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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 27, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
33Bobcats28%9193
26Bulls72%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.7
41.3
35.4
17
72%
5
10
2
2
0
4
1
4
4-4
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
45%
1-3
33%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
35.9
30.0
24
63%
4
3
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-11
3-8
27%
42%
6-8
75%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.3
34.6
36.3
4
25%
4
0
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-8
7-15
25%
44%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.3
32.9
33.8
11
74%
6
2
1
1
1
1
0
6
1-1
100%
5-7
6-12
71%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
31.0
24.0
15
89%
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
43%
2-3
67%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 21.7
15.1
9.5
3
39%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.0
13.6
19.0
10
46%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-8
2-6
25%
40%
1-1
100%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.7
12.9
11.6
3
52%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
12.1
18.9
4
35%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.1
6.7
4.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.8
3.9
6.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.2
8.0
1
1-2
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
26.1
34.8
6
25%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
0-2
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.1
25.5
25.4
8
45%
5
0
0
0
0
5
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
6-10
38%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.4
24.3
28.5
6
55%
4
6
2
1
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
1-3
33%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.2
22.5
21.3
6
75%
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
17.1
22.4
12
81%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.3
25.7
6.3
16
81%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
0-1
100%
45%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.3
25.1
25.8
3
52%
6
0
2
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.2
24.2
23.7
17
101%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
46%
2-2
100%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
22.5
17.1
7
34%
1
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-3
33%
3-9
2-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.3
12.6
4.4
14
67%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
7-8
1-1
88%
42%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.8
7.4
21.0
6
61%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.6
7.2
5.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.