FinalWin Prob.pScore
1532%97
88
768%102
100
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
101.18788.4
MIA logo MIA
112.48987.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)88
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P5.T17)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20CLEMISS Gooden 8' Fadeaway Jumper85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 1:55CLEMISS McInnis 3PT Jump Shot85
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:16MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (26 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)85
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 2:42CLEGooden 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McInnis 5 AST)85
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 2:53MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (24 PTS)83
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 3:19CLEIlgauskas 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 10 AST)83
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)81
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 3:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 3:43CLEMISS Snow 3PT Jump Shot81
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 3:56MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)81
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 4:18CLEJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)81
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 4:42MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)79
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 4:59MIAHEAT Rebound79
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 5:01CLEMISS McInnis 14' Running Jump Shot79
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 5:08CLESnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot79
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Haslem Layup79
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot79
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 5:40CLESnow 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 9 AST)79
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 5:44CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)76
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 5:46CLEMISS James 11' Jump Shot76
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 6:07MIAO'Neal Layup (22 PTS)76
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 6:26CLEGooden Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)76
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 6:46MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)76
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 7:09MIAHEAT Rebound76
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q4 - 7:11CLEMISS Snow Driving Layup76
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)76
13.3%
81
86.7%
Q4 - 7:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
14.0%
80
86.0%
Q4 - 7:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
16.3%
79
83.7%
Q4 - 7:37CLEMISS Ilgauskas 8' Jump Shot76
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q4 - 7:45CLESnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
21.1%
79
78.9%
Q4 - 7:47CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot76
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q4 - 8:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (20 PTS)76
21.6%
79
78.4%
Q4 - 8:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)76
26.2%
77
73.8%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup76
29.8%
77
70.2%
Q4 - 8:31CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)76
26.2%
77
73.8%
Q4 - 8:31CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)75
25.1%
77
74.9%
Q4 - 8:31CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 8:32CLEMISS James 9' Jump Shot74
18.7%
77
81.3%
Q4 - 8:47CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 8:49CLEMISS McInnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
18.7%
77
81.3%
Q4 - 9:01CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS O'Neal Finger Roll74
20.7%
77
79.3%
Q4 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)74
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot74
20.7%
77
79.3%
Q4 - 9:36CLEGooden Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (McInnis 4 AST)74
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q4 - 9:41CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
14.8%
77
85.2%
Q4 - 9:43MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup72
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q4 - 9:51MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q4 - 9:53CLEMISS McInnis Driving Layup72
12.7%
77
87.3%
Q4 - 10:05MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)72
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q4 - 10:16CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)72
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q4 - 10:16CLEJames 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)71
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q4 - 10:31CLECavaliers Rebound69
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q4 - 10:32CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)69
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 10:37MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)69
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q4 - 10:50MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 10:51CLEMISS Gooden 11' Hook Shot69
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)69
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q4 - 11:11MIAHEAT Rebound69
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot69
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 11:33MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 11:35CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot69
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Running Jump Shot69
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0CLEMISS James 19' Turnaround Jump Shot69
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)69
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)69
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0CLEJames Driving Layup (21 PTS)69
11.6%
75
88.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)67
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q3 - 1:00CLEMcInnis 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 1:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 1:33CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)65
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIAHaslem Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T11)65
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q3 - 2:08CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 165
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 2:08CLEJames Dunk (19 PTS)65
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 2:12MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)63
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 2:50CLEMcInnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 8 AST)63
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 3:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 3:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 3:24CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 3:24CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 259
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)59
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 3:53CLEIlgauskas 7' Hook Shot (21 PTS)59
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 4:11MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T9)57
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 4:28CLEIlgauskas 8' Hook Shot (19 PTS)57
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 4:48MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS)55
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup55
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 4:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 5:00CLEMISS James 20' Jump Bank Shot55
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 5:11CLECavaliers Rebound55
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot55
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 5:25CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 5:25CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 5:40MIAJones Reverse Dunk (14 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)53
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 5:59CLEMcInnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)53
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T8)50
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 6:34CLEGooden Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Traylor 2 AST)50
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 6:48MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)48
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 6:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 6:58CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 248
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 6:58CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 6:59CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 7:00CLEJones BLOCK (1 BLK)47
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 7:10CLETraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 7:12CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot47
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q3 - 7:22CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)47
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup47
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 7:50CLEMcInnis 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 8:05MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)45
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 8:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 8:17CLEMISS Ilgauskas 13' Hook Shot45
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 8:31CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)45
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 8:32CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup45
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 8:37CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot45
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 9:02CLEJames Layup (16 PTS)45
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 9:05CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 9:07CLEMISS James Driving Finger Roll43
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q3 - 9:18MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)43
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 9:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q3 - 9:28CLEMISS Gooden 11' Jump Shot43
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q3 - 9:52MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)43
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 10:09MIAHEAT Rebound43
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q3 - 10:10CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Jump Shot43
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 10:32CLEMISS McInnis 20' Jump Shot43
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q3 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q3 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
7.0%
55
93.0%
Q3 - 10:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
7.7%
54
92.3%
Q3 - 10:50CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 11:05MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q3 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q3 - 11:15CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot43
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q3 - 11:32MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS)43
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q3 - 11:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
13.0%
50
87.0%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot43
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)43
13.0%
50
87.0%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Jones Driving Finger Roll43
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
13.0%
50
87.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound43
13.0%
50
87.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Doleac 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 242
13.4%
50
86.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)42
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 1:03MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
12.7%
50
87.3%
Q2 - 1:04CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 242
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q2 - 1:04CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
13.9%
50
86.1%
Q2 - 1:23MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)41
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 1:32MIAHEAT Rebound41
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot41
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 1:49CLEPavlovic Foul Turnover (P1.T5)41
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 1:50CLEMcInnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
12.0%
50
88.0%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Haslem Running Dunk41
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 1:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 1:59CLEMISS McInnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q2 - 2:07CLEMcInnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
12.7%
50
87.3%
Q2 - 2:09CLEMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot41
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 2:18CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot41
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 2:42CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)41
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q2 - 2:42CLECavaliers Rebound41
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 2:42CLEMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot41
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 141
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 3:06MIADooling Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q2 - 3:09MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
14.4%
48
85.6%
Q2 - 3:10CLEButler BLOCK (1 BLK)41
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 141
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 3:31MIAO'Neal 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)41
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 3:48CLEMISS Traylor 17' Jump Shot41
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
20.3%
45
79.7%
Q2 - 4:08MIAButler Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)41
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 4:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot41
24.9%
43
75.1%
Q2 - 4:30CLEJames 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 4:42CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot39
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
19.5%
43
80.5%
Q2 - 5:01CLEO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)39
20.1%
43
79.9%
Q2 - 5:16MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)39
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 5:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 5:27MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
27.0%
40
73.0%
Q2 - 5:46CLEJames 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 6:05MIADooling Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 6:09CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T3)37
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 137
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 6:21MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (10 PTS)37
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
29.6%
36
70.4%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot37
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 6:47MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
29.6%
36
70.4%
Q2 - 6:48CLEMISS Pavlovic 11' Jump Shot37
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 7:05MIADooling 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
32.1%
36
67.9%
Q2 - 7:10MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 7:12CLEMISS Pavlovic Running Dunk37
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 7:16CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot37
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 7:19MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot37
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 7:43CLEMISS Snow 20' Jump Shot37
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 7:57CLEMISS Harris Free Throw Technical37
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 8:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
36.6%
34
63.4%
Q2 - 8:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
37.6%
33
62.4%
Q2 - 8:27CLEHarris 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)37
38.7%
32
61.3%
Q2 - 8:42CLETraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
36.6%
32
63.4%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot35
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 8:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 8:57CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 235
34.3%
32
65.7%
Q2 - 8:57CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)35
35.9%
32
64.1%
Q2 - 9:12MIADooling Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
33.8%
32
66.2%
Q2 - 9:26CLESnow 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)34
35.8%
30
64.2%
Q2 - 9:43MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)32
33.8%
30
66.2%
Q2 - 9:58CLEJames 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
31.4%
30
68.6%
Q2 - 10:19MIAButler Dunk (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)30
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 10:22MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q2 - 10:24CLEDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)30
32.1%
28
67.9%
Q2 - 10:44MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
33.8%
28
66.2%
Q2 - 10:51MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q2 - 10:53CLEMISS Ilgauskas 9' Hook Shot30
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
37.8%
25
62.2%
Q2 - 11:31CLEIlgauskas 12' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)30
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q2 - 11:45CLECavaliers Rebound28
37.5%
24
62.5%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot28
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE28
35.3%
24
64.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound28
37.6%
24
62.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)28
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade Slam Dunk (6 PTS)28
36.8%
24
63.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)28
39.6%
22
60.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)28
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0CLEGooden Layup (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)28
44.2%
20
55.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
41.4%
20
58.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup26
40.8%
20
59.2%
Q1 - 1:09CLEGooden Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)26
39.5%
20
60.5%
Q1 - 1:13CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 1:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot24
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 1:27MIAHEAT Rebound24
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Jones Driving Finger Roll24
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 1:55CLEMcInnis 23' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)24
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 2:15MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q1 - 2:44CLETraylor Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)22
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 2:55MIADoleac Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 3:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 3:05CLEMISS James 9' Jump Shot20
34.8%
16
65.2%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
36.5%
16
63.5%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 3:37CLEJames 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
36.3%
15
63.7%
Q1 - 3:43CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot18
33.7%
15
66.3%
Q1 - 3:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
32.2%
15
67.8%
Q1 - 4:01CLEMISS Traylor 11' Jump Shot18
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 4:19MIAJones Layup (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)18
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 4:34CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q1 - 4:34CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
35.2%
13
64.8%
Q1 - 4:42CLECavaliers Rebound16
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 4:43CLEMISS James 9' Jump Bank Shot16
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 216
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 5:14CLEJames 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 5:33MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
31.4%
12
68.6%
Q1 - 5:36CLEHaslem STEAL (1 STL)14
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 5:48MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
31.4%
12
68.6%
Q1 - 6:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 6:01CLEMISS James 7' Jump Shot14
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 6:11CLECavaliers Rebound14
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 6:12CLEO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)14
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 6:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 214
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 6:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 6:37CLEMISS Gooden 12' Jump Shot14
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 6:55MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
36.3%
9
63.7%
Q1 - 7:16CLEIlgauskas Layup (11 PTS)14
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 7:25CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 7:27CLEMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot12
35.9%
6
64.1%
Q1 - 7:38MIAHaslem Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 7:58CLEIlgauskas Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)12
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 110
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 8:17CLEMcInnis Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)9
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 8:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 8:29CLEMISS Gooden 13' Turnaround Jump Shot9
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 8:48MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 9:05CLEIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)9
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 9:29MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)7
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 9:45CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 10:17CLEPavlovic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)7
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 10:38CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot5
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 10:57CLEIlgauskas Layup (5 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)5
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:01CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup3
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 11:16CLEIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)3
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:27CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 21
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 21
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:44CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:44CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 20
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Gooden0
26.7%
0
73.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
12
20
60%
MIA
22
37
59%
Midrange
CLE
19
51
37%
MIA
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
MIA
6
9.0
11
55%
82%
Free Throws
CLE
14
22
64%
MIA
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3152%15.5 / 30
Z. Ilgauskas2350%11.5 / 23
J. McInnis1350%6.5 / 13
D. Gooden1050%5.0 / 10
E. Snow542%2.5 / 6
S. Pavlovic220%1.0 / 5
R. Traylor225%1.0 / 4
L. Harris2100%1.0 / 1
S. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2648%13.0 / 27
E. Jones2279%11.0 / 14
D. Wade2063%10.0 / 16
K. Dooling1372%6.5 / 9
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
R. Butler650%3.0 / 6
M. Doleac433%2.0 / 6
D. Jones0-0.0 / 0
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
81
+15
-6
96
MIA
72
+17
-17
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
106.6
CLE 101.1
MIA 112.4 +11.2
Pace
92.3
93.9
CLE 88.4 +0.8
MIA 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
CLE 16.3 +0.2
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
52.4%
CLE 44.6%
MIA 56.3% +11.7%
TO %
14.0%
14.0%
CLE 7.0% +9.9%
MIA 16.9%
ORB %
32.5%
27.0%
CLE 22.7%
MIA 37.5% +14.8%
FTrt
32.5
38.7
CLE 26.5
MIA 40.8 +14.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
57.8%
CLE 48.6%
MIA 48.6%
STL %
8.6%
6.8%
CLE 9.2% +7.0%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
8.7%
8.7%
CLE 0.0%
MIA 9.9% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
52.7%
CLE 45.8%
MIA 55.6% +9.8%
Rim FG%
57.3%
63.0%
CLE 60.0% +0.5%
MIA 59.5%
Mid FG%
38.7%
41.0%
CLE 37.3%
MIA 39.1% +1.8%
3P %
33.2%
37.7%
CLE 33.3%
MIA 54.5% +21.2%
FT %
75.2%
67.2%
CLE 63.6%
MIA 69.0% +5.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
37.6%
CLE 24.1%
MIA 52.1% +28.0%
Mid Att. %
50.2%
42.6%
CLE 61.4%
MIA 32.4% +29.1%
3P Att. %
13.5%
19.8%
CLE 14.5%
MIA 15.5% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points88100
Rebounds3046
Assists1718
Steals82
Blocks07
Turnovers (Team)6 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals35-8337-71
At-the-Rim FG12-2022-37
Midrange FG19-519-23
2-Point FG31-7131-60
3-Point FG4-126-11
Free Throws14-2220-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 250 · 20
46.0
31
52%
2
10
3
0
2
2
2
0
8-12
67%
10-20
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 30
42.4
13
50%
2
5
2
0
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 250 · 23
37.5
10
50%
12
0
0
0
1
3
4
8
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 30
36.8
23
50%
6
0
1
0
2
4
2
4
5-8
63%
9-19
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 21
18.3
2
20%
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 32
26.4
5
42%
4
0
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28
23.8
2
25%
2
2
0
0
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 34
5.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 37
3.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30
C · 7'0" 280 · 23
F · 6'10" 260 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
46%
30
17
8
0
6
0
10
20
14-22
64%
31-71
44%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.