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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Rockets63%9482
34Hornets37%9077
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.7
46.3
26.4
33
56%
8
5
4
1
1
3
1
7
4-6
67%
10-17
5-10
59%
48%
3-10
30%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.4
34.7
33.7
12
43%
13
1
0
1
2
1
7
6
0-2
0%
6-13
6-12
46%
52%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.2
27.1
35.2
6
36%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
42%
1-3
33%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.8
27.0
34.0
5
26%
5
4
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.0
26.8
28.7
2
35%
4
0
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
4-9
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
22.6
24.7
6
39%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.8
21.2
14.5
7
58%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.5
21.0
11.0
5
51%
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.6
13.2
11.8
6
104%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.2
0.1
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 22.9
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.4
2.1
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.3
44.1
32.0
17
55%
10
3
3
1
2
4
3
7
3-3
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.4
41.8
34.5
23
68%
4
10
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
44%
3-7
43%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
39.5
35.0
17
40%
4
5
1
1
0
4
2
2
1-1
100%
8-21
7-15
38%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.6
28.6
29.3
4
40%
6
1
0
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.4
23.9
23.8
6
51%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
2-5
0%
41%
2-3
67%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
30.3
21.3
5
58%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-3
33%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
23.3
21.3
5
32%
9
2
0
0
2
1
1
8
1-2
50%
2-7
3-5
29%
47%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.6
8.5
21.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.8
12.2
1
1-3
44%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.0
7.3
0
1-3
44%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.6
5.9
0
1-1
43%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
5.6
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.