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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 30, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks41%9887
26Cavaliers59%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
40.9
35.8
23
55%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
7-7
100%
8-18
6-14
44%
46%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.3
38.9
39.6
17
48%
2
5
2
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
7-16
6-14
44%
45%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
35.7
34.7
9
35%
6
1
0
1
2
1
2
4
1-4
25%
4-11
4-9
36%
47%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.1
30.9
26.0
16
90%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
7-8
3-8
88%
42%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
15.6
28.4
4
41%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.0
35.9
13.9
8
36%
5
3
1
0
1
2
1
4
4-5
80%
2-9
2-4
22%
43%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.6
17.1
20.6
8
57%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.4
13.0
9.4
2
53%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.2
12.1
4.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 28.6
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 26.5
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.3
47.3
33.6
16
37%
2
15
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-13
4-9
31%
47%
2-8
25%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.7
44.0
30.9
28
56%
18
2
1
1
4
4
7
11
10-11
91%
9-20
5-11
45%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
42.6
33.4
9
70%
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.4
34.1
36.1
33
67%
11
0
1
1
0
1
4
7
13-13
100%
10-19
7-13
53%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.2
23.6
24.1
5
36%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.0
29.2
15.8
4
33%
8
2
4
1
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.1
16.0
17.1
9
75%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.0
3.2
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.9
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.1
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.