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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nuggets29%8870
11Pistons71%9587
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.9
32.0
40.7
10
46%
4
1
1
2
1
4
1
3
4-4
100%
3-9
5-12
33%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
30.1
15.4
10
38%
14
1
0
0
3
0
4
10
0-0
-
5-13
2-4
38%
46%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.7
27.8
33.7
5
19%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
2-13
5-12
15%
42%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.1
21.5
38.7
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
7-14
25%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
14.2
20.6
4
41%
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 28.7
32.4
25.4
14
61%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
8-8
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.9
24.3
16.6
8
47%
5
2
2
1
0
1
3
2
0-1
0%
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22.4
17.5
19.4
9
51%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 24.7
15.5
9.9
4
50%
1
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
11.9
15.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
36%
0-1
0%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.6
10.4
7.1
4
33%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 21.8
2.7
3.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
35%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.4
38.4
36.6
14
50%
12
3
2
2
2
1
5
7
2-2
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
46%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.3
37.3
36.0
7
31%
2
10
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
0-6
3-8
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.9
33.1
26.7
10
34%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-13
5-10
31%
47%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.4
31.6
33.7
11
56%
11
3
0
1
1
2
1
10
1-2
50%
2-7
5-11
29%
48%
2-2
100%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.9
29.6
23.9
12
55%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
20.5
21.3
13
82%
8
0
1
1
0
1
5
3
1-2
50%
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.5
20.1
17.0
12
68%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.0
18.4
15.9
8
68%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.1
5.5
18.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
39%
0-1
0%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
2.7
5.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.6
2.7
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.