7:08TORWilliams 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)77
60
Q3 - 7:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
58
Q3 - 7:25MIAHeat Rebound76
58
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 276
58
Q3 - 7:25TORPeterson S.FOUL (P3.T3)76
58
Q3 - 7:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
58
Q3 - 7:47TORMISS Peterson 6' Jump Shot76
58
Q3 - 7:49TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
58
Q3 - 7:51TORMISS Peterson 9' Running Jump Shot76
58
Q3 - 8:08TORSUB: Rose FOR Williams76
58
Q3 - 8:08TORSUB: Williams FOR Araujo76
58
Q3 - 8:08MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)76
58
Q3 - 8:25TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)76
58
Q3 - 8:46MIAO'Neal Layup (24 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)76
56
Q3 - 9:06TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)74
56
Q3 - 9:06MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T2)74
55
Q3 - 9:06TORAlston Driving Layup (12 PTS)74
55
Q3 - 9:20TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
53
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 174
53
Q3 - 9:20TORAlston S.FOUL (P1.T2)74
53
Q3 - 9:20MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS)74
53
Q3 - 9:40TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
53
Q3 - 9:53TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)72
50
Q3 - 9:57MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)72
50
Q3 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
50
Q3 - 10:09TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
50
Q3 - 10:22MIAJones Driving Layup (14 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)70
50
Q3 - 10:35TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T8)68
50
Q3 - 10:35TORWilliams OFF.Foul (P3)68
50
Q3 - 10:45MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
50
Q3 - 10:45MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
50
Q3 - 10:45TORWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T1)66
50
Q3 - 11:04TORAlston Driving Layup (7 PTS)66
50
Q3 - 11:14MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)66
48
Q3 - 11:28TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
48
Q3 - 11:28TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
47
Q3 - 11:28MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T1)63
46
Q3 - 11:42TORAraujo Violation:Defensive Goaltending63
46
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
46
Q3 - 12:0061
46
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR61
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA61
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)61
46
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
46
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
46
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
46
Q2 - 0:33.0TORMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 258
46
Q2 - 0:33.0TORMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
46
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAnderson P.FOUL (P1.PN)58
45
Q2 - 0:33.0TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
45
Q2 - 0:34.0TORMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot58
45
Q2 - 0:46.0TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
45
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
45
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
45
Q2 - 0:59.0TORMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot58
45
Q2 - 1:12MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)58
45
Q2 - 1:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
45
Q2 - 1:27TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 256
45
Q2 - 1:27MIASUB: Butler FOR Haslem56
45
Q2 - 1:27TORRAPTORS Rebound56
45
Q2 - 1:27TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 256
45
Q2 - 1:27MIASUB: Anderson FOR Wade56
45
Q2 - 1:27MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.PN)56
45
Q2 - 1:27TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
45
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
45
Q2 - 1:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
45
Q2 - 1:36TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot56
45
Q2 - 1:46TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
45
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 156
45
Q2 - 1:47TORMarshall S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
45
Q2 - 1:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)56
45
Q2 - 2:01TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
45
Q2 - 2:01TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
44
Q2 - 2:01MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)54
43
Q2 - 2:16MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
43
Q2 - 2:16TORSUB: Marshall FOR Araujo53
43
Q2 - 2:16MIAHeat Rebound53
43
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 253
43
Q2 - 2:16TORAraujo P.FOUL (P3.PN)53
43
Q2 - 2:41TORRose 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)53
43
Q2 - 2:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
41
Q2 - 2:52MIAHeat Rebound52
41
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 252
41
Q2 - 2:52TORSUB: Murray FOR Bonner52
41
Q2 - 2:52TORSUB: Araujo FOR Woods52
41
Q2 - 2:52TORPeterson P.FOUL (P2.PN)52
41
Q2 - 2:52MIAHeat Rebound52
41
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Jones 11' Running Jump Shot52
41
Q2 - 3:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
41
Q2 - 3:03TORMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot52
41
Q2 - 3:20TORWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
41
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 252
41
Q2 - 3:20MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
41
Q2 - 3:20TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)51
41
Q2 - 3:20TORWoods S.FOUL (P1.PN)51
41
Q2 - 3:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
41
Q2 - 3:34TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot51
41
Q2 - 3:55MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)51
41
Q2 - 4:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
41
Q2 - 4:08TORMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 249
41
Q2 - 4:08TORWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
41
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)49
40
Q2 - 4:08TORRAPTORS Rebound49
40
Q2 - 4:09TORMISS Woods Tip Shot49
40
Q2 - 4:09TORWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
40
Q2 - 4:09TORMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot49
40
Q2 - 4:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
40
Q2 - 4:22TORBonner Violation:Lane48
40
Q2 - 4:22MIAHeat Rebound48
40
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 248
40
Q2 - 4:22TORBonner S.FOUL (P2.PN)48
40
Q2 - 4:34TORSUB: Alston FOR Palacio48
40
Q2 - 4:34TORSUB: Bonner FOR Bosh48
40
Q2 - 4:34MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anderson48
40
Q2 - 4:34TORBosh P.FOUL (P3.T4)48
40
Q2 - 4:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
40
Q2 - 4:36TORMISS Palacio Layup48
40
Q2 - 4:48MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling48
40
Q2 - 4:48TORRAPTORS Rebound48
40
Q2 - 4:48TORMISS Rose Free Throw Technical48
40
Q2 - 4:48TORSUB: Peterson FOR Murray48
40
Q2 - 4:48TORSUB: Bosh FOR Bonner48
40
Q2 - 4:48MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )48
40
Q2 - 4:59TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
40
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot48
40
Q2 - 5:07TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)48
40
Q2 - 5:20MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)48
40
Q2 - 5:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
40
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot46
40
Q2 - 5:35TORSUB: Woods FOR Marshall46
40
Q2 - 5:35TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official (Full 0 Short 0)46
40
Q2 - 5:35TORPalacio P.FOUL (P1.T3)46
40
Q2 - 5:44TORBonner 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
40
Q2 - 6:07MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)46
38
Q2 - 6:17MIAHeat Rebound44
38
Q2 - 6:19TORMISS Rose 12' Turnaround Jump Shot44
38
Q2 - 6:38MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
38
Q2 - 6:47TORMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
38
Q2 - 6:47TORMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
37
Q2 - 6:47MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler44
36
Q2 - 6:47MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac44
36
Q2 - 6:47MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T4)44
36
Q2 - 7:02MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)44
36
Q2 - 7:12MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
36
Q2 - 7:14TORMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot41
36
Q2 - 7:20TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
36
Q2 - 7:21TORMISS Bonner 11' Jump Shot41
36
Q2 - 7:44MIAWade Tip Shot (8 PTS)41
36
Q2 - 7:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
36
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 8:05MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
36
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 8:23TORMurray 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)39
36
Q2 - 8:46TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
34
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 239
34
Q2 - 8:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 8:47MIASUB: Anderson FOR Haslem38
34
Q2 - 8:4738
34
Q2 - 8:47TORBonner S.FOUL (P1.T2)38
34
Q2 - 8:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
34
Q2 - 8:56TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 9:08TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
34
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 9:24MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
34
Q2 - 9:26TORMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 9:41MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)38
34
Q2 - 9:50TORPalacio Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)36
34
Q2 - 9:50TORSUB: Murray FOR Peterson36
33
Q2 - 9:50MIADooling S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
33
Q2 - 9:50TORPalacio Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
33
Q2 - 10:04TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
31
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot36
31
Q2 - 10:22TORRose 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
31
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
29
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
29
Q2 - 10:37TORMarshall S.FOUL (P1.T1)34
29
Q2 - 10:49TORBonner Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)34
29
Q2 - 10:59TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
29
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot34
29
Q2 - 11:16TORRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)34
29
Q2 - 11:32MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T2)34
26
Q2 - 11:37MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
26
Q2 - 11:48MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
26
Q2 - 12:0032
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
26
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
26
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T3)32
26
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
26
Q1 - 0:22.0TORRose S.FOUL (P1.PN)31
26
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJones Reverse Layup (6 PTS)31
26
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26
Q1 - 0:31.0TORMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot29
26
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
26
Q1 - 0:43.0TORSUB: Bonner FOR Bosh28
26
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHeat Rebound28
26
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 228
26
Q1 - 0:43.0TORBosh S.FOUL (P2.PN)28
26
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)28
26
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot28
26
Q1 - 1:05TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)28
26
Q1 - 1:15MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)28
26
Q1 - 1:30TORBosh 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)26
26
Q1 - 1:39TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
24
Q1 - 1:40TORMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
24
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
24
Q1 - 1:57TORSUB: Rose FOR Williams25
24
Q1 - 1:57TORSUB: Marshall FOR Araujo25
24
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
24
Q1 - 1:57TORAraujo S.FOUL (P2.PN)24
24
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
24
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot24
24
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
24
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup24
24
Q1 - 2:19TORAlston 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
24
Q1 - 2:32MIAButler 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
22
Q1 - 2:57TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 2:57MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade22
21
Q1 - 2:57MIAHeat Timeout: Official (Reg.0 Short 0)22
21
Q1 - 2:57MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)22
21
Q1 - 2:57TORBosh Layup (12 PTS)22
21
Q1 - 2:58TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
19
Q1 - 2:59TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot22
19
Q1 - 3:13MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
19
Q1 - 3:31TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)20
19
Q1 - 3:44MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
19
Q1 - 3:59TORBosh Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)18
19
Q1 - 4:04TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
17
Q1 - 4:05MIABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)18
17
Q1 - 4:16TORBosh 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Araujo 1 AST)18
17
Q1 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
15
Q1 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)17
15
Q1 - 4:38TORBosh S.FOUL (P1.T4)16
15
Q1 - 4:44TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
15
Q1 - 4:54MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)16
15
Q1 - 5:10MIAHeat Rebound14
15
Q1 - 5:11TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 5:32MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)14
15
Q1 - 5:41TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
15
Q1 - 5:41TORRAPTORS Rebound12
14
Q1 - 5:41TORMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 212
14
Q1 - 5:41TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official (Full 0 Short 0)12
14
Q1 - 5:41MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
14
Q1 - 5:46MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)12
14
Q1 - 6:02TORPeterson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)12
14
Q1 - 6:14MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
12
Q1 - 6:14MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)12
12
Q1 - 6:25TORAlston 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
12
Q1 - 6:33MIAHaslem Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
10
Q1 - 6:53TORAraujo Layup (2 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 7:11TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 210
8
Q1 - 7:12MIAHeat Rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 210
8
Q1 - 7:12TORAraujo S.FOUL (P1.T3)10
8
Q1 - 7:28MIAHeat Rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:28TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 7:41TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
8
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 210
8
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 7:42TORRAPTORS Violation: Delay of game Violation9
8
Q1 - 7:42TORPeterson S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
8
Q1 - 7:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
8
Q1 - 7:47TORMISS Williams Running Layup9
8
Q1 - 8:09MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)9
8
Q1 - 8:28TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
8
Q1 - 8:45MIAJones Running Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
6
Q1 - 9:01TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)4
6
Q1 - 9:09TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:18TORWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:33TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:46MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:04TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup2
4
Q1 - 10:15TORPeterson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:30MIAO'Neal 5' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:40TORMISS Bosh 7' Fadeaway Jumper0
4
Q1 - 10:56MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)0
4
Q1 - 11:14TORBosh Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 11:29MIABosh STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 11:46TORPeterson 16' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to Alston0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
TOR
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
27
78%
TOR
9
20
45%
Midrange
MIA
14
35
40%
TOR
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
TOR
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
29
49
59%
TOR
31
45
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3355%16.5 / 30
E. Jones2382%11.5 / 14
D. Wade1657%8.0 / 14
R. Butler1454%7.0 / 13
U. Haslem1161%5.5 / 9
D. Jones857%4.0 / 7
K. Dooling220%1.0 / 5
S. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
M. Doleac233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Alston2960%14.5 / 24
C. Bosh2752%13.5 / 26
J. Rose1354%6.5 / 12
M. Peterson928%4.5 / 16
L. Murray542%2.5 / 6
M. Bonner325%1.5 / 6
M. Palacio350%1.5 / 3
R. Araujo2100%1.0 / 1
E. Williams250%1.0 / 2
A. Williams233%1.0 / 3
L. Woods125%0.5 / 2
D. Marshall0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+14
-14
100
TOR
90
+14
-12
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
TOR
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.6
MIA 111.0 +16.9
TOR 94.1
Pace
93.9
95.7
MIA 95.6
TOR 107.0 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.8
MIA 15.1
TOR 13.5 −1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.2%
MIA 56.2% +15.1%
TOR 41.1%
TO %
14.0%
13.1%
MIA 12.9%
TOR 10.8% −2.1%
ORB %
27.0%
23.7%
MIA 30.2% +9.4%
TOR 20.8%
FTrt
38.7
31.6
MIA 67.1 +10.1
TOR 57.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
56.6%
MIA 61.5% +14.8%
TOR 46.7%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
MIA 6.0%
TOR 7.8% +1.8%
BLK %
8.7%
5.8%
MIA 6.9% +2.1%
TOR 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
51.1%
MIA 55.0% +9.3%
TOR 45.7%
Rim FG%
63.0%
54.1%
MIA 77.8% +32.8%
TOR 45.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.7%
MIA 40.0%
TOR 42.1% +2.1%
3P %
37.7%
38.5%
MIA 36.4% +12.6%
TOR 23.8%
FT %
67.2%
77.4%
MIA 59.2%
TOR 68.9% +9.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
31.4%
MIA 37.0% +11.7%
TOR 25.3%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
43.3%
MIA 47.9% −0.2%
TOR 48.1%
3P Att. %
19.8%
25.3%
MIA 15.1%
TOR 26.6% +11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions100102
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points11196
Rebounds5140
Assists2414
Steals68
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (3)30 (1)
Field Goals39-7330-79
At-the-Rim FG21-279-20
Midrange FG14-3516-38
2-Point FG35-6225-58
3-Point FG4-115-21
Free Throws29-4931-45
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
38.9
23
82%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
6-7
86%
7-9
78%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
38.9
33
55%
18
3
0
1
5
4
3
15
7-20
35%
13-19
68%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
31.8
11
61%
9
0
0
1
1
6
5
4
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
31.4
16
57%
2
10
2
0
5
6
1
1
10-14
71%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
27.3
8
57%
2
5
2
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
25.7
14
54%
7
1
0
1
1
3
0
7
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
20.8
2
20%
3
3
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
14.0
2
33%
5
1
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
11.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
55%
51
24
6
4
14
0
13
38
29-49
59%
35-62
56%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.