Final Win Prob. pScore
1463%94
82
3437%90
77
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
97.68485.1
Hornets
89.58685.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU82
100%
77
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUSUB: Bowen FOR Yao81
77
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0NOHJacobsen P.FOUL (P1.PN)80
77
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHDickau Reverse Layup (23 PTS)80
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUMcGrady Violation:Defensive Goaltending79
75
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHDickau P.FOUL (P4.PN)78
75
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHDickau Driving Layup (21 PTS)78
98.5%
75
1.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOHDickau P.FOUL (P3.PN)76
73
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0NOHMISS Dickau Layup76
96.8%
73
3.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)76
73
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUPadgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)76
92.4%
73
7.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
68.3%
73
31.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot73
62.6%
73
37.4%
Q4 - 1:06HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)73
51.7%
73
48.3%
Q4 - 1:06HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)72
48.8%
73
51.2%
Q4 - 1:06NOHNailon P.FOUL (P3.PN)71
73
Q4 - 1:13HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)71
73
Q4 - 1:16HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
39.4%
73
60.6%
Q4 - 1:18HOUMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
29.6%
73
70.4%
Q4 - 1:35NOHNailon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)71
41.3%
73
58.7%
Q4 - 1:56HOUYao Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)71
29.2%
73
70.8%
Q4 - 1:58HOURockets Rebound71
41.6%
73
58.4%
Q4 - 2:00HOUMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q4 - 2:17NOHNailon 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)71
43.0%
73
57.0%
Q4 - 2:32NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
50.1%
71
49.9%
Q4 - 2:34HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot71
55.6%
71
44.4%
Q4 - 2:5471
71
Q4 - 2:54NOHBrown Foul Turnover (P4.T16)71
67.2%
71
32.8%
Q4 - 2:54NOHBrown OFF.Foul (P5)71
71
Q4 - 3:03NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
52.9%
71
47.1%
Q4 - 3:05HOUMISS Yao Dunk71
57.4%
71
42.6%
Q4 - 3:07HOUSUB: Sura FOR Strickland71
71
Q4 - 3:21HOUYao REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)71
67.6%
71
32.4%
Q4 - 3:23NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
63.2%
71
36.8%
Q4 - 3:40HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)71
55.8%
71
44.2%
Q4 - 3:50HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
47.0%
71
53.0%
Q4 - 3:52NOHMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot69
43.8%
71
56.2%
Q4 - 4:13HOUPadgett 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)69
36.6%
71
63.4%
Q4 - 4:28HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
28.6%
71
71.4%
Q4 - 4:29NOHMISS Brown Layup67
26.0%
71
74.0%
Q4 - 4:32NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q4 - 4:33NOHMISS Brown Layup67
26.0%
71
74.0%
Q4 - 4:54HOUPadgett Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)67
20.6%
71
79.4%
Q4 - 5:07HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)67
71
Q4 - 5:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)67
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q4 - 5:14NOHMISS Nailon 18' Jump Shot67
29.8%
71
70.2%
Q4 - 5:27HOUYao Layup (10 PTS)67
24.9%
71
75.1%
Q4 - 5:28HOUYao REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)65
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q4 - 5:29HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
15.8%
71
84.2%
Q4 - 5:58NOHNailon 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dickau 10 AST)65
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q4 - 6:11NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
28.9%
69
71.1%
Q4 - 6:12HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 265
29.8%
69
70.2%
Q4 - 6:12HOURockets Rebound65
69
Q4 - 6:12HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 265
34.3%
69
65.7%
Q4 - 6:12NOHBrown S.FOUL (P4.T4)65
69
Q4 - 6:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)65
35.8%
69
64.2%
Q4 - 6:14HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
30.9%
69
69.1%
Q4 - 6:30NOHSUB: Nailon FOR Nachbar65
69
Q4 - 6:30NOHNachbar P.FOUL (P3.T3)65
69
Q4 - 6:39HOURockets Rebound65
35.6%
69
64.4%
Q4 - 6:41NOHMISS Nachbar Reverse Layup65
33.4%
69
66.6%
Q4 - 6:59HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)65
28.6%
69
71.4%
Q4 - 7:13NOHDickau Reverse Layup (19 PTS)63
26.4%
69
73.6%
Q4 - 7:39HOUPadgett 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)63
31.6%
67
68.4%
Q4 - 7:49NOHBrown P.FOUL (P3.T2)61
67
Q4 - 7:50HOUYao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)61
26.2%
67
73.8%
Q4 - 7:51HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
22.4%
67
77.6%
Q4 - 8:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
28.9%
67
71.1%
Q4 - 8:14NOHMISS Dickau 16' Jump Shot61
27.4%
67
72.6%
Q4 - 8:27NOHSUB: Rogers FOR Andersen61
67
Q4 - 8:27NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)61
67
Q4 - 8:33NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
24.0%
67
76.0%
Q4 - 8:35HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
25.4%
67
74.6%
Q4 - 8:39HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
28.8%
67
71.2%
Q4 - 8:41NOHMISS Andersen Layup61
27.2%
67
72.8%
Q4 - 9:04HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)61
26.6%
67
73.4%
Q4 - 9:18NOHSUB: Nachbar FOR Nailon59
67
Q4 - 9:18NOHBrown P.FOUL (P2.T1)59
67
Q4 - 9:19HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
22.0%
67
78.0%
Q4 - 9:20NOHMISS Nailon Layup59
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q4 - 9:28NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q4 - 9:30NOHMISS Nailon 18' Jump Shot59
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q4 - 9:46HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (27 PTS)59
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q4 - 10:03NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dickau 9 AST)57
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q4 - 10:12HOUPadgett P.FOUL (P1.T1)57
65
Q4 - 10:22HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)57
20.2%
65
79.8%
Q4 - 10:34HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
16.7%
65
83.3%
Q4 - 10:35NOHMISS Andersen 6' Hook Shot55
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q4 - 10:51NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
13.7%
65
86.3%
Q4 - 10:53HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
14.6%
65
85.4%
Q4 - 11:22NOHNailon 14' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)55
18.4%
65
81.6%
Q4 - 11:44NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q4 - 11:46HOUBrown BLOCK (2 BLK)55
23.1%
63
76.9%
Q4 - 12:0055
63
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH55
25.7%
63
74.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound55
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Andersen Layup55
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound55
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)55
24.8%
63
75.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0NOHAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T15)55
27.1%
63
72.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)55
23.7%
63
76.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0HOUMISS Strickland 10' Running Jump Shot55
24.7%
63
75.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOURockets Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)55
63
Q3 - 1:02NOHDickau 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nailon 5 AST)55
28.1%
63
71.9%
Q3 - 1:13HOUSUB: Strickland FOR Sura55
61
Q3 - 1:13HOUSUB: Padgett FOR Howard55
61
Q3 - 1:13HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T10)55
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 1:13HOUHoward OFF.Foul (P2)55
61
Q3 - 1:28HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
36.6%
61
63.4%
Q3 - 1:30NOHMISS Nailon 11' Jump Shot55
35.4%
61
64.6%
Q3 - 1:50NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 1:52HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
33.8%
61
66.2%
Q3 - 2:08NOHBrown 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dickau 8 AST)55
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 2:19HOUSUB: Barry FOR Wesley55
59
Q3 - 2:19HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T9)55
42.7%
59
57.3%
Q3 - 2:19HOUHoward OFF.Foul (P1)55
59
Q3 - 2:39NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nailon 4 AST)55
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q3 - 2:45NOHHORNETS Rebound55
52.0%
57
48.0%
Q3 - 2:47NOHMISS Nailon Layup55
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 2:51HOUBrown STEAL (3 STL)55
52.0%
57
48.0%
Q3 - 3:00HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)55
57
Q3 - 3:00NOHDickau P.FOUL (P2.T2)55
57
Q3 - 3:11NOHDickau Driving Layup (15 PTS)55
58.0%
57
42.0%
Q3 - 3:18NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
62.0%
55
38.0%
Q3 - 3:20HOUMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot55
63.4%
55
36.6%
Q3 - 3:29HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
66.4%
55
33.6%
Q3 - 3:31NOHMISS Andersen 11' Jump Shot55
65.1%
55
34.9%
Q3 - 3:50HOUWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sura 4 AST)55
61.9%
55
38.1%
Q3 - 4:05NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q3 - 4:05HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao52
54
Q3 - 4:05NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
54.6%
54
45.4%
Q3 - 4:05HOUSura S.FOUL (P1.T2)52
53
Q3 - 4:09HOUNailon STEAL (1 STL)52
57.6%
53
42.4%
Q3 - 4:29NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dickau 7 AST)52
62.5%
53
37.5%
Q3 - 4:39NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
65.8%
51
34.2%
Q3 - 4:41HOUMISS Wesley Layup52
67.2%
51
32.8%
Q3 - 5:07NOHAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)52
69.8%
51
30.2%
Q3 - 5:20NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
72.8%
49
27.2%
Q3 - 5:22HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot52
73.9%
49
26.1%
Q3 - 5:41NOHSUB: Jacobsen FOR Smith52
49
Q3 - 5:41NOHBrown Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)52
76.4%
49
23.6%
Q3 - 5:41NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)52
49
Q3 - 5:43NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
72.8%
49
27.2%
Q3 - 5:45NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
75.3%
49
24.7%
Q3 - 6:03HOUYao Dunk (8 PTS)52
72.9%
49
27.1%
Q3 - 6:05HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
69.9%
49
30.1%
Q3 - 6:07HOUMISS McGrady 10' Jump Shot50
67.3%
49
32.7%
Q3 - 6:25NOHBrown 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dickau 6 AST)50
69.9%
49
30.1%
Q3 - 6:30NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
72.9%
47
27.1%
Q3 - 6:32HOUMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot50
73.9%
47
26.1%
Q3 - 6:39NOHNailon Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)50
76.2%
47
23.8%
Q3 - 6:58HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)50
72.9%
47
27.1%
Q3 - 7:04HOURockets Rebound48
69.4%
47
30.6%
Q3 - 7:05HOUAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)48
67.0%
47
33.0%
Q3 - 7:23NOHSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nailon 3 AST)48
69.5%
47
30.5%
Q3 - 7:44NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q3 - 7:45HOUMISS Sura 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
76.4%
44
23.6%
Q3 - 7:50HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
78.4%
44
21.6%
Q3 - 7:54HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot48
76.4%
44
23.6%
Q3 - 8:09NOHSUB: Andersen FOR Rogers48
44
Q3 - 8:09NOHRogers P.FOUL (P4.T1)48
44
Q3 - 8:18HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
78.1%
44
21.9%
Q3 - 8:19NOHMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
77.2%
44
22.8%
Q3 - 8:43HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)48
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q3 - 9:05NOHDickau 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
69.4%
44
30.6%
Q3 - 9:18HOUYao P.FOUL (P2.T1)45
41
Q3 - 9:24NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
75.3%
41
24.7%
Q3 - 9:28HOUMISS Yao 17' Jump Shot45
76.1%
41
23.9%
Q3 - 9:58NOHRogers 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dickau 5 AST)45
78.0%
41
22.0%
Q3 - 10:17HOUYao 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)45
80.1%
39
19.9%
Q3 - 10:26NOHNailon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)43
77.7%
39
22.3%
Q3 - 10:45HOUWesley Layup (3 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)43
75.1%
39
24.9%
Q3 - 10:50NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)41
72.4%
39
27.6%
Q3 - 11:12HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)41
69.6%
39
30.4%
Q3 - 11:12HOURockets Rebound41
72.7%
39
27.3%
Q3 - 11:13HOUMISS Sura 20' Jump Shot41
70.6%
39
29.4%
Q3 - 11:36HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
72.7%
39
27.3%
Q3 - 11:38NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot41
71.7%
39
28.3%
Q3 - 12:0041
39
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH41
69.6%
39
30.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
69.6%
39
30.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot41
70.9%
39
29.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0NOHBrown 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dickau 4 AST)41
72.3%
39
27.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)41
75.5%
37
24.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
69.6%
37
30.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0NOHMISS Andersen Layup38
68.9%
37
31.1%
Q2 - 1:02HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)38
67.6%
37
32.4%
Q2 - 1:07NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)35
60.7%
37
39.3%
Q2 - 1:29HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q2 - 1:29NOHSUB: Andersen FOR Rogers34
37
Q2 - 1:29HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 1:29HOUWesley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)33
54.3%
37
45.7%
Q2 - 1:29NOHRogers T.FOUL (P3.PN)32
37
Q2 - 1:29NOHRogers P.FOUL (P3.PN)32
37
Q2 - 1:49NOHDickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)32
51.0%
37
49.0%
Q2 - 2:07HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
58.4%
34
41.6%
Q2 - 2:07HOURockets Rebound31
34
Q2 - 2:07HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 231
57.8%
34
42.2%
Q2 - 2:07NOHNailon P.FOUL (P2.PN)31
34
Q2 - 2:17NOHRogers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)31
58.5%
34
41.5%
Q2 - 2:20NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 2:23NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 231
58.0%
34
42.0%
Q2 - 2:23NOHHORNETS Rebound31
34
Q2 - 2:23NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 231
56.1%
34
43.9%
Q2 - 2:23HOUMcGrady S.FOUL (P2.PN)31
34
Q2 - 2:26HOUBrown STEAL (2 STL)31
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 2:37HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)31
34
Q2 - 2:46NOHRogers Layup (2 PTS) (Dickau 3 AST)31
58.4%
34
41.6%
Q2 - 2:51HOUDickau STEAL (1 STL)31
61.5%
32
38.5%
Q2 - 3:01NOHRogers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)31
65.1%
32
34.9%
Q2 - 3:02NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 3:04NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot31
64.1%
32
35.9%
Q2 - 3:15NOHHORNETS Rebound31
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 3:17NOHMISS Nailon 12' Jump Hook Shot31
64.0%
32
36.0%
Q2 - 3:34HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)31
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 3:40HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
65.0%
32
35.0%
Q2 - 3:42HOUMISS Yao 16' Jump Shot31
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 3:51HOUSUB: Sura FOR Strickland31
32
Q2 - 3:51NOHNailon P.FOUL (P1.T4)31
32
Q2 - 3:55HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
65.0%
32
35.0%
Q2 - 3:58NOHMISS Nailon 16' Jump Shot31
64.0%
32
36.0%
Q2 - 4:17HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)31
62.1%
32
37.9%
Q2 - 4:33NOHNailon 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)29
59.4%
32
40.6%
Q2 - 4:57HOUYao Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)29
62.1%
30
37.9%
Q2 - 5:11NOHRogers P.FOUL (P2.T3)27
30
Q2 - 5:12HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
59.9%
30
40.1%
Q2 - 5:13HOUMISS Strickland 7' Jump Shot27
57.9%
30
42.1%
Q2 - 5:30HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Barry27
30
Q2 - 5:30NOHNailon Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)27
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 5:30HOUWesley S.FOUL (P2.T4)27
29
Q2 - 5:30NOHNailon 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)27
62.7%
29
37.3%
Q2 - 5:48HOUStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q2 - 5:48HOUStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q2 - 5:48NOHSUB: Rogers FOR Andersen25
27
Q2 - 5:48NOHSUB: Dickau FOR Jacobsen25
27
Q2 - 5:48HOUSUB: Howard FOR Padgett25
27
Q2 - 5:48NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)25
27
Q2 - 5:48NOHSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)25
27
Q2 - 6:04NOHJacobsen Layup (5 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)25
62.9%
27
37.1%
Q2 - 6:05NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
65.0%
25
35.0%
Q2 - 6:07NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot25
67.2%
25
32.8%
Q2 - 6:21HOUYao Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)25
65.1%
25
34.9%
Q2 - 6:38NOHSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nailon 2 AST)23
62.9%
25
37.1%
Q2 - 6:53NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
67.7%
22
32.3%
Q2 - 6:55HOUMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot23
68.6%
22
31.4%
Q2 - 6:58HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
70.6%
22
29.4%
Q2 - 7:00HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
68.6%
22
31.4%
Q2 - 7:08HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
22
Q2 - 7:10NOHMISS Jacobsen Free Throw 1 of 123
70.3%
22
29.7%
Q2 - 7:10HOUSUB: Wesley FOR McGrady23
22
Q2 - 7:10HOUSUB: Yao FOR Mutombo23
22
Q2 - 7:10HOUBarry S.FOUL (P2.T3)23
22
Q2 - 7:10NOHJacobsen Layup (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)23
70.6%
22
29.4%
Q2 - 7:22NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
72.8%
20
27.2%
Q2 - 7:23HOUMISS Padgett Layup23
73.5%
20
26.5%
Q2 - 7:27HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
75.1%
20
24.9%
Q2 - 7:29NOHMISS Jacobsen Layup23
74.4%
20
25.6%
Q2 - 7:52NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
72.8%
20
27.2%
Q2 - 7:54HOUMISS Barry 18' Jump Shot23
73.5%
20
26.5%
Q2 - 8:00NOHNailon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)23
75.1%
20
24.9%
Q2 - 8:07NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
72.8%
20
27.2%
Q2 - 8:09HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot23
73.4%
20
26.6%
Q2 - 8:28NOHNailon 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
74.8%
20
25.2%
Q2 - 8:3923
18
Q2 - 8:40NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
76.9%
18
23.1%
Q2 - 8:41NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot23
78.2%
18
21.8%
Q2 - 9:06HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
76.6%
18
23.4%
Q2 - 9:06HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
76.1%
18
23.9%
Q2 - 9:06NOHSUB: Nailon FOR Nachbar21
18
Q2 - 9:06NOHAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
18
Q2 - 9:23NOHBrown Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)21
74.6%
18
25.4%
Q2 - 9:42NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
72.5%
18
27.5%
Q2 - 9:44HOUMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
73.2%
18
26.8%
Q2 - 9:53NOH21
18
Q2 - 10:00HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
74.6%
18
25.4%
Q2 - 10:02NOHMISS Nachbar 21' Jump Shot21
73.8%
18
26.2%
Q2 - 10:07NOHHORNETS Rebound21
72.3%
18
27.7%
Q2 - 10:09NOHMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot21
73.8%
18
26.2%
Q2 - 10:29HOUBarry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)21
72.4%
18
27.6%
Q2 - 10:35HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q2 - 10:36HOUMISS McGrady Layup19
68.7%
18
31.3%
Q2 - 10:38HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q2 - 10:40HOUMISS McGrady Layup19
68.7%
18
31.3%
Q2 - 10:55HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q2 - 10:56NOHMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 219
70.0%
18
30.0%
Q2 - 10:56NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
68.6%
18
31.4%
Q2 - 10:56HOUMutombo S.FOUL (P1.T2)19
17
Q2 - 11:12NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
70.0%
17
30.0%
Q2 - 11:14HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
70.6%
17
29.4%
Q2 - 11:22HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
72.1%
17
27.9%
Q2 - 11:24NOHMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
71.5%
17
28.5%
Q2 - 11:39HOUMcGrady P.FOUL (P1.T1)19
17
Q2 - 11:48NOHBrown Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)19
70.0%
17
30.0%
Q2 - 11:48HOURockets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mutombo )19
16
Q2 - 12:0019
16
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU19
72.1%
16
27.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound19
74.1%
16
25.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot19
72.7%
16
27.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
73.5%
16
26.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)19
72.1%
16
27.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)16
67.5%
16
32.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHHORNETS Rebound16
65.8%
16
34.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHMISS Nachbar 7' Jump Shot16
67.0%
16
33.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUBarry P.FOUL (P1.T3)16
16
Q1 - 0:53.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
65.8%
16
34.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 216
66.0%
16
34.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
67.5%
16
32.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0NOHNachbar S.FOUL (P2.PN)15
16
Q1 - 1:05HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
65.5%
16
34.5%
Q1 - 1:07NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
65.1%
16
34.9%
Q1 - 1:31HOUMutombo 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
64.0%
16
36.0%
Q1 - 1:45HOUSUB: Padgett FOR Howard13
16
Q1 - 1:45HOUSUB: Barry FOR Wesley13
16
Q1 - 1:45NOHNachbar P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
16
Q1 - 1:51NOHDickau Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
61.1%
16
38.9%
Q1 - 2:02HOUMcGrady 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q1 - 2:19NOHAndersen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)11
57.0%
16
43.0%
Q1 - 2:36HOUMutombo 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)11
59.7%
14
40.3%
Q1 - 2:46HOUSUB: Strickland FOR Sura9
14
Q1 - 2:46NOHSUB: Nachbar FOR Nailon9
14
Q1 - 2:46HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
14
Q1 - 2:52NOHNailon 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)9
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 3:08NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 3:10HOUMISS Sura 18' Jump Shot9
60.6%
12
39.4%
Q1 - 3:40NOHDickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
62.0%
12
38.0%
Q1 - 3:52NOHSUB: Andersen FOR Brown9
9
Q1 - 3:52NOHHORNETS Rebound9
66.3%
9
33.7%
Q1 - 3:55HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
66.9%
9
33.1%
Q1 - 4:18NOHJacobsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
67.9%
9
32.1%
Q1 - 4:18NOHHORNETS Rebound9
8
Q1 - 4:18NOHMISS Jacobsen Free Throw 1 of 29
68.2%
8
31.8%
Q1 - 4:18HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao9
8
Q1 - 4:18NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
8
Q1 - 4:18HOUWesley S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
8
Q1 - 4:26HOUBrown STEAL (1 STL)9
67.8%
8
32.2%
Q1 - 4:48HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
69.6%
8
30.4%
Q1 - 4:49NOHMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 5:09NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
67.3%
8
32.7%
Q1 - 5:11HOUMISS Sura 6' Jump Shot9
67.8%
8
32.2%
Q1 - 5:35HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 5:37NOHMISS Nailon 7' Jump Shot9
68.5%
8
31.5%
Q1 - 5:44NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
67.2%
8
32.8%
Q1 - 5:46HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
67.7%
8
32.3%
Q1 - 5:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 5:57NOHMISS Nailon 19' Jump Shot9
68.4%
8
31.6%
Q1 - 6:22NOHSUB: Jacobsen FOR Smith9
8
Q1 - 6:22NOHHORNETS Rebound9
67.3%
8
32.7%
Q1 - 6:23HOUBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)9
67.8%
8
32.2%
Q1 - 6:37NOHDickau 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 6:42NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
70.2%
6
29.8%
Q1 - 6:44HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
70.6%
6
29.4%
Q1 - 7:06NOHBrown 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)9
71.5%
6
28.5%
Q1 - 7:23NOHHORNETS Rebound9
72.4%
4
27.6%
Q1 - 7:24HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
72.8%
4
27.2%
Q1 - 7:30NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
73.7%
4
26.3%
Q1 - 7:49HOUMcGrady 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)9
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 7:58NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
70.8%
4
29.2%
Q1 - 7:58NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
71.0%
3
29.0%
Q1 - 7:58HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
2
Q1 - 8:14HOUMcGrady 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)7
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 8:26NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
70.4%
2
29.6%
Q1 - 8:26NOHNailon Layup (2 PTS)5
70.4%
2
29.6%
Q1 - 8:27NOHMISS Brown 8' Jump Shot5
72.2%
0
27.8%
Q1 - 8:30NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 8:31NOHMISS Nailon 18' Jump Shot5
72.1%
0
27.9%
Q1 - 8:54HOUSura 11' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)5
70.9%
0
29.1%
Q1 - 9:03HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
69.7%
0
30.3%
Q1 - 9:05NOHMISS Dickau 16' Jump Shot3
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 9:26HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
68.3%
0
31.7%
Q1 - 9:34HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
67.2%
0
32.8%
Q1 - 9:36NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot1
66.9%
0
33.1%
Q1 - 9:49HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)1
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 9:52HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 9:53NOHMISS Rogers 18' Jump Shot1
66.5%
0
33.5%
Q1 - 10:08HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 10:08HOURockets Rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:08HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 20
65.5%
0
34.5%
Q1 - 10:08NOHDickau S.FOUL (P1.T2)0
0
Q1 - 10:22NOHRogers Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
65.5%
0
34.5%
Q1 - 10:22NOHRogers OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 10:40NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 10:41HOUMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot0
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 10:59HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 11:01HOUMISS Sura 17' Jump Shot0
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 11:17HOURockets Rebound0
64.2%
0
35.8%
Q1 - 11:19NOHMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot0
64.1%
0
35.9%
Q1 - 11:30NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 11:32HOUMISS Yao 4' Hook Shot0
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 11:41NOHBrown L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 11:43HOUMISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot0
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Brown vs. Yao: Tip to Howard0
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUNOK
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.91 45.6%
NOK
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
6
16
38%
NOK
10
20
50%
Midrange
HOU
17
37
46%
NOK
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
NOK
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
HOU
18
23
78%
NOK
8
13
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3355%16.5 / 30
Yao1243%6.0 / 14
S. Padgett758%3.5 / 6
D. Wesley638%3.0 / 8
J. Barry638%3.0 / 8
D. Mutombo6100%3.0 / 3
B. Sura525%2.5 / 10
R. Strickland550%2.5 / 5
J. Howard233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Dickau2368%11.5 / 17
P. Brown1757%8.5 / 15
L. Nailon1739%8.5 / 22
J. Smith650%3.0 / 6
C. Jacobsen550%2.5 / 5
C. Andersen531%2.5 / 8
R. Rogers440%2.0 / 5
B. Nachbar0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
73
+17
-11
90
NOK
70
+14
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.91 45.6%
NOK
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
96.9
HOU 97.6 +8.1
NOH 89.5
Pace
91.5
90.2
HOU 85.1 +0.1
NOH 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.1
HOU 16.9 −0.0
NOH 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
44.6%
HOU 42.1%
NOH 46.6% +4.5%
TO %
14.2%
15.3%
HOU 12.2% −5.4%
NOH 17.6%
ORB %
26.4%
29.2%
HOU 31.7% +8.0%
NOH 23.7%
FTrt
30.9
27.9
HOU 30.3 +12.7
NOH 17.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
63.4%
HOU 62.1%
NOH 65.6% +3.5%
STL %
7.5%
7.4%
HOU 9.5% +3.7%
NOH 5.8%
BLK %
7.4%
6.3%
HOU 8.1% +0.6%
NOH 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
46.8%
HOU 45.6%
NOH 45.8% +0.2%
Rim FG%
57.3%
52.2%
HOU 37.5%
NOH 50.0% +12.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.2%
HOU 45.9% +5.4%
NOH 40.5%
3P %
36.4%
31.5%
HOU 26.1%
NOH 41.7% +15.6%
FT %
78.1%
76.6%
HOU 78.3% +16.8%
NOH 61.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.5%
32.7%
HOU 21.1%
NOH 27.0% +6.0%
Mid Att. %
47.8%
47.2%
HOU 48.7% −8.1%
NOH 56.8%
3P Att. %
23.7%
20.1%
HOU 30.3% +14.0%
NOH 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsHOUNOH
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8277
Rebounds4237
Assists1821
Steals85
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)28 (4)
Field Goals29-7632-74
At-the-Rim FG6-1610-20
Midrange FG17-3717-42
2-Point FG23-5327-62
3-Point FG6-235-12
Free Throws18-238-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
46.3
33
55%
8
5
4
1
3
2
1
7
4-6
67%
10-17
59%
3-10
30%
C · 7'6" 310 · 24
34.7
12
43%
13
1
0
2
1
2
7
6
0-2
0%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 203 · 34
27.1
6
38%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 200 · 32
27.0
5
25%
5
4
1
0
3
1
2
3
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
26.8
2
33%
4
0
2
0
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 36
22.6
6
38%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
21.2
7
58%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 39
21.0
5
50%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'2" 260 · 39
13.2
6
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 29
0.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 173 · 23
F · 6'7" 270 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
46%
42
18
8
5
11
0
13
29
18-23
78%
23-53
43%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.