FinalWin Prob.pScore
832%100
104
568%106
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.39689.4
DAL logo DAL
110.199106.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)104
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)104
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)104
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)101
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)101
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)101
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound98
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALTerry Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)98
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
1.8%
103
98.2%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot98
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 1:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)98
4.3%
103
95.7%
Q4 - 1:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)98
4.6%
102
95.4%
Q4 - 1:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)98
7.8%
101
92.2%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
9.4%
101
90.6%
Q4 - 1:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
14.2%
101
85.8%
Q4 - 1:30DALHoward Tip Shot (11 PTS)98
14.2%
101
85.8%
Q4 - 1:31DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot98
28.3%
99
71.7%
Q4 - 1:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)98
22.1%
99
77.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot98
24.9%
99
75.1%
Q4 - 2:18DALStackhouse 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)98
33.9%
99
66.1%
Q4 - 2:37DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
39.5%
97
60.5%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot98
44.7%
97
55.3%
Q4 - 2:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)98
54.1%
97
45.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
44.2%
97
55.8%
Q4 - 3:05DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)98
54.5%
97
45.5%
Q4 - 3:11DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)98
60.6%
95
39.4%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot98
65.0%
95
35.0%
Q4 - 3:40DALStackhouse 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS)98
67.3%
95
32.7%
Q4 - 3:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)98
75.1%
93
24.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 297
73.6%
93
26.4%
Q4 - 4:11DALStackhouse Reverse Layup (16 PTS)97
75.7%
93
24.3%
Q4 - 4:34MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)97
81.9%
91
18.1%
Q4 - 4:52DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
68.6%
91
31.4%
Q4 - 4:52DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
71.0%
90
29.0%
Q4 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Layup (25 PTS)94
70.6%
89
29.4%
Q4 - 5:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)92
63.8%
89
36.2%
Q4 - 5:27DALMISS Dampier 15' Jump Shot92
61.3%
89
38.7%
Q4 - 6:01MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)92
51.8%
89
48.2%
Q4 - 6:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)90
45.5%
89
54.5%
Q4 - 6:21DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot90
42.9%
89
57.1%
Q4 - 6:33MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)90
37.2%
89
62.8%
Q4 - 6:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
25.2%
89
74.8%
Q4 - 6:57DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
23.2%
89
76.8%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)87
20.1%
89
79.9%
Q4 - 7:46DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)87
25.5%
89
74.5%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)87
30.4%
87
69.6%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS)86
24.8%
87
75.2%
Q4 - 8:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
21.2%
87
78.8%
Q4 - 8:18DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
19.9%
87
80.1%
Q4 - 8:21DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
17.2%
87
82.8%
Q4 - 8:23MIANowitzki BLOCK (3 BLK)84
18.3%
87
81.7%
Q4 - 8:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
21.2%
87
78.8%
Q4 - 8:48DALMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot84
19.8%
87
80.2%
Q4 - 8:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
17.1%
87
82.9%
Q4 - 9:00MIAFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)84
18.3%
87
81.7%
Q4 - 9:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
21.5%
87
78.5%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot84
18.7%
87
81.3%
Q4 - 9:17MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
21.5%
87
78.5%
Q4 - 9:19DALMISS Henderson Layup84
20.3%
87
79.7%
Q4 - 9:32DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
17.6%
87
82.4%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Doleac Layup84
18.7%
87
81.3%
Q4 - 9:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
21.5%
87
78.5%
Q4 - 9:44DALMISS Harris Layup84
20.3%
87
79.7%
Q4 - 10:00MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
17.6%
87
82.4%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
15.2%
87
84.8%
Q4 - 10:11DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
14.2%
87
85.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)82
12.2%
87
87.8%
Q4 - 10:46DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P3.T10)80
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 11:01MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)80
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q4 - 11:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q4 - 11:18DALMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot78
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 11:39DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot78
6.3%
87
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot78
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)78
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALStackhouse 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)78
7.8%
87
92.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q3 - 1:04DALHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)76
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q3 - 1:20MIAWade Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)76
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q3 - 1:41DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q3 - 1:57MIAO'Neal Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)74
11.8%
80
88.2%
Q3 - 2:11DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)72
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q3 - 2:13DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 2:15DALMISS Daniels Layup72
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q3 - 2:34MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)72
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 2:50DALDaniels Layup (4 PTS)69
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q3 - 2:55DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)69
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot69
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q3 - 3:18DALDampier 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)69
14.9%
75
85.1%
Q3 - 3:35DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot69
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q3 - 3:51DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
20.0%
73
80.0%
Q3 - 3:51DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
20.8%
72
79.2%
Q3 - 3:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)69
22.8%
71
77.2%
Q3 - 3:52DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot69
25.2%
71
74.8%
Q3 - 4:08DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
22.5%
71
77.5%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q3 - 4:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 4:18DALMISS Stackhouse 15' Turnaround Jump Shot69
25.1%
71
74.9%
Q3 - 4:30MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)69
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q3 - 4:40DALStackhouse Running Layup (12 PTS)67
20.1%
71
79.9%
Q3 - 4:50MIAO'Neal Layup (21 PTS)67
22.6%
69
77.4%
Q3 - 5:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
20.3%
69
79.7%
Q3 - 5:07DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 5:22MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T8)65
17.5%
69
82.5%
Q3 - 5:42DALStackhouse Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)65
20.3%
69
79.7%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)65
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
22.2%
67
77.8%
Q3 - 6:04DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)63
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 6:15DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
17.7%
67
82.3%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot63
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 6:38DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)63
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)63
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 7:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
29.1%
64
70.9%
Q3 - 7:08DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot63
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 7:11DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
25.6%
64
74.4%
Q3 - 7:13DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot63
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 7:38MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)63
25.6%
64
74.4%
Q3 - 7:58DALDampier 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)61
23.1%
64
76.9%
Q3 - 8:07MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)61
25.6%
62
74.4%
Q3 - 8:28DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)59
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 8:37DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q3 - 8:39DALMISS Dampier Layup59
31.1%
59
68.9%
Q3 - 8:44MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q3 - 8:58DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
26.0%
59
74.0%
Q3 - 8:58DALHoward Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)57
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q3 - 9:13DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
31.3%
56
68.7%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot57
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q3 - 9:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q3 - 9:29DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot57
33.6%
56
66.4%
Q3 - 9:41MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)57
31.3%
56
68.7%
Q3 - 9:57DALHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS)55
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q3 - 10:02DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
30.7%
54
69.3%
Q3 - 10:04MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot55
31.7%
54
68.3%
Q3 - 10:25DALTerry 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)55
34.2%
54
65.8%
Q3 - 10:32MIAFinley STEAL (2 STL)55
37.1%
52
62.9%
Q3 - 10:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
40.9%
52
59.1%
Q3 - 10:51DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot55
39.7%
52
60.3%
Q3 - 10:59DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
37.1%
52
62.9%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot55
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q3 - 11:18DALDampier 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)55
39.9%
52
60.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIAWade Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)55
43.2%
50
56.8%
Q3 - 11:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
40.0%
50
60.0%
Q3 - 11:49DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot53
38.9%
50
61.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL53
36.6%
50
63.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)53
36.6%
50
63.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
32.8%
50
67.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot51
32.2%
50
67.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
30.8%
50
69.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0DALBradley 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)48
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)48
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 1:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q2 - 1:11DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 248
29.5%
48
70.5%
Q2 - 1:11DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 248
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q2 - 1:34MIAButler Slam Dunk (2 PTS)48
28.3%
48
71.7%
Q2 - 1:47DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)46
24.6%
48
75.4%
Q2 - 1:47DALDampier Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)46
27.1%
47
72.9%
Q2 - 2:04DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
30.2%
45
69.8%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q2 - 2:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
32.8%
45
67.2%
Q2 - 2:14DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
32.0%
45
68.0%
Q2 - 2:23DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot46
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q2 - 2:54DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)46
32.8%
45
67.2%
Q2 - 2:59DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
38.8%
42
61.2%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Wade Layup46
38.6%
42
61.4%
Q2 - 3:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)46
40.8%
42
59.2%
Q2 - 3:14DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
43.7%
41
56.3%
Q2 - 3:31MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)46
46.4%
39
53.6%
Q2 - 3:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
43.8%
39
56.2%
Q2 - 3:45DALMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot44
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 4:02MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)44
39.8%
39
60.2%
Q2 - 4:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
37.1%
39
62.9%
Q2 - 4:26DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot42
36.3%
39
63.7%
Q2 - 4:29DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q2 - 4:31DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
36.3%
39
63.7%
Q2 - 4:40MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS)42
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
30.2%
39
69.8%
Q2 - 5:03DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)40
31.7%
39
68.3%
Q2 - 5:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
34.0%
37
66.0%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot40
34.8%
37
65.2%
Q2 - 5:30MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
36.8%
37
63.2%
Q2 - 5:33DALMISS Dampier 15' Jump Shot40
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 5:48MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)40
34.0%
37
66.0%
Q2 - 6:00DALFinley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)37
29.3%
37
70.7%
Q2 - 6:20MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)37
26.6%
37
73.4%
Q2 - 6:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
25.0%
37
75.0%
Q2 - 6:29DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
24.2%
37
75.8%
Q2 - 6:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q2 - 6:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
21.8%
37
78.2%
Q2 - 7:07DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)33
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 7:28MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)33
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q2 - 7:52DALHarris 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)31
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 7:58DALMAVERICKS Rebound31
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 7:58DALMISS Harris Layup31
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q2 - 8:15MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)31
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 8:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 8:35DALMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot29
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 8:51MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)29
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q2 - 9:07DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 9:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 9:27DALHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)26
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 9:39DALMAVERICKS Rebound26
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot26
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 10:04DALDaniels 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q2 - 10:19DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
22.8%
28
77.2%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot26
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 10:36DALStackhouse 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)26
24.8%
28
75.2%
Q2 - 10:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
26.5%
26
73.5%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Anderson 7' Fadeaway Jumper26
27.1%
26
72.9%
Q2 - 10:59DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)26
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q2 - 11:08DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
26.2%
26
73.8%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q2 - 11:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q2 - 11:17DALMISS Henderson 11' Turnaround Hook Shot26
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q2 - 11:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26.2%
26
73.8%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMISS Doleac 12' Jump Shot26
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q2 - 11:46DALStackhouse Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)26
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL26
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31.7%
24
68.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
31.2%
24
68.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T3)26
30.1%
24
69.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALNowitzki 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
31.7%
24
68.3%
Q1 - 1:00DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:18DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q1 - 1:18DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q1 - 1:21DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot26
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q1 - 1:35MIAWade Reverse Layup (9 PTS)26
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q1 - 1:52MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 1:54DALMISS Finley 10' Jump Shot24
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 2:05DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
30.0%
22
70.0%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot24
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 2:25DALStackhouse 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)24
31.8%
22
68.2%
Q1 - 2:43DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 224
34.3%
20
65.7%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 224
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q1 - 3:00DALStackhouse 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 3:10DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 3:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Layup24
38.1%
18
61.9%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot24
38.1%
18
61.9%
Q1 - 3:26DALFinley Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 3:30DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot24
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q1 - 3:49DALFinley 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
39.9%
18
60.1%
Q1 - 4:10MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS)24
40.9%
16
59.1%
Q1 - 4:27DALTerry 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)22
39.3%
16
60.7%
Q1 - 4:29DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
40.9%
14
59.1%
Q1 - 4:31DALMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot22
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 4:36DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
40.9%
14
59.1%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot22
41.7%
14
58.3%
Q1 - 5:05DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
42.0%
14
58.0%
Q1 - 5:05DALBradley Layup (2 PTS)22
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 5:05DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 5:05DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 5:05DALMISS Bradley Layup22
47.6%
11
52.4%
Q1 - 5:07DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
47.6%
11
52.4%
Q1 - 5:20MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 5:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 5:33DALMISS Bradley 20' Jump Shot20
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)20
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 5:48DALDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
44.3%
11
55.7%
Q1 - 6:04MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)20
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 6:11DALTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
37.2%
11
62.8%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)17
35.3%
11
64.7%
Q1 - 6:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
33.6%
11
66.4%
Q1 - 6:29DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
33.0%
11
67.0%
Q1 - 6:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 6:50MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)14
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 6:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot12
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 7:11DALNowitzki Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)12
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 7:21MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 7:36DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 7:39DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 7:41MIANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)10
26.9%
9
73.1%
Q1 - 7:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 7:59DALHoward Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 8:02DALMISS Howard Layup10
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 8:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 8:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 8:30DALDampier 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)8
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 8:47MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 9:07DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
27.8%
5
72.2%
Q1 - 9:15DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 9:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Haslem Layup6
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot6
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 9:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 9:38DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot6
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 9:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 9:49MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 9:49MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 9:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 9:54DALMISS Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 9:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:02MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)2
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 10:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:18DALMISS Terry 12' Jump Shot2
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:28DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 10:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:38DALMISS Howard Layup2
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:46DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot2
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 11:14DALHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)2
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 11:19MIAFinley STEAL (1 STL)2
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 11:30DALMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot2
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 11:47MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
25.9%
0
74.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
DAL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
27
70%
DAL
14
22
64%
Midrange
MIA
14
37
38%
DAL
22
48
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
DAL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
11
14
79%
DAL
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2952%14.5 / 28
S. O'Neal2560%12.5 / 21
R. Butler2071%10.0 / 14
U. Haslem1464%7.0 / 11
E. Jones964%4.5 / 7
D. Jones429%2.0 / 7
K. Dooling350%1.5 / 3
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse2471%12.0 / 17
D. Nowitzki1956%9.5 / 17
J. Terry1869%9.0 / 13
E. Dampier1563%7.5 / 12
J. Howard1146%5.5 / 12
D. Harris857%4.0 / 7
M. Finley531%2.5 / 8
S. Bradley550%2.5 / 5
M. Daniels433%2.0 / 6
A. Henderson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+8
-10
94
DAL
88
+12
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
DAL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
107.3
MIA 108.3
DAL 110.1 +1.8
Pace
93.9
95.3
MIA 89.4
DAL 106.9 +17.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.8
MIA 16.1
DAL 13.5 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.2%
MIA 53.4% +0.6%
DAL 52.8%
TO %
14.0%
13.4%
MIA 9.7% +0.6%
DAL 10.3%
ORB %
27.0%
28.7%
MIA 16.7%
DAL 24.4% +7.7%
FTrt
38.7
34.6
MIA 16.1
DAL 20.5 +4.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
52.6%
MIA 66.7% +8.6%
DAL 58.1%
STL %
6.8%
9.0%
MIA 3.1% +0.1%
DAL 3.0%
BLK %
8.7%
8.6%
MIA 11.4% +5.1%
DAL 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
51.7%
MIA 53.6%
DAL 54.0% +0.4%
Rim FG%
63.0%
57.5%
MIA 70.4% +6.8%
DAL 63.6%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.4%
MIA 37.8%
DAL 45.8% +8.0%
3P %
37.7%
36.4%
MIA 39.1% +0.2%
DAL 38.9%
FT %
67.2%
78.9%
MIA 78.6%
DAL 88.9% +10.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.6%
MIA 31.0% +6.0%
DAL 25.0%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
48.4%
MIA 42.5% +12.0%
DAL 54.5%
3P Att. %
19.8%
19.0%
MIA 26.4% +6.0%
DAL 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9699
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points104109
Rebounds4146
Assists2825
Steals33
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)35 (3)
Field Goals42-8743-88
At-the-Rim FG19-2714-22
Midrange FG14-3722-48
2-Point FG33-6436-70
3-Point FG9-237-18
Free Throws11-1416-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
40.1
29
52%
6
8
0
3
5
2
1
5
5-6
83%
12-23
52%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
38.1
14
64%
9
0
0
0
1
3
3
6
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
37.7
25
60%
13
5
0
3
3
3
3
10
3-5
60%
11-18
61%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
29.5
4
29%
2
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-7
14%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
28.7
9
64%
3
2
1
1
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
28.6
20
71%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
4-9
44%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
15.9
3
50%
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
11.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
10.3
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
54%
41
28
3
8
10
0
7
34
11-14
79%
33-64
52%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.