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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 28, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Kings35%95117
13Rockets65%100111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.4
48.1
37.1
24
66%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-7
86%
3-7
4-9
43%
42%
4-8
50%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
47.0
24.3
30
54%
9
6
3
1
0
1
0
9
5-6
83%
11-24
6-12
46%
45%
1-1
100%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.8
45.8
38.3
19
84%
14
3
3
1
0
2
2
12
3-3
100%
8-10
5-10
80%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
44.0
36.8
28
54%
3
14
2
1
0
2
1
2
12-14
86%
8-17
4-8
47%
47%
0-3
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.9
38.9
16.1
4
40%
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.0
17.1
18.9
1
57%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.0
13.3
19.8
4
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.7
10.8
7.3
7
58%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
38%
1-2
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.6
23.2
1
3-6
48%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
10.6
0
1-3
46%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.9
9.1
0
1-1
47%
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 22.8
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
2.7
0
0-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.7
50.2
34.7
30
45%
7
12
3
1
2
4
1
6
5-7
71%
8-18
6-13
44%
48%
3-12
25%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.2
45.3
31.3
11
69%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
42%
3-4
75%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.4
39.3
33.6
13
45%
9
0
0
0
1
4
3
6
1-3
33%
6-13
7-12
46%
52%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.0
27.3
27.4
14
59%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.8
25.1
30.6
7
40%
5
5
2
1
0
3
2
3
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
28.2
23.4
10
51%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
2-4
50%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.8
27.9
17.1
22
122%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
6-7
86%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.6
7.4
14.9
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.6
7.1
12.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.4
4.2
2.0
2
114%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 22.9
3.0
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.2
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.