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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 5, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bulls25%9397
7Heat75%101108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
38.4
34.2
15
38%
5
4
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-13
4-9
38%
41%
1-6
17%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
32.5
17.8
18
65%
9
3
0
1
0
4
4
5
4-4
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.2
27.4
22.3
15
56%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.4
22.8
22.0
3
26%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
36%
0-4
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
11.4
13.8
2
50%
5
1
0
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.8
29.9
26.3
25
67%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
7-13
4-9
54%
43%
3-4
75%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.3
28.9
26.8
6
45%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
4-6
67%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.2
18.1
22.6
5
33%
6
0
0
1
1
2
0
6
3-6
50%
1-5
2-6
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 22.8
17.5
4.8
3
26%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
1-5
1-1
20%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.4
8.8
6.7
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.6
4.4
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.3
8.8
0
1-3
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.3
36.5
31.6
16
63%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
5-6
83%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
3-6
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.1
36.2
35.8
25
53%
6
2
2
1
1
4
2
4
11-13
85%
7-18
7-15
39%
49%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.9
31.6
32.4
26
53%
10
6
1
0
5
3
2
8
6-17
35%
10-17
9-15
59%
58%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
31.3
37.0
4
34%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
5-9
20%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.4
18.0
29.1
8
80%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
30.0
16.8
7
51%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.6
26.1
16.8
16
80%
6
4
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
8-10
2-5
80%
45%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
21.5
18.9
2
25%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.6
7.0
1.3
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 19.2
1.8
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
13.7
1
1-2
46%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.9
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.