FinalWin Prob.pScore
971%103
106
3429%96
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.19997.1
ATL logo ATL
103.29394.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL106
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLHAWKS Rebound106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLChildress Driving Layup (2 PTS)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMISS Delk Layup106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS O'Neal Layup106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23ATLMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37ATLHAWKS Rebound106
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47MIAHeat Rebound106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Clear Path106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot106
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:12ATLWalker Traveling Turnover (P8.T16)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 1106
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:27MIAWade Dunk (19 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)106
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)104
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 2:32ATLMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 2:39ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)104
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 2:59MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 3:01ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot104
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 3:17MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)104
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2103
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 3:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)103
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 3:27ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot103
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 3:37ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
97.9%
94
2.1%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot103
98.1%
94
1.9%
Q4 - 3:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
98.6%
94
1.4%
Q4 - 3:54ATLMISS Lue 8' Jump Shot103
98.4%
94
1.6%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)103
98.0%
94
2.0%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2102
97.9%
94
2.1%
Q4 - 4:09MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
98.0%
94
2.0%
Q4 - 4:13ATLMISS Drobnjak 4' Jump Shot102
97.8%
94
2.2%
Q4 - 4:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
97.2%
94
2.8%
Q4 - 4:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)102
98.1%
94
1.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot102
97.5%
94
2.5%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
97.5%
94
2.5%
Q4 - 4:41ATLWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T15)102
98.1%
94
1.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T16)102
97.2%
94
2.8%
Q4 - 5:14ATLSmith 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)102
97.4%
94
2.6%
Q4 - 5:40MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)102
98.1%
92
1.9%
Q4 - 6:00ATLDrobnjak 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)99
96.4%
92
3.6%
Q4 - 6:21MIAJones Layup (15 PTS)99
96.7%
90
3.3%
Q4 - 6:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
95.8%
90
4.2%
Q4 - 6:28ATLMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
95.3%
90
4.7%
Q4 - 6:39ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)97
94.1%
90
5.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 297
94.4%
90
5.6%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 297
95.0%
90
5.0%
Q4 - 6:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)97
95.8%
90
4.2%
Q4 - 6:55ATLMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot97
95.3%
90
4.7%
Q4 - 7:12ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
93.4%
90
6.6%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot97
94.0%
90
6.0%
Q4 - 7:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)97
95.1%
90
4.9%
Q4 - 7:30ATLMISS Drobnjak 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
94.6%
90
5.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)97
93.4%
90
6.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)96
92.7%
90
7.3%
Q4 - 8:14ATLDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Drobnjak 1 AST)95
90.6%
90
9.4%
Q4 - 8:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)95
94.2%
87
5.8%
Q4 - 8:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)94
93.5%
87
6.5%
Q4 - 8:48ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)93
92.7%
87
7.3%
Q4 - 8:48ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)93
93.3%
86
6.7%
Q4 - 9:07MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 7 AST)93
93.7%
85
6.3%
Q4 - 9:24MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
90.3%
85
9.7%
Q4 - 9:26ATLMISS Lue 14' Jump Shot90
89.6%
85
10.4%
Q4 - 9:46MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)90
87.8%
85
12.2%
Q4 - 10:06ATLWalker Foul Turnover (P6.T14)88
84.5%
85
15.5%
Q4 - 10:29MIAAnderson 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST)88
81.1%
85
18.9%
Q4 - 10:47ATLWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)86
77.7%
85
22.3%
Q4 - 11:20MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
83.5%
82
16.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)84
80.4%
82
19.6%
Q4 - 11:47ATLMISS Drobnjak 17' Jump Shot84
79.3%
82
20.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
76.6%
82
23.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)84
76.6%
82
23.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnderson Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)83
72.5%
82
27.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)81
69.0%
82
31.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)81
70.6%
81
29.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLHAWKS Rebound81
73.2%
80
26.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot81
74.4%
80
25.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLLue Layup (17 PTS) (Walker 8 AST)81
77.0%
80
23.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
80.4%
78
19.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wade Layup81
81.4%
78
18.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
83.5%
78
16.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIADrobnjak BLOCK (1 BLK)81
81.4%
78
18.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)81
83.5%
78
16.5%
Q3 - 1:06MIAWade Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T15)81
80.5%
78
19.5%
Q3 - 1:27ATLLue 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
83.4%
78
16.6%
Q3 - 1:50MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
85.9%
76
14.1%
Q3 - 2:06ATLWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)79
83.0%
76
17.0%
Q3 - 2:12MIADelk STEAL (4 STL)79
87.4%
73
12.6%
Q3 - 2:29ATLHarrington Layup (15 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)79
89.5%
73
10.5%
Q3 - 2:40ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q3 - 3:02ATLWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)79
92.2%
71
7.8%
Q3 - 3:18ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
94.4%
68
5.6%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot79
94.7%
68
5.3%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
95.3%
68
4.7%
Q3 - 3:38ATLMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot79
95.0%
68
5.0%
Q3 - 3:40ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
94.4%
68
5.6%
Q3 - 3:42ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 279
95.2%
68
4.8%
Q3 - 3:42ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 279
94.8%
68
5.2%
Q3 - 3:58MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)79
94.4%
68
5.6%
Q3 - 4:04ATLHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)79
95.1%
68
4.9%
Q3 - 4:20MIAWade Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)79
94.0%
68
6.0%
Q3 - 4:30ATLWalker Driving Layup (23 PTS)79
95.1%
68
4.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIADelk STEAL (3 STL)79
95.7%
66
4.3%
Q3 - 4:51ATLDelk Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)79
96.5%
66
3.5%
Q3 - 5:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
95.4%
66
4.6%
Q3 - 5:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)78
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q3 - 5:29ATLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)77
94.7%
66
5.3%
Q3 - 5:43MIAEkezie STEAL (3 STL)77
96.1%
63
3.9%
Q3 - 5:52ATLEkezie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q3 - 5:52ATLEkezie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
96.9%
62
3.1%
Q3 - 6:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)77
96.9%
61
3.1%
Q3 - 6:07MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)76
96.4%
61
3.6%
Q3 - 6:13ATLWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)74
95.9%
61
4.1%
Q3 - 6:28MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
95.2%
61
4.8%
Q3 - 6:28MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
95.0%
61
5.0%
Q3 - 6:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
94.4%
61
5.6%
Q3 - 6:32ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot72
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)72
93.5%
61
6.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)70
92.0%
61
8.0%
Q3 - 7:11ATLMISS Ekezie Free Throw 2 of 270
91.9%
61
8.1%
Q3 - 7:11ATLMISS Ekezie Free Throw 1 of 270
91.1%
61
8.9%
Q3 - 7:34MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)70
90.7%
61
9.3%
Q3 - 7:54ATLHarrington Dunk (13 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)68
89.5%
61
10.5%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)68
90.6%
59
9.4%
Q3 - 8:10ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)66
89.4%
59
10.6%
Q3 - 8:13ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
87.7%
59
12.3%
Q3 - 8:15MIAChildress BLOCK (2 BLK)66
88.2%
59
11.8%
Q3 - 8:28ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)66
89.4%
59
10.6%
Q3 - 8:28ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 266
89.9%
58
10.1%
Q3 - 8:30ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
89.2%
58
10.8%
Q3 - 8:32ATLMISS Lue 15' Jump Shot66
90.3%
58
9.7%
Q3 - 8:51MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)66
89.2%
58
10.8%
Q3 - 9:09ATLLue 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)64
87.7%
58
12.3%
Q3 - 9:26MIAAnderson 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)64
90.5%
55
9.5%
Q3 - 9:45ATLWalker 8' Jump Shot (20 PTS)62
89.2%
55
10.8%
Q3 - 9:58MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
90.5%
53
9.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
90.2%
53
9.8%
Q3 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)60
89.3%
53
10.7%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
88.2%
53
11.8%
Q3 - 10:19ATLWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)60
89.3%
53
10.7%
Q3 - 10:33MIAAnderson 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)60
87.6%
53
12.4%
Q3 - 10:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
86.2%
53
13.8%
Q3 - 10:44ATLMISS Collier 16' Jump Shot58
85.6%
53
14.4%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
84.2%
53
15.8%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q3 - 11:18ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)56
82.7%
53
17.3%
Q3 - 11:46MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)56
84.5%
51
15.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dooling 14' Jump Shot54
81.2%
51
18.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
82.3%
51
17.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot54
81.9%
51
18.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)54
80.9%
51
19.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
80.5%
51
19.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLDrobnjak 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)52
78.1%
51
21.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
80.9%
49
19.1%
Q2 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
80.6%
49
19.4%
Q2 - 1:09ATLLue Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)50
77.8%
49
22.2%
Q2 - 1:09ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
76.6%
49
23.4%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot50
77.0%
49
23.0%
Q2 - 1:25ATLWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)50
77.8%
49
22.2%
Q2 - 1:39MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)50
76.6%
49
23.4%
Q2 - 1:39MIAAnderson 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)49
74.3%
49
25.7%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
70.4%
49
29.6%
Q2 - 1:46ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot47
70.0%
49
30.0%
Q2 - 2:02MIAHaslem Layup (15 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)47
68.8%
49
31.2%
Q2 - 2:20ATLLue Driving Layup (7 PTS)45
65.8%
49
34.2%
Q2 - 2:37ATLHAWKS Rebound45
68.8%
47
31.2%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade Layup45
69.5%
47
30.5%
Q2 - 2:57ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)45
71.1%
47
28.9%
Q2 - 2:58ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q2 - 3:01MIAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)45
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q2 - 3:17MIAHeat Rebound45
76.6%
45
23.4%
Q2 - 3:17ATLMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot45
75.8%
45
24.2%
Q2 - 3:26ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
74.1%
45
25.9%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q2 - 3:41MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
76.6%
45
23.4%
Q2 - 3:43ATLMISS Delk 18' Jump Shot45
75.8%
45
24.2%
Q2 - 4:06MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)45
74.6%
45
25.4%
Q2 - 4:25MIAHeat Rebound42
70.0%
45
30.0%
Q2 - 4:25ATLMISS Delk 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
69.2%
45
30.8%
Q2 - 4:46MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)42
67.5%
45
32.5%
Q2 - 5:07ATLDelk Layup (4 PTS)40
65.6%
45
34.4%
Q2 - 5:10MIADelk STEAL (2 STL)40
67.9%
43
32.1%
Q2 - 5:24ATLHarrington Dunk (11 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)40
70.5%
43
29.5%
Q2 - 5:32MIAEkezie STEAL (2 STL)40
72.6%
41
27.4%
Q2 - 5:44ATLDelk 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)40
75.0%
41
25.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T7)40
76.9%
39
23.1%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 6:06ATLMISS Lue 16' Jump Shot40
78.6%
39
21.4%
Q2 - 6:26MIADelk STEAL (1 STL)40
77.0%
39
23.0%
Q2 - 6:38ATLWalker 6' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)40
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 6:46MIAEkezie STEAL (1 STL)40
80.7%
37
19.3%
Q2 - 7:01ATLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)40
82.5%
37
17.5%
Q2 - 7:24MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
85.2%
34
14.8%
Q2 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound38
84.0%
34
16.0%
Q2 - 7:40ATLMISS Delk 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
83.5%
34
16.5%
Q2 - 7:55ATLEkezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
82.4%
34
17.6%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 238
82.6%
34
17.4%
Q2 - 7:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
83.6%
34
16.4%
Q2 - 8:07MIAHeat Rebound37
82.3%
34
17.7%
Q2 - 8:10ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 237
82.1%
34
17.9%
Q2 - 8:10ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)37
81.4%
34
18.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)37
82.2%
33
17.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIAHaslem Layup (13 PTS)37
82.2%
33
17.8%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Dooling 12' Jump Shot35
79.5%
33
20.5%
Q2 - 8:42ATLWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)35
80.8%
33
19.2%
Q2 - 8:46ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
78.9%
33
21.1%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Wade Layup35
79.5%
33
20.5%
Q2 - 9:09ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
80.8%
33
19.2%
Q2 - 9:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)35
83.6%
30
16.4%
Q2 - 9:32MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)34
82.1%
30
17.9%
Q2 - 9:36ATLDrobnjak Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)32
80.8%
30
19.2%
Q2 - 9:57MIAWade Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)32
79.0%
30
21.0%
Q2 - 10:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
77.2%
30
22.8%
Q2 - 10:08ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
75.2%
30
24.8%
Q2 - 10:08ATLMISS Childress Layup30
76.6%
30
23.4%
Q2 - 10:09ATLMISS Childress 7' Jump Shot30
76.6%
30
23.4%
Q2 - 10:19ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
75.2%
30
24.8%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
75.8%
30
24.2%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
77.3%
30
22.7%
Q2 - 10:34ATLMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot30
76.6%
30
23.4%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
75.2%
30
24.8%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)29
73.3%
30
26.7%
Q2 - 11:09ATLSmith Driving Dunk (2 PTS)27
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 11:13ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
73.7%
28
26.3%
Q2 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)27
75.6%
28
24.4%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Haslem Layup27
74.3%
28
25.7%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot27
74.3%
28
25.7%
Q2 - 11:35ATLChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T3)27
75.5%
28
24.5%
Q2 - 11:35ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
73.7%
28
26.3%
Q2 - 11:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
75.5%
28
24.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIAChildress BLOCK (1 BLK)27
74.3%
28
25.7%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Doleac Layup27
74.3%
28
25.7%
Q2 - 11:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
75.5%
28
24.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)27
74.3%
28
25.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL27
75.5%
28
24.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound27
73.7%
28
26.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dooling 14' Jump Shot27
74.3%
28
25.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
75.2%
28
24.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot27
74.8%
28
25.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
73.9%
28
26.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot27
74.3%
28
25.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLDrobnjak Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
75.3%
28
24.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLDrobnjak Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
75.6%
27
24.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS)27
77.4%
26
22.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
75.3%
26
24.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot25
74.3%
26
25.7%
Q1 - 1:19ATLHarrington 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)25
75.4%
26
24.6%
Q1 - 1:26MIADrobnjak STEAL (1 STL)25
77.5%
24
22.5%
Q1 - 1:41ATLWalker 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)25
78.7%
24
21.3%
Q1 - 2:00MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)25
80.6%
22
19.4%
Q1 - 2:18MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
79.1%
22
20.9%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot23
78.7%
22
21.3%
Q1 - 2:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
77.6%
22
22.4%
Q1 - 2:31MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)23
77.6%
22
22.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot21
74.7%
22
25.3%
Q1 - 2:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
75.8%
22
24.2%
Q1 - 2:46ATLMISS Harrington Layup21
75.3%
22
24.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)21
74.2%
22
25.8%
Q1 - 3:21ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)19
72.7%
22
27.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)19
75.9%
19
24.1%
Q1 - 3:51ATLWalker Driving Layup (7 PTS)17
74.4%
19
25.6%
Q1 - 4:11MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)17
76.2%
17
23.8%
Q1 - 4:26ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
73.2%
17
26.8%
Q1 - 4:26ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
73.6%
16
26.4%
Q1 - 4:42MIAO'Neal Layup (3 PTS)14
74.5%
15
25.5%
Q1 - 4:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
73.2%
15
26.8%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot12
71.7%
15
28.3%
Q1 - 5:06ATLDrobnjak 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)12
73.6%
15
26.4%
Q1 - 5:15MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)12
76.6%
12
23.4%
Q1 - 5:33ATLHarrington Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)12
78.2%
12
21.8%
Q1 - 5:36ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
79.5%
10
20.5%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot12
79.9%
10
20.1%
Q1 - 5:58ATLWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
81.0%
10
19.0%
Q1 - 6:15ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
79.4%
10
20.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 212
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 212
80.2%
10
19.8%
Q1 - 6:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
80.8%
10
19.2%
Q1 - 6:23ATLMISS Drobnjak 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
80.4%
10
19.6%
Q1 - 6:43MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)12
79.5%
10
20.5%
Q1 - 7:04ATLLue 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
77.1%
10
22.9%
Q1 - 7:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
78.3%
8
21.7%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 28
77.7%
8
22.3%
Q1 - 7:29ATLHarrington 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)8
78.4%
8
21.6%
Q1 - 7:42MIALue STEAL (2 STL)8
79.5%
6
20.5%
Q1 - 7:52ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)8
80.9%
6
19.1%
Q1 - 8:05ATLHAWKS Rebound8
83.5%
3
16.5%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot8
83.8%
3
16.2%
Q1 - 8:15MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
84.6%
3
15.4%
Q1 - 8:17ATLMISS Drobnjak Layup8
84.2%
3
15.8%
Q1 - 8:27MIALue STEAL (1 STL)8
83.4%
3
16.6%
Q1 - 8:46ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
84.6%
3
15.4%
Q1 - 8:46ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 28
84.8%
2
15.2%
Q1 - 8:50ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
84.4%
2
15.6%
Q1 - 8:52MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)8
84.8%
2
15.2%
Q1 - 8:55MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
85.5%
2
14.5%
Q1 - 8:57ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
84.4%
2
15.6%
Q1 - 8:57ATLMISS Drobnjak Layup8
85.2%
2
14.8%
Q1 - 8:59ATLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot8
85.2%
2
14.8%
Q1 - 9:10MIAAnderson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
84.3%
2
15.7%
Q1 - 9:26ATLWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
83.6%
2
16.4%
Q1 - 9:41MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
84.3%
0
15.7%
Q1 - 10:02ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
83.4%
0
16.6%
Q1 - 10:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 10:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
82.0%
0
18.0%
Q1 - 10:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
81.3%
0
18.7%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot2
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 10:38MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
81.3%
0
18.7%
Q1 - 10:40ATLMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot2
80.9%
0
19.1%
Q1 - 11:08MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
80.1%
0
19.9%
Q1 - 11:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot0
78.0%
0
22.0%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS O'Neal Layup0
78.0%
0
22.0%
Q1 - 11:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 11:48ATLMISS Collier 17' Jump Shot0
78.5%
0
21.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to0
77.7%
0
22.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.5%
ATL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
38
55%
ATL
14
20
70%
Midrange
MIA
11
27
41%
ATL
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
ATL
11
16.5
19
58%
87%
Free Throws
MIA
27
37
73%
ATL
13
20
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2652%13.0 / 25
S. Anderson2166%10.5 / 16
D. Wade1948%9.5 / 20
D. Jones1864%9.0 / 14
U. Haslem1777%8.5 / 11
R. Butler330%1.5 / 5
K. Dooling225%1.0 / 4
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker3678%18.0 / 23
T. Lue1771%8.5 / 12
A. Harrington1563%7.5 / 12
P. Drobnjak945%4.5 / 10
J. Smith867%4.0 / 6
T. Delk739%3.5 / 9
J. Childress233%1.0 / 3
O. Ekezie250%1.0 / 2
J. Collier0-0.0 / 2
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+15
-16
98
ATL
76
+4
-17
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.5%
ATL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
98.6
MIA 107.1 +3.8
ATL 103.2
Pace
93.9
93.3
MIA 97.1 +2.3
ATL 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.6
MIA 14.8 +0.4
ATL 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
46.4%
MIA 50.6%
ATL 58.5% +7.9%
TO %
14.0%
16.3%
MIA 14.5% +3.1%
ATL 17.6%
ORB %
27.0%
30.8%
MIA 35.9% +24.1%
ATL 11.8%
FTrt
38.7
29.9
MIA 47.4 +19.2
ATL 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
54.9%
MIA 70.3% +6.4%
ATL 63.9%
STL %
6.8%
8.1%
MIA 8.1%
ATL 11.8% +3.7%
BLK %
8.7%
6.7%
MIA 9.6% +0.4%
ATL 9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
47.8%
MIA 52.5%
ATL 57.8% +5.3%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.4%
MIA 55.3%
ATL 70.0% +14.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
37.3%
MIA 40.7% +6.3%
ATL 34.4%
3P %
37.7%
31.2%
MIA 38.5%
ATL 57.9% +19.4%
FT %
67.2%
71.1%
MIA 73.0% +8.0%
ATL 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
42.4%
MIA 48.7% +20.5%
ATL 28.2%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
43.0%
MIA 34.6% +10.5%
ATL 45.1%
3P Att. %
19.8%
14.6%
MIA 16.7%
ATL 26.8% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9993
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points10696
Rebounds4429
Assists2623
Steals811
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)4 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)25 (6)
Field Goals37-7836-71
At-the-Rim FG21-3814-20
Midrange FG11-2711-32
2-Point FG32-6525-52
3-Point FG5-1311-19
Free Throws27-3713-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 215 · 31
41.9
21
66%
8
2
1
0
0
1
1
7
7-8
88%
7-9
78%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
38.8
17
77%
12
2
3
1
1
4
5
7
3-3
100%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
36.5
26
52%
8
7
0
1
2
4
4
4
6-11
55%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
34.9
18
64%
5
8
2
0
4
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
33.7
19
48%
5
5
1
2
5
2
2
3
9-13
69%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
20.4
3
30%
3
0
0
0
2
5
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
13.2
2
25%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
11.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
53%
44
26
8
5
16
0
14
30
27-37
73%
32-65
49%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.