FinalWin Prob.pScore
1335%95
95
865%99
104
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
108.08885.2
MIA logo MIA
110.69497.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHEAT Rebound95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Driving Layup (30 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUJones STEAL (1 STL)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)95
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)95
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)92
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUYao Dunk (22 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)92
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)90
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:05HOUYao Layup (20 PTS) (Sura 6 AST)90
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 1:14HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:24MIAHEAT Rebound88
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot88
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 1:41HOUYao 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)88
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 2:10MIAWade Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)86
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:10MIAWade Layup (25 PTS)86
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 2:22HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 2:22HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)85
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 2:28HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)84
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot84
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 2:52HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 2:52HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 2:59HOURockets Rebound82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 3:00HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 3:07HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot82
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 3:33HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot82
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 3:37HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 3:39HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 3:46HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)82
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot82
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 3:58MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 4:00HOUMISS Sura 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 4:16MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)82
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 4:36HOUWeatherspoon 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)82
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 4:54MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)80
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 5:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 5:04HOUMISS McGrady 20' Turnaround Jump Shot80
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 5:29MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)80
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 5:49HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 5:49HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)79
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIAWade Layup (21 PTS)78
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup78
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 6:36HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)78
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 6:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 7:02HOUMcGrady 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q4 - 7:12HOURockets Rebound76
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 7:12HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 7:12HOUMISS Mutombo Tip Shot76
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 7:14HOUMISS Howard 9' Jump Bank Shot76
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 7:35MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 7:35MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 7:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 276
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 7:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 8:10HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 8:22MIAAnderson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)74
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q4 - 8:35MIAHEAT Rebound74
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q4 - 8:36HOUMISS Barry 18' Jump Shot74
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 8:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
7.9%
82
92.1%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 274
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q4 - 8:58MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot74
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q4 - 9:20HOUYao 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)74
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q4 - 9:41MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)72
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 10:01HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q4 - 10:01HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q4 - 10:01HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)70
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q4 - 10:03HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot70
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 10:17HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot70
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q4 - 10:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q4 - 10:28HOUMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q4 - 10:38HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q4 - 11:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q4 - 11:03HOUMISS McGrady Layup70
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q4 - 11:18MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
10.2%
78
89.8%
Q4 - 11:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q4 - 11:29HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot70
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q4 - 11:50MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
17.8%
75
82.2%
Q4 - 11:50MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
18.3%
74
81.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
21.0%
73
79.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
21.0%
73
79.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 40' 3PT Jump Shot70
23.8%
73
76.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T10)70
21.7%
73
78.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
25.4%
73
74.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Dooling 15' Fadeaway Jumper70
24.2%
73
75.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUHaslem STEAL (1 STL)70
21.7%
73
78.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
26.2%
72
73.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q3 - 1:02HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
30.7%
71
69.3%
Q3 - 1:12HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
33.8%
71
66.2%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup70
32.4%
71
67.6%
Q3 - 1:38HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Sura 5 AST)70
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q3 - 1:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
25.6%
71
74.4%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup68
24.5%
71
75.5%
Q3 - 2:24HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)68
22.0%
71
78.0%
Q3 - 2:33HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot66
18.3%
71
81.7%
Q3 - 2:52HOUSura Reverse Layup (19 PTS)66
16.2%
71
83.8%
Q3 - 3:11MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)64
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 3:15MIAHEAT Rebound64
16.9%
69
83.1%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot64
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q3 - 3:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
16.9%
69
83.1%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot64
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q3 - 3:33HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Sura 4 AST)64
16.8%
69
83.2%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
14.6%
69
85.4%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 3:58HOUHoward 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)62
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 4:19MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)60
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 4:43HOUHoward 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
17.0%
65
83.0%
Q3 - 5:06HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
15.4%
65
84.6%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 5:23HOUYao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)58
13.2%
65
86.8%
Q3 - 5:35MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T9)58
15.4%
65
84.6%
Q3 - 5:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
13.2%
65
86.8%
Q3 - 5:53HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
13.8%
65
86.2%
Q3 - 6:17MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)58
15.8%
65
84.2%
Q3 - 6:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q3 - 6:25HOUMISS Sura 19' Jump Shot58
21.2%
62
78.8%
Q3 - 6:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 6:56HOUYao 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)58
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)56
18.3%
62
81.7%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
20.7%
61
79.3%
Q3 - 7:33HOUSura 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)56
23.0%
59
77.0%
Q3 - 7:38HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
20.7%
59
79.3%
Q3 - 7:40HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
18.8%
59
81.2%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
20.7%
59
79.3%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
23.2%
57
76.8%
Q3 - 8:06HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q3 - 8:28HOUWesley Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)54
26.4%
57
73.6%
Q3 - 8:28HOUWesley Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)53
23.6%
57
76.4%
Q3 - 8:30MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS)52
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot52
25.4%
55
74.6%
Q3 - 8:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 8:42HOUO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)52
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q3 - 8:52MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)52
26.4%
55
73.6%
Q3 - 9:06HOUSura Foul Turnover (P4.T7)52
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 152
25.6%
55
74.4%
Q3 - 9:19MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)52
26.0%
55
74.0%
Q3 - 9:36HOUHoward 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)52
28.8%
53
71.2%
Q3 - 9:57MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS)50
26.0%
53
74.0%
Q3 - 9:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
28.9%
51
71.1%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS O'Neal Layup50
31.1%
51
68.9%
Q3 - 10:32HOUMcGrady Layup (13 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)50
28.6%
51
71.4%
Q3 - 10:42HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot48
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q3 - 11:02HOUYao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
23.2%
51
76.8%
Q3 - 11:24MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)46
21.0%
51
79.0%
Q3 - 11:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
25.8%
48
74.2%
Q3 - 11:48HOUMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
26.6%
48
73.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)46
28.3%
48
71.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
35.6%
45
64.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
37.1%
45
62.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk46
36.4%
45
63.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 3 of 346
35.2%
45
64.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)46
37.4%
45
62.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)45
36.7%
45
63.3%
Q2 - 1:05HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q2 - 1:22MIAHEAT Rebound44
29.5%
45
70.5%
Q2 - 1:23HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot44
30.0%
45
70.0%
Q2 - 1:28HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup44
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q2 - 1:41HOUSura Foul Turnover (P3.T6)44
29.5%
45
70.5%
Q2 - 1:58MIAJones Reverse Layup (3 PTS)44
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q2 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
34.4%
43
65.6%
Q2 - 2:05HOUMISS Yao Dunk44
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 2:07HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 2:08HOUMISS McGrady Layup44
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 2:31HOURockets Rebound44
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot44
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 2:52HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
34.5%
43
65.5%
Q2 - 3:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
36.8%
43
63.2%
Q2 - 3:16MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
33.8%
43
66.2%
Q2 - 3:17HOUMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot44
34.7%
43
65.3%
Q2 - 3:34HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
36.9%
43
63.1%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot44
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 3:55HOUStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)44
33.8%
43
66.2%
Q2 - 4:13HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
31.1%
43
68.9%
Q2 - 4:15HOUMISS Yao 14' Fadeaway Jumper42
29.4%
43
70.6%
Q2 - 4:27HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
31.1%
43
68.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot42
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound42
28.7%
43
71.3%
Q2 - 4:44HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)42
29.4%
43
70.6%
Q2 - 4:50HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
31.1%
43
68.9%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot42
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 5:11HOUMcGrady Reverse Layup (9 PTS)42
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 5:15HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q2 - 5:16HOUMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
24.8%
43
75.2%
Q2 - 5:23MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q2 - 5:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
24.1%
43
75.9%
Q2 - 5:32HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
24.8%
43
75.2%
Q2 - 5:57MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)40
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 6:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
30.7%
40
69.3%
Q2 - 6:05HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot40
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 6:13HOURockets Rebound40
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 6:14HOUMISS Barry 21' Jump Shot40
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 6:28HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 6:30HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot40
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 6:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 6:37HOUMISS Yao 7' Hook Shot40
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 6:59MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)40
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 7:15HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)40
35.6%
38
64.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAnderson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 8:07HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
35.3%
36
64.7%
Q2 - 8:07HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
33.7%
35
66.3%
Q2 - 8:37HOUYao 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)36
35.3%
34
64.7%
Q2 - 8:40HOURockets Rebound34
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q2 - 8:41HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Bank Shot34
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 9:04MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (6 PTS)34
33.0%
34
67.0%
Q2 - 9:20HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)34
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)31
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 9:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 9:35HOUHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)31
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 9:51MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)31
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 10:08HOUYao Dunk (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)31
32.7%
30
67.3%
Q2 - 10:22HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
30.8%
30
69.2%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot29
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 10:38HOUPadgett Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 10:51HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
30.8%
30
69.2%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot29
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 11:09HOUSura 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)29
28.3%
30
71.7%
Q2 - 11:22HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
24.0%
30
76.0%
Q2 - 11:36HOUSura Foul Turnover (P2.T3)26
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU26
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIADooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
24.3%
30
75.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUSura Driving Layup (12 PTS)26
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS)24
24.4%
28
75.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Jones 5' Running Jump Shot24
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot24
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q1 - 1:02HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Anderson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot24
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q1 - 1:18HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)24
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q1 - 1:18HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)23
26.2%
26
73.8%
Q1 - 1:34MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
24.4%
26
75.6%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 222
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 1:46HOUHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)22
24.8%
25
75.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)22
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q1 - 2:17HOUWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)22
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q1 - 2:40MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)19
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 2:57HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
26.6%
21
73.4%
Q1 - 2:57HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
26.1%
21
73.9%
Q1 - 3:10HOURockets Rebound17
24.9%
21
75.1%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper17
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 3:30HOUSura Finger Roll (6 PTS)17
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 3:45MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 3:54HOUMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot15
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 4:13MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)15
21.7%
21
78.3%
Q1 - 4:31HOUMutombo 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)15
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 4:47HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q1 - 5:07HOUWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)13
20.2%
19
79.8%
Q1 - 5:22MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)10
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 5:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 5:28HOUMISS McGrady 11' Turnaround Jump Shot10
19.3%
17
80.7%
Q1 - 5:48MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
20.3%
17
79.7%
Q1 - 5:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.0%
14
77.0%
Q1 - 6:01HOUMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot10
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 6:05HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 6:07HOUMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot10
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 6:28MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 6:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 6:38HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot10
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 6:58MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 7:12HOUSura Layup (4 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)10
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 7:21MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)8
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 7:38HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)8
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 7:57MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 8:16HOUSura Layup (2 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)6
26.1%
8
73.9%
Q1 - 8:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 8:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 8:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 8:34HOUMISS McGrady Driving Finger Roll4
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 8:42HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot4
27.3%
6
72.7%
Q1 - 9:03HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)4
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 9:16HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot2
24.3%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 9:37HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 9:37HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
22.8%
6
77.2%
Q1 - 9:52MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 10:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 10:12HOUMISS Yao 8' Hook Shot0
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:32MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 10:39HOUMISS Yao 13' Jump Shot0
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 10:52MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 10:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:01HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:14MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:27HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 11:36HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Yao: Tip to Jones0
29.0%
0
71.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
11
18
61%
MIA
20
30
67%
Midrange
HOU
19
41
46%
MIA
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
HOU
20
21
95%
MIA
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2850%14.0 / 28
Yao2269%11.0 / 16
B. Sura2166%10.5 / 16
J. Howard1063%5.0 / 8
D. Wesley857%4.0 / 7
R. Strickland250%1.0 / 2
D. Mutombo250%1.0 / 2
C. Weatherspoon2100%1.0 / 1
J. Barry0-0.0 / 5
S. Padgett0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3056%15.0 / 27
U. Haslem1680%8.0 / 10
D. Jones1657%8.0 / 14
S. O'Neal1554%7.5 / 14
E. Jones1146%5.5 / 12
R. Butler6150%3.0 / 2
M. Doleac467%2.0 / 3
S. Anderson467%2.0 / 3
K. Dooling220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
76
+15
-12
91
MIA
83
+10
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
106.6
HOU 108.0
MIA 110.6 +2.7
Pace
91.5
93.9
HOU 85.2
MIA 97.2 +12.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.6
HOU 16.9
MIA 14.8 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
52.4%
HOU 46.3%
MIA 54.1% +7.8%
TO %
14.2%
14.0%
HOU 11.7%
MIA 11.3% +0.4%
ORB %
26.4%
27.0%
HOU 28.2% +7.6%
MIA 20.6%
FTrt
30.9
38.7
HOU 25.9
MIA 39.2 +13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
57.8%
HOU 65.7% +17.1%
MIA 48.6%
STL %
7.5%
6.8%
HOU 5.7% +3.6%
MIA 2.1%
BLK %
7.4%
8.7%
HOU 0.0%
MIA 5.1% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.7%
HOU 52.2%
MIA 55.9% +3.7%
Rim FG%
57.3%
63.0%
HOU 61.1%
MIA 66.7% +5.6%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.0%
HOU 46.3% +9.6%
MIA 36.7%
3P %
36.4%
37.7%
HOU 22.7%
MIA 42.9% +20.2%
FT %
78.1%
67.2%
HOU 95.2% +12.4%
MIA 82.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.5%
37.6%
HOU 22.2%
MIA 40.5% +18.3%
Mid Att. %
47.8%
42.6%
HOU 50.6%
MIA 40.5% +10.1%
3P Att. %
23.7%
19.8%
HOU 27.2% +8.2%
MIA 18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions8894
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points95104
Rebounds3835
Assists2318
Steals52
Blocks03
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)28 (4)
Field Goals35-8137-74
At-the-Rim FG11-1820-30
Midrange FG19-4111-30
2-Point FG30-5931-60
3-Point FG5-226-14
Free Throws20-2124-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
44.2
28
50%
9
4
0
0
2
2
1
8
6-7
86%
8-20
40%
2-6
33%
G · 6'5" 200 · 32
38.6
21
66%
6
6
1
0
5
4
2
4
6-6
100%
6-8
75%
1-5
20%
C · 7'6" 310 · 24
34.5
22
69%
9
2
1
0
1
5
4
5
6-6
100%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 203 · 34
34.4
8
57%
3
4
2
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
33.9
10
63%
5
1
0
0
2
4
1
4
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 36
16.5
0
0%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
12.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 39
10.4
2
50%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 39
9.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 270 · 34
5.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 173 · 23
F · 6'9" 218 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
38
23
5
0
12
0
11
27
20-21
95%
30-59
51%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.