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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 6, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks61%104122
25Raptors39%100113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.8
43.8
21.8
18
70%
4
4
3
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
7-10
3-6
70%
47%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.9
41.6
37.8
23
75%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
7-8
5-11
88%
45%
2-6
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
38.6
39.1
30
63%
11
6
0
1
4
3
1
10
4-4
100%
13-20
8-17
65%
48%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
36.1
28.5
13
50%
12
0
2
0
1
0
4
8
3-9
33%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
35.2
27.7
15
84%
1
11
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.9
16.4
13.4
10
75%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.3
16.3
33.1
11
56%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
4-7
5-11
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
11.6
16.5
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.6
0.4
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
10.8
1
2-3
49%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.9
5.6
0
1-1
48%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
1.5
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.0
42.4
30.9
22
63%
4
1
0
1
0
6
0
4
1-1
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
45%
3-7
43%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.9
38.0
38.8
29
80%
8
3
0
1
0
2
3
5
13-14
93%
8-12
6-14
67%
47%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.5
37.7
23.0
13
41%
2
8
5
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-13
2-6
38%
42%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
35.3
29.3
21
66%
4
4
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
43%
3-4
75%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.5
13.2
12.0
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
34.8
26.4
19
106%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
5-6
83%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.0
17.5
32.0
7
74%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
3-7
67%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
10.3
12.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.8
5.5
10.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
5.3
15.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.6
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 33.3
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.