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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 5, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bucks40%10294
27Wizards60%106112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
28.4
36.8
26
61%
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
9-10
90%
7-15
7-16
47%
47%
1-2
50%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.3
27.7
33.7
13
56%
2
2
1
1
0
4
1
1
5-6
83%
4-9
6-12
44%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
20.1
33.7
6
43%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
16.3
24.6
0
0%
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.1
15.8
25.3
4
50%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-8
50%
43%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.6
36.6
21.6
22
71%
4
5
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
9-13
3-6
69%
45%
1-2
50%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.4
27.9
17.8
9
51%
8
6
1
1
1
2
1
7
3-4
75%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-3
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.2
20.3
8.7
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
15.8
17.0
7
122%
1
0
1
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 29.8
13.9
2.3
5
66%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.0
12.8
21.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 28.6
4.3
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
39.0
35.0
31
71%
6
9
6
2
1
3
1
5
8-11
73%
7-12
5-10
58%
47%
3-5
60%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
37.5
41.5
9
46%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-8
8-16
38%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.2
33.7
23.8
7
54%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.5
32.2
36.4
15
52%
5
1
3
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
5-11
4-10
45%
43%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.2
17.3
24.6
13
78%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
3-3
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
30.1
14.3
23
74%
8
0
0
0
1
1
5
3
5-8
63%
9-12
2-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.3
17.9
25.2
8
37%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
0-3
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.9
17.9
3.2
2
14%
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
0-0
20%
42%
0-2
0%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.5
8.3
2.7
4
40%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.0
6.3
19.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.2
12.9
0
1-2
42%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.9
2.5
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.