FinalWin Prob.pScore
2825%92
97
775%101
108
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
93.3104105.0
MIA logo MIA
100.9107106.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHIGordon 14' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)97
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAZhi-zhi 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHIDeng Layup (18 PTS)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHIMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35CHIMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIAHEAT Rebound87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09CHIMISS Piatkowski 20' Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Doleac 4 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32CHIMISS Piatkowski 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIADooling Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 287
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 287
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13CHIPiatkowski Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04CHIMISS Reiner 15' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39CHIDeng Dunk (16 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22CHIMISS Nocioni 6' Fadeaway Jumper78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48CHIReiner 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)78
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 6:01MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)76
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 6:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:16CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot76
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 176
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:28MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (20 PTS)76
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:44CHIPiatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)76
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 6:58MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS)73
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 7:11MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:13CHIMISS Hinrich 15' Jump Shot73
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)73
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:19CHIO'Neal BLOCK (5 BLK)73
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:28CHIBulls Rebound73
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 7:28CHIMISS Chandler 5' Jump Shot73
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:40CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 273
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 7:41MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 8:00CHIPiatkowski Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)73
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 8:12MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST)73
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 8:30CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 8:30CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 272
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 8:44CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 272
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 8:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 8:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 9:00CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot72
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 9:16MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS)72
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 9:39CHIGordon Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)72
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 9:56CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot72
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 10:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 10:10CHIMISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot72
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 10:26MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)72
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 10:38CHIDoleac STEAL (1 STL)72
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q4 - 10:53CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 272
6.2%
80
93.8%
Q4 - 10:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q4 - 11:10CHIButler BLOCK (1 BLK)72
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 11:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 11:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q4 - 11:31MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q4 - 11:33CHIMISS Curry 5' Hook Shot72
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q4 - 11:44CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
12.5%
77
87.5%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot72
11.8%
77
88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)72
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHIBulls Rebound72
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHIMISS Gordon 13' Jump Shot72
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)72
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHICurry 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS)72
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)70
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 270
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 1:13CHICurry Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)70
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q3 - 1:32MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)68
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 1:42MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q3 - 1:44CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 1:47CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
15.4%
72
84.6%
Q3 - 1:49CHIMISS Curry 8' Jump Shot68
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 2:07CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot68
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 2:23CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q3 - 2:23CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIAZhi-zhi 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 3 AST)66
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 2:53CHIGordon 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 3:07MIAWade Driving Dunk (20 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)64
11.6%
70
88.4%
Q3 - 3:23CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
13.4%
68
86.6%
Q3 - 3:32MIAWade Layup (18 PTS)62
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q3 - 3:37MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q3 - 3:40CHIMISS Gordon 12' Jump Shot62
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAZhi-zhi Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)62
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q3 - 3:55CHIMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot62
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q3 - 4:08MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T9)62
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 4:21CHIGordon 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)62
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)60
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade Layup (15 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)60
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q3 - 4:40MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot60
17.3%
63
82.7%
Q3 - 5:04CHIChandler Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)60
15.7%
63
84.3%
Q3 - 5:05CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 5:06CHIMISS Hinrich Layup58
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 5:19CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 5:19CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)57
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 5:19CHIBulls Rebound56
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot56
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 5:36CHIHinrich 7' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 5:45CHIBulls Rebound54
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 5:47CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 254
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 5:47CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)54
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 5:50CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot53
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 6:04CHIReiner Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)53
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 6:04CHIMISS Reiner Free Throw 1 of 252
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 6:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q3 - 6:29CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)52
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 6:29CHICurry 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)51
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 6:41MIADoleac Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)49
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q3 - 6:58CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 6:58CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 7:02CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Jones Layup47
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 7:15CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)47
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 7:15CHIMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 246
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 7:15MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)46
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 7:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 7:19CHIHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)46
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 7:24CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot46
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot46
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 7:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup46
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)46
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 7:50CHIHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T12)46
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q3 - 8:05MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS)46
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q3 - 8:19CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
6.1%
56
93.9%
Q3 - 8:19CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 8:19CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q3 - 8:20CHIMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot44
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q3 - 8:26CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q3 - 8:28CHIMISS Hinrich 9' Jump Shot44
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q3 - 8:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)44
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q3 - 8:50CHICurry 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)44
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 9:12MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)42
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 9:33CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)42
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 9:47CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot40
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q3 - 10:06CHIHarrington 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)38
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q3 - 10:34CHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)38
4.2%
51
95.8%
Q3 - 10:45CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot38
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q3 - 11:06CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)38
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q3 - 11:25CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot36
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q3 - 11:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q3 - 11:46CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot36
3.4%
51
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI36
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)36
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P4.T10)36
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIADoleac Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)36
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 235
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHIBulls Rebound35
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot35
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)35
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 235
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 1:08CHICurry Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)35
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)33
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIAHEAT Rebound33
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup33
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 1:44CHINocioni 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)33
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 1:56CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper31
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 2:20CHIHinrich 9' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)31
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 2:41MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)29
4.5%
44
95.5%
Q2 - 2:59CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)29
5.1%
42
94.9%
Q2 - 3:09CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
6.0%
42
94.0%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 229
5.9%
42
94.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
5.5%
42
94.5%
Q2 - 3:23CHIGordon 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)27
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 3:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 3:54CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot27
6.2%
39
93.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot27
6.6%
39
93.4%
Q2 - 4:20MIAHEAT Rebound27
6.8%
39
93.2%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 127
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 4:22MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (10 PTS)27
6.8%
39
93.2%
Q2 - 4:31MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
7.6%
37
92.4%
Q2 - 4:33CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot27
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 4:49MIADooling Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)27
8.5%
37
91.5%
Q2 - 5:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
9.4%
35
90.6%
Q2 - 5:02CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
9.7%
35
90.3%
Q2 - 5:10CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q2 - 5:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
9.4%
35
90.6%
Q2 - 5:21CHIMISS Nocioni 21' Jump Shot27
9.7%
35
90.3%
Q2 - 5:32CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot27
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q2 - 5:47CHIO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)27
9.4%
35
90.6%
Q2 - 6:03CHIBulls Rebound27
10.7%
35
89.3%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot27
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 6:12MIAJones Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)27
9.5%
35
90.5%
Q2 - 6:29CHIDuhon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 6:48MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)25
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q2 - 7:06CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)25
10.9%
32
89.1%
Q2 - 7:23MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)25
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 7:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q2 - 7:37CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 7:59MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)25
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q2 - 8:16CHIHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)25
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q2 - 8:21CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot25
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q2 - 8:41CHICurry Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)25
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q2 - 8:53MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q2 - 8:53MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q2 - 9:10MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q2 - 9:13CHIMISS Hinrich 14' Jump Shot23
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q2 - 9:34MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)23
15.7%
27
84.3%
Q2 - 9:54CHIDeng Dunk (6 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)23
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q2 - 10:09MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 10:21CHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q2 - 10:24CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup21
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q2 - 10:44CHIGordon 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q2 - 11:02CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper19
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q2 - 11:17MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q2 - 11:18CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 219
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q2 - 11:18CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 219
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q2 - 11:27CHIBulls Rebound19
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot19
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q2 - 11:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q2 - 11:42CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
12.4%
25
87.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)19
12.4%
25
87.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHICurry 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 1:07MIADooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 1:13MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 1:15CHIMISS Nocioni 14' Jump Shot17
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 1:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
15.4%
21
84.6%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 217
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 1:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 1:50CHIMISS Reiner 10' Jump Shot17
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 2:01CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 2:02CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 2:07CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot17
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 2:14MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 2:16CHIO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)17
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 2:25MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)17
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 2:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 2:45CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup17
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 2:55CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot17
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 3:17CHIGordon 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)17
15.5%
20
84.5%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)15
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 3:31MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q1 - 3:33CHIO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)15
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 3:44MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (7 PTS)15
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 3:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS O'Neal Layup15
19.0%
16
81.0%
Q1 - 4:04CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
17.6%
16
82.4%
Q1 - 4:04CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 4:08CHIReiner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot13
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 4:28CHIDeng Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)13
15.2%
16
84.8%
Q1 - 4:41CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot11
14.0%
16
86.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHEAT Rebound11
13.1%
16
86.9%
Q1 - 4:55CHIMISS Reiner 17' Jump Shot11
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)11
14.2%
16
85.8%
Q1 - 5:30CHIDeng Layup (2 PTS)11
13.1%
16
86.9%
Q1 - 5:32CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
12.3%
16
87.7%
Q1 - 5:34CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)9
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 5:38CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
12.3%
16
87.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 6:00CHIGordon Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
11.3%
16
88.7%
Q1 - 6:11MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 6:13CHIWade STEAL (2 STL)7
9.9%
16
90.1%
Q1 - 6:26MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)7
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 6:40CHIDeng Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)7
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWade Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)7
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 6:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
14.9%
11
85.1%
Q1 - 7:02MIAHEAT Rebound7
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk7
14.9%
11
85.1%
Q1 - 7:17CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)7
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 7:29CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.5%
11
87.5%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 24
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 7:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)4
12.0%
11
88.0%
Q1 - 7:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 7:44CHIMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot4
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
13.3%
10
86.7%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
13.4%
9
86.6%
Q1 - 8:20CHIHinrich 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)4
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 8:23CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 8:24CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 12
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 8:37MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 8:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 8:40CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot2
14.4%
6
85.6%
Q1 - 8:45CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS O'Neal Layup2
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 9:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 9:04CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
14.2%
6
85.8%
Q1 - 9:17MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 9:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 9:28CHIMISS Curry 5' Jump Shot2
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 9:31CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 9:32CHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)2
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 9:46CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot2
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 9:55CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)2
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 10:05MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)2
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:31CHIHinrich 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 10:45CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 10:58CHIMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 11:07CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot0
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 11:23CHIMISS Deng Layup0
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:28CHIBulls Rebound0
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 11:30CHIMISS Curry 7' Hook Shot0
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:48MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Curry: Tip to Jones0
17.9%
0
82.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.95 47.5%
MIA
1.03 51.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
13
25
52%
MIA
20
34
59%
Midrange
CHI
19
44
43%
MIA
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
CHI
18
27
67%
MIA
25
40
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon2566%12.5 / 19
L. Deng1864%9.0 / 14
K. Hinrich1538%7.5 / 20
E. Curry1554%7.5 / 14
T. Chandler643%3.0 / 7
A. Nocioni531%2.5 / 8
E. Piatkowski563%2.5 / 4
C. Duhon325%1.5 / 6
J. Reiner325%1.5 / 6
O. Harrington250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2648%13.0 / 27
D. Wade2550%12.5 / 25
E. Jones1667%8.0 / 12
M. Doleac1680%8.0 / 10
D. Jones880%4.0 / 5
K. Dooling750%3.5 / 7
U. Haslem433%2.0 / 6
W. Zhi-zhi4100%2.0 / 2
R. Butler225%1.0 / 4
D. Wright0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
89
+13
-15
102
MIA
94
+10
-13
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.95 47.5%
MIA
1.03 51.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.0
106.6
CHI 93.3 +7.7
MIA 100.9
Pace
94.7
93.9
CHI 105.0
MIA 106.0 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.6
CHI 13.7
MIA 13.6 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
52.4%
CHI 45.9%
MIA 52.5% +6.6%
TO %
16.9%
14.0%
CHI 14.0%
MIA 13.4% +0.6%
ORB %
28.5%
27.0%
CHI 19.1% +5.1%
MIA 14.0%
FTrt
31.1
38.7
CHI 31.4
MIA 50.6 +19.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
57.8%
CHI 35.1%
MIA 61.5% +26.4%
STL %
7.4%
6.8%
CHI 4.8%
MIA 5.6% +0.8%
BLK %
7.0%
8.7%
CHI 3.0%
MIA 11.6% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.1%
52.7%
CHI 47.5%
MIA 51.4% +3.9%
Rim FG%
53.9%
63.0%
CHI 52.0%
MIA 58.8% +6.8%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.0%
CHI 43.2%
MIA 43.8% +0.6%
3P %
35.7%
37.7%
CHI 29.4%
MIA 38.5% +9.1%
FT %
75.0%
67.2%
CHI 66.7% +4.2%
MIA 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.4%
37.6%
CHI 29.1%
MIA 43.0% +14.0%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
42.6%
CHI 51.2%
MIA 40.5% +10.7%
3P Att. %
21.7%
19.8%
CHI 19.8% +3.3%
MIA 16.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions104107
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points97108
Rebounds4644
Assists1324
Steals56
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)38 (1)
Field Goals37-8639-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2520-34
Midrange FG19-4414-32
2-Point FG32-6934-66
3-Point FG5-175-13
Free Throws18-2725-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
38.4
15
38%
5
4
2
0
1
6
0
5
2-2
100%
5-13
38%
1-6
17%
F · 6'9" 220 · 20
32.5
18
64%
9
3
0
0
4
3
4
5
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 295 · 22
27.4
15
54%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 22
22.8
3
25%
2
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
11.4
2
50%
5
1
0
0
3
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
29.9
25
66%
3
1
1
0
3
2
0
3
2-4
50%
7-13
54%
3-4
75%
C · 7'1" 240 · 22
28.9
6
43%
6
0
1
0
0
3
1
5
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
· 6'7" 225 · 25
18.1
5
31%
6
0
0
1
2
0
0
6
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 23
17.5
3
25%
7
0
0
1
0
5
1
6
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34
8.8
5
63%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
48%
46
13
5
2
15
0
9
37
18-27
67%
32-69
46%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.