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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 28, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6SuperSonics64%10588
32Warriors36%10185
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
41.0
36.5
24
64%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
11-15
5-10
73%
49%
0-3
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
37.6
35.2
26
57%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
4-9
44%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.0
35.8
32.8
14
64%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
43%
2-4
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 24.7
25.4
22.6
0
0%
17
0
1
1
0
3
4
13
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 29.2
15.8
11.6
6
77%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
21.2
30.5
6
28%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
1-6
17%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28.8
19.1
15.5
4
52%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.9
18.1
28.6
4
23%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.3
14.0
16.7
4
35%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-4
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
12.0
4.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 29.9
2.1
0
0-1
48%
Ibrahim Kutluay
G · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
0.7
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.5
41.9
33.3
5
22%
6
9
2
1
0
3
1
5
0-1
0%
1-7
3-7
14%
40%
1-4
25%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
40.5
39.0
20
42%
5
5
3
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
8-18
7-15
44%
48%
1-5
20%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.4
34.5
32.8
8
40%
7
4
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.7
33.0
36.2
13
43%
9
2
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
5-12
5-12
42%
45%
1-3
33%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.9
12.7
23.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.5
27.1
10.4
21
66%
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
10-15
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
25.7
19.3
5
43%
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 35.8
13.4
10.7
4
50%
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
11.3
18.7
9
64%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-7
57%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.7
12.0
1
2-4
46%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.1
8.4
0
1-2
42%
Luis Flores
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
5.3
0
1-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.