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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 9, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat63%102116
32Knicks37%98110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
45.8
35.0
12
79%
10
2
1
1
1
0
4
6
4-6
67%
4-5
4-8
80%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.1
45.7
36.9
30
54%
6
6
1
1
1
4
2
4
10-13
77%
10-22
8-16
45%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.3
43.5
35.0
17
65%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.9
41.8
33.4
16
41%
13
3
1
0
3
2
5
8
6-8
75%
5-16
9-16
31%
58%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.5
34.1
26.5
24
72%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
6-10
60%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.8
17.1
19.9
9
77%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.7
16.0
17.5
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
14.9
10.3
2
50%
5
0
3
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
6.3
16.6
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.9
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.6
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 19.2
1.9
0
0-0
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
47.8
38.1
36
54%
2
8
1
1
0
0
0
2
9-15
60%
9-19
6-13
47%
48%
3-8
38%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
43.6
36.8
14
58%
12
3
1
1
0
2
2
10
0-0
-
7-12
5-11
58%
47%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.0
39.4
20.5
13
82%
5
7
0
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
4-5
80%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.6
35.2
25.7
16
57%
8
2
1
1
1
2
4
4
6-9
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
33.4
20.4
8
57%
8
0
0
1
1
3
4
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 33.6
39.1
28.8
14
47%
2
2
2
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
42%
2-6
33%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.3
16.7
21.2
7
44%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jamison Brewer
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.2
5.2
8.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.8
4.6
7.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.9
23.3
1
2-6
44%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.2
8.6
0
1-2
46%
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.0
3.8
0
1-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.