FinalWin Prob.pScore
356%79
83
494%99
93
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
98.88479.7
SAS logo SAS
109.48589.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHVroman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHVroman 2' Layup (3 PTS)83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0NOHMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot81
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASWilks 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0NOHVroman Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0NOHMISS Vroman Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0NOHVroman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0NOHParker STEAL (4 STL)80
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25NOHSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 1:36SASGinobili 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)77
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54NOHHorry STEAL (1 STL)77
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 2:08NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 2:10SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 2:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)77
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 2:37NOHMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot77
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 2:43NOHHornets Rebound77
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 2:44NOHHorry BLOCK (3 BLK)77
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 3:03SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)77
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 3:28NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 3:28NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 3:46SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 3:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 275
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 4:00NOHNailon Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T14)75
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 4:18SASHorry 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)75
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 4:42NOHDickau 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)75
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 4:52NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 4:54SASMISS Horry 14' Jump Shot73
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 5:19NOHNailon 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)73
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 5:41NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 5:43SASMISS Horry 15' Jump Shot71
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 6:11NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)71
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 6:19NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 6:21NOHMISS Rogers 18' Jump Shot69
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 6:39SASBowen 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)69
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 6:55SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 6:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)69
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 6:57SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup69
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 6:59SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot69
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 7:14NOHRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)69
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 7:32NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 7:35SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 7:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 7:45NOHMISS Rogers 17' Jump Shot69
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 8:01SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 8:01SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 8:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)69
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 8:04NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 8:04NOHMISS Nailon 3' Layup69
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 8:07NOHBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)69
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 8:09NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 8:11NOHMISS Dickau 21' Jump Shot69
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 8:15SASWilks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)69
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 8:37SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 8:39NOHMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 8:58SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 8:58SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q4 - 8:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)69
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 9:00NOHMISS Jacobsen 13' Jump Shot69
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q4 - 9:25SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T12)69
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q4 - 9:42SASSPURS Rebound69
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 9:42NOHMISS Vroman 1' Layup69
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 10:01NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 10:03SASMISS Wilks 17' Jump Shot69
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q4 - 10:22SASWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 10:24NOHMISS Jacobsen Layup69
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 10:31NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q4 - 10:33SASMISS Marks 1' Layup69
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q4 - 10:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 10:45SASMISS Barry 2' Layup69
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q4 - 10:59SASMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 10:59NOHMISS Jacobsen 7' Jump Shot69
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 11:20SASDuncan 3' Layup (9 PTS)69
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q4 - 11:39NOHVroman Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)69
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q4 - 11:46SASMarks Foul Turnover (P2.T11)69
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS69
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T11)69
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 269
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)69
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASParker 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Nachbar Free Throw 1 of 167
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOHNachbar 2' Layup (2 PTS)67
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup65
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 1:10NOHDickau 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)65
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 1:32SASGinobili 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)63
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 1:52SASMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 1:56SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 263
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 1:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 2:07NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 2:07NOHAndersen 1' Layup (8 PTS)63
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 2:10NOHMarks BLOCK (2 BLK)61
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 2:33SASParker 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)61
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 2:37NOHParker STEAL (3 STL)61
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 2:49NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 2:52SASMISS Barry Free Throw 2 of 261
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 2:52SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 3:05SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 3:07NOHMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot61
7.9%
64
92.1%
Q3 - 3:27NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q3 - 3:29SASMISS Horry 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 3:38SASSPURS Rebound61
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 3:39SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot61
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 3:54SASSPURS Rebound61
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 3:55NOHMISS Rogers 14' Jump Shot61
7.9%
64
92.1%
Q3 - 4:15NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 4:17SASMISS Marks 22' Jump Shot61
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 4:25SASMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 4:28NOHMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q3 - 4:43SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)61
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 4:48SASSPURS Rebound61
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 4:48SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot61
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 4:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 4:53SASMISS Marks 2' Layup61
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 5:08NOHBrown Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)61
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 5:17NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 5:19SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot61
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 5:42NOHRogers Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)61
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 5:42NOHRogers 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Dickau 3 AST)60
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 5:49NOHHornets Rebound58
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 5:49NOHHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)58
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 5:53SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)58
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 6:04NOHGinobili STEAL (3 STL)58
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 6:17SASHorry 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 6:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 6:31NOHMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot58
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 6:50SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)58
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 7:07NOHSmith 11' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)58
8.3%
60
91.7%
Q3 - 7:29SASHorry 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)56
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 7:55NOHSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)56
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 8:13SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)53
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q3 - 8:30NOHNailon 3' Layup (10 PTS)53
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q3 - 9:00SASGinobili 5' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)51
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 9:18NOHDickau 1' Layup (10 PTS)51
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q3 - 9:27NOHHornets Rebound49
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 9:27SASMISS Parker 1' Layup49
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 9:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 9:33NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 9:33NOHBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)49
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 9:35NOHMISS Nailon 4' Jump Shot49
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 9:42NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 9:45SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot49
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 10:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 10:02NOHMISS Rogers 3' Layup49
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 10:20SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P2.T7)49
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 10:24NOHBowen STEAL (1 STL)49
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q3 - 10:50SASHorry 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)49
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 11:01SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q3 - 11:03NOHMISS Nailon 4' Jump Shot49
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q3 - 11:25SASGinobili 4' Running Finger Roll (9 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)49
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q3 - 11:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q3 - 11:44NOHMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot49
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS49
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound49
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Barry 27' 3PT Running Jump Shot49
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Dickau Free Throw 1 of 248
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASMISS Barry Free Throw Technical48
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0NOHParker STEAL (2 STL)48
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot48
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0NOHDickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASParker 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 1:02SASBarry Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)45
6.8%
48
93.2%
Q2 - 1:18NOHSmith 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q2 - 1:43SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)43
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 2:06NOHNailon 1' Layup (8 PTS)43
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 2:07NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 2:09NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot41
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 2:17NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 2:19NOHMISS Dickau 2' Layup41
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 2:25NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 2:27SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot41
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 2:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 2:34SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 2:58NOHSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)41
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)38
3.7%
47
96.3%
Q2 - 3:28SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 3:31SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot38
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 3:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 3:45NOHHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)38
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 3:51NOHHornets Rebound38
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 3:52NOHMISS Rogers 3PT Jump Shot38
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 4:21SASParker 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)38
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 4:45NOHLampe 3' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)38
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q2 - 5:06SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)36
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 5:24NOHDickau 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 5:39NOHHornets Rebound34
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 5:41SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 6:08NOHDickau Layup (2 PTS)34
4.5%
40
95.5%
Q2 - 6:13NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
4.1%
40
95.9%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.0%
40
96.0%
Q2 - 6:41NOHRogers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)32
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 7:03SASMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 7:03SASMISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 229
3.2%
39
96.8%
Q2 - 7:18NOHLampe 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vroman 2 AST)29
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 7:20NOHVroman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 7:22NOHMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 7:28SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 7:42SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
2.5%
39
97.5%
Q2 - 7:44NOHMISS Dickau 16' Jump Shot27
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 8:10SASMarks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)27
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 8:32NOHJacobsen Layup (5 PTS)27
2.5%
39
97.5%
Q2 - 8:49SASGinobili 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Wilks 1 AST)25
2.3%
39
97.7%
Q2 - 8:52NOHWilks STEAL (1 STL)25
2.5%
37
97.5%
Q2 - 8:55NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
2.8%
37
97.2%
Q2 - 8:57SASMISS Wilks 3' Running Layup25
2.7%
37
97.3%
Q2 - 9:01NOHGinobili STEAL (2 STL)25
2.6%
37
97.4%
Q2 - 9:24NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
2.8%
37
97.2%
Q2 - 9:26SASMISS Wilks 29' 3PT Jump Shot25
2.8%
37
97.2%
Q2 - 9:29SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
2.5%
37
97.5%
Q2 - 9:31SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot25
2.8%
37
97.2%
Q2 - 9:42SASBarry Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)25
2.5%
37
97.5%
Q2 - 9:58NOHLampe 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vroman 1 AST)25
2.8%
36
97.2%
Q2 - 10:18NOHVroman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
2.7%
36
97.3%
Q2 - 10:20SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot23
2.6%
36
97.4%
Q2 - 10:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
2.4%
36
97.6%
Q2 - 10:36NOHMISS Vroman Free Throw 2 of 223
2.4%
36
97.6%
Q2 - 10:36NOHMISS Vroman Free Throw 1 of 223
2.6%
36
97.4%
Q2 - 10:44NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
2.7%
36
97.3%
Q2 - 10:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 223
2.6%
36
97.4%
Q2 - 10:46SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
2.5%
36
97.5%
Q2 - 11:00NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q2 - 11:00NOHAndersen 1' Layup (6 PTS)23
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q2 - 11:03NOHMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)21
2.2%
35
97.8%
Q2 - 11:27SASMarks 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)21
2.4%
35
97.6%
Q2 - 11:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
2.6%
33
97.4%
Q2 - 11:37NOHMISS Harrington 23' Jump Shot21
2.7%
33
97.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH21
2.9%
33
97.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)21
2.9%
33
97.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0NOHGinobili STEAL (1 STL)21
3.5%
30
96.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
3.8%
30
96.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
3.7%
30
96.3%
Q1 - 0:45.0NOHAndersen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)21
3.5%
30
96.5%
Q1 - 1:01SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)19
3.2%
30
96.8%
Q1 - 1:01SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
3.2%
29
96.8%
Q1 - 1:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
3.5%
28
96.5%
Q1 - 1:21NOHMISS Andersen 13' Jump Bank Shot19
3.6%
28
96.4%
Q1 - 1:39NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
3.8%
28
96.2%
Q1 - 1:41SASMISS Massenburg 5' Jump Shot19
3.7%
28
96.3%
Q1 - 2:00NOHAndersen 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)19
3.5%
28
96.5%
Q1 - 2:29SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)17
3.2%
28
96.8%
Q1 - 2:46NOHNailon 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
3.8%
25
96.2%
Q1 - 3:03SASBarry 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)15
3.6%
25
96.4%
Q1 - 3:20NOHNailon 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jacobsen 1 AST)15
3.8%
23
96.2%
Q1 - 3:43SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
3.6%
23
96.4%
Q1 - 3:58NOHJacobsen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
3.8%
21
96.2%
Q1 - 3:58NOHJacobsen Layup (2 PTS)12
3.5%
21
96.5%
Q1 - 4:17SASParker 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)10
3.2%
21
96.8%
Q1 - 4:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
3.4%
19
96.6%
Q1 - 4:23NOHMISS Andersen 9' Jump Bank Shot10
3.6%
19
96.4%
Q1 - 4:43SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
3.8%
19
96.2%
Q1 - 4:43SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 210
3.9%
18
96.1%
Q1 - 4:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
3.8%
18
96.2%
Q1 - 4:47NOHMISS Harrington 2' Layup10
3.9%
18
96.1%
Q1 - 4:51NOHHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
4.2%
18
95.8%
Q1 - 4:53SASMISS Massenburg 4' Jump Shot10
4.0%
18
96.0%
Q1 - 5:14NOHBrown 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
3.7%
18
96.3%
Q1 - 5:19NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
3.5%
18
96.5%
Q1 - 5:21NOHMISS Brown 11' Jump Shot8
3.3%
18
96.7%
Q1 - 5:43SASBarry 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)8
3.5%
18
96.5%
Q1 - 6:00NOHBrown 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
3.7%
16
96.3%
Q1 - 6:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
3.5%
16
96.5%
Q1 - 6:19SASGinobili 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)6
3.5%
16
96.5%
Q1 - 6:21SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot6
4.0%
14
96.0%
Q1 - 6:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
3.8%
14
96.2%
Q1 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot6
4.0%
14
96.0%
Q1 - 6:57NOHBrown 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
3.8%
14
96.2%
Q1 - 7:19SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)4
3.6%
14
96.4%
Q1 - 7:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
3.8%
12
96.2%
Q1 - 7:33NOHMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot4
3.9%
12
96.1%
Q1 - 7:42NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
4.1%
12
95.9%
Q1 - 7:44NOHMISS Rogers 22' Jump Shot4
3.9%
12
96.1%
Q1 - 8:04SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)4
4.0%
12
96.0%
Q1 - 8:13SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
4.3%
10
95.7%
Q1 - 8:15NOHMISS Brown 14' Turnaround Jump Shot4
4.4%
10
95.6%
Q1 - 8:32SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
4.7%
10
95.3%
Q1 - 8:37NOHNailon 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
4.3%
10
95.7%
Q1 - 8:54NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
4.0%
10
96.0%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS Ginobili 11' Jump Bank Shot2
3.9%
10
96.1%
Q1 - 9:10NOHBrown 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
3.6%
10
96.4%
Q1 - 9:33SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
3.5%
10
96.5%
Q1 - 9:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
3.1%
10
96.9%
Q1 - 9:48NOHMISS Rogers 12' Jump Shot0
3.2%
10
96.8%
Q1 - 10:06SASParker Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
3.4%
10
96.6%
Q1 - 10:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
3.2%
10
96.8%
Q1 - 10:22NOHMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot0
3.2%
10
96.8%
Q1 - 10:38SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)0
3.4%
10
96.6%
Q1 - 10:48NOHHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
3.9%
7
96.1%
Q1 - 10:54SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
4.3%
7
95.7%
Q1 - 10:54SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
4.6%
6
95.4%
Q1 - 10:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
4.9%
4
95.1%
Q1 - 10:59NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
5.0%
4
95.0%
Q1 - 11:06NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5.2%
4
94.8%
Q1 - 11:09SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot0
5.1%
4
94.9%
Q1 - 11:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
4.9%
4
95.1%
Q1 - 11:20SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 20
5.2%
4
94.8%
Q1 - 11:20SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)0
5.0%
4
95.0%
Q1 - 11:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
5.3%
3
94.7%
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup0
5.5%
3
94.5%
Q1 - 11:27NOHParker STEAL (1 STL)0
5.3%
3
94.7%
Q1 - 11:47SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
5.6%
3
94.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Brown: Tip to Ginobili0
6.5%
0
93.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.97 48.3%
SAS
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
15
29
52%
SAS
22
33
67%
Midrange
NOK
15
37
41%
SAS
7
22
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
SAS
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
NOK
8
13
62%
SAS
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Dickau1653%8.0 / 15
J. Smith1372%6.5 / 9
P. Brown1255%6.0 / 11
L. Nailon1260%6.0 / 10
C. Andersen857%4.0 / 7
R. Rogers625%3.0 / 12
M. Lampe6100%3.0 / 3
C. Jacobsen536%2.5 / 7
J. Vroman350%1.5 / 3
B. Nachbar233%1.0 / 3
J. Harrington0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2350%11.5 / 23
M. Ginobili1765%8.5 / 13
B. Barry1464%7.0 / 11
T. Duncan1250%6.0 / 12
B. Bowen1192%5.5 / 6
R. Horry1155%5.5 / 10
S. Marks330%1.5 / 5
M. Wilks225%1.0 / 4
T. Massenburg0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
68
+15
-16
83
SAS
73
+16
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.97 48.3%
SAS
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.9
104.9
NOH 98.8 +10.6
SAS 109.4
Pace
90.2
91.2
NOH 79.7
SAS 89.8 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.2
NOH 18.1
SAS 16.0 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
44.6%
49.2%
NOH 48.7%
SAS 50.7% +2.0%
TO %
15.3%
14.2%
NOH 16.2%
SAS 13.2% +3.0%
ORB %
29.2%
29.2%
NOH 30.8%
SAS 33.3% +2.5%
FTrt
27.9
32.9
NOH 16.9
SAS 41.7 +24.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.4%
60.6%
NOH 40.0%
SAS 67.6% +27.6%
STL %
7.4%
8.2%
NOH 6.0%
SAS 11.8% +5.8%
BLK %
6.3%
9.9%
NOH 10.9% +0.3%
SAS 10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.8%
50.6%
NOH 48.3%
SAS 51.7% +3.4%
Rim FG%
52.2%
59.3%
NOH 51.7%
SAS 66.7% +15.0%
Mid FG%
38.2%
37.2%
NOH 40.5% +8.7%
SAS 31.8%
3P %
31.5%
36.3%
NOH 45.5% +16.1%
SAS 29.4%
FT %
76.6%
72.4%
NOH 61.5%
SAS 66.7% +5.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
37.6%
NOH 37.7%
SAS 45.8% +8.2%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
40.8%
NOH 48.1%
SAS 30.6% +17.5%
3P Att. %
20.1%
21.6%
NOH 14.3%
SAS 23.6% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points8393
Rebounds3840
Assists1423
Steals510
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals35-7734-72
At-the-Rim FG15-2922-33
Midrange FG15-377-22
2-Point FG30-6629-55
3-Point FG5-115-17
Free Throws8-1320-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 180 · 26
31.9
16
53%
4
3
1
0
4
4
1
3
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 239 · 35
31.0
12
55%
5
3
1
1
1
2
3
2
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 270 · 34
30.9
6
25%
3
1
2
1
2
3
0
3
1-1
100%
1-8
13%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 241 · 30
30.8
12
60%
5
0
0
0
4
2
3
2
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 19
29.4
13
72%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
18.6
5
36%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 221 · 25
17.2
2
33%
5
0
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
16.1
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27
12.3
8
57%
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 275 · 20
11.3
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24
10.4
3
50%
4
2
0
2
1
4
2
2
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 212 · 26
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
48%
38
14
5
6
16
0
12
26
8-13
62%
30-66
45%
5-11
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.