FinalWin Prob.pScore
3221%94
96
679%104
105
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
98.098109.8
MIA logo MIA
100.010594.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0GSWFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0GSWMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0GSWMISS Richardson 22' Jump Shot96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)96
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0GSWRichardson Driving Layup (21 PTS)96
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 294
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 294
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)94
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0GSWMISS Claxton Free Throw 2 of 294
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0GSWClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)94
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 0:55.0GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll93
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 1:18GSWRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)93
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:35GSWMISS Dunleavy 9' Jump Shot90
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 1:42GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot90
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 2:05GSWDunleavy 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)90
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 2:21MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)88
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 2:21MIAJones 5' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST)88
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 2:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 2:34GSWMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot88
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 2:46MIAO'Neal Dunk (27 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)88
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 2:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 2:53GSWMISS Fisher Layup88
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 2:58GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot88
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 3:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 3:17GSWO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)88
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 3:33MIAJones Driving Layup (19 PTS)88
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 3:51GSWDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Claxton 9 AST)88
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 4:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q4 - 4:24GSWMISS Richardson 17' Fadeaway Jumper85
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q4 - 4:39MIAO'Neal Layup (25 PTS)85
6.9%
90
93.1%
Q4 - 5:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 5:08GSWMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot85
11.3%
88
88.7%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 185
13.4%
88
86.6%
Q4 - 5:20MIAO'Neal Layup (23 PTS)85
14.0%
88
86.0%
Q4 - 5:43GSWClaxton 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 6 AST)85
18.3%
86
81.7%
Q4 - 5:59GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot83
13.1%
86
86.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 6:19GSWButler BLOCK (1 BLK)83
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 6:37GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
14.3%
86
85.7%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot83
13.0%
86
87.0%
Q4 - 6:51GSWDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 6:51GSWDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
10.0%
86
90.0%
Q4 - 7:07MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)81
9.0%
86
91.0%
Q4 - 7:29GSWDunleavy Driving Layup (19 PTS)81
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 7:43GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q4 - 7:45GSWMISS Fisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)79
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 8:03GSWMISS Claxton Driving Layup79
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q4 - 8:08GSWClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
12.1%
83
87.9%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot79
11.3%
83
88.7%
Q4 - 8:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 8:31GSWDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)79
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWade Foul Turnover (P8.T16)79
12.1%
83
87.9%
Q4 - 8:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 8:43GSWMISS Richardson 23' Jump Shot79
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q4 - 8:43GSWFisher Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)79
12.0%
83
88.0%
Q4 - 9:07GSWWarriors Rebound78
9.9%
83
90.1%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot78
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q4 - 9:34GSWRichardson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)78
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 9:55MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)76
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q4 - 10:20GSWFisher 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)76
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q4 - 10:24GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q4 - 10:26MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
5.4%
81
94.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot74
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q4 - 10:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
5.4%
81
94.6%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot74
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade Layup74
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q4 - 10:49GSWCabarkapa 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)74
5.4%
81
94.6%
Q4 - 10:52GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q4 - 10:54GSWMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 10:59GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade Layup72
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q4 - 11:05MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Dooling 4' Jump Shot72
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q4 - 11:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q4 - 11:46MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 11:48GSWMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Richardson Driving Layup72
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 272
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIADoleac Tip Shot (6 PTS)70
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Dooling Reverse Layup70
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0GSWMISS Najera Layup70
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 1:00MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 1:11MIAHEAT Rebound70
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q3 - 1:13GSWMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.3%
76
91.7%
Q3 - 1:18GSWCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
9.5%
76
90.5%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot70
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q3 - 1:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q3 - 1:35GSWMISS Richardson 9' Hook Shot70
8.3%
76
91.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)70
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 2:25GSWDunleavy Layup (17 PTS) (Claxton 8 AST)70
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 2:33GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Hook Shot68
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 2:58GSWRichardson 14' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)68
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 3:11MIAJones Layup (17 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)66
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 3:24GSWClaxton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)66
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 3:34MIAAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T15)66
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 3:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 3:40GSWO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)66
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T14)66
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 4:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)66
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 4:11GSWMISS Claxton 10' Fadeaway Jumper66
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Layup (21 PTS)66
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q3 - 4:42GSWClaxton 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q3 - 4:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
10.0%
70
90.0%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 264
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 4:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q3 - 4:58GSWMISS Pietrus 20' Jump Shot64
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 5:16GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
11.8%
69
88.2%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot64
11.3%
69
88.7%
Q3 - 5:44GSWDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Claxton 7 AST)64
10.0%
69
90.0%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)61
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)61
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q3 - 6:04GSWRichardson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)61
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 6:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 6:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q3 - 6:33GSWDunleavy 11' Hook Shot (12 PTS)61
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 6:53MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)59
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 7:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 7:10GSWMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot59
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (19 PTS)59
15.7%
62
84.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
17.5%
60
82.5%
Q3 - 7:43GSWMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 8:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 8:07MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (17 PTS)59
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Jones Driving Finger Roll59
24.3%
58
75.7%
Q3 - 8:28GSWDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Claxton 6 AST)59
22.2%
58
77.8%
Q3 - 8:41MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T13)56
17.7%
58
82.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
15.4%
58
84.6%
Q3 - 8:53GSWMISS Claxton 13' Jump Shot56
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 9:03GSWFisher Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)56
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 9:03MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T12)55
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q3 - 9:13GSWRichardson Layup (10 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)55
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 9:19GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot53
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 9:24MIAHEAT Rebound53
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade Layup53
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 9:47GSWDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)53
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 151
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 9:56MIAJones Layup (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)51
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q3 - 10:08GSWMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 251
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 10:08GSWDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 10:16MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS)50
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 10:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot50
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 10:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q3 - 10:31GSWMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot50
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 10:49GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 250
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q3 - 10:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAHEAT Rebound50
13.0%
53
87.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot50
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q3 - 11:19GSWMISS Foyle 18' Jump Shot50
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q3 - 11:44MIAWade Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)50
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound50
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 51' 3PT Jump Shot50
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0GSWFisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)50
16.7%
51
83.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0GSWWarriors Rebound47
12.8%
51
87.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0GSWMISS Richardson 10' Running Finger Roll47
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)47
12.8%
51
87.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0GSWClaxton 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 1:14MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)45
14.4%
48
85.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 1:26GSWWade BLOCK (1 BLK)45
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 1:40MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)45
17.9%
46
82.1%
Q2 - 1:57GSWDunleavy Reverse Layup (4 PTS)45
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 2:03MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)43
18.2%
44
81.8%
Q2 - 2:14GSWDunleavy 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T4)43
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 2:33MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 2:33MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
18.5%
43
81.5%
Q2 - 2:43GSWDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)43
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 2:53GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Haslem Layup43
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 3:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 3:02GSWMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot43
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)43
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 3:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 3:17GSWMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 3:32MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 3:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 3:48GSWMISS Cabarkapa Free Throw 2 of 243
24.0%
40
76.0%
Q2 - 3:48GSWCabarkapa Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
23.1%
40
76.9%
Q2 - 4:24GSWRichardson Dunk (8 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)42
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 4:30GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
23.1%
38
76.9%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot40
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 4:40MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 4:42GSWMISS Pietrus 19' Jump Shot40
21.7%
38
78.3%
Q2 - 4:54GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot40
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 5:00MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 5:02GSWDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)40
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 5:12MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)40
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 5:29MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q2 - 5:31GSWMISS Cabarkapa 20' Jump Shot40
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 5:53MIAWade Layup (2 PTS)40
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 6:12MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
24.2%
36
75.8%
Q2 - 6:14GSWMISS Pietrus Layup40
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 6:18MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)40
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 6:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
24.2%
36
75.8%
Q2 - 6:30GSWMISS Foyle 20' Jump Shot40
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 6:42GSWCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot40
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 7:09GSWCabarkapa 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)40
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q2 - 7:13GSWFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
22.2%
36
77.8%
Q2 - 7:16GSWMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot38
20.9%
36
79.1%
Q2 - 7:22GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
22.2%
36
77.8%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot38
21.6%
36
78.4%
Q2 - 7:37GSWFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 7:37GSWMISS Fisher Free Throw 1 of 237
20.0%
36
80.0%
Q2 - 7:41GSWCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Bank Shot37
19.9%
36
80.1%
Q2 - 8:04GSWCabarkapa 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)37
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 8:22MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)35
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 8:35GSWClaxton Layup (9 PTS) (Pietrus 2 AST)35
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 8:37MIADoleac Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)33
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 8:43MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 8:45GSWMISS Fisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
16.0%
34
84.0%
Q2 - 9:00MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)33
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 9:16GSWClaxton 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q2 - 9:21GSWClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot31
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 9:52GSWCabarkapa 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)31
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 10:02GSWCabarkapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 229
14.2%
32
85.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q2 - 10:23GSWFisher 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)29
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)27
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 10:51GSWClaxton 11' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)27
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q2 - 11:06MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q2 - 11:06MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)25
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q2 - 11:20GSWFisher Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)25
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q2 - 11:30GSWWarriors Rebound25
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Wade Layup25
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 11:43MIAHEAT Rebound25
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot25
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW25
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound25
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)25
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0GSWFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)25
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0GSWFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)24
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0GSWFisher Driving Layup (10 PTS)23
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot21
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q1 - 1:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
11.0%
26
89.0%
Q1 - 1:23GSWMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot21
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q1 - 1:53MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS)21
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q1 - 2:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 2:04GSWMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot21
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q1 - 2:22MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 2:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 2:36GSWMISS Claxton 21' Jump Shot21
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 2:50GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 221
16.2%
22
83.8%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 221
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 3:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 3:13GSWMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot21
15.3%
22
84.7%
Q1 - 3:29MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)21
16.3%
22
83.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
15.0%
22
85.0%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot21
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 3:50GSWRichardson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
15.0%
22
85.0%
Q1 - 4:01MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)19
13.8%
22
86.2%
Q1 - 4:01MIAJones 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
14.9%
21
85.1%
Q1 - 4:16GSWClaxton Layup (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)19
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 4:28GSWWarriors Rebound17
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 4:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 4:33GSWMISS Claxton 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)17
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 4:50MIAJones 9' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)17
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHEAT Rebound17
16.6%
16
83.4%
Q1 - 5:02GSWMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
17.0%
16
83.0%
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)17
17.9%
16
82.1%
Q1 - 5:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
16.6%
16
83.4%
Q1 - 5:18GSWMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
17.0%
16
83.0%
Q1 - 5:35MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)17
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 5:55GSWClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 5:55GSWMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 216
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 6:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 6:17GSWWade STEAL (1 STL)16
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 6:31MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
22.9%
11
77.1%
Q1 - 6:53GSWDunleavy Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 7:02GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot14
21.6%
9
78.4%
Q1 - 7:19GSWRichardson 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
20.7%
9
79.3%
Q1 - 7:29GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot12
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 7:46GSWFisher 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)12
18.3%
9
81.7%
Q1 - 7:51MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 8:07GSWFisher 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)10
15.9%
9
84.1%
Q1 - 8:21MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
15.0%
9
85.0%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 28
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 8:32GSWFisher 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foyle 1 AST)8
14.9%
8
85.1%
Q1 - 8:43GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot6
13.8%
8
86.2%
Q1 - 9:06GSWRichardson Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)6
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 9:23MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 9:41GSWFoyle Layup (2 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)4
11.3%
8
88.7%
Q1 - 9:56MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 10:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 10:19GSWMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot2
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 10:29MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 10:50GSWFisher 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)2
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 11:06MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 11:13GSWHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)0
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:26MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot0
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 11:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 11:49GSWMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot0
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Foyle: Tip to Fisher0
15.6%
0
84.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
12
22
55%
MIA
25
36
69%
Midrange
GSW
22
50
44%
MIA
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MIA
3
4.5
7
43%
64%
Free Throws
GSW
13
18
72%
MIA
20
31
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy2676%13.0 / 17
D. Fisher2252%11.0 / 21
J. Richardson2146%10.5 / 23
S. Claxton1640%8.0 / 20
Z. Cabarkapa975%4.5 / 6
A. Foyle225%1.0 / 4
M. Pietrus0-0.0 / 4
E. Najera0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2752%13.5 / 26
E. Jones2269%11.0 / 16
D. Wade1839%9.0 / 23
D. Jones1260%6.0 / 10
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
M. Doleac660%3.0 / 5
R. Butler675%3.0 / 4
K. Dooling536%2.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
91
+6
-7
97
MIA
88
+13
-17
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.5
106.6
GSW 98.0 +2.0
MIA 100.0
Pace
95.3
93.9
GSW 109.8 +15.0
MIA 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.6
GSW 13.1 +2.1
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
52.4%
GSW 47.2%
MIA 53.1% +5.9%
TO %
13.6%
14.0%
GSW 6.8% +8.6%
MIA 15.4%
ORB %
27.9%
27.0%
GSW 8.3%
MIA 23.7% +15.4%
FTrt
27.8
38.7
GSW 20.5
MIA 38.8 +18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.8%
57.8%
GSW 64.1% +15.3%
MIA 48.8%
STL %
8.1%
6.8%
GSW 10.2% +9.2%
MIA 1.0%
BLK %
7.5%
8.7%
GSW 2.7%
MIA 9.7% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.1%
52.7%
GSW 49.5%
MIA 51.5% +2.0%
Rim FG%
55.4%
63.0%
GSW 54.5%
MIA 69.4% +14.9%
Mid FG%
37.5%
41.0%
GSW 44.0% +8.9%
MIA 35.1%
3P %
35.2%
37.7%
GSW 31.3%
MIA 42.9% +11.6%
FT %
72.2%
67.2%
GSW 72.2% +7.7%
MIA 64.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
37.6%
GSW 25.0%
MIA 45.0% +20.0%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
42.6%
GSW 56.8%
MIA 46.3% +10.6%
3P Att. %
25.2%
19.8%
GSW 18.2% +9.4%
MIA 8.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions98105
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points96105
Rebounds3353
Assists2520
Steals101
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)44 (2)
Field Goals39-8841-80
At-the-Rim FG12-2225-36
Midrange FG22-5013-37
2-Point FG34-7238-73
3-Point FG5-163-7
Free Throws13-1820-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'1" 210 · 30
43.5
22
52%
5
3
1
0
2
1
1
4
5-6
83%
7-15
47%
1-4
25%
G · 5'11" 170 · 27
41.2
16
40%
2
9
3
0
1
5
0
2
2-4
50%
7-17
41%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
39.3
26
76%
7
2
0
0
3
3
1
6
3-4
75%
7-10
70%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 225 · 24
38.5
21
46%
6
6
2
0
1
5
1
5
2-2
100%
8-17
47%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 270 · 30
22.8
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 215 · 23
18.4
0
0%
4
2
4
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36
17.1
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24
13.1
9
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
G · 6'2" 195 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
50%
33
25
10
2
7
0
4
29
13-18
72%
34-72
47%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.