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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies43%93111
17Cavaliers57%95114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.4
37.6
34.7
10
47%
5
4
2
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
1-4
3-5
25%
47%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.2
28.3
26.1
20
70%
0
7
2
1
0
3
0
0
5-5
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.2
23.3
27.7
10
56%
5
0
0
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
45%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
21.6
5.9
4
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
19.8
25.4
4
41%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.9
32.2
21.8
28
85%
5
3
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
5-8
63%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.6
23.7
21.5
2
25%
1
6
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
23.1
17.7
14
67%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
7-8
88%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
12.1
15.0
11
87%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.6
10.8
1.7
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
7.7
4.5
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.3
45.4
27.7
27
61%
11
2
0
1
1
3
6
5
5-9
56%
11-18
5-10
61%
49%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.1
41.8
42.2
27
76%
9
15
3
2
2
5
1
8
3-4
75%
6-10
9-18
60%
49%
4-6
67%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.3
39.2
22.9
12
64%
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.6
37.4
29.1
22
58%
9
1
1
1
5
1
3
6
8-11
73%
7-14
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
9.8
26.2
4
40%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
24.5
35.3
7
58%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
1-1
100%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.2
20.6
6.2
9
75%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.1
10.9
18.8
2
25%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.0
10.6
13.7
4
72%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.0
3.4
0
0-1
38%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.9
1.5
0
0-0
42%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.