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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 31, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs63%97103
12SuperSonics37%9384
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.8
37.5
35.5
21
67%
10
1
0
1
3
1
2
8
3-4
75%
9-14
8-16
64%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.7
36.5
35.1
17
54%
10
6
1
1
0
6
1
9
5-6
83%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.6
34.1
31.9
12
67%
4
0
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.5
31.1
31.2
23
67%
2
7
2
2
1
0
2
0
3-5
60%
7-12
4-8
58%
50%
2-3
67%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.5
18.2
13.6
2
25%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.1
25.9
22.8
11
59%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
2-6
33%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
21.6
8.2
5
36%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.4
17.6
23.2
8
75%
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
3-3
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.6
11.5
8.6
2
20%
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
3.6
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.7
2.3
5.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.2
10.2
0
1-3
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
37.9
37.5
9
50%
6
3
0
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
37.4
7.9
13
36%
4
3
2
0
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
3-13
1-2
23%
43%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.0
36.5
33.4
6
25%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-9
3-8
22%
41%
0-2
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 29.2
30.0
13.2
12
55%
6
0
0
0
4
2
3
3
2-2
100%
5-10
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 24.7
15.0
23.4
6
77%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
33.0
26.9
13
55%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.9
27.3
24.5
13
65%
4
5
2
1
0
2
1
3
7-9
78%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.3
14.2
15.4
10
64%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28.8
6.7
16.7
2
114%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 27.4
1.9
0.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 29.9
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.