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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 27, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Pistons44%8788
13Pacers56%8976
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.4
42.4
36.9
10
56%
11
0
1
1
1
1
3
8
0-2
0%
5-8
4-9
63%
45%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.3
40.5
36.1
20
74%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
7-8
88%
2-5
3-8
40%
42%
3-5
60%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.0
36.2
29.7
17
51%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
4-10
5-10
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.9
35.3
26.3
16
74%
7
2
0
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
49%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.4
34.2
32.6
13
41%
7
5
0
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
1-4
25%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.5
19.7
18.2
2
15%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
0-4
2-6
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
18.4
20.9
8
82%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.0
6.5
16.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
41%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.2
5.6
13.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
38%
0-1
0%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
1.3
4.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 33.4
3.3
0
0-1
39%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.6
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.5
1.2
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.3
44.0
38.2
27
53%
9
2
0
1
4
6
1
8
7-8
88%
10-22
10-21
45%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 26.8
36.6
35.7
11
37%
5
3
3
2
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
27.4
19.8
2
15%
5
4
0
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
0-5
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 39.4
26.3
29.0
4
46%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.0
26.2
24.3
7
60%
10
0
0
1
0
0
4
6
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.9
31.5
28.0
14
83%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
3-3
100%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.5
20.6
10.2
7
44%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
1-5
20%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.7
17.9
14.1
1
27%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.0
7.8
18.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.3
1.6
14.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
1-1
100%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
21.7
1
2-4
42%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
11.9
0
2-3
51%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 24.0
5.8
0
1-2
46%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
4.8
0
0-1
42%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.5
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.