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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 27, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Kings23%9280
4Spurs77%10190
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.8
42.9
36.0
19
66%
7
5
0
1
2
2
3
4
3-3
100%
8-12
5-9
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.4
42.0
34.8
12
36%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
4-12
3-8
33%
41%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
40.4
34.7
17
54%
3
6
2
1
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
8-13
3-7
62%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
32.3
17.2
16
43%
8
6
2
1
2
3
0
8
3-4
75%
5-15
4-9
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.9
30.6
5.4
8
63%
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
2-3
67%
3-5
0-1
60%
42%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.0
25.4
14.3
2
25%
3
0
3
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.0
13.3
24.5
6
75%
4
1
3
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.9
5.9
11.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.7
5.6
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
37%
0-1
0%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
0.8
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.6
35.0
1
4-9
47%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
19.7
0
2-5
44%
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 22.8
Courtney Alexander
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.8
37.0
35.2
20
48%
12
4
2
1
1
2
5
7
4-6
67%
8-18
9-17
44%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.6
36.1
24.3
14
78%
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
2-4
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.5
35.7
30.9
25
71%
6
3
1
2
1
2
1
5
5-6
83%
7-10
4-7
70%
50%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.7
34.7
32.7
12
47%
3
7
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-2
0%
6-11
6-12
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.5
21.8
16.5
2
26%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.4
23.0
9.5
9
57%
8
1
1
0
1
3
5
3
7-9
78%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.1
19.1
20.9
3
75%
1
2
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.6
12.5
13.7
5
51%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.2
10.1
20.0
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
5.1
19.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
4.1
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.7
0.8
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.