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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 28, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz29%9491
8Timberwolves71%10193
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
34.9
16.8
14
65%
9
3
1
1
3
1
3
6
4-4
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
31.5
26.0
14
55%
1
9
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.2
20.7
32.1
10
56%
6
2
1
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
5-9
6-11
56%
52%
0-0
-
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.4
14.6
15.4
9
71%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
14.6
19.9
9
60%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
33.7
26.1
11
59%
10
5
0
0
2
3
3
7
3-3
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.7
31.5
35.8
11
44%
9
0
0
1
2
1
2
7
1-1
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
49%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
28.5
26.0
7
35%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
3-8
22%
45%
1-1
100%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.2
16.5
13.4
6
44%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.2
12.0
12.8
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
1.6
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.5
0.8
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.7
39.5
36.3
25
58%
14
5
3
1
2
2
5
9
9-10
90%
8-17
7-14
47%
51%
0-0
-
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.4
22.5
25.0
8
31%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.9
19.5
28.5
0
0%
1
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
9.7
18.1
0
0%
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 37.1
9.3
12.0
3
54%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-4
25%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.9
34.7
31.7
11
48%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
7-10
70%
2-6
5-10
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 22.7
28.8
25.3
9
77%
7
1
2
1
3
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.3
21.3
16.4
11
103%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.2
19.4
12.7
16
56%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.9
18.9
22.3
7
50%
2
3
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-3
33%
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 29.4
8.4
10.6
1
27%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.8
7.9
5.5
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.