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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 2, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks70%10190
35Hornets30%9482
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
39.8
39.8
20
43%
5
2
1
1
2
4
0
5
5-5
100%
6-19
8-16
32%
49%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.9
37.2
34.0
12
42%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
5-12
4-9
42%
46%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
29.8
32.3
11
72%
14
1
0
0
2
0
3
11
5-6
83%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
28.6
35.1
6
51%
3
7
0
2
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.8
14.4
18.9
4
67%
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.2
32.6
34.0
19
65%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
7-8
88%
6-11
5-10
55%
44%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.9
20.9
9.4
12
77%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
1-2
50%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
17.8
12.4
6
100%
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
15.7
17.5
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.9
3.3
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.6
6.1
0
0-1
44%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.7
1.6
0
0-0
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.4
36.0
38.1
18
70%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
45%
2-4
50%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.3
34.5
34.9
6
34%
12
4
2
1
0
0
3
9
2-2
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
46%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.4
27.2
25.8
9
39%
0
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
19.8
33.1
7
32%
5
0
0
1
0
2
4
1
1-2
50%
3-10
7-14
30%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.6
15.7
29.2
2
17%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
31.3
21.1
10
57%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
30.3
20.4
10
48%
9
2
0
0
5
2
3
6
2-3
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
24.7
5.7
5
64%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.7
12.0
5.9
11
57%
5
0
1
0
1
3
3
2
5-6
83%
3-7
1-1
43%
45%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.6
3.5
14.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.0
3.5
4.7
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
1.5
7.8
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.