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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 9, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks40%98110
27Raptors60%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.3
38.3
31.8
18
54%
6
1
1
1
1
4
1
5
2-4
50%
8-15
5-11
53%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
35.3
30.7
29
62%
3
3
1
1
0
4
1
2
6-8
75%
10-17
6-13
59%
47%
1-3
33%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
32.6
27.1
11
64%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
5-6
83%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
27.1
21.5
10
61%
12
0
0
1
1
1
5
7
4-5
80%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.1
20.6
26.0
8
57%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-8
80%
43%
0-2
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.6
27.4
26.2
14
70%
3
5
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.4
26.7
18.0
10
63%
6
8
1
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.0
17.0
15.7
4
69%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
15.0
15.7
6
38%
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.2
13.9
0
1-3
41%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 29.8
8.6
0
1-2
43%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 28.6
7.4
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.5
43.0
21.0
16
48%
4
12
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
5-10
2-5
50%
43%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.9
36.3
31.2
12
40%
9
4
3
1
1
1
3
6
2-7
29%
5-12
5-11
42%
49%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.0
35.6
35.8
26
57%
0
4
2
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
7-14
5-12
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
31.6
32.6
14
64%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
45%
2-4
50%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.5
17.6
10.7
7
102%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
25.8
17.5
15
59%
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
55%
1-2
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
24.1
30.8
12
61%
4
0
3
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
2-6
33%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.0
17.8
30.9
0
0%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
44%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.6
8.2
11.2
5
43%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
7.5
0
1-1
44%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.8
6.0
0
1-1
43%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 33.4
4.8
0
0-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.